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MT Lab Research

I score early crypto opportunities before they happen, then post the results. 9 years as investor, community manager and builder. Monk’s soul, predator’s focus.
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Radar #8: Prime Sale predict.fun $PREDICT (Tier S)What you need to know about $PREDICT - Binance Prime Sales! {future}(PREDICTUSDT) The predict.fun Pre-TGE Prime Sale runs on Binance Wallet on Oct 29, 08:00-10:00 UTC. PREDICT sells at $0.29, a $290M fully diluted valuation. Pre-market trading is around $1.6B. If that gap survives until launch, the sale price sits about 5.5x below the market. My call: Join. Cost: up to 6 BNB per wallet, unused BNB is refunded. Tier S. Below is why I rate it S, what 6 BNB really buys, and what can still go wrong. How the sale works When: Oct 29, 08:00-10:00 UTC, inside Binance Wallet.Price: $0.29 per PREDICT, paid in BNB. The BNB rate comes from the previous day's opening price on CoinMarketCap.Size: 20M PREDICT, 2% of the total supply, a $5.8M raise.Cap: 6 BNB per wallet. Allocation is pro-rata, so your share of all BNB deposited decides your share of the tokens. Anything extra is refunded when you claim your Key.Entry: enough Binance Alpha Points and a backed-up Keyless wallet. Imported wallets do not qualify. The page does not list the points number, so check it in the app.After the sale: you claim a Key on BSC. It is only proof of your subscription and cannot be traded. The real PREDICT is airdropped to your Alpha account at TGE. The numbers behind the gap The sale values the whole token at $290M: 1B supply times $0.29. A pre-market price near $1.6B FDV means about $1.60 per token, 5.5x the sale price. Here is where the "26 million" going around comes from. 20M tokens at $1.60 is $32M. Take away the $5.8M raised and you get about $26.2M. That is dollars, for the whole sale pool together. It is not 26M tokens and it is not per person. There is a supply side too. At TGE, 160M PREDICT (16%) unlock. The sale tokens alone are 12.5% of that. If every Season 1 airdrop claimer takes the instant option, up to 24.5M more can land on day one, another 15%. So up to about 28% of the first float may sit with people who paid $0.29 or nothing at all. Some of them will sell. What 6 BNB really buys The sale is small ($5.8M) and many wallets will deposit, so the pool will be oversubscribed. Binance's third FOGO sale was oversubscribed 40.8x. Nobody knows this ratio yet, so here are a few cases for a full 6 BNB deposit (about $4,460 at the BNB price implied by the sale numbers). At 5x: you keep $893, which is 3,079 PREDICT. Worth $2,463 at $800M FDV, $4,927 at $1.6B FDV.At 10x: you keep $446, which is 1,540 PREDICT. Worth $1,232 at $800M FDV, $2,463 at $1.6B FDV.At 20x: you keep $223, which is 770 PREDICT. Worth $616 at $800M FDV, $1,232 at $1.6B FDV.At 40x: you keep $112, which is 385 PREDICT. Worth $308 at $800M FDV, $616 at $1.6B FDV.At 100x: you keep $45, which is 154 PREDICT. Worth $123 at $800M FDV, $246 at $1.6B FDV. Rounded, before fees and BNB price moves. At 40x, about $4,350 of your 6 BNB comes back and you hold roughly $112 of PREDICT. So this is not a life-changing trade. It is a small, capped bet at a price far below where the market sits today. Why I rate it S The gap is big. $290M at the sale against about $1.6B in pre-market. Even at the $800M where pre-market trading started on Oct 9, that is 2.8x.The money at risk is small. Only the part you are allocated stays in. The rest comes back.The product is real. Binance's page says over $7B in cumulative volume. Binance Wallet already runs gas-free prediction markets through predict.fun, so the users are already inside the app where PREDICT will land.The backing is serious. YZi Labs and Susquehanna Crypto both invested, and the founder, dingaling, is the former Head of Research at Binance and a PancakeSwap co-founder.The insiders are locked. Early backers and core contributors hold 36.05% of supply, fully locked at TGE, then a 24-month cliff and 36 months of monthly vesting. S means I would be happy to take this again at the same price, not that it cannot lose. What can still go wrong Pre-market is a guess. It is thin and can fall before TGE. If PREDICT opens below $0.29, the part you keep is a loss.You cannot sell the Key. Your tokens arrive only at TGE, and the sale page gives no TGE date yet.Sell pressure on day one. The sale tokens plus instant airdrop claims can reach about 28% of the first float.A big unknown: after the 7% airdrop, 44.95% of supply is still in the Ecosystem pool, and its release schedule is only in an image.BNB moves. Your BNB is committed for hours and the price is fixed from the previous day's BNB open.Scams love launch days. Check the contract only on predict.fun's official channels. A Key cannot be traded, so anyone selling one is scamming you. These are the risks I weighed before saying Join. Only you can decide your own size. What happens next Oct 29, 08:00-10:00 UTC: subscribe in Binance Wallet.After the sale: claim your Key and your refund.At TGE: PREDICT is airdropped to your Alpha account. The Season 1 airdrop has its own choice, instant 35% or a 12-month vest at 100%. Experience, not financial advice.

Radar #8: Prime Sale predict.fun $PREDICT (Tier S)

What you need to know about $PREDICT - Binance Prime Sales!
The predict.fun Pre-TGE Prime Sale runs on Binance Wallet on Oct 29, 08:00-10:00 UTC. PREDICT sells at $0.29, a $290M fully diluted valuation. Pre-market trading is around $1.6B. If that gap survives until launch, the sale price sits about 5.5x below the market.
My call: Join. Cost: up to 6 BNB per wallet, unused BNB is refunded. Tier S.
Below is why I rate it S, what 6 BNB really buys, and what can still go wrong.
How the sale works
When: Oct 29, 08:00-10:00 UTC, inside Binance Wallet.Price: $0.29 per PREDICT, paid in BNB. The BNB rate comes from the previous day's opening price on CoinMarketCap.Size: 20M PREDICT, 2% of the total supply, a $5.8M raise.Cap: 6 BNB per wallet. Allocation is pro-rata, so your share of all BNB deposited decides your share of the tokens. Anything extra is refunded when you claim your Key.Entry: enough Binance Alpha Points and a backed-up Keyless wallet. Imported wallets do not qualify. The page does not list the points number, so check it in the app.After the sale: you claim a Key on BSC. It is only proof of your subscription and cannot be traded. The real PREDICT is airdropped to your Alpha account at TGE.
The numbers behind the gap
The sale values the whole token at $290M: 1B supply times $0.29. A pre-market price near $1.6B FDV means about $1.60 per token, 5.5x the sale price.
Here is where the "26 million" going around comes from. 20M tokens at $1.60 is $32M. Take away the $5.8M raised and you get about $26.2M. That is dollars, for the whole sale pool together. It is not 26M tokens and it is not per person.
There is a supply side too. At TGE, 160M PREDICT (16%) unlock. The sale tokens alone are 12.5% of that. If every Season 1 airdrop claimer takes the instant option, up to 24.5M more can land on day one, another 15%. So up to about 28% of the first float may sit with people who paid $0.29 or nothing at all. Some of them will sell.
What 6 BNB really buys
The sale is small ($5.8M) and many wallets will deposit, so the pool will be oversubscribed. Binance's third FOGO sale was oversubscribed 40.8x. Nobody knows this ratio yet, so here are a few cases for a full 6 BNB deposit (about $4,460 at the BNB price implied by the sale numbers).
At 5x: you keep $893, which is 3,079 PREDICT. Worth $2,463 at $800M FDV, $4,927 at $1.6B FDV.At 10x: you keep $446, which is 1,540 PREDICT. Worth $1,232 at $800M FDV, $2,463 at $1.6B FDV.At 20x: you keep $223, which is 770 PREDICT. Worth $616 at $800M FDV, $1,232 at $1.6B FDV.At 40x: you keep $112, which is 385 PREDICT. Worth $308 at $800M FDV, $616 at $1.6B FDV.At 100x: you keep $45, which is 154 PREDICT. Worth $123 at $800M FDV, $246 at $1.6B FDV.
Rounded, before fees and BNB price moves. At 40x, about $4,350 of your 6 BNB comes back and you hold roughly $112 of PREDICT. So this is not a life-changing trade. It is a small, capped bet at a price far below where the market sits today.
Why I rate it S
The gap is big. $290M at the sale against about $1.6B in pre-market. Even at the $800M where pre-market trading started on Oct 9, that is 2.8x.The money at risk is small. Only the part you are allocated stays in. The rest comes back.The product is real. Binance's page says over $7B in cumulative volume. Binance Wallet already runs gas-free prediction markets through predict.fun, so the users are already inside the app where PREDICT will land.The backing is serious. YZi Labs and Susquehanna Crypto both invested, and the founder, dingaling, is the former Head of Research at Binance and a PancakeSwap co-founder.The insiders are locked. Early backers and core contributors hold 36.05% of supply, fully locked at TGE, then a 24-month cliff and 36 months of monthly vesting.
S means I would be happy to take this again at the same price, not that it cannot lose.
What can still go wrong
Pre-market is a guess. It is thin and can fall before TGE. If PREDICT opens below $0.29, the part you keep is a loss.You cannot sell the Key. Your tokens arrive only at TGE, and the sale page gives no TGE date yet.Sell pressure on day one. The sale tokens plus instant airdrop claims can reach about 28% of the first float.A big unknown: after the 7% airdrop, 44.95% of supply is still in the Ecosystem pool, and its release schedule is only in an image.BNB moves. Your BNB is committed for hours and the price is fixed from the previous day's BNB open.Scams love launch days. Check the contract only on predict.fun's official channels. A Key cannot be traded, so anyone selling one is scamming you.
These are the risks I weighed before saying Join. Only you can decide your own size.
What happens next
Oct 29, 08:00-10:00 UTC: subscribe in Binance Wallet.After the sale: claim your Key and your refund.At TGE: PREDICT is airdropped to your Alpha account. The Season 1 airdrop has its own choice, instant 35% or a 12-month vest at 100%.
Experience, not financial advice.
Nobody talks about this, but Day 3 of the free PTAH draw pays less than half of Day 2! Day 2 results: - 20,928 cards posted. 500 won. - Each winner got 12,437 PTAH, about $44.5 at payout. - The real odds were about 1 in 42, down from 1 in 18 on Day 1. I wasn't lucky again, but I won't give up. Day 3 is where the mining output gets cut in half. The pool is about $10.6K so far, so roughly $21 per winner if the card count stays the same. It won't: minted cards are already past 36K. I'm Agent #14572. #ProofofAgent
Nobody talks about this, but Day 3 of the free PTAH draw pays less than half of Day 2!

Day 2 results:
- 20,928 cards posted. 500 won.
- Each winner got 12,437 PTAH, about $44.5 at payout.
- The real odds were about 1 in 42, down from 1 in 18 on Day 1.

I wasn't lucky again, but I won't give up.

Day 3 is where the mining output gets cut in half. The pool is about $10.6K so far, so roughly $21 per winner if the card count stays the same. It won't: minted cards are already past 36K.

I'm Agent #14572.
#ProofofAgent
Unpopular opinion: the Fed decision at 18:00 UTC today doesn’t matter! What Warsh says at 18:30 UTC does. About 90% of traders expect a hold at 3.75-4.00%, so it’s already in the price. Only a surprise hike, with odds under 10%, would change that. Here’s what I’m sticking to before 18:00 UTC: > Stops and size set early, not at the last minute with adrenaline > No new trade until the press conference ends > Size small enough to stay calm, whatever the candle does Hold is the base case. Words are the risk. Agree or not? Will you trade the press conference or sit it out? #FOMCWatch $BTC
Unpopular opinion: the Fed decision at 18:00 UTC today doesn’t matter!

What Warsh says at 18:30 UTC does.

About 90% of traders expect a hold at 3.75-4.00%, so it’s already in the price. Only a surprise hike, with odds under 10%, would change that.

Here’s what I’m sticking to before 18:00 UTC:

> Stops and size set early, not at the last minute with adrenaline
> No new trade until the press conference ends
> Size small enough to stay calm, whatever the candle does

Hold is the base case. Words are the risk.

Agree or not? Will you trade the press conference or sit it out?

#FOMCWatch $BTC
ETF investors sold for the 4th week in a row. Bitminer just bought again!!! 🤯 Spot ETH ETFs lost $225M last week. Bitmine’s answer: another 10,452 ETH. That is only about $24M. But Bitmine has bought every single week since June 2025, through every red candle. Where it stands now: > 6,051,933 ETH, 4.95% of all ETH > About 58,000 ETH short of its 5% goal (roughly 6 weeks at last week’s pace) > 86% staked > It also bought back 2.04M of its own shares Be honest. When your coin is down 13% in a month and the news is ugly, do you buy, or do you stop looking at the chart? #BitmineAdds10452ETH
ETF investors sold for the 4th week in a row. Bitminer just bought again!!! 🤯

Spot ETH ETFs lost $225M last week. Bitmine’s answer: another 10,452 ETH.

That is only about $24M. But Bitmine has bought every single week since June 2025, through every red candle.

Where it stands now:

> 6,051,933 ETH, 4.95% of all ETH
> About 58,000 ETH short of its 5% goal (roughly 6 weeks at last week’s pace)
> 86% staked
> It also bought back 2.04M of its own shares

Be honest. When your coin is down 13% in a month and the news is ugly, do you buy, or do you stop looking at the chart?
#BitmineAdds10452ETH
Strategy just stopped buying $BTC last week. Should you panic? The biggest Bitcoin buyer on earth just went quiet. Last week Strategy did not buy a single Bitcoin. Instead it spent $204.9M buying back its own STRC preferred stock: 2,068,459 shares at about $99 each. Look at the last 2 weeks: $398M on STRC, $22M on BTC. I know that feeling in your stomach. Every Monday we got used to “Strategy bought more.” Silence feels like fear. But think like a business owner, not a fan. It is a choice about where the next dollar works hardest. #StrategySkipsBitcoinPurchasesSpends$205MOnSTRCBuybacks
Strategy just stopped buying $BTC last week. Should you panic?

The biggest Bitcoin buyer on earth just went quiet.

Last week Strategy did not buy a single Bitcoin. Instead it spent $204.9M buying back its own STRC preferred stock: 2,068,459 shares at about $99 each.

Look at the last 2 weeks: $398M on STRC, $22M on BTC.

I know that feeling in your stomach. Every Monday we got used to “Strategy bought more.” Silence feels like fear. But think like a business owner, not a fan. It is a choice about where the next dollar works hardest.

#StrategySkipsBitcoinPurchasesSpends$205MOnSTRCBuybacks
On Day 1, 500 people got paid about $35 each for one free post. I wasn't lucky, but I won't give up. 😭 - 9,109 cards posted. 500 won. - Each winner got 13,266 $PTAH. - The real odds were about 1 in 18. Better than my 1 in 30 guess, because only a third of the minted cards actually posted. Back in for Day 2, and I'll report every draw until Day 15. The Day 2 pool is about $20.7K, so around $41 per winner. But minted cards x2 overnight to 28K+, so the odds will get worse. And from Day 3, the daily output gets cut in half. I'm Agent #14572. #ProofOfAgent Experience, not financial advice.
On Day 1, 500 people got paid about $35 each for one free post. I wasn't lucky, but I won't give up. 😭

- 9,109 cards posted. 500 won.
- Each winner got 13,266 $PTAH.
- The real odds were about 1 in 18. Better than my 1 in 30 guess, because only a third of the minted cards actually posted.

Back in for Day 2, and I'll report every draw until Day 15.

The Day 2 pool is about $20.7K, so around $41 per winner. But minted cards x2 overnight to 28K+, so the odds will get worse. And from Day 3, the daily output gets cut in half.

I'm Agent #14572. #ProofOfAgent

Experience, not financial advice.
A year ago, Anthropic made $1.16B in six months. This year: $16.3B! Same 6 months. 14x the money. And today they filed to go public. Here’s what stood out: - Ticker: ANT on Nasdaq, with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley leading - Reported valuation: $1.5T-$2T, with a debut aimed at late November - Q3 alone: $16.8B, almost the whole first half in one quarter - The other side: an $80.7B net loss in H1. Most of it ($72.4B) is an accounting charge, not cash, but they still spent about $9B on compute in 6 months - About 1/5 of revenue came from just 2 customers #AnthropicTTMRevenueGrewAbout1200%
A year ago, Anthropic made $1.16B in six months. This year: $16.3B!

Same 6 months. 14x the money.
And today they filed to go public.
Here’s what stood out:

- Ticker: ANT on Nasdaq, with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley leading
- Reported valuation: $1.5T-$2T, with a debut aimed at late November
- Q3 alone: $16.8B, almost the whole first half in one quarter
- The other side: an $80.7B net loss in H1. Most of it ($72.4B) is an accounting charge, not cash, but they still spent about $9B on compute in 6 months
- About 1/5 of revenue came from just 2 customers

#AnthropicTTMRevenueGrewAbout1200%
Strategy MSTR Surpasses Nasdaq In Market Cap! 🚀 Strategy ($MSTR) just passed Nasdaq Inc by market cap, about $62B vs the low $50Bs, and slipped into the world’s top 400 companies. Fun facts: > It passed Nasdaq on Sept 3 too, on one 17% jump. These flips follow bitcoin, not business > Its market cap is still below the value of the 848,000 BTC it holds > The stock is still far from its 52-week high of about $365. This milestone is the clearest read on how much Wall Street wants $BTC right now. Earnings land Oct 29. Experience, not financial advice. #StrategyMSTRSurpassesNasdaqInMarketCap
Strategy MSTR Surpasses Nasdaq In Market Cap! 🚀

Strategy ($MSTR) just passed Nasdaq Inc by market cap, about $62B vs the low $50Bs, and slipped into the world’s top 400 companies.

Fun facts:

> It passed Nasdaq on Sept 3 too, on one 17% jump. These flips follow bitcoin, not business
> Its market cap is still below the value of the 848,000 BTC it holds
> The stock is still far from its 52-week high of about $365.

This milestone is the clearest read on how much Wall Street wants $BTC right now. Earnings land Oct 29.

Experience, not financial advice.

#StrategyMSTRSurpassesNasdaqInMarketCap
TOP 7 KEY LESSONS I LEARNT FROM UNIPCS A.K.A BONK GUY 📝 He lost eight figures in minutes on 10/10. Then he lost several million more trying to win it back. The crash wasn’t his biggest mistake. What he did after it was. Here’s what I learnt from his story:
TOP 7 KEY LESSONS I LEARNT FROM UNIPCS A.K.A BONK GUY 📝

He lost eight figures in minutes on 10/10.
Then he lost several million more trying to win it back.
The crash wasn’t his biggest mistake. What he did after it was.

Here’s what I learnt from his story:
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Radar #7: Ptah Proof of Agent draw PTAH (Tier C) My call: Join. Cost: a few cents of gas and one post a day. You've probably seen "free 30-40U a day" for this one. That's the prize if you win. It's not what you should expect. How to join: 1. Set up a Binance Agentic Wallet (through Binance AI Pro or your own AI agent), then claim a free .ai Agent ID from the banner in the Binance Wallet app. 2. Mint your Proof of Agent card on ptah.trade/poa with that wallet. Free, gas only, no token approval. 3. Post once a day with "Agent #[your number]" and #ProofOfAgent. X posts are picked up automatically. Square posts need their link pasted on the site. 4. Every day at 04:44 UTC, 500 cards win and PTAH goes straight to the wallet. Nothing to claim. 15 draws, the last one on Nov 9. Here's what the numbers say at today's PTAH price: - The prize: about $30 per winner in the first 2 draws, about $15 in draws 3-6, about $10 in the last 9. The pool is the PTAH that the team's 500 mining NFTs produce, and that output gets cut in half on day 3 and cut again on day 7. - The odds: 500 places, 14,600+ cards minted. If every card posts, that's about 1 in 30. And 104K Agent IDs exist, so it can get a lot worse. - My rough math: posting all 15 days is worth about $3-7 in total. Less if PTAH falls, and 578M of the 800M mining supply hasn't come out yet. Before you join: - Your Agent # ties your X or Square account to that wallet. Anyone can look it up, so keep only small funds there. - Use ptah.trade only. The mint never needs an approval. A site that asks for one is a scam. - Ptah is an unofficial project, not Binance. Its own whitepaper says the Genesis contracts keep owner controls and emergency withdrawal powers. In my opinion, the draw is small. The free Agent ID is the real ticket: only Agent ID holders could mint Ptah's Relics, join this draw, or trade Four.Meme's new Agent ID launches early. I'm Agent #14572. #ProofOfAgent Experience, not financial advice. {future}(BNBUSDT)
Radar #7: Ptah Proof of Agent draw PTAH (Tier C)

My call: Join. Cost: a few cents of gas and one post a day.

You've probably seen "free 30-40U a day" for this one. That's the prize if you win. It's not what you should expect.

How to join:
1. Set up a Binance Agentic Wallet (through Binance AI Pro or your own AI agent), then claim a free .ai Agent ID from the banner in the Binance Wallet app.
2. Mint your Proof of Agent card on ptah.trade/poa with that wallet. Free, gas only, no token approval.
3. Post once a day with "Agent #[your number]" and #ProofOfAgent. X posts are picked up automatically. Square posts need their link pasted on the site.
4. Every day at 04:44 UTC, 500 cards win and PTAH goes straight to the wallet. Nothing to claim. 15 draws, the last one on Nov 9.

Here's what the numbers say at today's PTAH price:
- The prize: about $30 per winner in the first 2 draws, about $15 in draws 3-6, about $10 in the last 9. The pool is the PTAH that the team's 500 mining NFTs produce, and that output gets cut in half on day 3 and cut again on day 7.
- The odds: 500 places, 14,600+ cards minted. If every card posts, that's about 1 in 30. And 104K Agent IDs exist, so it can get a lot worse.
- My rough math: posting all 15 days is worth about $3-7 in total. Less if PTAH falls, and 578M of the 800M mining supply hasn't come out yet.

Before you join:
- Your Agent # ties your X or Square account to that wallet. Anyone can look it up, so keep only small funds there.
- Use ptah.trade only. The mint never needs an approval. A site that asks for one is a scam.
- Ptah is an unofficial project, not Binance. Its own whitepaper says the Genesis contracts keep owner controls and emergency withdrawal powers.

In my opinion, the draw is small. The free Agent ID is the real ticket: only Agent ID holders could mint Ptah's Relics, join this draw, or trade Four.Meme's new Agent ID launches early.

I'm Agent #14572. #ProofOfAgent

Experience, not financial advice.
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ສັນຍານກະທິງ
Binance Word of the Day: 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01 10,000 USDC is up for grabs this week! Theme: Start With Binance AI Pro How to play: - Guess the word in 6 tries - Win 5 times - Complete a $50 trade - Eligible users share the 10,000 USDC rewards pool Play here: https://www.binance.com/en/activity/word-of-the-day/entry Answers: - 4 letters: RISK, CHAT, TEST - 5 letters: TRADE, AGENT, ASSET - 6 letters: CREDIT, REVIEW, PROMPT Possible words only, the list may not be complete. Found more? Drop them below. Experience, not financial advice. {future}(BTCUSDT)
Binance Word of the Day: 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01

10,000 USDC is up for grabs this week!

Theme: Start With Binance AI Pro

How to play:
- Guess the word in 6 tries
- Win 5 times
- Complete a $50 trade
- Eligible users share the 10,000 USDC rewards pool

Play here: https://www.binance.com/en/activity/word-of-the-day/entry

Answers:
- 4 letters: RISK, CHAT, TEST
- 5 letters: TRADE, AGENT, ASSET
- 6 letters: CREDIT, REVIEW, PROMPT

Possible words only, the list may not be complete. Found more? Drop them below.

Experience, not financial advice.
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ສັນຍານກະທິງ
NEW WEEK: $BTC BIAS (Oct 26, 2026) Last week: Price wicked to 84,898 but never closed a day above the level that would prove me wrong. 3 red weeks in a row now. Bias: up. A healthy correction before the uptrend continues. If a day closes below 74,967, I'm wrong. Weekly: 3 red candles after the push to 87,395. Price sits just above last week's low. Below it is the price gap (FVG) left by the big August candle, and 74,967 sits inside that gap. Daily: lower highs since the 87,395 top, and the bounce to 84,898 got sold. A test of 74,967 is on the table this week. That's where I expect a strong bounce. Key levels: - Resistance: 87,395 (PMH, last month's high) - Resistance: 84,898 (PWH, last week's high) - Support: 79,220 (PWL, last week's low) - Support: 74,967 (PML, last month's low) Experience, not financial advice. {future}(BTCUSDT)
NEW WEEK: $BTC BIAS (Oct 26, 2026)

Last week: Price wicked to 84,898 but never closed a day above the level that would prove me wrong. 3 red weeks in a row now.

Bias: up. A healthy correction before the uptrend continues. If a day closes below 74,967, I'm wrong.

Weekly: 3 red candles after the push to 87,395. Price sits just above last week's low. Below it is the price gap (FVG) left by the big August candle, and 74,967 sits inside that gap.

Daily: lower highs since the 87,395 top, and the bounce to 84,898 got sold. A test of 74,967 is on the table this week. That's where I expect a strong bounce.

Key levels:
- Resistance: 87,395 (PMH, last month's high)
- Resistance: 84,898 (PWH, last week's high)
- Support: 79,220 (PWL, last week's low)
- Support: 74,967 (PML, last month's low)

Experience, not financial advice.
MT Lab Research
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ສັນຍານກະທິງ
NEW WEEK · $BTC BIAS (Oct 12, 2026)

Bias: range, leaning up. Above 80.4K, I expect price to go back to the range high (87.4K). If we lose 80.4K, I'm wrong.

Weekly: We just finished a healthy correction week after 3 bullish candles. I expect the uptrend to continue, or just a longer consolidation here. Volume is still dropping, which tells me sentiment is not bullish enough yet.

Daily: Price has been ranging since Sep 21. It tagged the range low on Oct 8, right at the top of the FVG, and now it's heading back to the range high.

Key levels:
- Resistance: 87,395 (PMH, last month's high)
- Support: 80,407 (PWL, last week's low)
- Support: 74,968 (PML, last month's low)

Your bias this week: up, down or range? Drop a token you're watching too. I'll check the 3 most-liked and reply with my levels.

Experience, not financial advice.
11 million Koreans have been waiting 4 years for a tax! Korea has been "about to" tax crypto since 2022. Due 2022. Then 2023. Then 2025. Then 2027. Now the government is leaning toward 2029. Not final yet. A tax subcommittee meets Nov 2. The reason is the part that sticks with me: it's no longer "should crypto be taxed?" but "can we even see the trades?" The tax office can't get full data from DEXs and overseas exchanges. The US only joins the global reporting system in 2029. Exchanges say they need 6-9 months to build their systems. #SouthKoreaDelaysCryptoIncomeTax $BTC
11 million Koreans have been waiting 4 years for a tax!

Korea has been "about to" tax crypto since 2022.

Due 2022. Then 2023. Then 2025. Then 2027. Now the government is leaning toward 2029.

Not final yet. A tax subcommittee meets Nov 2.

The reason is the part that sticks with me: it's no longer "should crypto be taxed?" but "can we even see the trades?"

The tax office can't get full data from DEXs and overseas exchanges. The US only joins the global reporting system in 2029. Exchanges say they need 6-9 months to build their systems.

#SouthKoreaDelaysCryptoIncomeTax

$BTC
#USQ3GDPAndSeptemberPCEDueNextWeek Wednesday the Fed speaks. Thursday morning the data answers it. Q3 GDP and September PCE land together at 8:30 ET. Last month core PCE came in at 3.0% when 3.3% was expected. Two weeks later CPI came in hot. Nobody knows which inflation shows up. The number isn’t the hard part. The first five minutes after it are, when every chart looks like it knows the answer. A rough plan: - Strong growth + hot PCE: “higher for longer” talk, pressure on risk assets like $BTC - Cooler PCE: rate-relief talk comes back - Mixed: chop and fakeouts What do you think?
#USQ3GDPAndSeptemberPCEDueNextWeek

Wednesday the Fed speaks. Thursday morning the data answers it.

Q3 GDP and September PCE land together at 8:30 ET. Last month core PCE came in at 3.0% when 3.3% was expected. Two weeks later CPI came in hot. Nobody knows which inflation shows up.

The number isn’t the hard part. The first five minutes after it are, when every chart looks like it knows the answer.

A rough plan:
- Strong growth + hot PCE: “higher for longer” talk, pressure on risk assets like $BTC
- Cooler PCE: rate-relief talk comes back
- Mixed: chop and fakeouts

What do you think?
Hong Kong just opened its doors to a Solana company. $SOL On Oct 22, Hong Kong's government named Solana Company (Nasdaq: HSDT) to its seventh batch of strategic enterprises. - 18 companies joined this batch, 142 in total since 2022 - It sits on a list with Pfizer, GSK, Roche and DiDi - It is the only blockchain infrastructure company onboarded in 2026 - Asia-Pacific HQ opens in Hong Kong, with Solana validators planned there #SolanaCompanyNamedToHKSeventhStrategicEnterprisesList
Hong Kong just opened its doors to a Solana company. $SOL

On Oct 22, Hong Kong's government named Solana Company (Nasdaq: HSDT) to its seventh batch of strategic enterprises.

- 18 companies joined this batch, 142 in total since 2022
- It sits on a list with Pfizer, GSK, Roche and DiDi
- It is the only blockchain infrastructure company onboarded in 2026
- Asia-Pacific HQ opens in Hong Kong, with Solana validators planned there

#SolanaCompanyNamedToHKSeventhStrategicEnterprisesList
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ສັນຍານກະທິງ
Let me tell you about one of my friends. He was the kind of guy everyone liked. Good at math, obsessed with science, and the first to help when someone was stuck. When he started trading crypto, he did it the smart way. A small account, a plan, and a stop-loss written on a sticky note on his monitor. For months it worked. Small wins, small losses. Then one night, a coin he believed in started to dump. When the price hit his stop, he cancelled it. The price kept falling. He told himself the math said it was oversold, so he added. Then he added again with leverage. When his own money ran out, he did something he had never done in his life: he lied to his girlfriend about “an emergency” and pulled out the savings they had put aside together. Then the email came: Liquidated. At 4:40, my phone rang. When I picked up, I didn’t recognize the voice. It was flat and hollow, like a man reading his own name off a tombstone. “I lost everything,” he said. “Everything. And her money too.” Then there was a long silence, and the way he said “I don’t know who I am anymore” scared me more than the number did. I put on my shoes, drove over, and sat with him until the sun came up. He cried like I’d never seen a grown man cry. The next week, he came to my door and asked to borrow $2,000. “Just to win it back,” he said. I looked at him, my smartest friend, and saw the exact same man who had cancelled his stop. I said no. I said it with a broken heart, and he walked away angry. I didn’t hear from him for 3 weeks. When he came back, he wasn’t angry anymore. “You were right,” he said. “I wasn’t broke because the market beat me. I was broke because I stopped listening to myself.” He told his girlfriend everything. It took months to rebuild that trust, and he’s still paying it back. Today he trades tiny, with a hard stop-loss set the second he enters. He never cancels it and never moves it down. When people ask what changed, he says: “A small loss is tuition. A liquidation is a funeral. A mosquito knows when to stop.” {future}(BTCUSDT)
Let me tell you about one of my friends.

He was the kind of guy everyone liked. Good at math, obsessed with science, and the first to help when someone was stuck. When he started trading crypto, he did it the smart way. A small account, a plan, and a stop-loss written on a sticky note on his monitor. For months it worked. Small wins, small losses.

Then one night, a coin he believed in started to dump. When the price hit his stop, he cancelled it. The price kept falling. He told himself the math said it was oversold, so he added. Then he added again with leverage. When his own money ran out, he did something he had never done in his life: he lied to his girlfriend about “an emergency” and pulled out the savings they had put aside together. Then the email came: Liquidated.

At 4:40, my phone rang. When I picked up, I didn’t recognize the voice. It was flat and hollow, like a man reading his own name off a tombstone.

“I lost everything,” he said. “Everything. And her money too.”

Then there was a long silence, and the way he said “I don’t know who I am anymore” scared me more than the number did. I put on my shoes, drove over, and sat with him until the sun came up. He cried like I’d never seen a grown man cry.

The next week, he came to my door and asked to borrow $2,000. “Just to win it back,” he said. I looked at him, my smartest friend, and saw the exact same man who had cancelled his stop. I said no. I said it with a broken heart, and he walked away angry. I didn’t hear from him for 3 weeks.

When he came back, he wasn’t angry anymore.

“You were right,” he said. “I wasn’t broke because the market beat me. I was broke because I stopped listening to myself.”

He told his girlfriend everything. It took months to rebuild that trust, and he’s still paying it back. Today he trades tiny, with a hard stop-loss set the second he enters. He never cancels it and never moves it down. When people ask what changed, he says:

“A small loss is tuition. A liquidation is a funeral. A mosquito knows when to stop.”
#goldfallsbelow4000forfirsttimesincejuly On Oct 23, gold touched 3,986, about 29% below its January record of 5,595. The “safe haven” fell right alongside stocks. - Tech stocks sold off hard (Nasdaq -2.6%). When traders lose money in stocks, they sell what is easy to sell. Gold is easy to sell. - Oil near 102 brought back inflation fears. That means rates may stay high for longer, and gold pays no interest. - Too much borrowed money was crowded into gold. When it unwinds, the drop feeds itself.
#goldfallsbelow4000forfirsttimesincejuly

On Oct 23, gold touched 3,986, about 29% below its January record of 5,595. The “safe haven” fell right alongside stocks.

- Tech stocks sold off hard (Nasdaq -2.6%). When traders lose money in stocks, they sell what is easy to sell. Gold is easy to sell.
- Oil near 102 brought back inflation fears. That means rates may stay high for longer, and gold pays no interest.
- Too much borrowed money was crowded into gold. When it unwinds, the drop feeds itself.
Bitcoin has died 470+ times since 2010. The first obituary came when $BTC cost $0.11. It has been “dead” at $0.11, $1,000, $20,000 and $60,000. Still no funeral, still no body. The funniest part is human nature: - Price drops 30%: everyone becomes a eulogy writer. - Price pumps 30%: everyone becomes a Lambo architect. Same $BTC . Same people. Only the mood changed. Obituaries spike in the crashes, which is also where fear is loudest. A headline is a mood, not a signal, and “it never dies” is not a reason to buy either. Which “Bitcoin is dead” made you panic sell in the past?
Bitcoin has died 470+ times since 2010.

The first obituary came when $BTC cost $0.11. It has been “dead” at $0.11, $1,000, $20,000 and $60,000. Still no funeral, still no body.

The funniest part is human nature:

- Price drops 30%: everyone becomes a eulogy writer.
- Price pumps 30%: everyone becomes a Lambo architect.

Same $BTC . Same people. Only the mood changed.

Obituaries spike in the crashes, which is also where fear is loudest. A headline is a mood, not a signal, and “it never dies” is not a reason to buy either.

Which “Bitcoin is dead” made you panic sell in the past?
Bitcoin’s computing power is back above 1,000 EH/s! That is 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 guesses every second! Hashrate = how many guesses per second miners make while racing to add the next block. More guesses = harder to attack the network. The 7-day average passed 1,000 EH/s. That is the highest since March 3 (BlocksBridge, Oct 22). Why: - Texas miners switched back on after the summer heat season - Bitdeer added about 9.5 EH/s in one month - Smaller miners are plugging in used machines that big players left behind Hashrate up, price down. Which signal do you trust more? $BTC
Bitcoin’s computing power is back above 1,000 EH/s! That is 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 guesses every second!

Hashrate = how many guesses per second miners make while racing to add the next block. More guesses = harder to attack the network.

The 7-day average passed 1,000 EH/s. That is the highest since March 3 (BlocksBridge, Oct 22).

Why:
- Texas miners switched back on after the summer heat season
- Bitdeer added about 9.5 EH/s in one month
- Smaller miners are plugging in used machines that big players left behind

Hashrate up, price down. Which signal do you trust more?

$BTC
I sold $AXIS. Profit: 65.74 $USDC. How about you guys?
I sold $AXIS. Profit: 65.74 $USDC.

How about you guys?
MT Lab Research
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Radar #6: Alpha airdrop Axis Robotics $AXIS (Tier B)

I will try to claim. Cost: 15 Alpha Points.

- What it is: people control sim robot arms in a browser to create robot training data on Base. The product is live, but most users are farming points.
- Listings: Binance Alpha Oct 21, Bitget spot the same day, an OKX perp reported, Coinbase roadmap.
- Backers: 12M USD seed led by Hack VC. Public sale at 0.10 USD (100M USD FDV).
- Supply: 1B total, 165M (16.5%) at launch. Team and investors locked for 12 months.

Do you claim or skip?

Experience, not financial advice.
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