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Billionaire venture capitalist and co-founder of PayPal and Palantir Technologies, Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund, has fully divested from ETHZilla, a digital asset treasury firm that holds Ethereum (ETH).

The development comes as digital asset treasury firms face mounting pressure amid the broader crypto market downturn.

Peter Thiel Cuts Ties With ETHZilla During Crypto Market Slump

The digital asset treasury wave gained momentum last year, with several companies adopting Strategy’s (formerly MicroStrategy) 2020 Bitcoin (BTC) playbook. Firms began accumulating cryptocurrencies as reserve assets, attracting heightened investor attention as prices climbed and equity valuations expanded.

BeInCrypto reported in August 2025 that through entities such as The Founders Fund, Thiel controlled a 7.5% stake in ETHZilla. However, the latest SEC filing shows that entities managed by Thiel reported zero ownership in the company by the end of 2025, indicating a complete exit.

“This matters because Thiel is considered smart institutional capital, and a full exit from an ETH treasury firm could signal shifting sentiment, risk reduction, or a strategic rotation away from Ethereum exposure,” Crypto Town Hall posted.

The move comes against the backdrop of a broader market downturn. In October, crypto markets suffered a sharp downturn, often referred to as the “10/10” or “Black Friday” crash. The subsequent months extended the decline.

According to CryptoRank data, Ethereum fell 28.4% in Q4 2025, marking its first negative fourth quarter since 2022. Although 2026 began with a brief recovery, the rebound quickly reversed.

ETH closed January 2026 down 17.7%, and so far in February, its price has declined another 18.1%. At press time, it traded at $2,017.

Ethereum (ETH) Price Performance. Source: TradingView Treasury Strategy Under Strain as Ethereum Decline Hits Corporate Holders

The sustained price weakness has directly impacted digital asset treasury firms, reducing the value of their crypto holdings and pressuring stock prices. For example, BitMine is currently sitting on unrealized losses exceeding $7 billion. Furthermore, its share price is down 25.7% year-to-date.

ETHZilla, which previously operated as 180 Life Sciences before pivoting toward an Ethereum treasury strategy and rebranding, has faced similar headwinds. At its peak, the company held more than 100,000 ETH.

As market conditions deteriorated in October, the company moved quickly to trim its exposure. Toward the end of that month, ETHZilla offloaded roughly $40 million in Ether, directing the proceeds toward share buybacks. 

A second round of sales followed in December, totaling about $74.5 million. The funds were allocated to repay senior secured convertible debt. CoinGecko data shows the company now holds 69,802 ETH, a substantial reduction from its previous peak position.

The company has since outlined yet another strategic shift. According to Bloomberg, ETHZilla’s wholly owned subsidiary, called ETHZilla Aerospace, is seeking to provide tokenized exposure to equity in leased jet engines.

XRP (XRP) price extended its slide on Wednesday, adding to a downtrend that has erased 44% of its value over the past year.

Amid this, a market analyst has highlighted unusual trading activity emerging from South Korea’s largest crypto exchange, raising questions about its potential impact on XRP’s price dynamics.

Study of 82 Million Trades Flags Structural Selling in XRP/KRW Market on Upbit

Crypto analyst Dom claims to have uncovered what he describes as a nearly year-long, multi-billion-dollar XRP selling pipeline. In a thread published on X (formerly Twitter), Dom said his findings are based on 82 million tick-level XRP/KRW trades on Upbit, alongside 444 million trades from Binance for comparison.

According to his analysis, Upbit’s XRP pair has recorded a net negative cumulative volume delta every month for the past 10 months. 

“It started with yesterday’s price action. -57M XRP in CVD over 17 hours. It looked insane. So I ran forensic queries – bot fingerprinting, iceberg detection, wash trade checks. The selling was real. Algorithmic. 61% of trades fired within 10ms. Single bot running 17 hours straight with one 33-second pause,” he wrote.

XRP/KRW Selling on Upbit. Source: X/Dom

Dom highlighted several months with particularly heavy negative cumulative volume delta (CVD), including April (-165 million XRP), July (-197 million XRP), October (-382 million XRP), and January (-370 million XRP). In total, he reports that only 1 of 46 weeks in the sample period showed net positive buying pressure.

“And it’s not ‘the market’ – Binance XRP/USDT carries 2-5x less sell pressure on the same coin (shocker). In June, Binance was net positive while Upbit bled -218M. The hourly correlation between the two venues is only 0.37. Upbit’s flow is largely its own thing,” the post added.

Dom argues the selling appears algorithmic. Between 57% and 60% of trades were executed within 10 milliseconds, a pattern typically associated with automated systems. He also observed that sell orders frequently appeared in round-number sizes such as 10, 100, or 1,000 XRP.

Meanwhile, buy orders were often fractional amounts like 2.537 XRP, consistent with KRW-denominated retail purchases.

“Ten million fractional buy orders over 10 months. Compared to the sell side running mechanical round number clips. Two completely different profiles trading against each other on the same venue,” the analyst added.

Furthermore, the analyst noted that from April to September, XRP on Upbit reportedly traded at a 3% to 6% discount to Binance, a “reverse Kimchi Discount.”

“The sellers were accepting 6% worse fills than available on global markets, for many months. They don’t care about the price. They need KRW, are mandated to use Upbit, and/or are Korean holders taking profit,” he stated. “Then October 10 happened. The premium has only briefly gone negative since and the sellers? They doubled their daily rate. From -6.3M/day to -11.2M/day.”

He estimates that the overall activity accounts for 3.3 billion XRP, worth $5 billion, in “net selling.” This represents about 5.4% of the token’s circulating supply. While Dom does not identify a specific entity behind the activity, he describes the flow as consistent, 24/7, and infrastructure-like rather than discretionary trading.

“So who has enough XRP to sell 300-400M per month for a year straight, doesn’t care about 6% discounts, runs identical algo infrastructure 24/7 and needs KRW specifically or is in some walled garden and can only use Upbit? AND who are they selling to? Who’s been on the other side of that trade? It could be 1 entity, 50 entities or 10k people I’ll let you speculate,” Dom remarked.

Why Does This Matter?

This matters because sustained, large-scale selling may influence price dynamics over time. A consistent flow of sell orders may limit upward momentum, intensify declines during periods of market stress, and absorb buying demand before it translates into meaningful price appreciation. 

The impact is particularly relevant given that XRP was the most traded asset on Upbit in 2025. If this pattern is accurate, it would suggest that a significant source of supply has been active within one of the world’s most active XRP markets, with retail participants frequently on the opposite side of those trades. 

Should that selling pressure decrease or stop, overall market behavior could shift as the balance between supply and demand adjusts.

The findings come as XRP balances on Upbit have reached a one-year high, exceeding 6.4 billion XRP, accounting for nearly 10% of the circulating supply.

XRP Reserves on Upbit. Source: CryptoQuant

In contrast, exchange reserves continued to decline on Binance, reflecting a divergence between Korean XRP investors and participants in other markets.

Taken together, the reported structural selling on Upbit and the rise in XRP balances on the exchange point to a sustained flow of tokens circulating within that venue. At the same time, contrasting reserve trends and accumulation patterns observed on other exchanges highlight a divergence in regional market behavior. 

Orca stunned the market with a sharp 50% surge in the past 24 hours. The price climbed quickly without any major development announcement. The rally appears driven by renewed investor interest rather than protocol upgrades.

However, strong upside moves often carry elevated risk. Sudden spikes can attract speculative capital and trigger volatility.

Orca Buying Spree Contributed To The Rally

ORCA balances on exchanges declined significantly over the past day. Nearly 1 million ORCA tokens were bought off exchanges within 24 hours. At the current price of $1.23, that supply is worth approximately $1.23 million.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

Ethereum Exchange Balance. Source: Glassnode

This marks the largest single-day accumulation of ORCA this year. Reduced exchange supply typically reflects rising investor conviction. Organic demand appears to have fueled the rally. Utility metrics support this view.

USDC total value locked on Orca increased 100% year over year, reaching nearly $90 million.

The Net Unrealized Profit and Loss, or NUPL, indicator provides additional context. Recent readings show that prior losses had saturated. High unrealized losses often reduce selling pressure as holders stop capitulating.

A similar pattern appeared in March 2025. At that time, ORCA rallied nearly 119% after a prolonged downside. Loss saturation can trigger accumulation at perceived value zones. Current data suggests investors stepped in aggressively at discounted levels.

Ethereum NUPL. Source: Glassnode ORCA Price Finds Support

ORCA trades at $1.214 after posting a 51.7% gain in 24 hours. The token reached an intraday high of $1.421 before retreating below $1.256. This pullback suggests early profit-taking.

The altcoin remains above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This zone acts as a bullish support floor. Holding above it could encourage renewed buying. Sustained demand may push ORCA back toward $1.421. A confirmed breakout could extend gains to $1.603.

ORCA Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, sharp rallies can reverse quickly. If investors prioritize short-term profits, selling pressure may intensify. A drop below $1.126 would signal weakening structure. Further downside toward $1.025 becomes likely in that case. Losing this support could send ORCA below $1.000 to $0.945, invalidating the bullish thesis.

ORCA Warning Signs

Risk analysis data introduces another factor. Rugcheck Risk Analysis flagged that Mint Authority remains enabled for the owner’s wallet. This setting can allow token issuance beyond the current supply.

In many cases, mint authority exists for technical reasons. Some projects use lock-and-mint or burn-and-mint mechanisms for cross-chain transfers. However, governance clarity is essential. Orca operates with a decentralized autonomous organization structure.

ORCA Risk Analysis. Source: Rugcheck

Typically, a DAO should control token issuance. If a single wallet retains mint authority, concerns may arise. Transparency remains critical for investor trust. BeInCrypto has provided Orca’s team with a Right of Reply. An update will follow upon receiving formal clarification. Until then, investors should monitor this risk factor carefully.

The Bitcoin price has traded almost flat over the past 24 hours, hovering near $67,600. But 30-day losses tell a different story. The price dropped roughly 27% month-on-month. This sudden intraday pause might not signal recovery. It could be a brief hold before the next leg down.

One of the strongest holder groups is flashing aggressive distribution signals. These patterns match historical setups that preceded sharp corrections. The danger is hiding in plain sight.

Bear Flag Breakdown and Year-High Whale Ratio Point to Historic Pattern

Bitcoin has already broken down from a bear flag pattern. The structure carried approximately 40% crash risk from the breakdown point. The pattern itself looks weak. But something much bigger appeared alongside it.

The Exchange Whale Ratio spiked to 0.81 on February 14. That marked the highest reading in a year. This metric tracks the ratio of the top 10 whale inflows to total exchange inflows.

History shows this pattern repeating with scary precision. In March 2025, the ratio hit 0.62 when Bitcoin traded around $84,100. Price then surged roughly 3.7% to $87,200 within a week as whales front-ran the move. But by early April, Bitcoin crashed approximately 12.6% to $76,200 as distribution began.

The same thing happened in November. The ratio spiked to 0.70 when the price sat near $88,400. Bitcoin rallied about 5.2% to $93,000 and then collapsed roughly 7.4% to $86,000 by mid-December. The pattern is clear. Whales position early, price rises briefly, then heavy selling begins.

Exchange-Whale Ratio: CryptoQuant

Now the ratio hit 0.81 in mid-February when Bitcoin traded near $69,700. That’s the highest whale-metric spike in 12 months. Price already started falling and currently sits around $67,000. But the ratio remains elevated at 0.65.

That level still sits in the historical profit-booking zone based on past corrections. Therefore, another quick BTC price bounce followed by a deeper correction might not be discounted.

A hidden bearish divergence formed on the 12-hour chart between February 8 and February 16. Price made a lower high during this period. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator, simultaneously made a higher high. This combination signals pullback continuation rather than reversal.

Bitcoin RSI Risk Flashes: TradingView

All three signals point toward deeper correction. But why blame whales specifically for this weakness?

Whale Addresses Drop as Strongest Supply Cluster Comes Into Focus

Some might argue the Exchange Whale Ratio spiked because total exchange inflows dropped. But actual whale address counts prove otherwise.

Whale addresses holding 1,000 BTC or more dropped from 1,959 on January 22 to 1,939 currently. That’s a loss of 20 whale addresses during the correction. These holders didn’t disappear randomly. They distributed holdings while the price fell. The addresses dropped alongside the price decline. They didn’t buy the dip. They created the dip.

Whales Keep Dropping Stash: Glassnode

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

The pattern shows whales rode price rebounds temporarily, then sold during corrections. Their conviction is weak. When strong holders accumulate during weakness, it creates buying pressure. When they distribute during weakness, it accelerates the decline. Bitcoin’s 27% monthly drop makes sense when you see 20 whale addresses or at least 20,000 BTC exiting.

But the real danger emerges when looking at where supply is concentrated. UTXO Realized Price Distribution shows cost basis clusters across the market. It reveals price levels where the most supply was created. These zones act as strong support or resistance depending on market direction.

The strongest current cluster sits near $66,800. This level holds maximum supply concentration under the current price. It represents the biggest cost basis zone in the near term. Breaking through requires massive selling pressure. Retail traders don’t have the size to push through such a thick supply. Only whales possess that firepower, making them the possible ‘Big Bad’ for the Bitcoin price.

Key Price Clusters: Glassnode

Here’s the problem. Those same whales are already distributing. The Exchange Whale Ratio proved it. The address count drop confirmed it. They’re actively selling into the market. The current price near $67,600 sits dangerously close to that $66,800 cluster.

Critical Bitcoin Price Support Holds Key to $60,000 Crash Risk

The first major support level sits at $66,600. This aligns closely with the $66,800 URPD cluster. Both levels represent the same technical and supply-based zone. Bitcoin currently trades just 1.6% above this critical support. If whales continue distributing this level won’t hold long.

A break below $66,600 opens the path toward $60,000. That represents approximately 12% additional downside from current levels. Bitcoin briefly touched this zone on February 6 before bouncing. But the setup now looks much weaker than it did then. The whale ratio wasn’t at yearly highs. Hidden bearish divergence hadn’t formed yet.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: TradingView

Now all those warnings flash simultaneously while the price hovers just above the strongest supply cluster. Breaking $66,600 would likely trigger cascade selling as the URPD zone fails. Holders sitting at the cost basis near $66,800 would panic. Leveraged longs positioned for recovery would get liquidated. The move toward $60,000 could happen faster than the initial breakdown.

On the upside, Bitcoin needs a clean break above $71,600 to show any real strength. That would invalidate the immediate bearish structure and suggest buyers are regaining control. Full pattern invalidation only happens above $79,300. Until Bitcoin reclaims that level, the bear flag breakdown remains active, and downside risk dominates.

Institutional investors are entering prediction markets, following a strategy seen earlier in the crypto space. 

Asset managers are filing for prediction-market tied exchange-traded funds as the space continues to gain traction. 

Institutional Capital Moves Into Prediction Markets as ETF Race Begins 

On February 17, 2026, Bitwise Asset Management submitted a post-effective amendment to register six ETFs under a new brand called “PredictionShares.” The proposed funds, tied to event contracts on the outcome of US elections, would be listed and primarily traded on NYSE Arca.

“PredictionShares will serve as a new Bitwise platform focused on providing exposure to prediction markets. Bitwise’s CIO Matt Hougan says prediction markets are accelerating in both scale and importance, making client exposure an opportunity the firm couldn’t pass up,” Crypto In America host Eleanor Terrett wrote.

The six proposed funds are:

PredictionShares Democratic President Wins 2028 Election

PredictionShares Republican President Wins 2028 Election

PredictionShares Democrats Win Senate 2026 Election

PredictionShares Republicans Win Senate 2026 Election

PredictionShares Democrats Win House 2026 Election

PredictionShares Republicans Win House 2026 Election

Each ETF seeks capital appreciation tied to a specific US election outcome. It follows an 80% investment policy under which it will invest at least 80% of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purposes, in derivative instruments whose value is linked to that defined political event. 

The funds gain exposure primarily through swap agreements that reference CFTC-regulated event contracts listed on designated contract markets, although they may also invest directly in those event contracts. The event contracts follow a binary payout structure, typically settling at $1 if the specified outcome occurs and at $0 if it does not.

“This makes an investment in the Fund highly risky. An investment in the Fund is not appropriate for investors who do not wish to invest in a highly risky investment product or who do not fully understand the Fund’s investment strategy. Such investors are urged not to purchase Fund Shares,” the filing reads.

Moreover, GraniteShares, an independent ETF issuer, also filed a Form 485APOS on February 17 for six similar funds. These two filings followed shortly after Roundhill made the same move.

Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Research Analyst James Seyffart indicated that more filings are likely to continue.

“The financialization and ETF-ization of everything continues,” he added.

The ETF filings arrive as the prediction market sector posts record-breaking growth. The move mirrors the surge of ETF applications tied to digital assets, when asset managers rushed to capitalize on renewed momentum in the sector following the election of a pro-crypto administration.

While demand for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs appears to have slowed, evidenced by significant outflows from the spot products, institutions may be looking to broaden their exposure to the growing prediction market space.

Data from Dune Analytics highlights the sector’s momentum. Monthly trading volume climbed to $15.4 billion in January, setting a new all-time high. 

Prediction Market Monthly Volume. Source: Dune

Transaction count also reached a record, surpassing 122 million, while monthly users rose to 830,520. Taken together, these suggest sustained growth across the prediction market sector, alongside increasing product development and institutional interest.

Selling pressure overwhelms new capital inflows; institutional unwinding and the absence of buying interest define the current cycle.

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju has declared the current bitcoin market a definitive bear cycle, warning that a genuine recovery could take months and may require prices to fall further before a sustainable rebound materializes.

Capital Inflows Failing to Move the Needle

In an interview with a South Korean crypto outlet, Ju laid out a data-driven case for extended weakness. He pointed to a fundamental imbalance between capital inflows and selling pressure.

“Hundreds of billions of dollars have entered the market, yet the overall market capitalization has either stagnated or declined,” Ju said. “That means selling pressure is overwhelming new capital.”

He noted that past deep corrections have typically required at least three months of consolidation before investment sentiment recovered. Ju emphasized that any short-term bounces should not be mistaken for the start of a new bull cycle.

Two Paths to Recovery

Ju outlined two scenarios for Bitcoin’s eventual recovery. The first involves prices dropping toward the realized price of approximately $55,000. The price is the average cost basis of all bitcoin holders, calculated from on-chain transaction data, before rebounding. Historically, bitcoin has needed to revisit this level to generate fresh upward momentum.

The second scenario envisions a prolonged sideways consolidation in the $60,000 to $70,000 range. The prices would grind through months of range-bound trading before the next leg up.

In either case, Ki stressed that the preconditions for a sustained rally are not currently in place. ETF inflows have stalled, over-the-counter demand has dried up, and both realized and standard market capitalizations are either flat or declining.

Institutional Exodus Behind the Decline

Ju attributed much of the recent selling to institutional players unwinding positions. As bitcoin’s volatility contracted over the past year, institutions that had entered the market to capture volatility through beta-delta-neutral strategies found better opportunities in assets such as the Nasdaq and gold.

“When bitcoin stopped moving, there was no reason for institutions to keep those positions,” Ju explained. Data from the CME show that institutions have significantly reduced their short positions—not a bullish signal, but evidence of capital withdrawal.

Ju also flagged aggressive selling patterns where large volumes of bitcoin were dumped at market price within very short timeframes. He believes this suggests either forced liquidations or deliberate institutional selling to manipulate derivative positions.

Altcoin Outlook Even Bleaker

The picture for altcoins is grimmer still. Ju noted that while altcoin trading volume appeared robust throughout 2024, actual fresh capital inflows were limited to a handful of tokens with ETF listing prospects. The broader altcoin market cap never significantly surpassed its previous all-time high, indicating that funds were merely rotating among existing participants rather than expanding the market.

“The era of a single narrative lifting the entire altcoin market is over,” Ki said. He acknowledged that structural innovations such as AI agent economies could eventually create new value-driven models for altcoins, but dismissed the likelihood of simple narrative-driven rallies returning.

“Short-term altcoin upside is limited. The damage to investor sentiment from this downturn will take considerable time to heal,” he concluded.

MYX Finance has entered a critical phase after weeks of intense selling pressure. The token has suffered a steep decline amid broader bearish crypto market conditions. 

Heavy profit-taking and forced exits accelerated the fall. MYX has now become a focal point of concern among traders

MYX Finance Token Forms History

MYX’s correlation with Bitcoin has shifted sharply since February 8. The coefficient improved from negative 0.42 to positive 0.47. This change indicates that MYX is increasingly tracking Bitcoin’s price movements.

However, this alignment presents risk. Since February 8, Bitcoin has remained in consolidation without meaningful recovery. A stronger positive correlation suggests MYX may continue mirroring Bitcoin’s weakness. Without a BTC breakout, bearish conditions could persist for MYX.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

MYX Correlation To Bitcoin. Source: TradingView

The Money Flow Index highlights the intensity of recent selling. The indicator shows severe capital outflows as investors rushed to exit positions. Panic selling, combined with leveraged liquidations, intensified downward pressure.

This wave of capitulation has pushed MYX into oversold territory for the first time in its trading history. Typically, oversold conditions suggest selling may slow as value-focused buyers step in. In many cases, such readings precede short-term relief rallies.

MYX MFI. Source: TradingView

However, context matters. Oversold signals alone do not guarantee immediate recovery. Broader market weakness and fragile sentiment could delay accumulation. If Bitcoin fails to stabilize, MYX may struggle to attract fresh capital despite extreme technical readings.

MYX Price Bounce Back Unlikely

MYX price is down nearly 30% in the past 24 hours. The token trades at $1.50 at the time of writing. This sharp drop compounds a 70% decline recorded since February 8, reinforcing the scale of the correction.

Current technical and macro signals suggest further downside risk. Continued correlation with Bitcoin and persistent outflows could pressure MYX lower. A retest of the $1.22 level appears plausible before oversold conditions trigger meaningful stabilization.

MYX Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Conversely, investor behavior could shift sooner than expected. If holders halt selling and begin accumulating at discounted levels, momentum may change. Reclaiming the $1.68 support level would mark an early recovery signal. A confirmed bounce could open MYX price’s path toward $2.01 and potentially higher, invalidating the prevailing bearish outlook.

The term “SaaSpocalypse” is trending across financial markets, tech media, and investor circles. It refers to a sudden loss of confidence in software-as-a-service (SaaS) companies after the launch of advanced AI agents capable of automating tasks traditionally handled by enterprise software. 

The term became popular after Anthropic released its Claude Cowork AI platform in late January. Following its launch, nearly $300 billion in global software market value was erased. Stocks of major SaaS firms—including Salesforce, Workday, Atlassian, and ServiceNow—fell sharply as investors questioned whether AI agents could replace large parts of their business.

AI Agents Trigger Market Panic

The core fear driving the SaaSpocalypse is simple: AI agents can now perform entire workflows autonomously. 

Tools like Claude Cowork can review contracts, analyze sales data, generate reports, and execute multi-step tasks across multiple applications. 

Instead of employees using five separate SaaS tools, a single AI agent can complete the same work.

This directly threatens the SaaS pricing model, which typically charges companies per user or “seat.” If AI reduces the need for human users, companies may need fewer licenses. Investors reacted quickly to this risk. 

The S&P 500 Software and Services Index fell nearly 19% in early February, marking its worst losing streak in years. 

At the same time, capital rotated toward AI infrastructure providers such as Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon, which supply the compute power behind AI agents.

S&P 500 Software and Services Index Price Chart. Source: Yahoo Finance Why the SaaSpocalypse Matters Beyond Software

The SaaSpocalypse reflects a deeper shift in how software creates value. Instead of selling tools that humans operate, companies are beginning to sell outcomes delivered by AI. 

Analysts now describe this as a transition from software-as-a-service to “AI-as-a-service.” This shift challenges decades-old business models and forces software companies to rethink pricing, licensing, and product strategy.

However, this is not necessarily the end of SaaS. Many enterprises will still rely on established platforms for security, compliance, and data management. 

Instead, the disruption will likely reshape the industry, forcing software companies to integrate AI deeply into their products.

How the SaaSpocalypse Could Impact Crypto Markets

The SaaSpocalypse is already affecting crypto markets indirectly. Both crypto and SaaS are considered high-growth, risk-sensitive sectors. 

When investors sell software stocks, they often reduce exposure to crypto as well. In early February 2026, Bitcoin fell sharply as software stocks also posted heavy losses.

More importantly, capital is shifting toward AI. Venture capital invested over $200 billion into AI startups in 2025—far more than crypto received. 

This means fewer resources may flow into new crypto projects, slowing innovation in some areas.

Top AI Coins by Market Cap. Source: CoinGecko

At the same time, crypto could benefit in specific niches such as decentralized computing and AI infrastructure. 

But overall, the SaaSpocalypse signals a major capital rotation. AI is becoming the dominant investment theme, and crypto markets will need to compete for investor attention in this new environment.

The US stock market opened lower on February 17, 2026. It is the first session after Presidents’ Day, with the S&P 500 trading around 6,840 at press time. The Index is down approximately 0.65% (around 44 points) from Friday’s high, but up almost 0.58% since today’s open. This hints at buyers stepping in across sectors.

Persistent “SaaSpocalypse” fears that AI will disrupt traditional software and tech models continue to pressure the market. This makes Information Technology the weakest sector, down 1.5% intraday. Synopsys, Inc. (SNPS) leads the top laggards, falling 1.6% amid broader AI anxiety.

Top US Stock Market News:

•  Empire State Manufacturing Index: The New York Fed’s survey showed modest regional expansion in February at +7.1. It is slightly below January’s +7.7 but above forecasts. This leading gauge for US factory activity offers some reassurance against slowdown fears.

•  Canadian CPI Cools: January headline inflation eased to 2.3% YoY (from 2.4%), driven by lower gasoline prices. The softer print strengthens the disinflation narrative and could preview similar trends in US data, supporting Fed rate-cut hopes.

•  US-Iran Indirect Talks Resume: Discussions in Geneva today focused on nuclear issues and de-escalation. Progress could help stabilize oil markets and reduce volatility in the energy and global trade sectors.

S&P 500 Tests Key Level As AI Disruption Fears Weigh on Wall Street

Wall Street remains cautious on February 17, 2026, with the US stock market trading mixed but overall subdued amid persistent SaaSpocalypse fears. The S&P 500 opened weaker, briefly dipping below its 100-day EMA before reclaiming it.

The index stabilized around 6,834–6,841 mid-session, down 0.65% intraday from its February 13 high.

The trend suggests the market might recover mildly, but the key to a broader recovery lies above the highs set on February 13 (Friday).

This echoes the late-November 2025 scenario. The index lost the 100-day EMA on November 28 but reclaimed it quickly the next session, triggering a strong rally. The S&P 500 gained approximately 7.38% from late November into late January.

S&P 500 Index Analysis: TradingView

The 100-day EMA has acted as strong support since then. Key support now sits around this zone, at around 6,819. A close below could invite broader weakness toward 6,762 and 6,705. A decisive push above 6,889 (above Friday’s high) could target the psychological 7,000 level.

However, stagflation-like concerns (sticky inflation, growth slowdown) and AI disruption anxiety limit upside conviction.

Nasdaq Composite trades deeper in the red, highlighting tech’s drag. Tech’s 33% S&P 500 weight amplifies the impact on the broader index.

Index View (11:50 AM), Trending Down: Finviz

VIX, the Volatility Index, eased 1.08% to 20.97 (from higher early-session levels), signaling reduced volatility as the day progressed, though still elevated relative to recent lows and reflecting caution.

VIX Index: CNBC

The US 10-year Treasury yield is 4.05% (down modestly today, near 2.5-month lows).

Treasury Yield: CNBC

It reflects flight-to-safety flows and softer inflation expectations; supportive for bonds but pressuring growth stocks and crypto amid delayed rate-cut bets.

Sector Rotation in Focus: Defensives Shine While Tech Drags

The US stock market’s mixed tone on February 17, 2026, reveals pronounced sector rotation. Technology (XLK) is the standout laggard, down approximately 1.24% from February 13 highs (currently trading -0.37% on the day).

XLK is the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund, managed by State Street Global Advisors, one of the flagship sector ETFs that slices the S&P 500 into its 11 GICS sectors for targeted exposure.

It tracks major tech names (Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple) and software/semiconductor companies. This makes XLK sensitive to growth sentiment and AI-related developments.

The XLK chart shows a developing head-and-shoulders pattern, a bearish structure. The neckline holds steady near 133; a decisive break below could confirm the pattern and trigger a 10% downside move (measured from head to neckline), potentially pushing toward 129 or even 120 in a deeper correction if broader market conditions or AI concerns worsen.

XLK Price Analysis: TradingView

Utilities (XLU) continues to show relative strength after rallying 2.5% on Friday. While it’s down 0.40% today in line with broader weakness, the sector remains the strongest performer on a weekly basis.

Key Sectors Looking Strong: State Street

This flow, from growth/tech into defensives and value, explains why the S&P 500 can trade flat-to-lower despite green pockets: tech’s 33% index weight magnifies XLK weakness, overshadowing gains elsewhere.

The bearish setup invalidates on a reclaim of 141–144; a move above 150 would fully negate the threat.

Synopsys (SNPS) Drops 4.4% As AI Anxiety Hammers Software Stocks

Synopsys (SNPS) is one of the standout US stock market laggards. It is trading at approximately 419 after dropping 4.43% intraday, at press time.

As a leading EDA software and semiconductor IP provider, SNPS is closely tied to the software infrastructure subsector. This leaves it vulnerable to ongoing concerns that AI may reshape chip-design workflows.

In the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK), SNPS carries a modest weight of 0.72%. This limits its direct ETF impact but serves as a strong proxy for software weakness (e.g., ORCL -3.85%, CRWD -5.12%, FTNT -4.11%).

Stock Heatmap: Finviz

The daily chart shows SNPS trading inside a bear flag pattern following a 24% correction that began January 12, 2026, with the February 4 rebound/consolidation keeping price contained within the flag. It attempted a breakdown today, but buyers defended so far.

SNPS Price Analysis: TradingView

A confirmed break below 416 could activate the pattern, projecting downside toward 322 (over 20% from current levels). Intermediate support levels sit at 402 and 371.

The bearish setup invalidates on a reclaim of 451. This reinforces rotation away from software/growth names into defensives, adding to Nasdaq’s relative pressure.

Solana remains under sustained pressure as broader market conditions deteriorate. SOL has extended its downtrend for several weeks, reflecting reduced investor confidence. 

Recent on-chain data reveals a surge in exchange-directed supply. Roughly $202 million worth of SOL has moved to trading platforms since the beginning of the month. This wave of selling has intensified bearish momentum and revived capitulation signals not observed since 2022.

Solana Holders Are Selling

Active deposits on the Solana network have started declining after a sharp rise earlier this month. This metric tracks tokens transferred to exchanges, often signaling intent to sell.

Despite moderating deposit flows, exchange balances continue to reflect elevated supply. Over the past 17 days, exchange wallets have added 2.35 million SOL. At current prices, this increase equates to approximately $202 million in additional sell-side liquidity.

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Solana Balance On Exchanges. Source: Glassnode

Rising exchange reserves generally amplify downward pressure. Larger balances make it easier for traders to execute sell orders. However, this influx has also triggered a historical capitulation signal. Similar spikes in exchange supply previously aligned with late-stage bear market conditions.

The MVRV Pricing Bands provide critical valuation context. Solana’s price is currently trading below the Extreme Lows deviation band. For this classification, the Market Value to Realized Value ratio must stay below 0.8 for roughly 5% of trading days.

SOL has remained beneath that threshold for 26% of recent sessions. This confirms a prolonged undervaluation phase. The only comparable event occurred in May 2022. Following that period, Solana remained depressed for 17 months before staging a meaningful recovery.

Solana MVRV Pricing Bands. Source: Glassnode SOL Price Downtrend Continues

Solana is trading at $86 at the time of writing. The token remains capped below the $90 resistance while holding above the $81 support zone. A move above $90 would intersect the prevailing downtrend line, signaling potential technical improvement.

However, current data suggests downside risk persists. Continued exchange inflows and weak macro momentum could pressure SOL further. A decisive break below $81 may expose the next support near $67, extending the drawdown.

Solana Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Alternatively, reclaiming $90 would shift short-term sentiment. A breakout above the descending trendline could attract renewed capital inflows. If momentum strengthens, SOL may rally toward $105 and potentially higher, invalidating the prevailing bearish thesis.

Pi Coin price has gone through a sharp roller-coaster-like move over the past month. Between Jan. 14 and Feb. 11, Pi Coin fell nearly 38% as sentiment collapsed and sellers dominated. But the trend reversed quickly. Since Feb. 11, Pi Coin surged as much as 58% before correcting again.

Now, sentiment is improving once more for the Pi Network’s native token, and charts show this correction may not be a reversal. Instead, it could be preparation for the next breakout. Momentum, money flow, and price structure now explain why a much larger 60% move may still be possible.

Sentiment Collapse and Recovery Explain Pi Coin’s Roller-Coaster Move

Investor sentiment played a key role in Pi Coin’s recent volatility. Positive sentiment, which measures how optimistic investors feel based on social and market data, dropped sharply between December and early February. The sentiment score fell from 9.06 in early December to nearly zero by Feb. 4.

Pi Network Sentiment: Santiment

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This collapse aligned with Pi Coin’s earlier range-bound move and the 38% price decline post Jan.14.

Erratic Price Action: TradingView

However, sentiment began improving again after Feb. 4. By Feb. 17, the score recovered to 3.82, aligning with the sharp price surge between Feb. 11 and Feb. 15 (over 58%). While still below earlier highs, this sentiment rebound, both before and after the rally, shows confidence is slowly returning.

This shift helps explain why Pi Coin quickly reversed its downtrend and began recovering. But the recovery itself was not random. It followed a precise technical breakout.

Breakout Pattern Completed, But Dip Buyers Still Active?

Pi Coin formed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, a bullish structure that signals a trend reversal after a decline. This pattern completed on Feb. 14 and pushed Pi Coin up roughly 26% toward its $0.206 level.

This level acted as the breakout target, and once reached, many traders took profits. This explains the large upper wick and the sharp pullback that followed. However, the Money Flow Index (MFI) tells a deeper story. The MFI measures buying and selling pressure by combining price and volume. When MFI forms higher lows, it possibly indicates that buyers continue to enter on dips.

Despite the correction, PI’s MFI stayed elevated, close enough to its recent local peak. This confirms dip buyers remained active and present even during the pullback.

Previous Breakout Target Hit: TradingView

This behavior often appears when investors position for another move higher. That raises the next question. Why are buyers still accumulating after the breakout target already completed? The answer appears in Pi Coin’s current price structure.

Bull Flag and EMA Crossover Show Next Breakout Structure Forming

After completing its first breakout, Pi Coin entered consolidation, a 19% dip from $0.206. This consolidation is forming a bull flag pattern. A bull flag is a continuation pattern where price pauses briefly before starting another rally.

At the same time, Pi Coin’s Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are signaling growing strength. The 20-period EMA is now approaching a crossover above the 50-period EMA, a potential bullish crossover. The EMA measures the average price over time, and when shorter-term averages cross above longer-term averages, it signals strengthening momentum.

Pi Coin Breakout Structure: TradingView

This alignment explains why dip buyers continue entering.

However, timing is critical. If consolidation continues too long, the pattern could weaken. Bull flags require relatively quick breakouts to remain valid. This urgency also explains why buying pressure has remained steady. All of this now brings attention to Pi Coin’s key breakout levels.

Pi Coin Price Targets 60% Move if Key Breakout Level Clears

The immediate resistance level sits at $0.184. Pi Coin has tested this level multiple times but has not yet confirmed a breakout.

If Pi Coin closes above $0.184, the next targets are $0.204 and $0.242. The full bull flag projection points toward $0.290, representing a potential 60% rally from the breakout level. However, downside risk remains.

PI Price Analysis: TradingView

If Pi Coin falls below $0.158, the bull flag pattern would be invalidated. Extended sideways movement could also weaken the setup if consolidation becomes too large relative to the original breakout move. For now, the structure remains intact.

Pi Coin has already completed one breakout. Sentiment is improving. Money flow shows that dip buyers remain active, and the price structure is preparing for another potential breakout. The next confirmed move above resistance will determine whether Pi Coin can complete its larger 60% rally setup.

Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.

Grab a coffee and settle in—markets are shifting, fear is rising, and Bitcoin is dancing to a tense global rhythm. From geopolitical sparks to shadowy traders making millions, the pioneer crypto is on edge, teetering between consolidation and sudden, dramatic moves.

Crypto News of the Day: Geopolitical Tensions and Market Fear Shake Bitcoin

Bitcoin dropped sharply ahead of the US market open on Tuesday, extending a volatile start to 2026 amid geopolitical and macroeconomic concerns.

The pioneer crypto fell 1.7% to roughly $67,600, mirroring weakness in equity futures. The Nasdaq 100 contracts fell 0.9% while the S&P 500 contracts dropped 0.6%, signaling a softer start on Wall Street.

Bitcoin’s correlation with high-beta tech stocks has strengthened in recent months, making the pioneer crypto increasingly sensitive to risk-off sentiment in equities.

“Investors are turning cautious amid rising tensions around Iran, fresh debate over AI’s broader economic impact, and uncertainty over Federal Reserve rate cuts after recent inflation data,” reported Walter Bloomberg on X.

The macro backdrop has contributed to sustained outflows from US-listed Bitcoin ETFs. Last week alone, investors withdrew $360 million, marking the fourth consecutive week of net outflows.

Spot Bitcoin ETF Outflows. Source: SoSoValue

The combination of geopolitical uncertainty, ETF withdrawals, and leverage unwinds has pushed Bitcoin down by more than 50% from its October 2025 peak of $126,000.

“Analysts now view $60,000 as key near-term support, while further macro shocks could see prices revisit the $50,000 range,” Walter added.

It aligns with a recent Galaxy Digital projection, in which head of research Alex Thorn estimated Bitcoin drifting toward the 200-week average near $58,000.

Meanwhile, market sentiment is at levels not seen since the depths of the 2022 bear market, with only 55% of Bitcoin’s supply currently in profit and roughly 10 million BTC held at a loss.

Elsewhere, CryptoQuant’s Fear and Greed Index suggests extreme caution, at 10, firmly in the “extreme fear” zone.

CryptoQuant Fear and Greed Index. Source: CryptoQuant Dashboard Shadow Shorts and Safe-Haven Bets Highlight Crypto’s Risk-Off Mood

Adding to the market’s nervous undertone is the presence of aggressive short positions. Reports indicate that a not-so-popular trader has made $7 million by shorting multiple crypto assets, including $3.7 million on Ethereum and $1.45 million on ENA.

While largely anonymous, this trader exemplifies the growing sophistication and audacity of market participants betting on downside risk.

Meanwhile, broader investor behavior also reflects a flight toward perceived safety. The February global fund manager survey from Bank of America (BofA) highlighted gold as the most crowded trade, with 50% of managers holding long positions, while top US tech stocks (Nvidia, Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla) ranked second, cited by 20% of respondents.

This preference for traditional hedges reflects heightened risk aversion in financial markets. Despite the current turbulence, investors should not act in panic. Bitcoin’s history suggests it often consolidates after sharp pullbacks before resuming longer-term trends.

However, the combination of geopolitical flashpoints, ETF outflows, concentrated shorting activity, and extreme fear readings suggests that market volatility may persist in the near term.

Chart of the Day

Bitcoin, Nasdaq, S&P500 Price Performance. Source: TradingView Byte-Sized Alpha

Here’s a summary of more US crypto news to follow today:

$1.28 trillion wiped out as gold & silver crash—Is Lunar New Year liquidity driving the drop?

Several crypto media outlets remove scam study, sources allege external pressure.

Metaplanet reports FY2025 results as Bitcoin unrealized losses top $1 billion.

Why are traders betting on $20,000 gold price after a historic crash?

Kevin O’Leary warns Bitcoin’s quantum problem may be bigger than expected.

XRP builds pressure as holders accumulate — Is a break above $2 next?

Why Bitcoin could face another dump in February.

XMR price jumps 10% after new report on Monero’s shadow market dominance.

Bitcoin or gold? Strategist says it’s a bet on Trump’s success vs. America’s failure.

Veteran analyst says Bitcoin’s safe-haven dream is cracking — but crypto’s next era may just be beginning.

The BitMine stock price has started showing early signs of recovery. BMNR rose 6% on Feb. 13 before closing and is up 7.32% over the past five days. This rebound comes even as Ethereum, which BitMine closely tracks due to its ETH treasury exposure, has fallen 3.3% over the past week. This divergence suggests BitMine’s stock price may be trying to catch up.

BMNR charts also show that this rebound may be weak despite big players like Citigroup increasing BMNR holdings quarter-on-quarter. The bearish structure is still active, and the next few trading sessions could decide whether BitMine continues recovering or enters another major drop.

Bear Flag Structure Shows Recovery Attempt — But Breakdown Risk Remains

The BitMine stock price has been trading inside a bear flag pattern since early February. A bear flag forms after a sharp decline, followed by a temporary upward consolidation. This pattern often leads to another drop if buyers fail to fully regain control.

Between Dec. 10, 2025, and Feb. 5, 2026, BitMine’s stock price fell nearly 60%. This steep drop created the “pole” phase of the pattern. Since Feb. 5, the stock has rebounded about 26%, forming a bear “flag” pattern, which represents a recovery attempt.

BitMine’s Bearish Pattern: TradingView

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However, this recovery remains inside the bearish structure. Unless the stock breaks above key resistance levels, this rebound could simply be a temporary pause before another decline.

If the bear flag confirms, BitMine’s stock price could fall by nearly a 60% drop from the lower trendline breach point. This raises a critical question. If the BitMine stock price is recovering, why does the breakdown risk still remain high?

The answer becomes clearer when looking at momentum indicators.

Hidden Bearish Divergence Shows BMNR Sellers Still Maintain Control

Momentum analysis using the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows signs of underlying weakness. RSI is an indicator that measures buying and selling strength on a scale from 0 to 100. When RSI rises while price struggles, it can signal weakening buyer strength.

The BitMine stock price formed a hidden bearish divergence between Nov. 18, 2025, and Feb. 9, 2026. During this period, the price created a lower high, while RSI formed a higher high. This pattern typically signals that sellers remain in control and further downside may follow.

After this divergence appeared, BitMine’s stock price dropped by over 14%.

Now, a similar setup appears to be forming again. RSI has started rising, but the price still remains below key resistance near $21.57. If the stock fails to break above this level, another bearish divergence could confirm.

RSI Divergence Highlights Risk: TradingView

This would increase the probability of a breakdown from the bear flag pattern. However, momentum alone does not fully explain price direction. Capital flow data provides another important clue.

Capital Flow Remains Weak Despite Institutional Buying

Institutional interest in BitMine has increased significantly. Citigroup raised its ownership stake by over 540%, while firms like BlackRock and BNY Mellon also expanded their exposure. Normally, such buying would support price growth.

The Fintel snapshot shows Citigroup’s addition but also highlights several BMNR dumps by firms like Baird Financial, Resources Investment Advisors, and more, which can be alarming to the price.

Institutional BMNR Holdings: Fintel

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator shows a similar picture. CMF measures whether large investors are putting money into or taking money out of an asset. When CMF stays below zero, it signals that overall capital is still leaving the asset.

CMF Still Weak: TradingView

BitMine’s CMF has started rising gradually, showing that selling pressure is slowing. But the indicator remains below the zero line. This means total institutional buying has not yet fully reversed the broader selling trend. This creates a conflict. While some major firms are increasing exposure, overall, large-scale money flow remains cautious, as highlighted by the earlier snapshot.

This explains why BitMine’s stock price recovery still appears weak.

Price Levels Now Decide Whether BitMine Stock Price Recovers or Breaks Down

The BitMine stock price now sits at a critical level. If BMNR breaks above resistance between $21.57 and $21.74, the bearish structure would weaken for now. This could allow the stock to rise toward $29.60 and potentially $34.03, provided ETH also gains strength.

Such a move would confirm that buyers have regained control. However, downside risk remains significant.

If the BMNR stock price falls below the $20.02 support level, the bear flag breakdown could begin. This may push the stock toward lower support levels at $15.05 and $11.22. A full breakdown could eventually send the stock toward $8.36.

BMNR Price Analysis: TradingView

For now, BitMine’s stock price sits at a turning point. Citigroup’s aggressive accumulation shows institutional confidence. But bearish momentum and weak capital inflows still limit recovery strength.

The next few trading sessions will likely decide whether Tom Lee’s BMNR follows institutional optimism higher or confirms the bearish breakdown pattern.

Crypto market sentiment has deteriorated sharply, with Matrixport’s Greed & Fear index falling to extremely depressed levels, suggesting the market may be approaching another inflection point.

Even so, Matrixport suggested that Bitcoin may still see downside ahead.

Sentiment Signals Possible Inflection Point For Bitcoin 

In a recent market update, Matrixport said overall sentiment has dropped to extreme lows, reflecting broad-based pessimism across the digital asset space.

The firm highlighted its proprietary Bitcoin fear and greed gauge, explaining that “durable bottoms” have typically emerged when the 21-day moving average dips below zero and subsequently begins to turn upward. The setup appears to be in place, according to the chart.

“This transition signals that selling pressure is becoming exhausted and that market conditions are beginning to stabilize,” the post read.

Matrixport’s Greed & Fear index. Source: X/Matrixport Official

The report added that, given the cyclical relationship between sentiment and Bitcoin price action, the latest extreme reading may indicate that the market is nearing another potential turning point.

At the same time, Matrixport warned that prices may continue to decline in the near term. 

“While caution remains warranted, the current environment is increasingly forcing us to sharpen our focus and prepare for the conditions that typically precede a meaningful rebound,” the firm said.

On-Chain Indicators Signal Bear Market Stress

Meanwhile, technical indicators strengthen the picture of a stressed Bitcoin market. An analyst, Woominkyu, noted that the adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR) has fallen back into the 0.92-0.94 range, a zone that previously coincided with major bear-market stress periods. 

“In 2019 and 2023, similar readings occurred during deep corrective phases where coins were being spent at a loss. Each time, this zone represented capitulation pressure and structural reset,” the post read.

Bitcoin Adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio. Source: CryptoQuant

Historically, multiple cycle lows formed around the 0.92 to 0.93 region. The current structure, Woominkyu noted, resembles prior transitions into bear market phases rather than routine mid-cycle pullbacks.

If the metric fails to recover above 1.0 in the near term, it could increase the probability that Bitcoin is entering a broader bearish phase rather than undergoing a simple correction.

True market bottoms, the analyst argued, tend to form only after deeper compression in aSOPR, peak loss realization, and full exhaustion of selling pressure. While the market appears to be entering a stress zone, it may not yet reflect full capitulation.

“aSOPR is signaling structural deterioration. This looks less like a dip and more like a regime shift. The real bottom may still require deeper compression before a durable reversal forms,” the analyst added.

This view aligns with broader bearish projections suggesting Bitcoin could revisit levels below $40,000 before forming a durable bottom.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto Markets

BeInCrypto Markets data shows Bitcoin is currently trading around $68,000. A drop below $40,000 would imply a decline of more than 40% from current levels, highlighting the scale of downside risk some analysts believe remains on the table.

For now, sentiment indicators hint at a potential turning point, but on-chain data suggests structural weakness may still need to run its course before a recovery can begin.

Hedera (HBAR) price is up about 1% in the past 24 hours, extending a recovery that has quietly gained strength. Over the past seven days, the Hedera price has climbed 11.3%, showing steady buyer interest returning.

While the monthly and quarterly performance remains negative, recent price behavior suggests something more bullish. The Hedera price may be setting up for a breakout attempt. Charts, momentum signals, and investor activity now explain why a pullback, seen between February 14 and February 15 could strengthen Hedera’s breakout outlook.

Bull Flag Holds Firm — Pullback May Be Preparing the Breakout

HBAR price recently seems to be forming a bullish flag-and-pole pattern on the 12-hour chart. A bull flag forms after a strong upward move (the pole), followed by a controlled pullback that allows the market to stabilize before continuing higher. In this case, the initial rally pushed HBAR price up nearly 50% between Feb. 6 and Feb. 14. After reaching its recent high, the price corrected about 9%.

This decline remained inside the flag structure, which is critical for maintaining the bullish setup.

Instead of breaking lower, the price stabilized and began consolidating. HBAR now trades near $0.101, which sits close to the upper boundary of the flag.

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HBAR Holds The Flag: TradingView

This level acts as the breakout trigger. If price moves above this zone, the next leg of the rally could begin. However, a price pattern alone is not enough to confirm a breakout. Momentum and investor behavior must also support the move.

Bullish Divergence and Strong Dip Buying Show Buyers Regaining Control

Momentum indicators show that selling pressure weakened during the pullback. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator that measures buying and selling strength, formed a bullish divergence.

Between Jan. 25 and Feb. 15, the HBAR price made a lower low (stabilizing near a key support level), meaning the price dropped to a weaker level. But during the same period, RSI made a higher low, which shows sellers were losing strength even as the price declined. This pattern signals that buyers were slowly gaining control.

Bullish Divergence: TradingView

This signal appeared as HBAR touched the $0.098 support level, confirming strong buyer presence at this zone.

Exchange flow data supports this trend. Exchange netflow tracks how many coins move into or out of exchanges. When coins leave exchanges, it usually signals accumulation because investors move assets into private wallets instead of preparing to sell.

On Feb. 15, HBAR recorded $2.49 million in exchange outflows, the highest outflow in over a week, when the prices stabilized around $0.098.

Dip Buyers Come In: Coinglass

This shows investors were possibly buying the dip instead of selling, helping stabilize the price and maintain the breakout structure. With momentum and accumulation now aligning, the final confirmation depends on whether investor strength continues near resistance.

Smart Money and Buyer Strength Remain Intact — Could Trigger a 50% Hedera Price Rally

Other key indicators show that buyers still support the trend. The Bull Bear Power indicator, which measures whether buyers or sellers dominate the market, remained positive during the pullback. This confirms buyers stayed in control despite the correction.

The Smart Money Index also remains above its signal line. This indicator tracks the activity of experienced investors, and when it stays above the signal line, it shows that larger investors remain active and invested.

This continued support becomes critical near breakout levels. The key breakout level now sits at $0.101. If HBAR price breaks above this level with strength, the bull flag pattern could activate and push HBAR price toward $0.150, representing nearly a 50% rally. Key resistance levels to that target sit at $0.120 and $0.133, respectively.

HBAR Price Analysis: TradingView

However, downside risk still exists. If HBAR falls below $0.086, the bull flag pattern would fail and cancel the breakout setup.

For now, Hedera’s pullback appears to be a consolidation phase rather than a reversal. The price structure, momentum signals, and investor activity all suggest the breakout attempt remains active. The next move above resistance will determine whether the Hedera price can complete its 50% rally setup.

Swap DApp izveide ir salīdzinoši vienkārša. Tā palaišana reālos tirgus apstākļos — ar robotiem, arbitrāžām un svārstīgu likviditāti — nav. BeInCrypto sarunājās ar Andrey Fedorov, STON.fi CMO & CBDO, Consensus Hong Kong, lai noskaidrotu, kā šis process patiesībā izskatījās.

STON.fi tika palaists kā AMM (automātiska tirgus veidotājs) uz TON Blockchain — swap saskarne ar likviditātes baseiniem. Omniston, tā likviditātes apvienošanas protokols, nāca vēlāk kā atbilde uz fragmentāciju: vairāki DEX uz TON nozīmēja, ka lietotājiem bija manuāli jāsalīdzina cenas starp protokoliem. Omniston bija paredzēts, lai to labotu, apvienojot likviditāti vienā piekļuves punktā.

Zelta un sudraba tirgi ir straujā korekcijā, ar cenām, kas krītas otro secīgu sesiju. Preču bāzes biržā tirgotie fondi (ETF) arī samazinās par līdz pat 4%.

Straujais kritums ir izdzēsis aptuveni $1.28 triljonus kopējā tirgus vērtībā, atspoguļojot to, cik pat tradicionālie droši aktīvi paliek neaizsargāti pret makro satricinājumiem un likviditātes izmaiņām.

Mēness Jaunā gada likviditāte un makro spiedieni veicina zelta un sudraba koriģēšanu

Nokritums sekoja spēcīgai izsistai 2026. gadā, kas pacēla zeltu virs $5,000 par unci un noveda sudrabu līdz rekordaugstiem rādītājiem.

Ethereum cena pēdējo 24 stundu laikā ir pieaugusi par aptuveni 1%, turēšanās tuvu $2,000 līmenim. Taču tā nav pirmā reize, kad Ethereum mēģina atgūties. Pēdējās 10 dienās (no 6. februāra līdz 15. februārim) ETH mēģināja trīs atsevišķas atgūšanās. Katra no tām parādīja agru spēku, bet neizdevās turpināt augstāk.

Tagad diagrammas izskaidro, kāpēc katra neizdevās. Dati arī rāda, kas ir jāmaina, lai Ethereum cenu prognoze beidzot kļūtu optimistiska.

Paceļošā trīsstūra rāda atgūšanās mēģinājumu — bet pretestība joprojām pastāv

Bitcoin ir cīnījies, lai atgūtu augšupejošu momentu nesenajās sesijās. Cena ir palikusi diapazonā starp neskaidriem makro apstākļiem. Volatilitāte akcijās un likmju gaidas ir ierobežojušas atveseļošanās mēģinājumus.

Ar īstermiņa signāliem sajauktiem, uzmanība pāriet uz ilgtermiņa turētājiem, vai LTH. Šī kohorta vēsturiski ir veidojusi lielas Bitcoin reversijas. Viņu uzvedība tagad sniedz kritisku ieskatu par to, vai BTC tuvojas pagrieziena punktam.

Bitcoin LTH ir izveidojuši kritisku atbalstu

LTH CBD karstuma karte izceļ nozīmīgu piedāvājuma blīvumu virs $65,000. Šis klasteris ir nostiprināts 2024. gada pirmā pusgada uzkrāšanās diapazonā. Šī zona ir atkārtoti absorbējusi nesenos pārdošanas spiedienus. Spēcīga pieprasījuma klātbūtne tur norāda uz pārliecību starp pieredzējušiem Bitcoin turētājiem.

Iekš Konsensa Honkongā 2026

Šī sērija aptver galvenās debates un tendences, kas radās no Konsensa Honkongā 2026, balstoties uz galvenās skatuves sesijām, blakus pasākumiem un intervijām uz vietas februāra otrajā nedēļā.

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Skaitļi turpina tikt citēti kriptovalūtu konferencēs, bet Konsensā Honkongā 2026 tie nāca no cita veida runātāja — ne gan protokola dibinātāja vai biržas izpilddirektora, bet BlackRock izpildvaras locekļa, kurš uz skatuves veica matemātiku.