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Hold dreams, take risks. X : @_mikebrownn_
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🇺🇸 HUGE: U.S. hiring in 2025 is the worst non-recession year since 2003 at just 181,000 jobs added.
🚨 BREAKING 🚨
A whale has opened a $115 million $ETH long position with 15x leverage.
Liquidation Price: $1,318
A whale has opened a $115 million $ETH long position with 15x leverage.
Liquidation Price: $1,318
Crypto Fear & Greed hits 11.
Sentiment has stayed low for a very long time…
The longer we stay here, the stronger the bounce will be.
Sentiment has stayed low for a very long time…
The longer we stay here, the stronger the bounce will be.
🔥 INSIGHT: Public companies sold 10,402 $BTC in the past 30 days, yet over 3x that amount in $BTC was accumulated.
🚨 URGENT!
The White House has urged both banking and crypto parties to reach a deal on Stablecoin clarity by March 1st.
The White House has urged both banking and crypto parties to reach a deal on Stablecoin clarity by March 1st.
The struggle 😅
🚨 US JOB DATA JUST FLIPPED THE SCRIPT
Everyone expected weakness.
Instead… the labor market came in HOT. 🔥
Unemployment: 4.3% vs 4.4% expected
Jobs added: 130,000 — highest since April 2025
Private sector: 172,000 — strongest in a year
This wasn’t soft. This was strength.
And strength means one thing 👇
📉 March rate cuts? Likely off the table.
Stronger jobs = Sticky inflation risk
Sticky inflation = Higher for longer
Markets were leaning dovish.
Now expectations just got repriced.
Volatility ahead. Stay sharp. 🎯
Everyone expected weakness.
Instead… the labor market came in HOT. 🔥
Unemployment: 4.3% vs 4.4% expected
Jobs added: 130,000 — highest since April 2025
Private sector: 172,000 — strongest in a year
This wasn’t soft. This was strength.
And strength means one thing 👇
📉 March rate cuts? Likely off the table.
Stronger jobs = Sticky inflation risk
Sticky inflation = Higher for longer
Markets were leaning dovish.
Now expectations just got repriced.
Volatility ahead. Stay sharp. 🎯
MASSIVE: Likmju samazināšanas iespējas samazinājās līdz 7.9% pēc šodienas stipriem nodarbinātības datiem.
Was just looking at the liquidation heatmap for Bitcoin and the imbalance is hard to ignore.
After wiping out billions in longs on the way down, the book now looks heavily tilted the other way, with a massive stack of short liquidations sitting above price compared to very little fuel left below. About $25B in shorts!
That kind of positioning does not guarantee an instant move up, but it does tell you where the pain is likely concentrated if momentum shifts.
In environments like this, price often moves toward the side with the most trapped traders. It would not surprise me to see volatility expand and fast moves in both directions, but structurally the risk of a squeeze higher grows when so many are leaning the same way.
Still a market driven by liquidity hunts, not emotions. Manage risk, but stay aware of where the pressure is building.
After wiping out billions in longs on the way down, the book now looks heavily tilted the other way, with a massive stack of short liquidations sitting above price compared to very little fuel left below. About $25B in shorts!
That kind of positioning does not guarantee an instant move up, but it does tell you where the pain is likely concentrated if momentum shifts.
In environments like this, price often moves toward the side with the most trapped traders. It would not surprise me to see volatility expand and fast moves in both directions, but structurally the risk of a squeeze higher grows when so many are leaning the same way.
Still a market driven by liquidity hunts, not emotions. Manage risk, but stay aware of where the pressure is building.
🇺🇸TRUMP JUST POSTED THIS!!
“GREAT JOBS NUMBERS, FAR GREATER THAN EXPECTED”
“We should be paying the LOWEST INTEREST RATE”
“GREAT JOBS NUMBERS, FAR GREATER THAN EXPECTED”
“We should be paying the LOWEST INTEREST RATE”
🚨 TRUMP 2026 MARKET PLAN JUST GOT LEAKED!!
Many people expect markets to rally in 2026.
But they are WRONG.
Stocks, crypto, and real estate are at risk.
There will be panic like nothing we’ve seen before.
If you hold any assets right now, you MUST know what’s coming next:
1⃣ THE CRASH
The U.S. economy is already weakening:
→ Layoffs are rising
→ Bankruptcies are increasing
→ Credit defaults are building
→ Housing demand is collapsing
→ Home sellers far outnumber buyers
Because of this, a market correction in the next 2–3 months is very possible, similar to Q1 2025.
If that happens:
→ S&P 500 could fall 10%–15%
→ Nasdaq could fall 15%–20%
Crypto won’t decouple.
It will fall harder, with potential capitulation.
2⃣ THE BLAME
During the downturn, Trump is expected to shift blame to Powell.
And possibly the Supreme Court if tariffs are blocked.
Jerome Powell’s term ends in May 2026, making him an easy target.
The narrative will be clear:
→ Powell didn’t cut rates
→ Powell kept policy tight
→ Powell didn’t inject liquidity as markets weakened
The goal is to ensure Powell does not remain on the Board of Governors after his term as Chair ends.
Trump knows that if Powell stays, he could still influence policy and complicate decisions for Kevin Warsh.
3⃣ THE EASING
Once Powell exits and Kevin Warsh becomes Fed Chair, easing begins.
Warsh has already signaled openness to tools like yield curve control, capping long-term yields and lowering borrowing costs.
Cheaper borrowing = more liquidity.
More liquidity = higher asset prices.
At the same time, other liquidity drivers could align:
→ A potential $2,000 tariff dividend
→ Large tax cuts
→ Approval of pro-crypto laws like the CLARITY Act
The objective is clear: support stocks and crypto.
4⃣ THE ELECTION
U.S. midterm elections are in Q4 2026, and betting markets currently show Republicans losing ground.
If markets are rising and cash is flowing to consumers, election odds can shift quickly.
Once prices move higher, markets forget the pain.
Dividend checks and tax cuts boost small business earnings.
Powell becomes the convenient scapegoat for prior damage.
The sequence:
Early 2026 → Correction + blame Powell
Mid 2026 → New Fed + liquidity easing
Late 2026 → Market recovery into elections
The next few months may be rough.
After that, accumulation begins with a stronger rally into Q3–Q4 2026.
I’ve been calling Bitcoin tops and bottoms for over a decade.
And I’ll do it again in 2026.
Follow and turn on notifications before it's too late.
But they are WRONG.
Stocks, crypto, and real estate are at risk.
There will be panic like nothing we’ve seen before.
If you hold any assets right now, you MUST know what’s coming next:
1⃣ THE CRASH
The U.S. economy is already weakening:
→ Layoffs are rising
→ Bankruptcies are increasing
→ Credit defaults are building
→ Housing demand is collapsing
→ Home sellers far outnumber buyers
Because of this, a market correction in the next 2–3 months is very possible, similar to Q1 2025.
If that happens:
→ S&P 500 could fall 10%–15%
→ Nasdaq could fall 15%–20%
Crypto won’t decouple.
It will fall harder, with potential capitulation.
2⃣ THE BLAME
During the downturn, Trump is expected to shift blame to Powell.
And possibly the Supreme Court if tariffs are blocked.
Jerome Powell’s term ends in May 2026, making him an easy target.
The narrative will be clear:
→ Powell didn’t cut rates
→ Powell kept policy tight
→ Powell didn’t inject liquidity as markets weakened
The goal is to ensure Powell does not remain on the Board of Governors after his term as Chair ends.
Trump knows that if Powell stays, he could still influence policy and complicate decisions for Kevin Warsh.
3⃣ THE EASING
Once Powell exits and Kevin Warsh becomes Fed Chair, easing begins.
Warsh has already signaled openness to tools like yield curve control, capping long-term yields and lowering borrowing costs.
Cheaper borrowing = more liquidity.
More liquidity = higher asset prices.
At the same time, other liquidity drivers could align:
→ A potential $2,000 tariff dividend
→ Large tax cuts
→ Approval of pro-crypto laws like the CLARITY Act
The objective is clear: support stocks and crypto.
4⃣ THE ELECTION
U.S. midterm elections are in Q4 2026, and betting markets currently show Republicans losing ground.
If markets are rising and cash is flowing to consumers, election odds can shift quickly.
Once prices move higher, markets forget the pain.
Dividend checks and tax cuts boost small business earnings.
Powell becomes the convenient scapegoat for prior damage.
The sequence:
Early 2026 → Correction + blame Powell
Mid 2026 → New Fed + liquidity easing
Late 2026 → Market recovery into elections
The next few months may be rough.
After that, accumulation begins with a stronger rally into Q3–Q4 2026.
I’ve been calling Bitcoin tops and bottoms for over a decade.
And I’ll do it again in 2026.
Follow and turn on notifications before it's too late.
🚨 U.S. Jobs Beat Expectations
• Nonfarm Payrolls: +130K (est. 66K)
• Unemployment Rate: 4.3% (prev. 4.4%)
Labor market still holding strong.
• Nonfarm Payrolls: +130K (est. 66K)
• Unemployment Rate: 4.3% (prev. 4.4%)
Labor market still holding strong.
🚨 CLARITY ACT WHITE HOUSE STABLECOIN YIELD UPDATE
Today’s meeting was described as productive, but no agreement was reached.
What changed: banks arrived with written “prohibition principles” and, for the first time, acknowledged the possibility of limited exemptions for transaction based rewards. That’s a meaningful shift from earlier positions.
The core divide remains:
🔹 Crypto wants broad definitions of “permissible activity”
🔹 Banks want those definitions narrowly constrained
Tone is softening.
The room was smaller.
Negotiations went deeper.
Next steps:
🔹 Industry talks continue in the coming days
🔹 White House urging a deal by March 1
🔹 Senate Banking staff now directly involved
THIS IS THE CHOKE POINT FOR STABLECOINS.
$BTC $ETH $FIL
Today’s meeting was described as productive, but no agreement was reached.
What changed: banks arrived with written “prohibition principles” and, for the first time, acknowledged the possibility of limited exemptions for transaction based rewards. That’s a meaningful shift from earlier positions.
The core divide remains:
🔹 Crypto wants broad definitions of “permissible activity”
🔹 Banks want those definitions narrowly constrained
Tone is softening.
The room was smaller.
Negotiations went deeper.
Next steps:
🔹 Industry talks continue in the coming days
🔹 White House urging a deal by March 1
🔹 Senate Banking staff now directly involved
THIS IS THE CHOKE POINT FOR STABLECOINS.
$BTC $ETH $FIL
🚨 JUST IN:
🏛️White House talks on stablecoin yield ended with NO DEAL between banks and crypto firms.
Attendees said banks pushed “prohibition principles” on yield that are even stricter than the current bill.
🏛️White House talks on stablecoin yield ended with NO DEAL between banks and crypto firms.
Attendees said banks pushed “prohibition principles” on yield that are even stricter than the current bill.
US Inflation dropping like a rock here. 💥
BIG: 🇺🇸 US inflation drops to 0.78%.
BREAKING:
🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate lower than expected.
🇺🇸 Nonfarm Payrolls much higher than expected.
RECESSION FEARS ARE GOING AWAY.
BULLISH FOR MARKETS!!
🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate lower than expected.
🇺🇸 Nonfarm Payrolls much higher than expected.
RECESSION FEARS ARE GOING AWAY.
BULLISH FOR MARKETS!!
🚨US JOB DATA JUST SHOCKED EVERYONE
Everyone was waiting for a weak job print after Kevin Hassett's comment yesterday.
But the exact opposite happened.
The unemployment rate came in at 4.3% vs. 4.4% expected.
The US economy added 130,000 jobs in January, the highest since April 2025.
The US private sector added 172,000 jobs in January, the highest level in a year.
This was a strong job report, which means March rate cuts are probably off the table now.
Everyone was waiting for a weak job print after Kevin Hassett's comment yesterday.
But the exact opposite happened.
The unemployment rate came in at 4.3% vs. 4.4% expected.
The US economy added 130,000 jobs in January, the highest since April 2025.
The US private sector added 172,000 jobs in January, the highest level in a year.
This was a strong job report, which means March rate cuts are probably off the table now.
BIG SIGNAL 🎙️
U.S. consumer loan delinquencies just climbed to 4.8% in Q4, the highest level since 2017.
Stress is building across:
• Student loans
• Credit cards
• Auto loans
• Mortgages
When households start missing payments at scale, it’s not just a consumer story, it’s a liquidity and macro story.
This is the kind of data that quietly shifts cycles.
U.S. consumer loan delinquencies just climbed to 4.8% in Q4, the highest level since 2017.
Stress is building across:
• Student loans
• Credit cards
• Auto loans
• Mortgages
When households start missing payments at scale, it’s not just a consumer story, it’s a liquidity and macro story.
This is the kind of data that quietly shifts cycles.
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