After multiple requests from some followers, I’ve decided to open something private.
What I share publicly is only a fraction of the full picture. The market is a game of liquidity, timing, and understanding. Most people always arrive… too late.
Today, I’m officially opening The Alpha Board, a private group built for those who want to see the move before it happens, not after.
Inside, you’ll get: • Advanced market analysis ($BTC , Stocks, macro) • Key liquidity zones & forward scenarios • Smart money flow breakdowns • Clear market structure insights • Direct access + a serious community
This is NOT a signals group. This is where you build a real edge. If you’re tired of: - following the crowd - entering too late - not understanding why the market moves
Then this is exactly for you. Founder one-time access: $39 Limited spots available
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The market doesn’t reward the fastest. It rewards the most prepared.
Here's a rough visualization of how I see the most likely scenarios playing out. If you average them, you'll get a feel for the broad concept I have. I can absolutely be wrong, but it's my take on things currently.
Note that I give the diagonal (dotted) trend lines some importance in controlling the price movements as well as the horizontal support levels.
This falls in alignment with my other post on the odds I give these Bitcoin scenarios.
The time between each $BTC Halving and the bottom of the following Bear Market has been approximately 900 days.
The current cycle is already at day 827.
Based on this pattern, we can say that Bitcoin is already building its price bottom, with a potential final bottom forming sometime within the next two months.
$ETH is currently trading around $1,844. The 3-day heatmap shows strong intensity both above and below current price. The highest liquidation leverage is concentrated right below, in the zone marked Meanwhile, bright bands above $1,900 also indicate notable short liquidation risk.
If price breaks lower, the heavy leverage below could trigger cascading long liquidations. A move higher may still sweep the overhead shorts.
Gold $XAUT and precious metals are under pressure… but the most important technical signal has not broken yet. Precious metals came under clear pressure today as energy prices and bond yields surged. Despite that, the recent breakout from the triangle pattern remains intact for now. And this is the key point: The market has not yet confirmed that the correction lasting roughly six months is over. Strong resistance levels still remain above current prices, and breaking through them will be essential before we can confidently talk about the beginning of a new, sustainable uptrend. Since the war with Iran began, markets have become extremely sensitive to headlines: A sharp rise in oil prices… A surge in bond yields… A decline in gold… Then a sudden reversal following a political statement or new military development. The problem today is not a lack of information. It is the sheer amount of information and how contradictory it can be. Investors are trying to price in multiple major variables at the same time: The war and the risk of escalation. Volatility in oil and energy prices. Rising bond yields. A new phase in Federal Reserve policy. The impact of AI on growth, productivity, and employment. Concerns over asset bubbles and debt. Increasing political tensions. That is why one of the most dangerous mistakes right now may be interpreting every daily move as the beginning of a new trend. In markets filled with noise, patience is not a passive position it is part of risk management. The key question now is: Can gold break through the upcoming resistance levels and confirm that the six-month correction is over? Or have the markets still not had their final say? $XAG
🚨 Bitcoin's strongest hands just sent a massive signal. $BTC long-term holder accumulation hit 1.29M BTC over 30 daysnthe highest level in 6 years. Smart money was aggressively accumulating while price was near its lows. That doesn't guarantee a new bull run. But it tells us one thing: Long-term conviction is still very much alive. BTC has already rallied from $58K to $66K. Now the key level is the $68K STH realized price. A sustained close above it could change the short-term trend. Do you think BTC can close above the STH RP (68K) in Q3?
$ADA has a problem. ADA Cardano has lost most of its investors and crypto influencers Since its 2021 peak, Cardano has seen: Declining on-chain activity Less social attention Fewer influencers discussing the project Meanwhile, networks like Ethereum, BSC (BNB), and Tron continue to attract strong activity and attention. Is Cardano simply being overlooked during a weak market? Or did slow execution and unfulfilled promises permanently damage its narrative? The lack of interest could be a warning. Or an opportunity. Something to think about.
I still don’t see a clear deleveraging signal in Bitcoin.
But I believe it could happen within the next 60 to 70 days.
That is the signal I am waiting for before opening a long-term Long position.
Patience now could create one of the best opportunities of this cycle.
Bluechip
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$BTC is now at the “slight leverage” level, and here is why it matters right now.
After the deleveraging event we saw in recent weeks, traders are starting to overload the market with leveraged positions again, probably under the belief that the price bottom is already in.
This can last for a few more days until high leverage returns once again.
Periods of aggressive leverage are terrible for the market because they signal that many liquidations may be ahead.
If leverage keeps increasing again, I do not believe in a price rally. I believe in more downside.
And as I said before, I am still waiting for the blue and purple zones, because those are extreme deleveraging events that historically offered better conditions to position with more confidence.
Right now, the best move is simply to wait and monitor the data.
Intel, $INTCB erases its +15% post-earnings rally and falls -4% on the day.
The stock has now erased -$90 billion in market cap since 4:20 PM ET yesterday.
Bluechip
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$INTCB just delivered its strongest revenue growth in 15 years. Revenue: $16.1B (+25% YoY) AI & Data Center: +59% Gross margin: 27.5% → 40.4% Operating cash flow: $7B Net loss: $11B. How? A $12.5B accounting charge tied to Intel's rising stock price and its CHIPS Act obligations. No $12.5B cash disappeared. The irony? Intel's stock rallied 160%+ this year and that rise helped create the accounting loss. Sometimes the biggest loss on the income statement is caused by the stock going up.
Maybe $SOL , $XRP , and $HYPE still have one final drop ahead, designed to liquidate the remaining bulls and push spot investors into giving up and selling at a realized loss.
I do not believe it will be that simple or easy.
This is the crypto market I know. Still, my feeling is that this wave of long liquidations is already approaching its end.