cftc

- SEC
全称：U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
中文：美国证券交易委员会
定位：管证券、防诈骗、保护投资者
​#SEC #CFTC
- CFTC
全称：Commodity Futures Trading Commission
中文：美国商品期货交易委员会
定位：管商品、期货、衍生品、市场稳定

SEC推进Project Crypto:
2025年11月启动，2026年持续推进，首次明确代币“脱证券”边界，按经济实质分类：功能性代币、数字商品、NFT、数字工具≠证券；代币化证券=证券。
​
CFTC 吸纳行业人士:
2026年2月12日成立创新咨询委员会IAC，Solana创始人Anatoly Yakovenko、Coinbase、Uniswap、Ripple等高管正式入选，参与规则制定。

监管基调转向
SEC+CFTC首次联合协作，结束“多头混乱”，从“起诉为主”变为先定规则、再监管。

- 特朗普新一届政府亲加密、重创新，监管全面换人换思路。
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- 结束多年“监管真空+乱罚”，明确SEC管证券类代币，CFTC管商品/公链/衍生品。
​
- 目标：保住美国Web3与数字资产全球主导地位。

行业前景影响分析:

1. 监管确定性落地，机构资金大规模入场
合规边界清晰，传统基金、银行、上市公司将大幅加仓加密资产，市场波动率下降、中枢上移。
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2. 公链与功能性代币迎来合规红利
Solana、以太坊等去中心化公链代币明确归CFTC，不再被一刀切视为证券，公链生态爆发。
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3. 美国成为全球加密合规中心，虹吸效应显现
项目、交易所、资本加速回流美国，美国标准成为全球标杆，香港、欧盟同步跟进。
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4. 代币化证券（RWA）爆发式增长
股票、债券、房地产上链合规化，万亿级传统资产入场，区块链从“币圈”走向“主流金融”。
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5. 行业洗牌：合规强者通吃，空气项目出清
有真实功能、去中心化、合规能力强的项目胜出；无实用价值、靠炒作的代币加速归零。

美国加密监管从“乱打”变“定规矩”，2026是机构化与主流化的真正起点。

补充关于SEC和CFTC的分工:
- SEC：你像股票，我管你。
- CFTC：你像商品，我带你合规。

SEC 管什么

- 监管逻辑：像「股票」的代币
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- 典型标的：ICO、证券型代币
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- 核心权力：判定是不是证券
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- 风格：偏严厉、重合规

CFTC 管什么

- 监管逻辑：像「商品/黄金」的代币
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- 典型标的：BTC、ETH、SOL 等公链代币
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- 核心权力：认定数字商品、监管期货与交易所
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- 风格：偏开放、重创新、愿意对话
$ETH $SOL $BTC

The game just changed.
And most people still dont realize it.
The U.S. CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee (IAC) now includes:
1.Sergey Nazarov (Chainlink)
2.Hayden Adams (Uniswap)
3.Leaders from Ripple, Solana, Coinbase
4.Major institutional players
This isnt just symbolic.
This is structural shift happening in real time.
For traders, this is not just news — its positioning.
🚨 Why This Actually Matters For Traders
👉 Regulation Is Shifting — And Thats Big
We are moving from “regulation by enforcement”
to something that looks more like collaboration.
That changes risk perception in the market.
When regulatory uncertainty reduces:
1.Risk premium contracts
2.Capital allocates more confidently
3. Infrastructure tokens gets repriced
Smart money doesn’t wait for official clarity.
It positions before the crowd understands what is happening.
👉 Institutions Are Building The Rails (Not Gambling)
Look at the developments:
CME launching LINK futures Tokenized stocks using Chainlink infrastructure Growing tokenization narrative across TradFi
Institutions dont ape.
They:
Build derivatives markets Hedge exposure Accumulate during quiet periodsMore futures =Higher open interestFor traders this means:
More volatility
More liquidation cascades
Watch:
👉 Open interest spikes without price movement (absorption)
Funding flipping negative at supportSpot premium vs perp discount
Those tells you where the real positioning is.

📊 The Triple Alignment That Traders Should Watch
🐋 Whale Accumulation
BTC whales added billions recently.
LINK large wallets are accumulating.
Whales don’t chase green candles — they accumulate in compression.
Monitor:
Realized price clusters UTXO age bands Large wallet inflow trends
These often become invisible support zones.
📉 Exchange Outflows
ETH & XRP moving into cold storage.
Less liquid supply on exchanges.
When supply tightens and demand rises, repricing happens fast.
But remember — sudden exchange inflows often means short term volatility is coming.
Dont ignore that.
🔒 Staking Supply Compression
ETH staking near all-time highs.
That locks up circulating supply.
Lower float = higher volatility potential.
But if unstaking queues increase suddenly, short-term supply can re-enter the market.
Watch validator exits.
The market feels like its coiling.
#BTC走势分析
$70K is key psychological support Strong defense = continuation setup Break below with volume = liquidity hunt likely
#LINK
$15.50–$16.50 resistance zone Clean break + rising spot volume = momentum expansion Rejection + rising OI = possible long squeeze
Dont trade levels blindly.
Trade reactions.
🧠 Risk Management Reminder (Because Most Ignore This)
Even in structural bullish phases:
10–20% pullbacks are normal Fake breakouts happen Liquidity grabs are commonHigh conviction doesnt mean high leverage.
Scale in.
Define invalidation.
Respect volatility.
🔮 Bigger Picture
Crypto is slowly shifting from outsider speculation
to integrated financial infrastructure.
The rails are being built.
Derivatives are expanding.
Supply is compressing.
But markets never move in straight lines.
Momentum builds quietly…
Then reprices violently.
Positioning > Prediction.
$LINK
$UNI #Ethereum #CFTC #Tokenization

In recent days, XRP has struggled to regain upward momentum, raising concerns among market participants about a potential repeat of the prolonged 2021–2022 bear market cycle. However, a new development involving Brad Garlinghouse, CEO of Ripple, could introduce a meaningful shift in sentiment.
Garlinghouse has joined the Innovation Advisory Committee of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The appointment is being viewed as a notable milestone not only for Ripple, but also for the broader XRP ecosystem.
A Regulatory Shift That Could Change the Narrative
For nearly five years, Ripple has operated under significant regulatory scrutiny in the United States. Now, the same regulatory environment is inviting industry participants to contribute to policy discussions.
Garlinghouse’s role within the CFTC’s advisory framework may help bridge the gap between regulators and blockchain innovators. Constructive dialogue at the policy level could gradually reduce uncertainty—an issue that has historically weighed on XRP’s valuation and investor confidence.
For XRP supporters, this development signals progress toward regulatory normalization. Participation in advisory discussions does not guarantee immediate regulatory changes. However, it suggests a more collaborative tone between policymakers and crypto industry leaders.
Such engagement could improve Ripple’s standing in U.S. policy debates and potentially contribute to clearer digital asset guidelines over time.
Selling Pressure Exists, But Context Matters
Despite the positive regulatory development, recent profit-and-loss metrics show an uptick in selling activity. Some analysts have drawn comparisons to early warning signs that preceded the 2022 bear market.
However, historical context is important. In 2022, persistent selling pressure extended over nearly four months, with sustained outflows and deteriorating sentiment. In contrast, the current selling phase lacks the duration and intensity that characterized that earlier downturn.
Exchange data indicates that approximately 100 million XRP—valued around $130 million—has moved to trading platforms over the past 10 days. While this is a meaningful figure, it does not yet reflect panic-driven liquidation.
For comparison, in November 2025, roughly 130 million XRP was reportedly sold within just 72 hours, representing a far more aggressive distribution event. Current flows appear more measured and orderly.
Moderate selling pressure combined with improving regulatory optics could allow the market to absorb supply without triggering a cascading decline.
Liquidation Map Suggests Room for Recovery
Liquidation heatmap data suggests that immediate downside risks are not heavily concentrated beneath current price levels. The next major resistance zone is estimated between $1.78 and $1.80—levels that may act as profit-taking zones rather than insurmountable barriers.
The absence of dense liquidation clusters below current prices reduces the probability of forced long liquidations in the near term. If bullish momentum improves, XRP may have room to advance before encountering significant overhead supply.
This relatively flexible technical structure offers a cautiously optimistic outlook, though traders remain attentive to shifts in on-chain activity and broader market sentiment.
Key Price Levels to Watch
At the time of writing, XRP is trading near $1.35 and hovering just below the key $1.36 support level. The next major support sits around $1.27, aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
A decisive break below $1.27 could tilt sentiment toward a more defensive posture, increasing the likelihood of deeper downside toward the $1.11 region. Such a move would invalidate the near-term bullish recovery scenario and potentially extend the corrective phase.
On the upside, reclaiming the $1.51 level would represent an important technical milestone. Sustained strength above this zone could open the path toward the upper supply region near $1.76.
Market participants are closely monitoring whether XRP can stabilize above support while broader macro and regulatory narratives evolve.
Broader Outlook
While XRP remains under short-term pressure, Garlinghouse’s appointment to the CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee introduces a constructive element to the long-term narrative.
Clearer regulatory engagement could help improve institutional confidence over time. However, price recovery ultimately depends on market structure, liquidity conditions, and sustained buying interest.
As always, investors should carefully evaluate risks, monitor on-chain data, and conduct independent research before making financial decisions.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Follow for more in-depth crypto market analysis and regulatory updates.
#XRP #Ripple
#CFTC

Šajās dienās ir novērots kustības no #SEC , es vēlētos zināt, ko jūs domājat par to, kas notiek, un jauno projektu vai to, ko plāno SEC, apvienojoties ar #CFTC . Es gribētu zināt, ko jūs domājat par jaunajām likumdošanām un projektiem, kas tiek plānoti. Mana liela šaubas ir, vai tas būs labi kriptovalūtām vai slikti, jo to mērķis ir klasificēt un regulēt kripto pasauli un noteikt, kas ir vērtība un kas ir valūta. Šeit ir mana liela šaubas: vai tas būs labi lielvarām, kas šobrīd kontrolē tirgu, piemēram, #BTC y #ETH ? Manā skatījumā, brīdis ir pienācis, un, kaut arī bitcoin šobrīd ir cīņā, ethereum joprojām ir spēcīgs un parāda savu patieso vērtību. Manā skatījumā, bitcoin ir uz izlaušanās robežas, un ethereum ir uz lielām pārsteigumiem. Kaut arī ceļš izskatās nedaudz miglains un daži saka, ka tas ir labi, bet citi saka, ka tas ir slikti, un bailes pārspēj btc. Bitcoin vienmēr ir bijusi un būs viena no labākajām valūtām. Es ļoti labi atceros veco stāstu, kurā puisis devās uz maiznīcu un samaksāja ar 10,000 btc. Tas notika 2010. un 2011. gadā, kad bitcoin tikai sāka parādīties, tad tā cena bija vismaz 1 dolārs, bet šodien tā ir dārgākā valūta kripto pasaulē. Es gribu zināt, ko jūs domājat, kungi, es gribu zināt, ko domā profesionāļi, kas pārvalda lielu kapitālu kripto pasaulē, un lai viņi parāda ceļu, ko izvēlēties, lai gan esmu ārkārtīgi iedvesmots un zinu, ka bitcoin atkal pārsniegs 100,000 dolārus.

Galvenie punkti:
CFTC pievienoja 35 locekļus savam Inovāciju konsultatīvajam komitejam, tostarp Ripple, Coinbase, Robinhood, Uniswap Labs un lielo biržu izpilddirektorus.
Paplašināšanās notiek, kad likumdevēji turpina diskutēt par CLARITY likumu un nākotnes regulatīvo sadalījumu starp CFTC un SEC.
Jaunumi - ASV Preču nākotnes līgumu tirdzniecības komisija oficiāli paplašināja savu Inovāciju konsultatīvo komiteju līdz 35 locekļiem, iekļaujot būtisku daļu no kripto nozares savā regulatīvajā orbītā.
Komitejā iekļauts Coinbase izpilddirektors Braians Armstrongs, Ripple izpilddirektors Brads Garlinghouse, Uniswap izpilddirektors Heidens Adams, Robinhood izpilddirektors Vladimirs Tenevs un izpilddirektori no CME Group, Nasdaq, Kraken, Gemini un citiem.

Donalda Trampa administrācija ir izveidojusi jaunu konsultatīvo komandu, Inovāciju konsultatīvo komiteju (IAC), kuru veido kripto un tradicionālās finanses līderi, lai palīdzētu veicināt Amerikas inovācijas.
2023. gada 13. februārī Preču nākotnes tirdzniecības komisija (CFTC) paziņoja Inovāciju konsultatīvās komitejas (IAC) dalībniekus.
Kriptovalūtu nozares pārstāvji ietver Coinbase Brianu Armstrongu, Uniswap izpilddirektoru Heidenu Adamsu, Ripple Bradu Garlinghausu, Chainlink Labs Sergeju Nazarovu un Solanas Anatoliju Jakovenko, starp citiem.