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Krypto tirgi var ātri mainīties, un dažreiz šī ātruma dēļ tirdzniecības darījumi var tikt iznīcināti stundās. Neseni likvidācijas parāda, kāpēc risku izpratne ir svarīgāka nekā liels peļņas medījums. Katrs tirgotājs, neatkarīgi no tā, vai viņš ir iesācējs vai pieredzējis, var mācīties no šiem notikumiem.
Turiet savus tirdzniecības apjomus saprātīgus

Lieli darījumi ne vienmēr ir labāki. Ja jūsu pozīcija ir pārāk liela salīdzinājumā ar jūsu kontu, pat neliela tirgus kustība var jūs aizvērt. Gudri tirgotāji nodrošina, ka katrs darījums ir tikai daļa no viņu kopējā konta, šādā veidā viena zaudējuma dēļ netiek iznīcināts jūsu progress. Labs pamatnoteikums ir riskēt tikai ar to, ko varat atļauties zaudēt jebkurā darījumā.

Kriptovalūtu tirgi var pārvietoties ātri un dažreiz sāpīgi. Kad lielas pozīcijas tiek likvidētas, ir viegli panikot, bet aiz trakuma slēpjas metode. Sapratne par to, kāpēc piespiedu likvidācijas notiek, palīdz jums redzēt, kas patiesībā notiek zem cenas diagrammām.
Kāpēc notiek likvidācijas?

Likvidācijas parasti notiek, kad pārāk daudz tirgotāju izmanto augstu sviru. Iedomājieties, ka daudz cilvēku veic lielus derības un atrodas tuvu vienādiem cenu līmeņiem. Kad tirgus samazinās, daži piespiedu pārdošanas darījumi var izraisīt domino efektu. Plāna likviditāte pasliktina situāciju, un automatizētās tirdzniecības sistēmas var paātrināt kritumu. Lieli biržas, piemēram, Binance, Bybit, OKX un Deribit, automātiski izpilda šīs likvidācijas, kad tiek sasniegti apkalpošanas margi, pievienojot papildu pārdošanas spiedienu procesā.

Kriptovalūtu tirgus ir pazīstams ar milzīgām cenu svārstībām. 2025. gadā vienā brīdī kopējā kripto tirgus vērtība pārsniedza 4 triljonus dolāru, bet pēc tam tā strauji samazinājās mēnešus vēlāk. Kas izraisa šos dramatiskos kāpumus un kritumus? Bieži vien tas nav tikai tehnoloģiju vai ekonomikas jautājums… tas ir cilvēku emocionālais stāvoklis.
Kriptovalūtā bailes un alkatība ir divas spēcīgas spēku, kas stipri ietekmē cenas un investoru lēmumus.
Kas ir tirgus psiholoģija?
Tirgus psiholoģija attiecas uz kolektīvajām emocijām un investoru uzvedību, kas veido tirgus kustības. Kamēr tradicionālā finansē pieņem, ka cilvēki pieņem loģiskus lēmumus, reālie tirgi rāda ko citu. Cilvēki reaģē emocionāli, īpaši, kad ir iesaistīti nauda.

Bitcoin fell through the $70,000 handle during Asian trading, touching $69,101 on one major exchange before stabilizing near $70,000 as dip buyers stepped in with caution. The move did not look like a single panic candle. It looked like a market that has been leaning on one floor for weeks, then finally tested what is under it, which matters for any near-term Bitcoin price prediction.

Bitcoin breaks more than 7% this week and close to 20% so far in 2026, while ether has been weaker on the year and has hovered above the psychologically important $2,000 zone. When majors slide together like this, it usually signals that the problem is not one token or one headline, but the cost of money and the mood around risk, two inputs that sit at the heart of every Bitcoin price prediction.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Why $70,000 Became the Market’s Pressure Point

What Drove the Sell-Off?
A key driver has been the market’s shift in expectations around central bank leadership and the liquidity outlook. Traders are treating the latest developments as a reminder that balance-sheet policy and rate paths can tighten conditions even when inflation headlines feel calmer. In plain terms, when liquidity is expected to drain, speculative assets usually feel it first, and Bitcoin sits near the front of that line.
Another pressure point has been fund flows. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen accelerating outflows, with more than $3,000,000,000 reported withdrawn in January. Outflows do not automatically mean a long-term bear market, but they do change short-term supply and demand, and they often weigh on sentiment. That is why ETF flow data has become a staple input for Bitcoin price prediction tracking.
Levels That Matter in the Next Few Sessions?

For traders focused on the chart, $70,000 now flips from support into a test zone. If Bitcoin reclaims it and holds, the move can start to look like a shakeout. If price fails under it, sellers may press toward the next demand area, where longer-term holders often look for value.
On the upside, the market needs a stronger bounce than the quick pop that follows liquidation wicks. A healthier recovery usually includes a firm close above reclaimed resistance and steadier spot buying, not only leverage-driven spikes. Without that, Bitcoin price prediction scenarios tend to stay cautious, even if a single day prints green.

What This Means for the Weeks Ahead?

The clean read is that Bitcoin is being priced like a macro asset again. When liquidity expectations tighten, rallies become shorter, and support breaks carry more weight. If ETF flows stabilize and macro conditions stop deteriorating, Bitcoin can rebuild a base. If those inputs worsen, the market may keep probing lower until sellers run out of conviction. That balance of flows, liquidity, and structure will shape the next Bitcoin price prediction.
Pov?

Bitcoin’s breaks below $70,000 is less about drama and more about context: softer risk appetite, tighter liquidity expectations, and a market that has struggled to sustain rebounds. A sensible Bitcoin price prediction now depends on whether $70,000 is reclaimed with real spot demand and whether institutional flows stop bleeding, because without those two shifts, bounces can remain fragile.
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare
#USNFPBlowout

Bitcoin’s connection to the global economy is changing.
For many years, investors watched United States interest rates closely because they strongly influenced Bitcoin’s price. But recently, analysts have noticed something more important driving the market.
Bitcoin is now reacting more to liquidity, which is the amount of money flowing through the financial system.
This shift shows that the crypto market is becoming more mature and more connected to how the real financial world works.
Let’s explain this in simple terms.
What Is Liquidity
Liquidity simply means how easy it is for money to move around in the economy.
When liquidity is high
• There is plenty of cash available
• Borrowing is easier
• Investors are more willing to take risks
• Bitcoin and other risky assets often rise
When liquidity is low
• Money becomes tight
• Lending slows down
• Investors become cautious
• Risk assets can struggle
So instead of reacting mainly to interest rate news, Bitcoin is now responding more to how much money is actually available to invest.

How Bitcoin Used to React to Interest Rates
In the past, the relationship looked simple.
Lower interest rates often pushed Bitcoin higher because borrowing was cheaper and investors chased higher returns.
Higher interest rates often pushed Bitcoin lower because money became more expensive and investors preferred safer assets.
But that pattern is no longer as reliable.
Why this changed
• Markets often expect rate changes before they happen
• Rate cuts can signal economic weakness, not just easy money
• Investors now pay attention to deeper financial conditions
This means rate announcements alone no longer explain Bitcoin’s movements.

Why Liquidity Now Matters More

Bitcoin is increasingly reacting to how much money is actually circulating in the financial system.
Several major forces influence liquidity.
Central bank balance sheets
When central banks remove money from the system, liquidity falls.
Government borrowing
Large bond issuance absorbs cash from investors, leaving less money for risk assets.
Bank reserves
When banks hold less money, they lend less, which reduces overall market activity.
All these factors influence how much capital can flow into investments like Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Changing Role In Finance
Bitcoin is slowly shifting from being just a bet on interest rate decisions to something bigger.
It is becoming a signal of global financial liquidity.
This means Bitcoin often rises when money flows freely and struggles when cash becomes tight.
This shift is happening because
• More institutional investors are involved in crypto
• Markets are more developed
• Investors use more advanced analysis
What Investors Should Watch Now
If liquidity is the key driver, investors need to follow different indicators.
Important signals include
• Central bank balance sheet size
• Money supply growth
• Bank reserve levels
• Government cash balances
• Short term funding conditions
These show how much money is actually moving through the system, not just policy announcements.

Interest Rate Driven vs Liquidity Driven Markets
Key Differences in Simple Terms
Interest rate driven market
• Main trigger is central bank announcements
• Price reactions are usually fast
• Focus is on rate decisions
• Often used for short term trading
Liquidity driven market
• Main trigger is overall money availability
• Price movements build gradually over time
• Focus is on financial system cash flow
• Often better for medium term positioning
Liquidity effects tend to move slower but can last longer.

Why This Shows Crypto Is Maturing
Early crypto markets reacted strongly to central bank news because investors lacked better ways to value Bitcoin.
Now the environment is different
• Institutional participation is growing
• Market data is deeper
• Infrastructure is improving
This is similar to how other assets evolved. Gold and technology stocks also became more complex as markets matured.
Bitcoin appears to be following the same path.
What Could Happen Next
Bitcoin’s relationship with the global economy will likely keep evolving.
Possible developments
• Stronger links to global liquidity cycles
• More complex macroeconomic influences
• Eventually unique crypto specific drivers
But one thing is clear.
Simple interest rate predictions are no longer enough to understand Bitcoin.

Final Takeaway
Bitcoin is no longer driven mainly by interest rate headlines.
It is increasingly influenced by how much money is actually flowing through the global financial system.
This shift reflects
• A more mature crypto market
• More sophisticated investors
• Deeper integration with traditional finance
For investors, the lesson is simple.
Watch where money is flowing, not just what central banks say.

Ievads
Bitcoin tirgi piedzīvoja strauju svārstīguma pieaugumu pēc tam, kad īstermiņa turētāji pārdeva aptuveni 60,000 BTC uz biržām 24 stundu laikā, iezīmējot lielāko vienas dienas pārdošanu, kas tika fiksēta 2026. gada 5. februārī. Šis solis pievienoja būtisku īstermiņa spiedienu cenu darbībai un uzsvēra tirgus sajūtas trauslo stāvokli.

Kas notika
Datu ķēde rāda, ka īstermiņa turētāji parasti ir vairāk reaģējoši uz cenu svārstībām, pārvietojot lielu BTC apjomu uz biržām, norādot uz pārdošanas nodomu. Šis pēkšņais pieaugums biržas ieplūdēs strauji paaugstināja tīro plūsmu, pastiprinot tūlītēju piedāvājuma spiedienu tirgū.