A coin that has recently caught my attention after a long time is $ENA
- @convergeonchain , an RWA focused L1 is being developed by Ethena Labs and Securitize is launching imminently - Partnerships with BlackRock (via BUIDL fund), and custodians like Fireblocks and Copper - HTF range lows on ENA, solid risk reward - ENA will be staked on Converge - USDe will serve as the gas token on Converge
RWA is one of the hottest sectors right now, and after people see how well SYRUP has done I think there's a good chance that mindshare extends to ENA going into its Converge launch
Institutions are begging for RWA and this is a gateway for them to gain access to that
Save your brain cells for easy times or obvious trades
Until then the market is noise and likely not worth trying to squeeze the 5% PnD move on many alts
BTC and some alts put in a really solid move after Iran launched rockets at Qatar but that trade is likely now done
Right now retail don’t care about alts, it’s all institutional players wanting to buy up Bitcoin. The byproduct of this is crypto natives chasing some alts which resulted in these brief moves up
Retail is too focused on TradFi right now where everything is going up and to the right every single day. It shows you that the money is there bidding, just not bidding crypto… why would they?
Cilvēki aizmirst, ka Bitcoin nav tik svārstīgs aktīvs, kāds tas kādreiz bija
Bitcoin martā sākumā samazinājās par 15% pēc sākotnējām tarifām melnā gulbja ziņām. Pat globāls melnā gulbja notikums nevarēja nospiest Bitcoin zemāk par to vienā svecei
Es domāju, ka jāpārskata jūsu Bitcoin ieejas līmeņi
Vidējā līdz zemākā 90. gadu līmenis BTC ir pilnīga ieguldīšana
Ja mēs samazināsimies vairāk par to bez globālas katastrofas, domāju, ka cikls ir beidzies
Es neesmu drošs, kas notiks tālāk, un vēlos pagaidīt un redzēt, kas attīstās, pirms lēkt kaut ko jaunu.
Mēnesis ir bijis diezgan labs, neskatoties uz to, ka esmu atdevis dažus sākotnējos ienākumus... Sagaidīts tendences beigās / labs PnL skrējiens. Pagātnē es turpinātu tirgot šos apstākļus un atdotu ienākumus, bet šoreiz es atsakos to darīt... ir pienācis laiks obligātai pauzei.
Ir daži mainīgie elementi: tarifu pauzes beigas mazāk nekā 2 nedēļu laikā, bez lieliem progresiem, Tramps bombardē Irānas kodoliekārtas... kā atbildēs Irāna un tās sabiedrotie?
Rīt es paņemšu vēl dažus žetonus no galda un noguldīšu bankā, lai palīdzētu ar mieru prātā.
Kopā ar to, ka tagad ir vasara, es godīgi sakot, nejūtu spēcīgu noskaņojumu. Es labprātāk pagaidītu, līdz tirgū būs lielāka skaidrība.
Binance šajā mēnesī ir bijusi apmierinoša ar +$300k. PnL līkne ir veselīga, un es plānoju to tādu saglabāt.
BYBIT arī ir bijusi izdevīga, bet mazāk, man ir jāpalēnina lietas un jākļūst mazāk reaktīvam.
Sakot visu šo, es arī nejūtos, ka šeit vajadzētu īsot. Man tas nešķiet īpaši interesanti.
I’m unsure what happens next, and want to wait and see what develops before jumping into anything new
The month has been quite good despite giving back some profits. In the past I would keep trading these conditions and give back profits, I refuse to do the same this time.. it’s time to take a forced hiatus
There are a few moving parts: tariff pause ending in under 2 weeks without much progress, trump bombing Iran nuclear facilities… how will Iran and its allies respond?
Tomorrow I will take some more chips off of the table and into the bank to help with peace of mind
Couple this with it being the summer now I honestly don’t have a super strong bias. I would rather wait until there’s more clarity in the market
Binance has been decent on the month with +$300k. The PnL curve is healthy and I intend to keep it that way
BYBIT has also been profitable but less so, I need to slow things down and become less reactive
In saying all of this, I don’t feel the need to short here either. It doesn’t feel particularly interesting to me
The list of coins on my tradingview watch list gets shorter and shorter every week.
Whereas before there was always ‘I will buy X if BTC nukes’, now the only thing I want to buy on a BTC nuke is BTC itself
I’m unsure if this is a permanent phenomenon or the new norm.
As well as this, holding times are getting shorter and shorter. Even compared to this time last year.
It’s interesting that we are ‘deep’ into a bull market and yet the trading environment is getting more and more difficult
I think now more than ever you need to be able to flip bias and be willing to take your wins even if you don’t want to. We are at the stage in cryptos maturity where even a lot of the greats from cycles past are getting hit badly, some even going to zero
There’s no room in this market for the half-hearted traders. You have to be all in or you’ll get eaten up by those willing to go the extra mile
As someone who spends every waking moment with an eye on the market you can smell it a mile away. I’ve met people who’ve made money in crypto and I’ve thought to myself: this guy wont make it.. simply by their attitude towards the market. Their lack of focus.
If you don’t love the game, you will be the food of someone who does
People are really freaking out, all the while BTC is trading in a 2% range
Many influencers thinking we break below 100k to between mid to low 90’s
This is the lowest volatility since 2023
We have the tariff pause ending in a little over 2 weeks. There have been no negotiations made with any major trading partners
The strikes between Iran and Israel are ongoing but there’s been no major negative development. Israel mentions they are drawing near the end of their operation
Mēs burtiski nevaram izdzīvot 48 stundas, neiznākot kaut kādai nejaušai suņu sūdu situācijai 😭
Tas ir tāds notikums, kuram tirgum būs nepieciešams laiks, lai to sagremotu, un notikumi attīstās laika gaitā… Jauni virsraksti būtiski ietekmēs tirgu. Irānas neizbēgamā atbilde mūs atkal nogremdēs
Sudraba mala ir tā, ka tas vēl nav visaptverošs karš (vēl)
staking tokens looks to have most to gain comparatively to solana
- RWA
Institutional interest for real world assets are growing day by day and it won't slow down. I've been vocal about my belief that RWA will be the biggest sector for growth in 2025. institutional led bull market = institutional led narratives
- Stablecoins
This kind of ties in with rwa. I think they both work hand in hand. Big interest for stablecoins in the US. It's also in the US best interest to adopt stablecoins (leads to more buyers of USD)
I had to stick to my plan. I took both of these as a short term trade.
GRASS ended up being a 1 week hold and several round trips in between (added because I believed in more upside). But it’s a bit of a pain in the ass to trade
ETH I took on Friday, I was wanting to let it play out longer but decided to close today… I’ve been burnt several times in ETH
I’m still in one RWA play, but I believe it has potential for much higher and will not exit that for the foreseeable future
My bias is that was the bottom. Pushed down due to the infighting between Trump and Elon. Also $100k retest confluence
I bought $ETH at $2417 on the move down. I think ETH will likely outperform BTC in the near term. The flows are ramping up, even beginning to outpace BTC. Large entities are also staking their eth
$SYRUP - nothing fundamentally has changed. The numbers are up only (TVL, revenue) and RWA fundamentals will only keep accelerating and improving. I really think this will be a kingmaker trade
$GRASS - another fundamental play. Also bounced well, lots of relative strength.