$BTC right now‼️ I’m continuing to trade a technical pattern: a descending wedge. A long position opened near the median line of this formation is already yielding a profit of at least 8%.
In expanding structures, the median line often acts as a strong dynamic level of support or resistance.
There is local resistance in the $82,400.00–$82,600.00 range (where the 200-period moving average, or MA 200, is also currently positioned, acting as resistance). The stop-loss is dynamic.
If the bulls fail to break through the resistance line at $81,800, I will consider opening a short position.
A key characteristic of an expanding wedge is that each subsequent move is wider than the last. This often leads to stop-losses being triggered on both sides. Be prepared for false breakouts (whipsaws) around the median line.
Today's News‼️ ⭕️ Total BTC ETF flow: -$82.4M (BlackRock, Fidelity); ⭕️ Total ETH ETF flow: -$69.7M (BlackRock); ⭕️ Total SOL ETF flow: -$12.7M (Bitwise); 🔴 Yesterday, El Salvador acquired another BTC for its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. They now hold 7,807 BTC; 🔴 Historically, "hash rate ribbons" were considered one of the most reliable signals of capitulation in the Bitcoin market. However, with miners increasingly shifting toward artificial intelligence this year, a decline in the hash rate no longer reflects the same underlying conditions; 🔴 Bitcoin mining difficulty has increased by 5.92% from its previous level, reaching 140.58T; 🔴 Over the past 9 months, Bitcoin has appreciated by 113% against silver. Historically, such a trend points to a bullish outlook for BTC; 🔴 The cost of remittances made using stablecoins is approximately 84% lower than that of traditional transfers: for a $200 transaction, the average fee is $2, compared to $12.72; 🔴 Fidelity: Based on power-law patterns, a new 4-year bull market cycle may be underway. While there is no clear trend visible yet, it is worth noting that bull markets rarely begin with a clear, defined trajectory; 🔴 Orion Engine: $BTC has traditionally exhibited a "stair-step" pattern—a period of consolidation within a specific range, followed by several days of exceptional growth, and subsequently, further fluctuations within a higher range. If this trend continues, we could reach a range of $100,000 to $110,000 by early November; 🔴 Seventy-five percent of cryptocurrency holders in the U.S. want to access digital asset services through the banks they already use, according to a 2026 Sentora survey of 10,000 American crypto holders.
‼️BTC Analysis: A Descending Channel or a Bear Trap? On a local timeframe, Bitcoin is clearly tracing a descending parallel channel (or a descending wedge), within which the price is methodically drifting lower. The zigzag pattern (indicated by white lines) reveals a structure that resembles a potential "double bottom" (a W-pattern).
Historically, such patterns result in an upward breakout 70% of the time. Right now, a major player appears to be shaking out retail investors while absorbing the sell-side volume coming from ETFs.
Under pressure from bears, the price dipped below a key level at $80,089 (marked by a light-blue support line), swept liquidity from leveraged long positions, and—under immediate buying pressure—snapped back into the channel. This is a strong bullish signal (a "bullish liquidity sweep").
The most recent local rebound stalled precisely at the intersection of the channel’s upper boundary and the 200-period moving average (the pink line, located around $82,650–$82,800). This price movement yielded a 7% profit (see my previous post). As long as the price remains below this level, a local pullback is underway. A short position on this move generated at least a 10% profit (see my previous post).
On-chain metrics show an all-time high in the number of wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC. Large players and funds—such as Strategy Inc.—are aggressively accumulating during this dip.
Institutional investors have been taking profits, and inflows into spot ETFs are currently on pause; this is what is holding back a retail-driven rally. My primary expectation is an upward breakout. Locally, we might continue to trade sideways within the $80,000–$81,000 range, but the real upward move will begin once there is an impulsive breakout followed by the price consolidating above the 200-period moving average (MA 200) at $82,800. From there, the path will be clear toward $85,000+.
I will re-evaluate my positions if the price consolidates below the support level at $80,089. Follow for more.
Wishing everyone some profit💰💪
fear_greed
·
--
$BTC today‼️ My previous forecast—which anticipated a potential price decline toward the lower boundary of a hypothetical trading channel—yielded a profit of at least 30%.
In the second image, I illustrated how the price might move if the bulls fail to maintain balance and reach the upper boundary of the projected ascending channel.
Technical analysis and data analytics can help you generate profit. I incorporate both into my posts so that you can learn to recognize market patterns and mechanisms, drawing on my own market experience. I hope you find this insightful.
The core CPI rose only slightly, yet major players used this as a pretext for a correction—a sign that the current trend is weak.
Despite all this negative news, major players are accumulating Bitcoin. If you follow my feed, you’ve likely seen my previous posts on this.
Right now, I am watching to see if the price stabilizes above the lower boundary of the trading channel. I remain of the view that there is no truly negative news for Bitcoin, even with rising inflation. The reason is that the Federal Reserve will eventually begin printing money, and the markets can sense this. Not financial advice.
I have just opened a long position at $82,350 with a tight stop-loss. Don’t forget to use a stop-loss! Not financial advice.
If the sellers keep up the pressure, I will look to open a short position with a 10% profit target, starting from a price level of $81,500.
Today's News‼️ ⭕️ Total BTC ETF flow: +$6.1M (BlackRock); ⭕️ Total ETH ETF flow: -$60.3M (BlackRock, Grayscale); ⭕️ Total SOL ETF flow: -$9.8M (Bitwise, Grayscale); ⭕️ Total HYPE ETF flow: -$10.3M (Bitwise, 21Shares, Grayscale); 🔴 Bitcoin options with a total value of approximately $1.46 billion are set to expire on October 16. The put/call ratio stands at 1.27, and the "max pain" price—the level at which the largest number of option buyers lose their premiums—is $83,000; 🔴 Simultaneously, Ethereum options worth approximately $300 million are also expiring. The put/call ratio is 0.58, with a "max pain" price of $2,500; 🔴 The cumulative trading volume on DEXs for tokenized stocks issued by Coinbase has reached ~$2.8 billion; 🔴 The number of Bitcoin wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC has hit a record high of 20,338, according to a report by on-chain analytics firm Santiment; 🔴 Data from Glassnode indicates that new large buy orders fueled Bitcoin’s price increase following the execution of buy orders above $80,000, while support levels below $80,000 are weakening once again; 🔴 Market data analysis points to the emergence of bearish sentiment in the Bitcoin derivatives segment, where negative funding rates signal the dominance of short positions; 🔴 Based on 30-day growth rates, Binance bStocks is projected to reach a volume of $1 billion in tokenized stocks in approximately 127 days; 🔴 USDC dominates the space for payments made via AI agents using the x402 standard; 🔴 Over the past two months, the number of holders of tokenized stocks on Solana has grown from 400,000 to approximately 1.4 million; 🔴 The final rule for implementing the GENIUS Act—legislation concerning stablecoin regulation—will be released by the end of October, according to the head of the OCC.
$BTC today‼️ My previous forecast—which anticipated a potential price decline toward the lower boundary of a hypothetical trading channel—yielded a profit of at least 30%.
In the second image, I illustrated how the price might move if the bulls fail to maintain balance and reach the upper boundary of the projected ascending channel.
Technical analysis and data analytics can help you generate profit. I incorporate both into my posts so that you can learn to recognize market patterns and mechanisms, drawing on my own market experience. I hope you find this insightful.
The core CPI rose only slightly, yet major players used this as a pretext for a correction—a sign that the current trend is weak.
Despite all this negative news, major players are accumulating Bitcoin. If you follow my feed, you’ve likely seen my previous posts on this.
Right now, I am watching to see if the price stabilizes above the lower boundary of the trading channel. I remain of the view that there is no truly negative news for Bitcoin, even with rising inflation. The reason is that the Federal Reserve will eventually begin printing money, and the markets can sense this. Not financial advice.
I have just opened a long position at $82,350 with a tight stop-loss. Don’t forget to use a stop-loss! Not financial advice.
If the sellers keep up the pressure, I will look to open a short position with a 10% profit target, starting from a price level of $81,500.
Today's News‼️ ⭕️ Total BTC ETF flow: -$264.1M (BlackRock, Fidelity); ⭕️ Total ETH ETF flow: -$129.5M (BlackRock, EZET, Grayscale); ⭕️ Total SOL ETF flow: -$4.9M (Bitwise); ⭕️ Total HYPE ETF flow: -$1.9M (Bitwise, 21Shares); 🔴 MARA, the largest publicly traded mining company, has an average production cost of $59,774 per BTC—well below the current market price. Its hashrate has been growing for two consecutive months, following a nine-month decline. A growing number of miners are feeling optimistic; 🔴 "Whales" are leaning toward opening long positions, while retail traders are doing the exact opposite across several exchanges. This is evidenced by the "Whales vs. Retail Traders Delta" metric; 🔴 Whales have accumulated approximately 60,000 BTC over the past month, signaling a massive absorption of supply and a shift in the buyer profile; 🔴 Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan noted on X that Bitcoin has shown strong price resilience, falling only about 1% despite U.S. inflation data coming in higher than expected. Hougan mentioned that he had anticipated a 3–5% drop in the crypto market following the release, but BTC held steady near $82,600—a performance he described as "impressive"; 🔴 There is currently no euphoria in the Bitcoin market; funding rates are hovering around their historical average; 🔴 Polygon has completed the acquisition of Coinme. The deal will grant Polygon access to 37 money transmitter licenses and 11 exemptions from state-level regulatory requirements; 🔴 Historical parallels with past election cycles and seasonal liquidity inflows point to the potential for stock market growth in November and December; 🔴 The U.S. Department of the Treasury plans to buy back up to $6 billion in long-term bonds tomorrow.
Today's News‼️ ⭕️ Total BTC ETF flow: +$175.62M (BlackRock, Fidelity, Morgan Stanley); ⭕️ Total ETH ETF flow: +$24.84M (Fidelity, Grayscale); 🔴 Volatility markets are showing a peak in interest today; 🔴 Bitcoin is holding above the STH (Short-Term Holder) cost basis, the 200-day moving average, and the yearly moving average. This represents a very powerful set of structural support levels; 🔴 Bitcoin holdings on crypto exchanges continue to decline, potentially creating conditions favorable for further price growth, according to CryptoQuant analysis; 🔴 According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts estimate that approximately $50 billion has flowed into Bitcoin and digital assets this year; 🔴 On X, Reddit, and Telegram, there are 2.05 "bullish" comments on $ETH for every "bearish" one; sentiment clearly indicates FOMO; 🔴 Currently, the number of OUSD holder addresses across four blockchains exceeds 1,100, an increase of ~1,780% compared to a month ago. Tempo leads with 607 addresses, followed by Base (244), Solana (135), and Ethereum (123); 🔴 Most trading of tokenized stocks on Solana and BNB Chain takes place outside of standard US stock market hours, reports Cointelegraph; 🔴 Total Value Locked (TVL) in Lighter on Robinhood Chain has surpassed $100 million. TVL surged by 1,000% — from $10 million in July to $110 million in October 2026; 🔴 The Chinese yuan reached its highest exchange rate against the US dollar since June 2022.
$BTC today‼️ The price is consolidating in the absence of negative news, just as I anticipated. I am trading today within the boundaries of a rough ascending channel on the 1-hour (1H) timeframe. The $82,900 level is acting as strong support. Driven by rising interest, the Bitcoin price is likely to break out in the coming hours. I was mistaken yesterday in assuming that ETF outflows would decrease; let's see what happens today. Outflows have been observed for over 10 days now, but I expect them to pause temporarily, provided the news landscape doesn't deteriorate. As before, I do not believe the Bitcoin price will undergo a significant correction prior to the election.
I am currently holding a long position. The target is marked on the price chart. I am trading with a dynamic stop-loss. I will hold the long position until the target is reached unless I see a high volume of selling; otherwise, I will switch to a short trade ($82090).
Wishing everyone profitable trades💰💪
fear_greed
·
--
$BTC today‼️ The trade based on the previous forecast yielded a profit of at least 20%. Had a long position been opened from the upper boundary of the hypothetical downtrend channel after the post was published, the profit would have been at least 10%. The target of $83,900 has been reached.
Selling pressure is evident right now; however, in my opinion, this selling represents standard price spoofing. A major player is effectively preventing the price from rising above the indicated levels. I do not foresee a surge of negative news before earnings reports are released, which allows bulls to capture short-term profits. Clear signs of buying activity are visible at the $83,500 level.
I intend to open a long position targeting a price of $84,550. I am adjusting my stop-loss. Not financial advice. Do your own research.
$BTC today‼️ The trade based on the previous forecast yielded a profit of at least 20%. Had a long position been opened from the upper boundary of the hypothetical downtrend channel after the post was published, the profit would have been at least 10%. The target of $83,900 has been reached.
Selling pressure is evident right now; however, in my opinion, this selling represents standard price spoofing. A major player is effectively preventing the price from rising above the indicated levels. I do not foresee a surge of negative news before earnings reports are released, which allows bulls to capture short-term profits. Clear signs of buying activity are visible at the $83,500 level.
I intend to open a long position targeting a price of $84,550. I am adjusting my stop-loss. Not financial advice. Do your own research.
Wishing everyone profitable trades💰💪
fear_greed
·
--
$BTC today‼️ Today, I am trading the levels of the hypothetical downtrend channel shown on the price chart. Recent setups have yielded over 30% profit. I plotted a similar pattern on the chart a few weeks ago; if you recall, the price reached $87,000. The targets are modest, as always—10% profit per trade. I am trading off the upper boundary of the hypothetical trading channel (the trade might already be closed by the time this is published).
Sellers dominated during today's Asian session. Although it is effectively a holiday in the US, market activity is picking up noticeably. Corporate earnings reports due tomorrow are likely to be moderate.
For now, I am watching the hypothetical resistance level at $83,900—a point where the bulls are looking to establish a foothold.
We are keeping an eye on ETF flows today; I anticipate buying activity. Not financial advice.
Today's News‼️ ⭕️ Total BTC ETF flow: -$65.4M (BlackRock); ⭕️ Total ETH ETF flow: -$85.4M (BlackRock, Grayscale); ⭕️ Total SOL ETF flow: -$0.7M (VanEck); ⭕️ Total HYPE ETF flow: -$2.3M (Bitwise); 🔴 Bitcoin sellers dominated again on Monday. Over the past 24 hours, 36,800 BTC were transferred to exchanges. Net taker volume turned negative again, indicating that aggressive selling is outweighing buying demand; 🔴 Analysts: The 100-day moving average has crossed above the 200-day moving average. In 8 out of 9 previous instances, the Bitcoin price rose one month later, with a median gain of 13.2%; 🔴 Bitcoin Magazine: Bitcoin funding rates have turned negative for the first time in three months, a trend historically associated with price increases; 🔴 The ETH/BTC ratio fell below 0.03 for the first time since August 19, according to OKX market data; 🔴 Ethereum is showing steady network activity and growth in the number of smart contracts despite price fluctuations; 🔴 Over the weekends of the third quarter, USDC trading volume on decentralized exchanges (DEXs) totaled $40.2 billion, with an average weekend trading volume of $1.37 billion; 🔴 Last week, the notional trading volume on Polymarket US reached $2.72 billion, surpassing the figure of $60.8 million recorded during the first full week of January; 🔴 Trading volume in single-stock options is approaching record levels, trailing only the "meme-stock mania" of 2021; 🔴 JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo are set to release their latest quarterly results today. Other major companies scheduled to report include Johnson & Johnson and UnitedHealth; 🔴 Last week, hedge funds sold off financial stocks at the fastest pace since March.
$BTC today‼️ Today, I am trading the levels of the hypothetical downtrend channel shown on the price chart. Recent setups have yielded over 30% profit. I plotted a similar pattern on the chart a few weeks ago; if you recall, the price reached $87,000. The targets are modest, as always—10% profit per trade. I am trading off the upper boundary of the hypothetical trading channel (the trade might already be closed by the time this is published).
Sellers dominated during today's Asian session. Although it is effectively a holiday in the US, market activity is picking up noticeably. Corporate earnings reports due tomorrow are likely to be moderate.
For now, I am watching the hypothetical resistance level at $83,900—a point where the bulls are looking to establish a foothold.
We are keeping an eye on ETF flows today; I anticipate buying activity. Not financial advice.
Wishing everyone profitable trades💰💪
fear_greed
·
--
$BTC today‼️ My forecast from October 10th has yielded at least 25% profit, and the trade I shared in my last post has generated at least 15%. A higher-risk trade opened on a prediction market is showing over 60% profit—proof is available in the channel feed. Positive sentiment in the commodities market (specifically oil and petroleum products) acted as the catalyst for this rally. I wrote to you about this yesterday; any purchases in the cryptocurrency market would have yielded significant gains. (Not financial advice.)
Barring any critical breaches of agreements regarding commodity markets, I believe Trump’s promise to distribute $5,000 to every American will serve as an additional driver for cryptocurrency market growth. Essentially, the "money printer" could be turned on to rapidly replenish fuel reserves. But that is the positive side.
The negative side lies in the large number of political opponents to this strategy—which aims for stable commodity prices and the resolution of geopolitical issues through diplomacy.
Given these emotional political flare-ups, I strive to analyze them deeply and react by opening either long or short positions. I share this information with you; one needs to trade both directions.
Remember, the most important objective is to close the week above the $83,000 level.
Today's News‼️ 🔴 JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo plan to release their earnings reports on Tuesday, followed by Bank of America and Morgan Stanley on Wednesday. Investors are also awaiting key inflation data: the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) for September are set to be released on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively; 🔴 Crypto analyst Willy Woo has estimated the probability of a Bitcoin signature hack occurring within the next two years at 1.3%; 🔴 Bitcoin is approaching a bullish crossover of the 111-day and 200-day SMAs. BTC is trading above both moving averages, and the trend recovery is gaining momentum; 🔴 The market capitalization of RWA (Real World Assets) on Ethereum has grown by $553.1 million over the past 7 days. Breakdown: zkSync Era: $126.1 million; BNB Chain: +$68.7 million. Ethereum's growth was more than four times that of the next leading network; 🔴 The number of long positions on $ETH at Bitfinex has reached a four-year high; 🔴 Today, Evernorth is listing on Nasdaq via a SPAC under the ticker XRPN. The company plans to acquire a significant amount of XRP tokens for its balance sheet and has already purchased nearly 500 million XRP; 🔴 SUI is investing $30 million in the AI training protocol DATA Network. DATA Network is fully migrating to the Sui platform; 🔴 The rapid decline in the return on capital of leading tech giants, set against the backdrop of a surge in capital expenditures and debt burdens, is becoming a major issue for the AI industry.
$BTC today‼️ My forecast from October 10th has yielded at least 25% profit, and the trade I shared in my last post has generated at least 15%. A higher-risk trade opened on a prediction market is showing over 60% profit—proof is available in the channel feed. Positive sentiment in the commodities market (specifically oil and petroleum products) acted as the catalyst for this rally. I wrote to you about this yesterday; any purchases in the cryptocurrency market would have yielded significant gains. (Not financial advice.)
Barring any critical breaches of agreements regarding commodity markets, I believe Trump’s promise to distribute $5,000 to every American will serve as an additional driver for cryptocurrency market growth. Essentially, the "money printer" could be turned on to rapidly replenish fuel reserves. But that is the positive side.
The negative side lies in the large number of political opponents to this strategy—which aims for stable commodity prices and the resolution of geopolitical issues through diplomacy.
Given these emotional political flare-ups, I strive to analyze them deeply and react by opening either long or short positions. I share this information with you; one needs to trade both directions.
Remember, the most important objective is to close the week above the $83,000 level.
Wishing everyone profitable trades💰💪
fear_greed
·
--
$BTC right now‼️ Unexpectedly positive sentiment has hit the markets. A short-term normalization in the refined oil products market will provide a slight boost to the prices of high-risk assets. I’ve already opened a long position with a stop-loss. The target is closer to $83,900. I’m also considering adding to the position if the price pulls back to $81,800. Not financial advice.
Today's Perspectives‼️ Bitcoin has entered a phase where selling pressure has clearly intensified.
This refers not to actual selling pressure, but to hypothetical pressure. The "Seller Exhaustion" indicator combines supply from profit-takers with volatility (returns) to identify phases of risk and stability.
It is a useful indicator for the short term.
Following the rebound that pushed $BTC above the $85,000 mark, the indicator is signaling a phase where selling pressure is expected to increase. The movement was quite sudden, particularly among short-term holders (STHs).
I don't get too hung up on the exact figures, as volatility tends to subside over time, but the trend is clear.
We have just reached a threshold comparable to levels that signaled local tops earlier in this cycle.
It remains to be seen whether demand can strengthen and contain a potential correction as volatility cools—a scenario that would help the indicator return to normal levels-opinion.
Today's News‼️ ⭕️ Total BTC ETF flow: +$21M (BlackRock+, Fidelity-); ⭕️ Total ETH ETF flow: -$56.51M (BlackRock); ⭕️ Total SOL ETF flow: -$3.8M (Bitwise); ⭕️ Total HYPE ETF flow: $0M; 🔴 XRP ETFs were the only cryptocurrency ETFs to record a net inflow on Thursday, attracting $8 million; 🔴 Thailand will launch trading for spot BTC and ETH ETFs on its stock exchange starting October 16; 🔴 El Salvador purchased another BTC yesterday for its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve; its holdings now total 7,800 BTC; 🔴 The "Altcoin Season Index" has peaked. Historically, following such peaks, some liquidity tends to flow back into Bitcoin and stablecoins. This helps explain why certain altcoins experienced sharper declines than BTC during the recent market drop; 🔴 Ethereum leads in stablecoin market cap growth over the last 7 days. Ethereum: +$243.4 million; Arbitrum One: +$108.6 million; Base: +$51.1 million. Combined, the stablecoin market capitalization across these three chains grew by $403.1 million over the week; 🔴 B3, Brazil's largest stock exchange, is preparing to launch a trading platform for tokenized assets in the first half of next year; 🔴 The AI boom is turning into a debt boom, and credit markets are starting to get nervous. Oracle 5-year CDS are trading near a record high of 261 basis points, implying a 20.4% probability of default. SpaceX: 16.5%. Even Nvidia: >7% (I am watching these figures very closely).
$BTC right now‼️ Unexpectedly positive sentiment has hit the markets. A short-term normalization in the refined oil products market will provide a slight boost to the prices of high-risk assets. I’ve already opened a long position with a stop-loss. The target is closer to $83,900. I’m also considering adding to the position if the price pulls back to $81,800. Not financial advice.
Wishing everyone profits💰💪
fear_greed
·
--
$BTC today‼️ Let’s revisit the price action analysis I shared in my previous post regarding the hypothetical bullish trend support line. Based on market data, I had suggested that major players were distributing Bitcoin within the $87,000–$85,000 range. The subsequent price correction yielded over 60% in profit. Proof is in the channel feed.
Here’s my take. Look how convenient it is: first, you quietly load up a massive Bitcoin long position in the derivatives market. At the same time, you use your billions to aggressively inject liquidity into your own spot ETFs—orchestrating a covert self-buyback (like Amazon sellers do at launch) to manufacture massive trading volumes. The crowd of "degens" sees those green candles, gets hit with intense FOMO, and you smoothly get them on board—not at $75,000, but at the $85,000 highs—promising a quick moonshot to $90,000+. Once you’ve offloaded your long position onto these "hamsters," you flip the script: you open a huge short position and—voilà!—start dumping ETF shares in an avalanche. The market panics and plummets, while you rake in billions in profit from the short.
Yesterday, I secured an 8% profit, realizing there was a catalyst for a correction in the market. However, I didn't short because I wasn't at my terminal; I couldn't even post the news.
It is crucial for the bulls to close Friday above the $83,000 level. Otherwise, I’ll be putting on my "bear suit" again.
Today's News‼️ ⭕️ Total BTC ETF flow: -$244.1M (BlackRock, Fidelity, Bitwise, ARKB, Grayscale); ⭕️ Total ETH ETF flow: -$72.5M (BlackRock, Bitwise, Grayscale, 21Shares); ⭕️ Total SOL ETF flow: -$4.8M (Bitwise); ⭕️ Total HYPE ETF flow: -$9.7M (21Shares); 🔴 Bitcoin recorded its second-highest daily realized profit figure of 2026. Holders locked in profits totaling approximately $1.03 billion, just shy of the year's high of $1.04 billion. This massive wave of profit-taking followed the recent surge in the BTC price above the $87,000 mark; 🔴 If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) comes in higher than expected on October 14, expectations for rate hikes will return, putting Bitcoin under pressure; 🔴 Bitcoin's hashrate is recovering, which recently triggered a "Hash Ribbons" buy signal; 🔴 The public keys for one-third of all Bitcoin are exposed to public view—amounting to 7.1 million BTC, or roughly $589 billion. If the ECDSA algorithm were to be compromised, attackers could seize these coins, leaving owners unable to intervene; 🔴 JPMorgan estimates year-to-date inflows into the crypto market at approximately $50 billion (an annualized rate of about $66 billion). This exceeds the bank's May estimate of $52 billion but remains roughly half of last year's annual total; 🔴 According to Polymarket, there is currently a 59% probability that the Bitcoin price will exceed $90,000 this year; ETH: Open interest has dropped by 11.7%—the lowest level since June 2026; 🔴 Aptos has updated its tokenomics: 210 million APT tokens will be permanently locked, and staking rewards will be cut in half; 🔴 Altcoins are moving in the opposite direction to Bitcoin. The 14-day average correlation between altcoins and BTC has turned negative, reaching its lowest level since July 30, 2025—a rare market divergence, given that prices usually move in sync.
#DataUpdate ‼️ According to a Goldman Sachs analysis, daily equity turnover has reached unprecedented highs, while the market's "cushion" (resilience) has fallen to an all-time low.
The bulk of trading activity is driven by derivatives, options, and leveraged funds—instruments that consume liquidity rather than create it.
This imbalance renders the financial system extremely fragile and vulnerable to sharp price swings should negative catalysts emerge.
Consequently, any significant selling pressure could instantly deplete remaining reserves, turning a standard correction into a massive market crash.
$BTC today‼️ Let’s revisit the price action analysis I shared in my previous post regarding the hypothetical bullish trend support line. Based on market data, I had suggested that major players were distributing Bitcoin within the $87,000–$85,000 range. The subsequent price correction yielded over 60% in profit. Proof is in the channel feed.
Here’s my take. Look how convenient it is: first, you quietly load up a massive Bitcoin long position in the derivatives market. At the same time, you use your billions to aggressively inject liquidity into your own spot ETFs—orchestrating a covert self-buyback (like Amazon sellers do at launch) to manufacture massive trading volumes. The crowd of "degens" sees those green candles, gets hit with intense FOMO, and you smoothly get them on board—not at $75,000, but at the $85,000 highs—promising a quick moonshot to $90,000+. Once you’ve offloaded your long position onto these "hamsters," you flip the script: you open a huge short position and—voilà!—start dumping ETF shares in an avalanche. The market panics and plummets, while you rake in billions in profit from the short.
Yesterday, I secured an 8% profit, realizing there was a catalyst for a correction in the market. However, I didn't short because I wasn't at my terminal; I couldn't even post the news.
It is crucial for the bulls to close Friday above the $83,000 level. Otherwise, I’ll be putting on my "bear suit" again.
Wishing everyone profits💰💪
fear_greed
·
--
$BTC today‼️ I’m trading a bounce off the trend line around the $85,620 level, with a stop-loss in place. I’m already slightly in profit. The target is 10–15%. As usual.
Despite the unstable geopolitical backdrop, the bulls are finding support through buying activity from certain institutional funds. I assume you’ve seen the news today.
It’s also worth noting the rise in the Coinbase BTC Premium Index; over the last hour, it has moved into positive territory. If the bulls manage to hold the price near the support line, I’ll keep holding my long position.
Polygon posted an encouraging update on X today. I’m continuing to accumulate the token around the $0.10 level. Not financial advice.