CRYPTO LIFE MNE

Many investors are asking the same question: Has the bear run officially begun? 🐻 After the $126k peaks of late 2025, the market is at a crossroads.
Here are 5 key indicators and where they stand right now in January 2026:

1️⃣ MVRV Z-Score (The Valuation Check) ⚖️
This on-chain metric tracks if Bitcoin is "overvalued" or "undervalued" relative to its fair value.
The Signal: When the Z-Score enters the Red Zone (7–9), the top is usually in. 🚨
Current Status: NEUTRAL. 🟡 We are sitting around 1.12. This suggests we aren't at a cycle top yet, but the "overheated" euphoria of late 2025 has definitely cooled off.
2️⃣ The 1-Year Moving Average (MA) 📈
Analysts use the 1-year MA as the ultimate "line in the sand" for long-term trends.
The Signal: A decisive daily close below the 1-year MA often confirms a multi-month bear phase. 📉
Current Status: CAUTION. ⚠️ Bitcoin is currently testing critical support near $80k–$83k. A break below this range could trigger a bearish confirmation.

3️⃣ RSI (Relative Strength Index) ⚡
The RSI measures the speed and change of price movements.
The Signal: On the weekly timeframe, an RSI dropping below 50 signals lost momentum.
Current Status: OVERSOLD. 📉 Daily RSI is hovering near 33–35. While it looks bearish, it often precedes a "relief bounce." The real test is whether we can break back into bullish territory.
4️⃣ ETF Net Flows (The Institutional Giant) 🏦
In 2026, institutional money via Spot ETFs is the biggest driver of price.
The Signal: Consecutive weeks of Net Outflows signal that "Smart Money" is de-risking. 💸
Current Status: BEARISH. 🔴 We recently saw a massive weekly outflow of $1.1B+. If the big players continue to exit, the retail crowd usually follows.

5️⃣ Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) 💵
When stablecoin supply on exchanges drops, there is less "dry powder" to buy the dips.
The Signal: A declining stablecoin market cap often leads to price exhaustion. 🥀
Current Status: FLAT. 🔵 Buying power is stagnant. Without a fresh injection of liquidity, the market lacks the fuel for a new leg up.
💡 The Bottom Line
We are in a "Narrowing Bottom" or a transition phase. While the $126k peak is behind us, many experts see 2026 as a year of sideways consolidation between $75k and $100k rather than a total collapse. 🏛️
DYOR : Indicators are tools, not crystal balls. 🔮 Always manage your risk and never trade more than you can afford to lose.
Which indicator do you trust the most?
#Bitcoin #bearmarket $BTC

Many people are fearful because they’ve read so many opinions about a Bitcoin crash. There are a lot of people expecting lower levels, with some even saying to get ready for $20,000 or lower!

People have a right to their predictions, but we need to watch the charts and rely on them rather than on opinions!

If you apply a Fib retracement tool to Bitcoin’s weekly chart, you can see the key support levels.

Measuring from the 2022 bear market bottom to the 2025 high, we have a Golden Pocket zone between $57,000 and $70,000, and Bitcoin is currently trading inside it.

This zone also aligns with the 2021 All-Time Highs and the 2024 consolidation phase. This was where 'smart money' and whales accumulated before the 2025 rally, and now price has returned to this key zone.

So the question is: what can we expect next? Is this just a painful shakeout before a final move up, or are we entering a bear market?

First scenario that most of people's expecting consolidating below $75,000 to $80,000 then again a move down toward $40,000 and even lower.

2. The second scenario, which fewer people expect, is a period of consolidation followed by a bounce from the Golden Pocket to flush out the shorts!
The key zone is $57,000 to $70,000. We need to hold above this level; otherwise, we could see further downside 📉.

The chart shows both possibilities. It comes down to a choice: do you stand with the minority who still believe in a recovery, or do you join the majority who believe this is the start of a bear market that will soon head lower?

I think we need to wait for confirmation in either direction before taking any risky trades. The market is on edge, so it's better to wait for a clear view. Do you think we should be patient until a move begins, or enter now without a plan?

Many of you are asking: "Bitcoin dropped from $126k to $60k, and my Altcoins are at the bottom. When will they pump?"
Let’s look at history to understand the future. In December 2020, $BTC Dominance was at 73%. Then, something big happened:

BTC Stalled: Bitcoin hit a peak and started moving sideways.
Money Rotated: Big investors took profits from BTC and poured them into Alts (ETH, BNB, ADA).
The Result: BTC Dominance crashed from 73% to 40%, and we saw the biggest Altseason ever!
Where are we now? (2026 Scenario)
Right now, Bitcoin has corrected to the $60,000 range. Most Alts are sitting at their bottom support levels. This feels like "pain," but history says this is often the Accumulation Zone.
The Secret Formula for Altseason 2026:
Step 1: Bitcoin needs to stop falling and stay stable (sideways) between $60k - $70k.
Step 2: Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) needs to break its support and start falling.
Step 3: Ethereum (ETH) starts leading the market.
My Strategy: 💡
Don’t panic-sell your Alts at the bottom. When money rotation begins and Bitcoin Dominance start dropping, Alts don’t just watch it react like previously it does.
Are you holding your Alts? I am holding Because there is no reason to sell here in losses.

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