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Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have slipped below the $100 billion assets-under-management mark for the first time since April 2025, following a heavy wave of investor withdrawals. Recent market data shows that approximately $272 million exited Bitcoin ETFs on February 3, breaking a long-standing streak of strong institutional holdings and raising fresh questions about short-term market direction.
This sharp reduction in ETF holdings reflects a noticeable shift in institutional behavior. After months of consistent inflows and record-breaking totals, the sudden pullback suggests that large investors may be moving toward lower-risk positioning amid ongoing volatility. During the same period, Bitcoin experienced significant price swings, trading around $76,300 after moving between roughly $72,900 and $79,000 within 24 hours.
The bulk of the outflows came from several leading funds. Fidelity recorded the largest withdrawal at nearly $149 million. ARK’s Bitcoin ETF followed with over $62 million in exits, while Grayscale and Bitwise also posted sizable redemptions of more than $50 million and $23 million, respectively. In contrast, BlackRock stood out as the only major issuer to attract net inflows, adding around $60 million — though this was not enough to counterbalance the broader selling pressure.
Industry trackers report that total Bitcoin ETF assets had previously peaked near $168 billion in October before gradually cooling. Since the start of the year, crypto-related ETFs have collectively seen close to $1.3 billion in net outflows. Market participants are now debating whether this trend represents a temporary reset or the beginning of a longer institutional slowdown.
Despite the broader pullback, BlackRock’s continued inflows suggest that some long-term investors still prefer selective exposure over a full exit. Meanwhile, consistent withdrawals from other large funds suggest that many traders are actively reducing risk and trimming positions as uncertainty increases.
Beyond the headline figure of total ETF assets, professional desks are closely monitoring how uneven these flows have become. When capital leaves several funds but concentrates in just one, liquidity distribution changes quickly, which forces ETF managers to rebalance positions across ETF shares, CME Bitcoin futures, and spot BTC markets near the close of trading sessions.
Such rebalancing activity can increase short-term volatility, especially during the final trading hours of the stock market. As hedging and arbitrage strategies intensify, Bitcoin’s spot price and ETF pricing may briefly diverge, creating short-lived trading opportunities and sharper price moves.

Bitcoin and Ethereum Gain Momentum as Tariff Cuts Ease Global Tensions
Global Markets Surge as US-China Trade Agreement Reignites Risk Appetite
A surprise breakthrough in U.S.-China trade negotiations has triggered a renewed appetite for risk across global markets — with the cryptocurrency sector reaping significant benefits. Following a landmark agreement to significantly reduce tariffs, investor sentiment sharply shifted, fueling rallies in both traditional and digital assets.
The deal sees U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods drop from 145% to 30%, while China reduces duties on American imports from 125% to 10%. This major easing in trade tensions has catalyzed a bullish wave, especially in high-volatility sectors like crypto.
Crypto Markets React: Bitcoin and Ethereum Stabilize, Sentiment Turns Bullish
According to market intelligence firm QCP, the initial reaction saw U.S. equities open 3% higher, gold decline by nearly 3%, and the VIX volatility index fall to 18 — all classic signs of a market turning risk-on. In tandem, crypto volatility also declined, with Bitcoin's front-end implied volatility contracting by over five points.
Bitcoin (BTC) briefly dipped but quickly rebounded, stabilizing near the $103,000 mark. Ethereum (ETH) followed a similar path, holding steady around $2,400. Despite the gains, Bitcoin's dominance has fallen below 63%, hinting at possible asset rotation within the digital currency space.
Bitcoin Faces Mixed Signals While Ethereum Gains Strength
While Bitcoin remains caught between narratives — its identity as "digital gold" versus a speculative risk asset — its short-term outlook remains range-bound. Muted derivatives hedging and mixed macroeconomic signals are keeping BTC’s price action indecisive.
Ethereum, however, is showing stronger momentum. The combination of neutral funding rates, limited leveraged positioning, and renewed demand for long-term options has positioned ETH for further upside. The recent successful rollout of Ethereum's Pectra upgrade has also bolstered confidence in the asset.
QCP’s latest analysis suggests Ethereum could be the next major allocation target, especially as improving market structure and easing geopolitical tension create a favorable environment for long-term plays.
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Tariff reductions between the U.S. and China are fueling renewed momentum in Bitcoin, with analysts eyeing a bullish breakout toward $150,000.

📌 Key Highlights:
Bitcoin surged past $105,700 after a major U.S.-China tariff deal.Weekly bull flag breakout projects a BTC target of $150,000.Bitwise sentiment index warns of possible short-term overheating.Analysts suggest a potential pullback toward $100,000 before another leg up.
🔥 Bitcoin Breaks Out as U.S. and China Slash Tariffs
Bitcoin (BTC) surged above $105,700 on May 12 for the first time in four months, gaining bullish traction following a breakthrough in U.S.-China trade negotiations. The new agreement, hailed as a de-escalation in the prolonged trade war, has sparked optimism across financial markets—including crypto.
In Geneva, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice President He Lifeng announced a tariff rollback:

The U.S. will cut tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.China will reduce duties on U.S. imports from 125% to 10%.

This deal has boosted investor sentiment globally, pushing S&P 500 futures up 2.8%, while the U.S. dollar gained 0.7%. On the flip side, gold dropped 2.3%, reflecting a shift away from safe-haven assets and toward riskier investments like Bitcoin.
📈 Technical Analysis: Bull Flag Breakout Targets $150K
The current BTC rally aligns with a bull flag breakout pattern on the weekly chart—a bullish continuation setup that typically follows a sharp upward price movement and a consolidation phase.
After peaking near $110,000 in January, Bitcoin entered a downward-sloping consolidation channel. It broke out of that pattern in early May, confirming the bull flag. Technical projections based on this pattern now place the next BTC price target at approximately $150,000.

Supporting this trend:
The weekly RSI has rebounded above 65, showing sustained buying momentum.Volume has slightly increased with the breakout, validating the bullish move.⚠️ Bitwise Warns: Sentiment May Be OverheatedDespite strong technicals, some analysts urge caution. Bitwise's Crypto Asset Sentiment Index has hit its highest level since November 2024, a point that previously coincided with market tops.
Historical data shows similar spikes in sentiment—like those in April 2022, October 2023, and November 2024—were followed by short-term corrections or sideways trading.
As of May 12, Bitcoin was already retracing after hitting above $107,000. The daily RSI indicates overbought conditions, which could signal a temporary cooling-off period.🧠 What’s Next? Watch These Key LevelsSupport Zone: $100,000 (aligned with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement).Downside Risk: If BTC fails to hold $100K, the next key support lies around the 20-day EMA at $97,385.Upside Target: $150,000 based on the bull flag breakout.

📊 Bottom Line:

The easing of U.S.-China trade tensions has created the perfect storm for Bitcoin’s bullish breakout. While short-term pullbacks remain a possibility due to overheated sentiment, the long-term technical setup strongly favors a continued rally—potentially toward $150,000.

After months of consolidation under the psychological $2,000 level, Ethereum (ETH) has finally broken past $2,500, sending bullish ripples through the crypto market. The second-largest cryptocurrency surged past the key resistance level, briefly touching above $2,500 before stabilizing in the $2,470–$2,480 range at the time of writing.
Bullish Breakout or Fakeout?
This sharp move has ignited a fierce debate between bulls and bears:
🐂 The Bulls’ Case: Optimists argue this breakout is just the beginning. With growing anticipation around a potential spot ETH ETF approval, coupled with renewed DeFi activity, there's mounting momentum behind Ethereum. On-chain data shows rising wallet activity and growing TVL (Total Value Locked) in DeFi protocols – indicators of healthy network engagement.
🐻 The Bears’ Warning: Skeptics caution that $2,500 remains a strong technical resistance zone, and the current breakout may be short-lived. With no solid catalyst or macro trigger in the immediate term, they expect a possible retracement back to $2,300–$2,400 levels before the next major move.
Key Factors to Watch:
📊 ETF Approval Hype: Regulatory green lights could turbocharge ETH's price.
🏦 DeFi Revival: Rising adoption in decentralized finance may support further gains.
⚖️ Macro Conditions: Fed policy, inflation data, and BTC’s movements remain influential.
🔍 Volume & Momentum: Sustained buying interest is crucial to maintain this breakout.
What’s Next?
Will Ethereum push toward the $3K milestone, confirming a broader bullish trend? Or is this just another fakeout rally before a deeper correction?
👉 Traders and investors are keeping a close eye on daily closes above $2,500, which could solidify support and open the gates for further upside.
📢 Your Turn: What do you think – is ETH ready to skyrocket past $3K, or is this momentum already fading?
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