Bitcoin is trading around $91,300, down 2.2% in 24 hours but outperforming the broader market (CD20 index: -3.2%). The backdrop remains uncertain with delayed U.S. economic data due to the ongoing government shutdown.
🔹 Institutional adoption continues:
· Vanguard now offers crypto ETF access · Bank of America allows wealth advisors up to 4% portfolio allocation to digital assets · Charles Schwab plans BTC & ETH trading in early 2026
🔹 Fed rate cuts expected this month, supporting risk assets.
Despite recent volatility, Bitcoin remains in the green since its November low of $80,600.
Analyst Insights:
· Lewis Harland, Re7 Capital: "Bitcoin’s move back into $92–93K shows strong dip-buying. We’re in consolidation before bullish momentum resumes." · Will Papper, Syndicate: "Shift toward yield strategies signals market maturity and long-term thinking."
Today’s Key Events to Watch:
· 8:30 AM ET: Canada Unemployment Rate · 10:00 AM ET: U.S. PCE Inflation Data (Fed’s preferred gauge) · 11:00 AM ET: QuickSwap AMA on X Spaces
· Renzo (REZ) conducting burn & distribution today · Aavegotchi & Compound DAO votes ongoing
While short-term consolidation may continue, institutional adoption and macroeconomic trends suggest underlying strength. Stay tuned for PCE data later today — a positive surprise could shift sentiment.
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Bitcoin Drops to $90K in Early U.S. Trading — Altcoins and Crypto Stocks Follow
Bitcoin has extended its overnight losses, falling back to the $90,000 level during early U.S. trading hours. This move reverses much of last Sunday’s rebound and signals ongoing market pressure ahead of the weekend.
Ethereum is down about 2%, while major altcoins like Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), Dogecoin (DOGE), and Hyperliquid (HYPE) have each dropped more than 4%. Crypto-related equities are also sharply lower, with declines of 4–7% for companies such as MicroStrategy (MSTR), Galaxy Digital (GLXY), CleanSpark (CLSK), and American Bitcoin (ABTC).
Data from Velo indicates that the hour before and after U.S. market open has been the most bearish period over the past six months, with Friday consistently being the weakest day of the week.
Inflation Data Offers a Glimmer of Hope
The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment survey released Friday morning showed a decline in inflation expectations—both one-year and five-year outlooks fell more than anticipated. This helped Bitcoin briefly recover toward $91,000.
With the Fed nearly certain to cut rates next week, traders are now looking ahead to early 2025. Further easing in inflation could open the door to additional rate cuts in Q1 2026, which would likely support risk assets—including cryptocurrencies.
Analysts See Consolidation, Not Collapse
The price action reinforces earlier forecasts that the crypto market may see continued consolidation into year-end rather than a sharp rebound. Monitoring intraday patterns and macroeconomic cues remains key for short-term direction.
📊 Bitcoin ETF izņemšanas: Nav panikas, bet arbitrāžas izbeigšana
Nesenie dati atklāj niansētu stāstu aiz nesenajām Bitcoin ETF izņemšanām:
🔍 Galvenās atziņas:
· Izņemšanas bija ļoti koncentrētas, nevis plaša mēroga institucionāla pārdošana. · BlackRock's IBIT veidoja 97-99% no nesenajām nedēļas izņemšanām, kamēr Fidelity's FBTC redzēja ienākumus. · Galvenais dzinējspēks bija "pamatu tirdzniecības" arbitrāžas pozīciju slēgšana, nevis ilgtermiņa pārliecības pārdošana.
📉 Mehānika: Kad Bitcoin cena nokritās par ~35%, atšķirība starp spot un nākotnes cenām ("pamats") sabruka, padarot arbitrāžas tirdzniecību neizdevīgu. Tas izraisīja mehānisku izbeigšanu:
✅ Galvenā doma: Tirgus ir atbrīvojies no sviras, taktiskajām pozīcijām. Atlikušās ETF akcijas (~1.43M BTC) pārstāv "noturīgāku" institucionālo kapitālu, kas koncentrējas uz ilgtermiņa novērtējumu, sagatavojot ainu tīrākai, pārliecības dzītai atgūšanai.
🚨 Meta plāni būtiski samazināt metaversa budžetu: līdz 30% budžeta samazinājums 2026. gadā
Galvenie punkti:
· Meta metaversa nodaļa, tostarp Quest VR un Horizon Worlds, saskaras ar straujiem samazinājumiem. · Atlaides gaidāmas, jo pieņemšana kavējas un prioritātes mainās uz AI. · Reality Labs kopš 2021. gada ir zaudējis vairāk nekā 70 miljardus dolāru. · Meta akcijas (META) pieauga par 4% pēc jaunumiem.
Kāpēc tas ir svarīgi kripto: Meta atkāpšanās atspoguļo metaversa hype cikla atdzišanu, potenciāli novirzot tehnoloģiju ieguldījumus un uzmanību uz AI un citām augstas izaugsmes jomām, piemēram, kripto infrastruktūru un spēlēm.
Neierobežotas metaversa izdevumu ēra, iespējams, ir beigusies. 📉
🇺🇸 ASV INFLĀCIJA KRITUSIES LĪDZ 2.4%, SAMAZINĀJUSIES NO 2.7% NOVEMBRĪ.
Tas ir svarīgs makro pagrieziens kriptovalūtām:
• Fed spiediens mazinās. •Procentu likmju samazināšana izskatās arvien iespējama. •Likviditāte sāk atgriezties. •Riska aktīvi, piemēram, kriptovalūtas, var gūt vislielāko labumu.
Bitcoin un altkoīni ir gatavi uzsūkt jauno kapitālu.
Iestāde Q1-Q2 2026 izskatās arvien optimistiskāka. 📈
Bitcoin Holds Near $93.5K as Market Sentiment Cautiously Improves
The crypto market showed resilience on Thursday, with Bitcoin trading around $93,500 and Ether rising above $3,200 post-Fusaka upgrade. While the Fear & Greed Index has moved out of "Extreme Fear," the broader trend remains cautious.
📊 Key Market Takeaways:
· BTC's Critical Level: The downtrend since October remains intact. A sustained break above $98,500 is needed to signal a true bullish reversal. · Altcoin Sentiment Weak: The "Altcoin Season" indicator has dropped to 20/100, showing clear preference for Bitcoin over riskier altcoins. · Privacy Coins Correct: After a strong rally, ZEC and DASH have dropped over 20% this week, entering a corrective phase. · Derivatives Signal Calm: Bitcoin's implied volatility has fallen to its lowest since mid-November, pointing to a lower-volatility environment ahead—often supportive for a steady bullish move.
📈 Derivatives & Futures Snapshot:
· BTC & ETH volatility indices have declined, suggesting a calmer market structure. · $100K BTC calls remain the most popular options play ($2.82B in open interest). · Notable OI increases in ZEC (+6%) and ETH (+4%) futures indicate speculative interest.
🪙 Altcoin & Token Focus: The altcoin market remains quiet,with liquidity and attention still concentrated on Bitcoin. However, a few outperformers included TAO, ENA, and AVAX (up 4.5%-8.5%). Notably, the current market appears driven more by development and fundamentals than pure speculation—a sign of maturation since the memecoin frenzy of late 2024.
🔍 The Bottom Line for Traders: While short-term sentiment is improving,the key level to watch is BTC above $98.5K for a confirmed trend change. Lower volatility in derivatives and selective altcoin movements suggest a more disciplined market is forming. Watch privacy coins for a potential second wave, and keep an eye on ETH's momentum post-upgrade.
U.S. Treasury Makes Historic $12.5B Debt Buyback – Why Traders Are Watching Closely
Markets are reacting after an unexpected move from the U.S. Treasury. In a historic shift, $12.5 billion of U.S. debt was bought back in a single operation—the largest such buyback on record.
This isn’t just a routine financial operation. The scale and timing have sparked intense speculation:
· Is this a signal of underlying liquidity stress? · A tactical move to stabilize the bond market? · The beginning of a new form of monetary-fiscal coordination?
Such a direct intervention raises questions about market functioning, future debt management, and potential ripple effects across asset classes, including crypto. When the world's largest economy changes how it manages its debt, all markets pay attention.
Amid the analysis, political narrative has also entered the conversation, with former President Trump suggesting "even bigger decisions" may follow—adding another layer of uncertainty to the macro outlook.
What This Means for Traders:
· Watch liquidity conditions and U.S. bond yields closely. · Monitor Bitcoin and crypto reactions to shifts in Treasury market sentiment. · Consider increased volatility in risk assets as markets digest this new tool.
Major fiscal moves often create indirect but meaningful waves in digital asset markets. Staying informed is key.
ETH Shows Strength: Bullish Engulfing Pattern Signals Potential Reversal
Traders, take note! Ethereum (ETH) just printed a classic bullish reversal signal on the 1-hour chart, hinting at a shift in momentum.
🔍 The Signal: Bullish Engulfing Pattern As captured on the 1-hour candle closing at12-05 00:00 (UTC), a clear Bullish Engulfing Pattern has emerged. This technical formation occurs when a green (bullish) candle completely "engulfs" the body of the preceding red (bearish) candle. It suggests that buying pressure has decisively overwhelmed the prior selling pressure, often indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
📈 What This Means for ETH The appearance of this pattern,especially after a period of downward or consolidating movement, is a key watch item for short-term traders. It signals that buyers are stepping in aggressively, potentially marking a local bottom and the start of a new upward leg.
⚠️ Important Trading Considerations
1. Confirmation is Key: While a strong signal, prudent traders often wait for additional confirmation, such as a break above the next resistance level or increased volume on the following candles.
2. Context Matters: Always consider the broader market trend and key support/resistance zones. This pattern is more significant when aligned with major support levels.
3. Risk Management First: Never base a trade solely on one pattern. Always define your stop-loss and take-profit levels. The crypto market is volatile; manage your risk accordingly.
This Bullish Engulfing Candle on ETH's 1-hour chart is a notable development for active traders.It flags a potential shift in short-term sentiment and warrants close attention to ETH's price action in the coming hours. Will the buyers maintain control?
Stay alert, trade smart, and always do your own research (DYOR).
BREAKING: Fed Chair Powell's Statement Ignites Markets, Then Cautions Traders
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks today triggered a massive surge across global risk assets, followed by a sobering reminder of the Fed's ongoing influence.
What He Said:
· The Spark: Powell stated there has been "clear progress on inflation," a signal markets interpreted as dovish and a potential precursor to rate cuts. · The Immediate Effect: A powerful, simultaneous rally erupted: · Crypto surged (Bitcoin & Ethereum spiked higher). · Equities blasted through key resistance levels. · Bonds rallied sharply (yields fell). · The Quick Caveat: Powell almost immediately cautioned that "too much celebration" could undermine progress and risk a market reversal, tempering the initial euphoria.
Why It Matters: Powell demonstrated the Fed's outsized control over market sentiment.A single phrase can unleash bullish frenzy, but the central bank remains focused on cooling overheated reactions. This isn't a clear "all-clear" signal, but a reminder that the path to rate cuts will be carefully managed.
Market Impact:
· Crypto: Shows extreme sensitivity to Fed liquidity expectations. The initial pop confirms its role as a leading risk-on asset. · Outlook: Every future word from Powell will be hyper-scrutinized. The tug-of-war between "mission accomplished" on inflation and preventing a renewed bubble will define 2024's close.
Bitcoin dipped from ~$93,000 to under $92,000 following a slide in tech stocks, triggered by a report about Microsoft adjusting AI growth expectations.
Key Points:
· Trigger: A report from The Information stated Microsoft scaled back sales growth targets for its next wave of AI "agents" due to slower adoption. (Microsoft later denied lowering "sales quotas," and the headline was adjusted). · Market Reaction: Tech stocks fell swiftly. MSFT dropped ~3%, and the Nasdaq 100 reversed gains. · Crypto Impact: BTC followed the downside correlation with tech, dropping from overnight highs to near $91,800 before stabilizing around $92,300. ETH also pulled back from its session high. · Mixed Moves in Crypto Equities: · Miners: Mostly muted (IREN -2%, others slightly down). · Brokers/Others: MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Coinbase (COIN) gained, while newer entrants like Circle (CRCL) and eToro (ETOR) saw modest rises.
The Takeaway: The crypto rally paused as the market showed continued sensitivity to Big Tech and AI narrative shifts. The quick reversal highlights the current high correlation between crypto and equity momentum.
🚀 Bitcoin Roars Back Above $90K as Major Institutions Embrace Crypto
📈 Price Action: Bitcoin surged past **$90,000** Tuesday, recovering sharply from Sunday’s drop below $84,000. Ethereum also broke above $3,000, with large-cap alts like SOL, XRP, and DOGE up 7–10%.
🔥 Catalysts:
· Vanguard now allows clients access to crypto ETFs · Bank of America advisors can recommend up to 4% allocation in BTC ETFs · Sentiment boosted further by easing Fed policy signals
📊 Market Insights:
· Derivatives markets show bullish positioning, with strong support seen in the $80,000–$85,000 zone · Traders are selling downside puts and buying upside calls, signaling confidence in a year-end rally
⚠️ Warning Flag: One analyst warns that rising Japanese bond yields could pull capital from global markets—potentially impacting crypto due to Asia-heavy liquidity and high leverage exposure (especially on platforms like Binance).
🎯 The Takeaway: Institutional adoption is accelerating, technicals suggest solid support, but macro crosswinds remain. Keep an eye on Fed and Bank of Japan meetings later this month.
Big shift from the Fed: Quantitative Tightening (QT) is over. The move to cut rates and inject $28 billion signals a major pivot toward easing—a potential catalyst for risk assets, including crypto.
5 Key Insights You Need to Know:
1️⃣ Liquidity Boost – The $28B injection increases available cash, often sparking buying across stocks and crypto.
2️⃣ Rate Cuts Ahead – Lower rates encourage risk-taking, which could lift altcoins significantly in coming weeks.
3️⃣ Sentiment Shift – Ending QT removes a headwind; investors are already reacting positively.
4️⃣ Altcoin Timing – Crypto rallies often follow Fed easing moves. Watch for momentum in high-conviction alts.
5️⃣ Stay Alert on Data – Inflation and employment reports will fine-tune the timing of market moves.
Traders, this could spark one of the most dynamic market periods in recent months. Stay informed, watch liquidity flows, and plan your moves accordingly.
ETH Shows Bullish Signal: "Three White Soldiers" Pattern Forms 📈
A classic bullish reversal pattern has emerged on Ethereum's 1-hour chart, suggesting a potential shift in momentum.
What’s Happening:
· The Three White Soldiers candlestick pattern was captured on the 1-hour timeframe (Dec 3, 00:00 UTC). · This pattern consists of three consecutive rising candles, indicating sustained buying pressure and a possible trend reversal upward. · Often viewed as a strong bullish signal, especially when occurring after a downtrend or consolidation phase.
Why It Matters:
· Suggests increasing bullish conviction in the short term. · Traders and analysts watch such patterns for early signs of momentum shifts. · Could indicate growing confidence ahead of key market movements or news.
Always remember: Patterns are one tool in analysis—consider volume, market context, and broader trends before making decisions.
BREAKING NEWS — A Financial Earthquake! 🔥 After three long years of pressure, tightening, and nonstop uncertainty… the Federal Reserve has finally announced the end of QT today! For years, the Fed drained liquidity from the system — markets dried up, pressure increased, and uncertainty ruled everywhere. But today marks the end of that difficult era, and the atmosphere has suddenly shifted. This moment feels like the silence before a massive storm… Markets are on high alert, investors are wide-eyed, and the entire financial world is waiting to see what explosion this decision will trigger next. When the Fed makes a move this big… something even bigger always follows. Will the next wave ignite the markets? Stay ready. 🚀
BREAKING: Bank of America Greenlights Crypto for Wealth Clients 🚀
Starting in January, Bank of America’s wealth management advisors can officially recommend a 1% to 4% portfolio allocation to crypto assets.
Key Details: •Initially focusing on spot Bitcoin ETFs: BlackRock’s IBIT, Fidelity’s FBTC, Bitwise’s BITB, and Grayscale’s GBTC. •A major policy shift—advisors were previously barred from recommending crypto. •Follows Vanguard’s reversal yesterday, aligning BofA with giants like BlackRock and Morgan Stanley. •Increases pressure on holdouts like Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, and UBS.
Why It Matters: One of the largest U.S. banks is now formally guiding its private wealth clients into crypto. This signals deepening institutional adoption and provides a structured, conservative entry point for high-net-worth investors.
“For investors comfortable with elevated volatility, a modest 1% to 4% in digital assets could be appropriate.” — Bank of America CIO
The walls between traditional finance and crypto continue to fall.
🪙 Powell Just SHOCKED Markets: "Don't Count on More Cuts" 🏛️Fed Chair Powell slammed the brakes on easy money hopes, signaling a pause after recent cuts. A December rate cut is now "far from a done deal."
⚡ The Twist: Deep division inside the Fed was revealed. The autopilot easing is OFF — market turbulence could be ahead.
💰 Meanwhile, whispers say the Fed may halt Quantitative Tightening soon. This could reignite global liquidity, sending major waves through crypto, equities, and bonds.
📉 What This Means: •If Powell HOLDS FIRM → Bond yields could spike, growth stocks may tumble, risk sentiment turns cold. •If the Fed FLIPS SCRIPT → Watch for a rush back into risk assets, including crypto.
All eyes are on the next move. Traders are holding their breath.
Market Alert: Bitcoin Retraces Rally as Fear Dominates 📉
Crypto markets remain under pressure this week, with Bitcoin giving back nearly all of its late-November gains and investor sentiment stuck in "extreme fear." Here’s what you need to know:
📊 Market Snapshot:
· BTC trading near $87,000, down from last week’s high above $92,350 · Altcoins largely in the red, privacy coins hit hardest (ZEC -8%, XMR/DASH -5-6%) · SKY (formerly MKR) bucked the trend, rising 6.7% on buyback news and growing USDS stablecoin adoption
📈 Derivatives Signal Caution:
· Futures open interest down 3–6% for BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL · BTC futures basis at cycle lows (4–5% annualized) · Options activity shows bearish bias, with put spreads dominating
🔍 Why It Matters: Bitcoin is underperforming U.S.equities, and the Altcoin Season Index remains low at 24/100, indicating capital is still concentrated in BTC and selected DeFi tokens.
💡 One Bright Spot: Interest inUSDS (formerly DAI) continues to grow—its market cap has risen from $7.6B to $9.5B in two months, offering a 4.5% staking yield within the Sky ecosystem.
What to Watch:
· Can BTC hold above $86,000 support? · Will SKY’s momentum continue amid broader market fear? · Monitoring volatility spread between BTC and ETH for clues on next moves
Trade carefully, manage risk, and keep an eye on derivatives trends for directional signals.
The breach above this resistance suggests that buying pressure is increasing, and XRP may be entering a new phase of upward movement. Traders and investors are now watching to see if the token can sustain this level and target higher price zones.
📊 What to Watch Next:
· Hold above 2.03864 for continued bullish sentiment · Next potential resistance near 2.10–2.15 · Support level to watch: 2.0000–1.9800
🔍 Final Thoughts: While the breakout is a positive short-term signal,always trade with a clear strategy and proper risk management. The crypto market remains volatile, and key levels can shift quickly.
Stay tuned for more updates, and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
After 3 years of relentless Quantitative Tightening (QT), the Federal Reserve has finally paused its liquidity drain.
This isn't just a pause—it's a potential inflection point for global markets. Since 2022, the Fed has been pulling money out of the system, pressuring risk assets and shaping the macro landscape.
But now, the script is flipping.
When the world’s most powerful central bank steps back from tightening, liquidity dynamics shift—and market sentiment can transform overnight.
· 📉 3 years of contraction · 📈 1 decision that changes the game · ⚡ Markets are charged for a new regime
Crypto is especially sensitive to liquidity shifts. This could fuel the next wave of volatility—and opportunity—across #Bitcoin and digital assets.