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#bitcoin has moved into a new subcycle between $81k-$89k after establishing the former resistance channel ($76k–$71k) as support.

The price paused at top of resistance channel($86k) and is currently testing the bottom of channel helping to fill advanced buy orders, since we have fully sold this channel and the average price Short Hedge Position is near the 50% level($83k) of channel.

If the price rises to $89k, it opens a high-probability window to advance another subcycle and we’ll be ready to double the short hedge position between $92k-$100k, following break of the 3-point control level without a subcycle reversal — which dramatically increases the probability that next move will be a full retracement, opening an opportunity to close out the short hedge position.

The target for hedge position is below $78k down to support channel — this target changes if price advances to $89k after testing lower zone current resistance channel.

Our expectation is that #BTC price will complete a full rotation in this subcycle, once we reach 100% and create a distribution zone within the current channel, where we have been for about 18 days.
Time matters because it generates volume, traps traders in certain key regions and wears down investors’ patience.

In our last analysis, we emphasized that in addition to the short position — which we’ve increased and continue to increase within current resistance channel, just as we do in all channels — the new long position we’ve begun building in previous resistance channel acts as a counterbalance to hedge that has already paid off and we’re taking the same approach in current channel($81k–$86k) because the same movement may or may not occur.

If the market completes a full retracement down to support channel of current subcycle, we will close 95% Short Hedge Position (increasing amount BTC) and double the advanced Long Position we’re building in the current channel — the expected average price for this position is $72k–$73k under this scenario.

#technicalanalyst #ta $BTC

#bitcoin is above the MVRV Fair Value — currently at ~$79k

This average was breached on October 10, 2025 — and has remained below it ever since, throughout the entire bear market.

If BTC breaks above this indicator and tests this region as support, it confirms reversal of bear market — the current scenario is similar to historical patterns.

When a bear market begins (price below MVRV fair value), this average tends not to be reached during the trend, historically.
Once #BTC price breaks above this line, it’s game over for the bears — see the chart.

#Onchain #technicalanalyst #Bull $BTC

$93.39 million in #bitcoin Long positions liquidated🩸 in last few hours

#BTC price dropped 🔻 $85k to $83k around -2.50% so far

#Liquidations #Rekt #long $BTC

#bitcoin Price Momentum is losing strength🔻 as the price encounters resistance in the short term — which could set conditions for deeper pullbacks.

The indicator shows a bearish divergence 👀

#BTC #technicalanalyst #bearish #signal $BTC

In the last technical analysis update, I emphasized that the $64k support level increases likelihood that #BTC price will rebound and continue its recovery.

We’ve circled it in yellow ($78k) — a new control point, a new subcycle— the price is here and has successfully completed a full rotation.

I increased my Short Hedge positions during this move by filling orders mainly within the resistance channel ($71k–$76k) — as I mentioned I would do about a month ago — track everything by following the thread!
The Long position in the support channel we built during last bearish move — a two-channel retracement — paid off and has already been completely closed.

#bitcoin price has not yet broken out of the current subcycle — to do so, it must break through $78k or $58k.
If the price establishes current resistance channel ($71k–$76k) as new support, it opens the door for $78k to be broken and for price to expand into a new subcycle, setting a target at $81k–$89k — this move will only occur if $73k holds as the main support (former resistance — new support).

I’ve started building a new Long position within the current resistance channel ($76k–$71k) — in anticipation that this channel will flip to support, countering active Short Hedge.
Staying humble in the face of volatility, building positions, and prepared for movements in both directions of the market.

#technicalanalyst #ta #bullish $BTC

Miner Capitulation Index #bitcoin reaches 95 🔺

Highest level in 11 years ⚠️

#miners #BTC #CYCLE $BTC

Coinbase Premium Z-Score hits new 2026 high🔥 signaling a return of institutional appetite for #bitcoin
 
About a month ago, we highlighted an active bullish divergence in this indicator, which influenced the relief in short-term selling pressure from institutional investors on #BTC acting in that region.

#technicalanalyst #coinbase #buy $BTC

Long-Term Holders are losing momentum in potential selling volume to exchanges since the June 2026 low

After three descending tops, we caution that this signal opens the door for a #bitcoin recovery 🤝

Now, this recovery movement could evolve into an actual reversal as long as the Exchange CDD Pressure Index remains below the Neutral Zone — we will continue to monitor.

#BTC #Onchain #Bull #technicalanalyst $BTC

#bitcoin still in Oversold territory relative to gold
 
This correlation has been weakening since February/2026, moving closer to the equilibrium point between two assets.
 
#BTC and Gold tend to move in sync most of time, though sometimes Bitcoin outperforms Gold or vice versa, as in 2025 when gold rises 38% while BTC drops -50%.
 
Anyone who has been trading #GOLD for #BTC recently is technically making a good deal in the medium term, as Bitcoin is down 50% from its ATH and Gold is down 27%, with BTC having greater upside potential over the next few years compared to Gold up potential.

#Macro