obv

The token has spent the past month moving inside a bearish channel. And the latest structure now shows weakening volume, rising long-term selling, and the price sitting close to a key support.
If buyers fail to defend one level, the #XRP price could slide into a deeper leg of its downtrend.
Falling Channel and Volume Breakdown Strengthen the Bearish Setup
XRP continues to move inside a descending channel that has guided every bounce and rejection for more than a month.
This pattern is a #bearish continuation structure, and the recent candles show that each recovery attempt is getting weaker.
This weakness is most visible in the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator. OBV adds volume on green days and subtracts it on red days to show whether buying or selling pressure is dominating. Between November 4 and 9, #OBV briefly moved above the descending trend line connecting its lower highs. The XRP price responded with a quick short-term bounce.
But once OBV slipped back below the trend line on November 12, the tone changed. The indicator has stayed below that trend line since, showing that market-wide buying pressure has continued to weaken. This aligns perfectly with the price action: XRP began its 18.6% decline on November 10, the same window in which OBV started curling downward again.
The lack of volume strength means buyers are not stepping in with conviction. That sets the stage for the next metric.
Long-Term Holders Are Increasing Their Selling
Glassnode’s Hodler Net Position Change tracks how much long-term holder supply is entering or leaving exchanges and wallets. It is one of the clearest measures of long-term conviction.
Over the past few days, long-term holders have sharply increased their selling again after dipping to the lowest fortnightly level on November 16:
Nov 16: –63.57 million XRP
Nov 18: –94.50 million XRP
Now, that’s a 48.6% rise in long-term outflows in just two days.
This confirms that the pressure shown on OBV is not random noise. It comes at the same time that long-term holders are reducing their positions more aggressively. When long-term seller activity rises while volume weakens, it typically signals a market that has not found its bottom yet. And that view keeps every nearby support level at risk.
Together, OBV and Hodler Net Position Change point to the same idea: buyers are not absorbing the increased selling pressure.
XRP Price Levels That Matter Most
The XRP price now sits close to the most important support on the chart: $2.10. This level has acted as a reaction zone multiple times inside the falling channel. If the daily candle closes below $2.10, XRP could extend its move toward $1.77, the long-term channel floor.
On the upside, the level that must be reclaimed to invalidate this bearish setup is $2.41. Clearing $2.41 would show that buyers have regained strength and would open the path toward $2.58. Only a daily close above $2.58 would flip the short-term trend back to bullish.
Right now, the structure still leans negative. Volume is weakening. Long-term holders are selling faster. And the XRP price remains inside a falling channel. Unless XRP reclaims $2.41, all eyes stay on $2.10. This fragile floor decides whether XRP stabilizes or enters a deeper slide.
#XRPPredictions #XRPRealityCheck

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