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AREWA CRYPTO

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“I lost everything… From something Nothing Futures trading wiped my portfolio… Future finishes me No stop loss….” 😭😭😭 😭😭😭 😭😭😭 Not me Ooo. . . . Honestly, this is the kind of story I keep seeing over and over again 😂🤣 Market moves small… account goes to zero. Leverage high… discipline low… outcome predictable 😹 Couldn’t be me though. I stay on SPOT — simple, controlled, and most importantly… protected. Every trade has a plan, every entry has a stop loss. Because in this market, survival isn’t luck… it’s structure. Trade smart… or learn the hard way 😂📉
“I lost everything…

From something Nothing

Futures trading wiped my portfolio…

Future finishes me

No stop loss….”

😭😭😭

😭😭😭

😭😭😭

Not me Ooo. . . .

Honestly, this is the kind of story I keep seeing over and over again 😂🤣

Market moves small… account goes to zero.
Leverage high… discipline low… outcome predictable 😹

Couldn’t be me though.

I stay on SPOT — simple, controlled, and most importantly… protected.
Every trade has a plan, every entry has a stop loss.

Because in this market, survival isn’t luck… it’s structure.

Trade smart… or learn the hard way 😂📉
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IF YOU ARE A CRYPTO HOLDER MUST READ THIS ELSE YOU WILL LOSE FUNDS.Cryptocurrency holders should be familiar with the following: The technology behind the cryptocurrencies they hold, including the principles of cryptography and the decentralized nature of the blockchain. The potential risks and rewards of investing in cryptocurrencies, and how to manage those risks effectively. The different types of wallets and storage options available, and how to securely manage their private keys. The latest news and developments in the cryptocurrency world, in order to make informed decisions about when and where to invest. The basic principles of financial planning and investment, including diversification and risk management, to help them make the most of their cryptocurrency holdings. The legal and regulatory environment surrounding cryptocurrencies, and how it may impact their investments. The potential impact of taxes on their cryptocurrency holdings, and how to properly report and pay them. The potential for scams in the cryptocurrency world, and how to protect themselves against them Cryptocurrency holders should be aware of the potential for scams in the cryptocurrency world. These can include fake or fraudulent ICOs (Initial Coin Offerings), Ponzi schemes, phishing attacks, and other fraudulent activities. To avoid falling victim to these scams, it is important to do thorough research and due diligence before investing in any cryptocurrency or ICO, and to be wary of any offers or opportunities that seem too good to be true. Additionally, never share your private keys with anyone and only use trusted and secure wallets and exchanges to manage your cryptocurrencies.

IF YOU ARE A CRYPTO HOLDER MUST READ THIS ELSE YOU WILL LOSE FUNDS.

Cryptocurrency holders should be familiar with the following:
The technology behind the cryptocurrencies they hold, including the principles of cryptography and the decentralized nature of the blockchain.
The potential risks and rewards of investing in cryptocurrencies, and how to manage those risks effectively.
The different types of wallets and storage options available, and how to securely manage their private keys.
The latest news and developments in the cryptocurrency world, in order to make informed decisions about when and where to invest.
The basic principles of financial planning and investment, including diversification and risk management, to help them make the most of their cryptocurrency holdings.
The legal and regulatory environment surrounding cryptocurrencies, and how it may impact their investments.
The potential impact of taxes on their cryptocurrency holdings, and how to properly report and pay them.
The potential for scams in the cryptocurrency world, and how to protect themselves against them
Cryptocurrency holders should be aware of the potential for scams in the cryptocurrency world. These can include fake or fraudulent ICOs (Initial Coin Offerings), Ponzi schemes, phishing attacks, and other fraudulent activities. To avoid falling victim to these scams, it is important to do thorough research and due diligence before investing in any cryptocurrency or ICO, and to be wary of any offers or opportunities that seem too good to be true. Additionally, never share your private keys with anyone and only use trusted and secure wallets and exchanges to manage your cryptocurrencies.
🔐 Bitget Confirms $351.6M Security Breach Bitget has confirmed a $351.6 million hack, making it one of the largest centralized exchange security incidents of 2026. The breach was first flagged through unusual on-chain activity, with initial estimates of $150–170 million in outflows from Bitget-labeled wallets before the full scale became clear. Affected assets span XRP, Ethereum, stablecoins, and tokenized assets. The incident unfolded alongside Binance's separate $100 million investment in stablecoin issuer Circle. Centralized exchanges remain a primary target for large-scale crypto theft, with this breach adding to a growing list of major security incidents in the industry.
🔐 Bitget Confirms $351.6M Security Breach

Bitget has confirmed a $351.6 million hack, making it one of the largest centralized exchange security incidents of 2026.

The breach was first flagged through unusual on-chain activity, with initial estimates of $150–170 million in outflows from Bitget-labeled wallets before the full scale became clear. Affected assets span XRP, Ethereum, stablecoins, and tokenized assets. The incident unfolded alongside Binance's separate $100 million investment in stablecoin issuer Circle.

Centralized exchanges remain a primary target for large-scale crypto theft, with this breach adding to a growing list of major security incidents in the industry.
🚨 Coinbase Scammer Sentenced After Stealing $15.9M from 100 Users Ronald Spektor has been sentenced to 4–12 years in prison in New York after running a scam that drained roughly $15.944 million from around 100 Coinbase users. The scheme targeted real crypto holders through social engineering or impersonation tactics tied to the Coinbase platform. When the scammer gets sentenced to more years than most people hold a memecoin, justice moves faster than the market.
🚨 Coinbase Scammer Sentenced After Stealing $15.9M from 100 Users

Ronald Spektor has been sentenced to 4–12 years in prison in New York after running a scam that drained roughly $15.944 million from around 100 Coinbase users.

The scheme targeted real crypto holders through social engineering or impersonation tactics tied to the Coinbase platform.

When the scammer gets sentenced to more years than most people hold a memecoin, justice moves faster than the market.
🐶 Dogecoin Drops 8% as Treasury Yields Spike Bitcoin slipped under $84,000 and Dogecoin led token losses with an 8% drop as macro pressure hit crypto markets hard. Rising Treasury yields — now at their highest level since 2007 — drove the selloff. A rebound in oil prices, a strong U.S. business survey, and a weak five-year note auction all pushed borrowing costs higher, squeezing risk assets across the board. DOGE feeling the macro weight so the rest of us don't have to.
🐶 Dogecoin Drops 8% as Treasury Yields Spike

Bitcoin slipped under $84,000 and Dogecoin led token losses with an 8% drop as macro pressure hit crypto markets hard.

Rising Treasury yields — now at their highest level since 2007 — drove the selloff. A rebound in oil prices, a strong U.S. business survey, and a weak five-year note auction all pushed borrowing costs higher, squeezing risk assets across the board.

DOGE feeling the macro weight so the rest of us don't have to.
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Binance Will List Hyperliquid (HYPE) with Seed Tag Applied Binance will list Hyperliquid (HYPE) and open trading for the HYPE/USDT, HYPE/USDC, and HYPE/TRY spot trading pairs at 2026-09-24 11:00 (UTC). 👉🏻Learn more here
Binance Will List Hyperliquid (HYPE) with Seed Tag Applied

Binance will list Hyperliquid (HYPE) and open trading for the HYPE/USDT, HYPE/USDC, and HYPE/TRY spot trading pairs at 2026-09-24 11:00 (UTC).

👉🏻Learn more here
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🐸 PEPE Surges 50% in a Week as Golden Cross Forms PEPE is having a moment. The frog-themed memecoin has climbed roughly 50% over the past seven days, with a golden cross forming on its chart — a technical pattern where a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term one, historically associated with bullish momentum. At least one analyst has floated a potential 220% extension from current levels, though no timeline or price target was specified in the source. PEPE trades on Ethereum and is one of the largest memecoins by market cap — so when the frog wakes up, the whole pond notices. Ribbit or regret — the chart is talking, but the market always has the last word.
🐸 PEPE Surges 50% in a Week as Golden Cross Forms

PEPE is having a moment. The frog-themed memecoin has climbed roughly 50% over the past seven days, with a golden cross forming on its chart — a technical pattern where a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term one, historically associated with bullish momentum.

At least one analyst has floated a potential 220% extension from current levels, though no timeline or price target was specified in the source.

PEPE trades on Ethereum and is one of the largest memecoins by market cap — so when the frog wakes up, the whole pond notices.

Ribbit or regret — the chart is talking, but the market always has the last word.
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Uniswap Surges 10.03% on CME Futures Listing and Bullish Narrativealready in a powerful narrative: Regulatory tailwind: SEC exemption for tokenized stocks onchain.Structural role: Uniswap as a primary AMM venue for tokenized equities and other RWA style assets.Capital rotation: Flows into "market infrastructure" tokens rather than random altcoins, with UNI named among key beneficiaries. This backdrop makes it easier for a fresh "CME futures listing" headline to trigger aggressive incremental buying, since many traders were already primed with a bullish thesis and exposure. Momentum, Short Squeeze, and Technical Breakout The structure of the move suggests the CME news hit an already extended but still active breakout, leading to a momentum and possibly short covering spike. Technical breakout context: Multiple analysts had been highlighting a breakout in UNI after a long consolidation. One technician described UNI/USDT breaking out of a rectangle range with resistance near $10 and projecting potential upside toward $19–$20 if $10 breaks, framing it as bulls "reclaiming control as breakout momentum builds". Source.Prior multi week rally: Another analyst pointed out UNI was up over 120% from earlier coverage, having successfully retested a macro downtrend line on the weekly chart as new support, which enabled another significant leg higher. This indicates a strong bullish trend already in place before the last 2 hour move. Source.Detected accumulation: A trader tracking order flow described accumulation signals for UNI, noting that price was rebounding toward the upper edge of an accumulation zone and that their "accumulation score" had fallen to 50, suggesting that the accumulation phase was ending and the next move was about to begin. Source.Microstructure of the spike: The UNIUSDT metrics snapshot for the same 1 hour window shows a textbook "news on trend" spike: Those data points are consistent with: A crowded or at least well watched breakout where shorts and late sellers are vulnerable.New longs and hedged positions entering as the CME news hits and the token pushes toward a psychologically important round level ($10).Momentum traders and systems reacting to both the tape (sudden volume, break of intraday resistance) and the headline (CME futures). Combined with the regulatory narrative, this structure means the CME headline did not act in a vacuum. Instead, it landed at a moment when: UNI had already rerated sharply over the prior week.Many traders had a bullish bias and were looking for confirmation or an extra catalyst.Technical levels and positioning allowed a 1-2 hour move of around 10 percentage points once fresh news arrived. Conclusion Putting the pieces together, the most credible explanation for UNI’s roughly 10 percentage point move in the last 2 hours is that a "CME will list UNI futures" announcement hit a market that was already primed by: A strong existing rally driven by the SEC’s 5 year Innovation Exemption for tokenized US stocks and UNI’s perceived role in that stack.A clear technical breakout and accumulation pattern with UNI pushing toward $10, which made it highly sensitive to new positive headlines.Elevated liquidity and derivatives activity that could quickly translate fresh demand and short covering into a sharp 1-2 hour spike. Confidence: Medium, because the CME listing information is sourced from high profile X posts rather than a directly cited CME press release, but the timing, volume profile, and broader regulatory narrative align closely with the observed move.

Uniswap Surges 10.03% on CME Futures Listing and Bullish Narrative

already in a powerful narrative:
Regulatory tailwind: SEC exemption for tokenized stocks onchain.Structural role: Uniswap as a primary AMM venue for tokenized equities and other RWA style assets.Capital rotation: Flows into "market infrastructure" tokens rather than random altcoins, with UNI named among key beneficiaries.
This backdrop makes it easier for a fresh "CME futures listing" headline to trigger aggressive incremental buying, since many traders were already primed with a bullish thesis and exposure.
Momentum, Short Squeeze, and Technical Breakout
The structure of the move suggests the CME news hit an already extended but still active breakout, leading to a momentum and possibly short covering spike.
Technical breakout context: Multiple analysts had been highlighting a breakout in UNI after a long consolidation. One technician described UNI/USDT breaking out of a rectangle range with resistance near $10 and projecting potential upside toward $19–$20 if $10 breaks, framing it as bulls "reclaiming control as breakout momentum builds". Source.Prior multi week rally: Another analyst pointed out UNI was up over 120% from earlier coverage, having successfully retested a macro downtrend line on the weekly chart as new support, which enabled another significant leg higher. This indicates a strong bullish trend already in place before the last 2 hour move. Source.Detected accumulation: A trader tracking order flow described accumulation signals for UNI, noting that price was rebounding toward the upper edge of an accumulation zone and that their "accumulation score" had fallen to 50, suggesting that the accumulation phase was ending and the next move was about to begin. Source.Microstructure of the spike: The UNIUSDT metrics snapshot for the same 1 hour window shows a textbook "news on trend" spike:
Those data points are consistent with:
A crowded or at least well watched breakout where shorts and late sellers are vulnerable.New longs and hedged positions entering as the CME news hits and the token pushes toward a psychologically important round level ($10).Momentum traders and systems reacting to both the tape (sudden volume, break of intraday resistance) and the headline (CME futures).
Combined with the regulatory narrative, this structure means the CME headline did not act in a vacuum. Instead, it landed at a moment when:
UNI had already rerated sharply over the prior week.Many traders had a bullish bias and were looking for confirmation or an extra catalyst.Technical levels and positioning allowed a 1-2 hour move of around 10 percentage points once fresh news arrived.
Conclusion
Putting the pieces together, the most credible explanation for UNI’s roughly 10 percentage point move in the last 2 hours is that a "CME will list UNI futures" announcement hit a market that was already primed by:
A strong existing rally driven by the SEC’s 5 year Innovation Exemption for tokenized US stocks and UNI’s perceived role in that stack.A clear technical breakout and accumulation pattern with UNI pushing toward $10, which made it highly sensitive to new positive headlines.Elevated liquidity and derivatives activity that could quickly translate fresh demand and short covering into a sharp 1-2 hour spike.
Confidence: Medium, because the CME listing information is sourced from high profile X posts rather than a directly cited CME press release, but the timing, volume profile, and broader regulatory narrative align closely with the observed move.
Is $BTC dropping anytime soon?
Is $BTC dropping anytime soon?
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Notice of Removal of Margin Trading Pairs - 2026-09-25 Binance Margin will delist the following margin trading pairs at 2026-09-25 06:00 (UTC). - Cross Margin Pairs: NOM/USDC, 1MBABYDOGE/USDC, SSV/USDC, BANANA/USDC, OPN/USDC, MANTA/USDC, STO/USDC - Isolated Margin Pairs: NOM/USDC, 1MBABYDOGE/USDC, OPN/USDC, MANTA/USDC, STO/USDC
Notice of Removal of Margin Trading Pairs - 2026-09-25

Binance Margin will delist the following margin trading pairs at 2026-09-25 06:00 (UTC).
- Cross Margin Pairs: NOM/USDC, 1MBABYDOGE/USDC, SSV/USDC, BANANA/USDC, OPN/USDC, MANTA/USDC, STO/USDC
- Isolated Margin Pairs: NOM/USDC, 1MBABYDOGE/USDC, OPN/USDC, MANTA/USDC, STO/USDC
📊 DOGE, PEPE and SHIB Push Higher in Weekly Rebound The memecoin market moved up on Sept. 20, with major tokens trading above recent lows across the board. Dogecoin was near $0.088, PEPE was up around 13% over seven days, and Shiba Inu joined the broader move higher alongside MemeCore, according to CoinMarketCap data. A rising tide lifts all memes — at least for now.
📊 DOGE, PEPE and SHIB Push Higher in Weekly Rebound

The memecoin market moved up on Sept. 20, with major tokens trading above recent lows across the board.

Dogecoin was near $0.088, PEPE was up around 13% over seven days, and Shiba Inu joined the broader move higher alongside MemeCore, according to CoinMarketCap data.

A rising tide lifts all memes — at least for now.
🟠 Bitcoin options lean bullish as derivatives hit $98B Bitcoin derivatives open interest has climbed to roughly $98 billion combined — $56 billion in futures and $42 billion in options — with BTC trading near $81,273. The options skew is notable: calls account for 60.74% of open interest, with the largest contracts clustered around September strikes between $70,000 and higher levels. The positioning suggests traders are hedging or speculating on upside rather than downside over the medium term. No single catalyst is cited for the buildup, but the scale of open interest reflects sustained institutional and retail engagement with Bitcoin derivatives markets at current price levels.
🟠 Bitcoin options lean bullish as derivatives hit $98B

Bitcoin derivatives open interest has climbed to roughly $98 billion combined — $56 billion in futures and $42 billion in options — with BTC trading near $81,273.

The options skew is notable: calls account for 60.74% of open interest, with the largest contracts clustered around September strikes between $70,000 and higher levels. The positioning suggests traders are hedging or speculating on upside rather than downside over the medium term.

No single catalyst is cited for the buildup, but the scale of open interest reflects sustained institutional and retail engagement with Bitcoin derivatives markets at current price levels.
$BTC ANALYSIS $BTC/USDT trades at $81,795, pushing to fresh highs after holding the $75,000 level as support through multiple retests, extending a powerful run off the $61,350 low made in early July. Buyers keep stepping in on every dip to that line. Break $82,000 and price runs into new territory with room to keep extending. Lose $78,000 and price falls back to retest the $75,000 support that's held all month. Trend's dominant, that level below is the real line in the sand.
$BTC ANALYSIS

$BTC/USDT trades at $81,795, pushing to fresh highs after holding the $75,000 level as support through multiple retests, extending a powerful run off the $61,350 low made in early July. Buyers keep stepping in on every dip to that line.

Break $82,000 and price runs into new territory with room to keep extending. Lose $78,000 and price falls back to retest the $75,000 support that's held all month. Trend's dominant, that level below is the real line in the sand.
🔐 North Korean hackers hit 7,000 crypto wallets across 100 countries Japan's National Police Agency has linked the North Korean group WaterPlum to a sweeping malware campaign targeting crypto users between December 2025 and July 2026. The group infected over 30,000 devices across more than 100 countries and regions, stealing data tied to more than 7,000 crypto wallets. Authorities traced approximately $10.71 million in transfers to wallets controlled by WaterPlum. North Korea-linked actors have been responsible for some of the largest crypto thefts in recent years, with state-sponsored hacking groups increasingly targeting individual wallet holders alongside exchanges and protocols.
🔐 North Korean hackers hit 7,000 crypto wallets across 100 countries

Japan's National Police Agency has linked the North Korean group WaterPlum to a sweeping malware campaign targeting crypto users between December 2025 and July 2026.

The group infected over 30,000 devices across more than 100 countries and regions, stealing data tied to more than 7,000 crypto wallets. Authorities traced approximately $10.71 million in transfers to wallets controlled by WaterPlum.

North Korea-linked actors have been responsible for some of the largest crypto thefts in recent years, with state-sponsored hacking groups increasingly targeting individual wallet holders alongside exchanges and protocols.
🪙 UK challenger bank to bring tokenized deposits to retail JPMorgan and Citi have moved billions in tokenized deposits on blockchain rails — but exclusively between their own institutional branches. A U.K. challenger bank is preparing to extend tokenized deposit functionality to regular consumers, a step neither Wall Street giant has taken. Tokenized deposits represent bank liabilities recorded on a blockchain, allowing faster, programmable settlement. So far, adoption has been confined to wholesale interbank use cases, where large institutions transfer value internally without exposing the technology to retail clients. The unnamed U.K. challenger bank's move would mark the first time tokenized deposits reach everyday account holders, potentially opening a new front in the broader race to bring tokenization beyond institutional corridors and into consumer banking.
🪙 UK challenger bank to bring tokenized deposits to retail

JPMorgan and Citi have moved billions in tokenized deposits on blockchain rails — but exclusively between their own institutional branches. A U.K. challenger bank is preparing to extend tokenized deposit functionality to regular consumers, a step neither Wall Street giant has taken.

Tokenized deposits represent bank liabilities recorded on a blockchain, allowing faster, programmable settlement. So far, adoption has been confined to wholesale interbank use cases, where large institutions transfer value internally without exposing the technology to retail clients.

The unnamed U.K. challenger bank's move would mark the first time tokenized deposits reach everyday account holders, potentially opening a new front in the broader race to bring tokenization beyond institutional corridors and into consumer banking.
#FedRateWatch The Rate Hike May Be Priced In — The Real Question Is What Comes Next The September FOMC meeting has become one of the biggest macro events for risk assets this week. August U.S. CPI showed headline inflation at 3.4% year-over-year, while core CPI increased 0.3% month-over-month and 2.4% annually. Following the report, market-based expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed hike moved sharply higher, reaching around 90%, with the latest market pricing around 93% ahead of today’s decision. But for me, the bigger question isn't simply “Will the Fed hike?” It is: What does the Fed signal about the next move? A 25bps hike could already be largely reflected in BTC, tech stocks and Treasury yields. The bigger volatility may come from the statement, economic projections and Chair Kevin Warsh’s guidance on whether this is a one-off response to persistent inflation or the beginning of a longer tightening cycle. For Bitcoin, higher yields and tighter liquidity can create short-term pressure, but if the market sees the hike as fully priced in, BTC could react more to future guidance than the decision itself. Tech stocks face a similar equation. Higher rates can increase pressure on valuations, particularly for growth assets, but a less-hawkish outlook could quickly change sentiment. Gold is even more interesting. Traditionally, higher rates can weigh on a non-yielding asset, yet gold has recently shown resilience despite rising rate expectations. My approach is simple: I don't want to trade the headline; I want to trade the reaction. I'll be watching Treasury yields, the dollar, BTC price action and the Fed's forward guidance before taking a directional position. The rate decision is important. The message after it may be even more important. #FedRateWatch #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Gold #FOMC #FederalReserve #BinanceSquare
#FedRateWatch
The Rate Hike May Be Priced In — The Real Question Is What Comes Next

The September FOMC meeting has become one of the biggest macro events for risk assets this week.

August U.S. CPI showed headline inflation at 3.4% year-over-year, while core CPI increased 0.3% month-over-month and 2.4% annually. Following the report, market-based expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed hike moved sharply higher, reaching around 90%, with the latest market pricing around 93% ahead of today’s decision.

But for me, the bigger question isn't simply “Will the Fed hike?”

It is: What does the Fed signal about the next move?

A 25bps hike could already be largely reflected in BTC, tech stocks and Treasury yields. The bigger volatility may come from the statement, economic projections and Chair Kevin Warsh’s guidance on whether this is a one-off response to persistent inflation or the beginning of a longer tightening cycle.

For Bitcoin, higher yields and tighter liquidity can create short-term pressure, but if the market sees the hike as fully priced in, BTC could react more to future guidance than the decision itself.

Tech stocks face a similar equation. Higher rates can increase pressure on valuations, particularly for growth assets, but a less-hawkish outlook could quickly change sentiment.

Gold is even more interesting. Traditionally, higher rates can weigh on a non-yielding asset, yet gold has recently shown resilience despite rising rate expectations.

My approach is simple: I don't want to trade the headline; I want to trade the reaction.

I'll be watching Treasury yields, the dollar, BTC price action and the Fed's forward guidance before taking a directional position.

The rate decision is important. The message after it may be even more important.

#FedRateWatch #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Gold #FOMC #FederalReserve #BinanceSquare
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#FedRateWatch: The Rate Hike May Be Priced In — The Real Question Is What Comes Next The September FOMC meeting has become one of the biggest macro events for risk assets this week. August U.S. CPI showed headline inflation at 3.4% year-over-year, while core CPI increased 0.3% month-over-month and 2.4% annually. Following the report, market-based expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed hike moved sharply higher, reaching around 90%, with the latest market pricing around 93% ahead of today’s decision. But for me, the bigger question isn't simply “Will the Fed hike?” It is: What does the Fed signal about the next move? A 25bps hike could already be largely reflected in BTC, tech stocks and Treasury yields. The bigger volatility may come from the statement, economic projections and Chair Kevin Warsh’s guidance on whether this is a one-off response to persistent inflation or the beginning of a longer tightening cycle. For Bitcoin, higher yields and tighter liquidity can create short-term pressure, but if the market sees the hike as fully priced in, BTC could react more to future guidance than the decision itself. Tech stocks face a similar equation. Higher rates can increase pressure on valuations, particularly for growth assets, but a less-hawkish outlook could quickly change sentiment. Gold is even more interesting. Traditionally, higher rates can weigh on a non-yielding asset, yet gold has recently shown resilience despite rising rate expectations. My approach is simple: I don't want to trade the headline; I want to trade the reaction. I'll be watching Treasury yields, the dollar, BTC price action and the Fed's forward guidance before taking a directional position. The rate decision is important. The message after it may be even more important. #FedRateWatch #FedRateWatchCreate #BTC #Crypto #FOMC #FederalReserve #BinanceSquare
#FedRateWatch: The Rate Hike May Be Priced In — The Real Question Is What Comes Next

The September FOMC meeting has become one of the biggest macro events for risk assets this week.

August U.S. CPI showed headline inflation at 3.4% year-over-year, while core CPI increased 0.3% month-over-month and 2.4% annually. Following the report, market-based expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed hike moved sharply higher, reaching around 90%, with the latest market pricing around 93% ahead of today’s decision.

But for me, the bigger question isn't simply “Will the Fed hike?”

It is: What does the Fed signal about the next move?

A 25bps hike could already be largely reflected in BTC, tech stocks and Treasury yields. The bigger volatility may come from the statement, economic projections and Chair Kevin Warsh’s guidance on whether this is a one-off response to persistent inflation or the beginning of a longer tightening cycle.

For Bitcoin, higher yields and tighter liquidity can create short-term pressure, but if the market sees the hike as fully priced in, BTC could react more to future guidance than the decision itself.

Tech stocks face a similar equation. Higher rates can increase pressure on valuations, particularly for growth assets, but a less-hawkish outlook could quickly change sentiment.

Gold is even more interesting. Traditionally, higher rates can weigh on a non-yielding asset, yet gold has recently shown resilience despite rising rate expectations.

My approach is simple: I don't want to trade the headline; I want to trade the reaction.

I'll be watching Treasury yields, the dollar, BTC price action and the Fed's forward guidance before taking a directional position.

The rate decision is important. The message after it may be even more important.

#FedRateWatch #FedRateWatchCreate #BTC #Crypto #FOMC #FederalReserve #BinanceSquare
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⚡️ ໄດ້ຮັບຂໍ້ມູນຫຼ້າສຸດ ແລະ ທີ່ມີປະໂຫຍດກ່ຽວກັບຄຣິບໂຕ.
💬 ໄດ້ຮັບຄວາມໄວ້ວາງໃຈຈາກຕະຫຼາດແລກປ່ຽນຄຣິບໂຕທີ່ໃຫຍ່ທີ່ສຸດໃນໂລກ.
👍 ຄົ້ນຫາຂໍ້ມູນເຊີງເລິກທີ່ແທ້ຈາກນັກສ້າງທີ່ໄດ້ຮັບການຢືນຢັນ.
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