#options
options
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ມາແຮງ
ຫຼ້າສຸດ
The week's biggest bet: net gamma is negative on all five SPY expirations next week, and on the Friday, Nov. 20 expiration, put gamma is 3x call gamma.
→ SPY at $754 is below its gamma flip of $761; QQQ at $680 is below $686
→ ~75% of the week's put gamma sits in Friday's monthly expiration
→ Nvidia reports Tuesday after the close, 3 days before expiration
I think market makers aren't dampening moves this week; they're amplifying them. Worst case: if Nvidia's earnings disappoint and QQQ stays below $686, hedging flows accelerate the selloff; that's the level I'm watching.
#Options #Economy
Watching: $SPY $QQQ $NVDA
The week's biggest bet: net gamma is negative on all five SPY expirations next week, and on the Friday, Nov. 20 expiration, put gamma is 3x call gamma.
→ SPY at $754 is below its gamma flip of $761; QQQ at $680 is below $686
→ ~75% of the week's put gamma sits in Friday's monthly expiration
→ Nvidia reports Tuesday after the close, 3 days before expiration
I think market makers aren't dampening moves this week; they're amplifying them. Worst case: if Nvidia's earnings disappoint and QQQ stays below $686, hedging flows accelerate the selloff; that's the level I'm watching.
#Options #Economy
Watching: $SPY $QQQ $NVDA
→ SPY at $754 is below its gamma flip of $761; QQQ at $680 is below $686
→ ~75% of the week's put gamma sits in Friday's monthly expiration
→ Nvidia reports Tuesday after the close, 3 days before expiration
I think market makers aren't dampening moves this week; they're amplifying them. Worst case: if Nvidia's earnings disappoint and QQQ stays below $686, hedging flows accelerate the selloff; that's the level I'm watching.
#Options #Economy
Watching: $SPY $QQQ $NVDA
171
🎄 Options market ka sawal: kya BTC Christmas se pehle 70K ke neeche ja sakta hai? Derive ke odds: 31%.
1️⃣ BTC paanch red weekly candles ke baad 74K se neeche trade kar raha hai — ab ~72.5K zone
2️⃣ Options traders ne sub-70K scenario ki probability badha kar ~31% kar di — 69% upar rehne ki
3️⃣ Ye implied probability hai, prediction nahi — market ki pricing ka aaj ka snapshot
Kaam ye hai ke dono scenarios ke liye plan pehle se likha ho — odds apne aap kabhi position nahi banate. 📐
31/69 split chart mein. 📊
Data: Derive (The Block), Nov 11. 🔍
$BTC
#Bitcoin #Options #CryptoTrading
🎄 Options market ka sawal: kya BTC Christmas se pehle 70K ke neeche ja sakta hai? Derive ke odds: 31%.
1️⃣ BTC paanch red weekly candles ke baad 74K se neeche trade kar raha hai — ab ~72.5K zone
2️⃣ Options traders ne sub-70K scenario ki probability badha kar ~31% kar di — 69% upar rehne ki
3️⃣ Ye implied probability hai, prediction nahi — market ki pricing ka aaj ka snapshot
Kaam ye hai ke dono scenarios ke liye plan pehle se likha ho — odds apne aap kabhi position nahi banate. 📐
31/69 split chart mein. 📊
Data: Derive (The Block), Nov 11. 🔍
$BTC
#Bitcoin #Options #CryptoTrading
1️⃣ BTC paanch red weekly candles ke baad 74K se neeche trade kar raha hai — ab ~72.5K zone
2️⃣ Options traders ne sub-70K scenario ki probability badha kar ~31% kar di — 69% upar rehne ki
3️⃣ Ye implied probability hai, prediction nahi — market ki pricing ka aaj ka snapshot
Kaam ye hai ke dono scenarios ke liye plan pehle se likha ho — odds apne aap kabhi position nahi banate. 📐
31/69 split chart mein. 📊
Data: Derive (The Block), Nov 11. 🔍
$BTC
#Bitcoin #Options #CryptoTrading
3
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Options traders now price a 31% chance of $BTC below $70K on Christmas. A week ago it was 15%.
The easy read is "the crowd sees a crash coming." I'd be careful with that.
What the data says (Derive via The Block, K33):
• Odds of an $80K+ finish fell from 53% to 26%
• Puts were 55% of premiums traded, vs 36% the week before
• Perp open interest is ~353,000 BTC, higher on only 1.2% of days in two years
Why it may not be one-way: some of that put buying is hedging, not betting. One wallet spent about $14K to protect 300 BTC below $60K. And with open interest up 12% in 30 days while BTC fell 10%, K33 calls the market "ripe for a squeeze" in either direction. Crowded fear can fuel a short squeeze as easily as a long flush.
The chart: BTC is at $73,543.48, down 8.41% over 168h, and has not reclaimed the Nov 9 breakdown. Friday's PPI is the next macro test.
Is a 31% tail price a signal, or just insurance getting expensive? Not financial advice.
#Bitcoin #Options #BTC
Disclosure: I can earn Binance Write to Earn rewards from this post.
Options traders now price a 31% chance of $BTC below $70K on Christmas. A week ago it was 15%.
The easy read is "the crowd sees a crash coming." I'd be careful with that.
What the data says (Derive via The Block, K33):
• Odds of an $80K+ finish fell from 53% to 26%
• Puts were 55% of premiums traded, vs 36% the week before
• Perp open interest is ~353,000 BTC, higher on only 1.2% of days in two years
Why it may not be one-way: some of that put buying is hedging, not betting. One wallet spent about $14K to protect 300 BTC below $60K. And with open interest up 12% in 30 days while BTC fell 10%, K33 calls the market "ripe for a squeeze" in either direction. Crowded fear can fuel a short squeeze as easily as a long flush.
The chart: BTC is at $73,543.48, down 8.41% over 168h, and has not reclaimed the Nov 9 breakdown. Friday's PPI is the next macro test.
Is a 31% tail price a signal, or just insurance getting expensive? Not financial advice.
#Bitcoin #Options #BTC
Disclosure: I can earn Binance Write to Earn rewards from this post.
The easy read is "the crowd sees a crash coming." I'd be careful with that.
What the data says (Derive via The Block, K33):
• Odds of an $80K+ finish fell from 53% to 26%
• Puts were 55% of premiums traded, vs 36% the week before
• Perp open interest is ~353,000 BTC, higher on only 1.2% of days in two years
Why it may not be one-way: some of that put buying is hedging, not betting. One wallet spent about $14K to protect 300 BTC below $60K. And with open interest up 12% in 30 days while BTC fell 10%, K33 calls the market "ripe for a squeeze" in either direction. Crowded fear can fuel a short squeeze as easily as a long flush.
The chart: BTC is at $73,543.48, down 8.41% over 168h, and has not reclaimed the Nov 9 breakdown. Friday's PPI is the next macro test.
Is a 31% tail price a signal, or just insurance getting expensive? Not financial advice.
#Bitcoin #Options #BTC
Disclosure: I can earn Binance Write to Earn rewards from this post.
6
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Le $BTC est remonté à 74 500 $ ce mercredi soir, mais le marché des options de Deribit ne raconte pas tout à fait la même histoire.
L'idée qui circule : le rebond depuis le plus bas de mardi (72 727 $ sur Binance, 10/11 vers 16:00 UTC) montre que le marché a digéré le CPI américain trop chaud. Les données options sont plus nuancées.
Ce que montre Deribit (API publique, 11/11 vers 18:50 UTC) :
- 32 758 BTC d'open interest arrivent à échéance vendredi 13/11, soit environ 2,44 Md$ de notionnel.
- Le max pain de cette échéance se situe à 76 000 $, environ 1 500 $ au-dessus du prix actuel.
- Le ratio put/call en open interest y est de 0,54, mais la plus grosse ligne est un call à 81 000 $ (8 306 BTC), très loin de la monnaie. Côté puts, les strikes les plus chargés sont 72 000, 74 000 et 70 000 $.
- Sur l'échéance du 27/11 (environ 5,9 Md$), le ratio remonte à 0,96, avec des puts empilés entre 69 000 et 72 000 $.
CoinDesk relevait aussi ce mercredi que les puts se paient 4 à 5 points de volatilité plus cher que les calls, et que les ETF spot BTC ont perdu 95 M$ mardi, 4e séance de sorties, même si le rythme ralentit.
Ma lecture : le rebond est réel, mais la protection à la baisse reste demandée. Le call à 81 000 $ ressemble plus à un vieux pari qu'à un signal.
Deux chemins avant vendredi :
- Retour au-dessus de 75 000 $, et le prix peut graviter vers la zone 76 000 $ à l'approche de l'expiration.
- Rechute sous 74 000 $, et la zone 72 000 à 72 700 $ (strike put + plus bas de mardi) redevient le test.
Vous suivez le max pain, ou c'est du bruit pour vous ?
#Bitcoin #Options
Le $BTC est remonté à 74 500 $ ce mercredi soir, mais le marché des options de Deribit ne raconte pas tout à fait la même histoire.
L'idée qui circule : le rebond depuis le plus bas de mardi (72 727 $ sur Binance, 10/11 vers 16:00 UTC) montre que le marché a digéré le CPI américain trop chaud. Les données options sont plus nuancées.
Ce que montre Deribit (API publique, 11/11 vers 18:50 UTC) :
- 32 758 BTC d'open interest arrivent à échéance vendredi 13/11, soit environ 2,44 Md$ de notionnel.
- Le max pain de cette échéance se situe à 76 000 $, environ 1 500 $ au-dessus du prix actuel.
- Le ratio put/call en open interest y est de 0,54, mais la plus grosse ligne est un call à 81 000 $ (8 306 BTC), très loin de la monnaie. Côté puts, les strikes les plus chargés sont 72 000, 74 000 et 70 000 $.
- Sur l'échéance du 27/11 (environ 5,9 Md$), le ratio remonte à 0,96, avec des puts empilés entre 69 000 et 72 000 $.
CoinDesk relevait aussi ce mercredi que les puts se paient 4 à 5 points de volatilité plus cher que les calls, et que les ETF spot BTC ont perdu 95 M$ mardi, 4e séance de sorties, même si le rythme ralentit.
Ma lecture : le rebond est réel, mais la protection à la baisse reste demandée. Le call à 81 000 $ ressemble plus à un vieux pari qu'à un signal.
Deux chemins avant vendredi :
- Retour au-dessus de 75 000 $, et le prix peut graviter vers la zone 76 000 $ à l'approche de l'expiration.
- Rechute sous 74 000 $, et la zone 72 000 à 72 700 $ (strike put + plus bas de mardi) redevient le test.
Vous suivez le max pain, ou c'est du bruit pour vous ?
#Bitcoin #Options
L'idée qui circule : le rebond depuis le plus bas de mardi (72 727 $ sur Binance, 10/11 vers 16:00 UTC) montre que le marché a digéré le CPI américain trop chaud. Les données options sont plus nuancées.
Ce que montre Deribit (API publique, 11/11 vers 18:50 UTC) :
- 32 758 BTC d'open interest arrivent à échéance vendredi 13/11, soit environ 2,44 Md$ de notionnel.
- Le max pain de cette échéance se situe à 76 000 $, environ 1 500 $ au-dessus du prix actuel.
- Le ratio put/call en open interest y est de 0,54, mais la plus grosse ligne est un call à 81 000 $ (8 306 BTC), très loin de la monnaie. Côté puts, les strikes les plus chargés sont 72 000, 74 000 et 70 000 $.
- Sur l'échéance du 27/11 (environ 5,9 Md$), le ratio remonte à 0,96, avec des puts empilés entre 69 000 et 72 000 $.
CoinDesk relevait aussi ce mercredi que les puts se paient 4 à 5 points de volatilité plus cher que les calls, et que les ETF spot BTC ont perdu 95 M$ mardi, 4e séance de sorties, même si le rythme ralentit.
Ma lecture : le rebond est réel, mais la protection à la baisse reste demandée. Le call à 81 000 $ ressemble plus à un vieux pari qu'à un signal.
Deux chemins avant vendredi :
- Retour au-dessus de 75 000 $, et le prix peut graviter vers la zone 76 000 $ à l'approche de l'expiration.
- Rechute sous 74 000 $, et la zone 72 000 à 72 700 $ (strike put + plus bas de mardi) redevient le test.
Vous suivez le max pain, ou c'est du bruit pour vous ?
#Bitcoin #Options
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🚨 $BTC DERIVATIVES IMBALANCE SIGNALS A VOLATILE LIQUIDITY SQUEEZE AHEAD
Entry: 73,500 ⚡
Target: 80,000 🚀
Institutional order flow reveals heavy defensive options positioning and surging perpetual open interest sitting near multi-year highs. With puts dominating recent premiums and spot exchange outflows continuing, the market order book is compressed like a spring. A sudden flush could trigger cascading long liquidations toward key downside pools, while a sharp reversal will instantly force aggressive short covering. Which side of this liquidity trap will smart money capture first? 🤔
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
#BTC #Options #Derivatives #Crypto
🔥 💎
🚨 $BTC DERIVATIVES IMBALANCE SIGNALS A VOLATILE LIQUIDITY SQUEEZE AHEAD
Entry: 73,500 ⚡
Target: 80,000 🚀
Institutional order flow reveals heavy defensive options positioning and surging perpetual open interest sitting near multi-year highs. With puts dominating recent premiums and spot exchange outflows continuing, the market order book is compressed like a spring. A sudden flush could trigger cascading long liquidations toward key downside pools, while a sharp reversal will instantly force aggressive short covering. Which side of this liquidity trap will smart money capture first? 🤔
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
#BTC #Options #Derivatives #Crypto
🔥 💎
Entry: 73,500 ⚡
Target: 80,000 🚀
Institutional order flow reveals heavy defensive options positioning and surging perpetual open interest sitting near multi-year highs. With puts dominating recent premiums and spot exchange outflows continuing, the market order book is compressed like a spring. A sudden flush could trigger cascading long liquidations toward key downside pools, while a sharp reversal will instantly force aggressive short covering. Which side of this liquidity trap will smart money capture first? 🤔
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
#BTC #Options #Derivatives #Crypto
🔥 💎
20
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Options traders now price a bigger chance of Bitcoin below 70,000 dollars by Christmas than above 80,000. ⚠️
The Block reports Bitcoin was trading around 73,500 dollars on Wednesday after five consecutive weekly losses, with options traders raising the odds of a drop below 70,000 dollars by Christmas above the odds of a climb past 80,000 dollars. 📉 K33 research puts perpetual futures open interest near 353,000 BTC and calls Bitcoin ripe for a squeeze, because a breakdown could trigger substantial long liquidations while a recovery could fuel short covering, and both sides are crowded after the 725 million dollar liquidation wave. My reading is that the market is coiled, not dead, because when options lean one way and open interest stays this high, the next big move is usually violent in whichever direction breaks first, and the 200 day average near 73,150 dollars is the trigger line.
Which side gets squeezed first: the longs below 73,150, or the shorts above 76,100? 🤔
Follow for more trades.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #FuturesTrading #TradingSignals #Options
Options traders now price a bigger chance of Bitcoin below 70,000 dollars by Christmas than above 80,000. ⚠️
The Block reports Bitcoin was trading around 73,500 dollars on Wednesday after five consecutive weekly losses, with options traders raising the odds of a drop below 70,000 dollars by Christmas above the odds of a climb past 80,000 dollars. 📉 K33 research puts perpetual futures open interest near 353,000 BTC and calls Bitcoin ripe for a squeeze, because a breakdown could trigger substantial long liquidations while a recovery could fuel short covering, and both sides are crowded after the 725 million dollar liquidation wave. My reading is that the market is coiled, not dead, because when options lean one way and open interest stays this high, the next big move is usually violent in whichever direction breaks first, and the 200 day average near 73,150 dollars is the trigger line.
Which side gets squeezed first: the longs below 73,150, or the shorts above 76,100? 🤔
Follow for more trades.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #FuturesTrading #TradingSignals #Options
The Block reports Bitcoin was trading around 73,500 dollars on Wednesday after five consecutive weekly losses, with options traders raising the odds of a drop below 70,000 dollars by Christmas above the odds of a climb past 80,000 dollars. 📉 K33 research puts perpetual futures open interest near 353,000 BTC and calls Bitcoin ripe for a squeeze, because a breakdown could trigger substantial long liquidations while a recovery could fuel short covering, and both sides are crowded after the 725 million dollar liquidation wave. My reading is that the market is coiled, not dead, because when options lean one way and open interest stays this high, the next big move is usually violent in whichever direction breaks first, and the 200 day average near 73,150 dollars is the trigger line.
Which side gets squeezed first: the longs below 73,150, or the shorts above 76,100? 🤔
Follow for more trades.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #FuturesTrading #TradingSignals #Options
2
خيارات بيتكوين ترفع احتمالات الهبوط دون 70,000 دولار قبل الكريسماسرفع متداولو الخيارات احتمالات أن يهبط $BTC دون 70,000 دولار بحلول الكريسماس، ووصف السوق بأنه مهيأ لحركة سعرية حادة.
في دورات سابقة تكرر المشهد: يهدأ التوقع بعد موجة صعود، ثم تأتي عقود الخيارات بصورة مختلفة. هذه المرة الميل نحو الحماية من الهبوط.
الملاحظات تقول إن الاحتمالات ترتفع، لكنها لا تذكر نسبة محددة، ولا تؤكد أن الهبوط سيحدث. وصف «مهيأ لحركة حادة» يبقى وصفاً لحالة السوق، وليس توقعاً مؤكداً.
إذا استمر هذا الميل، قد تتسع الحركة في الاتجاهين، لأن المراكز المتقاربة تُغلق بسرعة عند أول صدمة. راقب معدل التمويل والعقود المفتوحة، فهما يتحركان قبل السعر عادة.
سوق الخيارات لا يتنبأ، لكنه يسعّر الخوف. من يقرأ تسعير الخوف يفهم ما ينتظر السعر قبل أن يتحرك.
هل تتوقع أن يبقى $BTC فوق 70,000 دولار حتى الكريسماس؟ 👇
#BTC #Options
المحتوى للمعلومات فقط وليس نصيحة مالية.
اضغط $BTC للتداول
$BTC
غيرك سبقك وتابع. ادخل بروفايلي وخلك مع اللي يقرأ قبل ما ينتشر الخبر.
خيارات بيتكوين ترفع احتمالات الهبوط دون 70,000 دولار قبل الكريسماس
رفع متداولو الخيارات احتمالات أن يهبط $BTC دون 70,000 دولار بحلول الكريسماس، ووصف السوق بأنه مهيأ لحركة سعرية حادة.
في دورات سابقة تكرر المشهد: يهدأ التوقع بعد موجة صعود، ثم تأتي عقود الخيارات بصورة مختلفة. هذه المرة الميل نحو الحماية من الهبوط.
الملاحظات تقول إن الاحتمالات ترتفع، لكنها لا تذكر نسبة محددة، ولا تؤكد أن الهبوط سيحدث. وصف «مهيأ لحركة حادة» يبقى وصفاً لحالة السوق، وليس توقعاً مؤكداً.
إذا استمر هذا الميل، قد تتسع الحركة في الاتجاهين، لأن المراكز المتقاربة تُغلق بسرعة عند أول صدمة. راقب معدل التمويل والعقود المفتوحة، فهما يتحركان قبل السعر عادة.
سوق الخيارات لا يتنبأ، لكنه يسعّر الخوف. من يقرأ تسعير الخوف يفهم ما ينتظر السعر قبل أن يتحرك.
هل تتوقع أن يبقى $BTC فوق 70,000 دولار حتى الكريسماس؟ 👇
#BTC #Options
المحتوى للمعلومات فقط وليس نصيحة مالية.
اضغط $BTC للتداول
$BTC
غيرك سبقك وتابع. ادخل بروفايلي وخلك مع اللي يقرأ قبل ما ينتشر الخبر.
في دورات سابقة تكرر المشهد: يهدأ التوقع بعد موجة صعود، ثم تأتي عقود الخيارات بصورة مختلفة. هذه المرة الميل نحو الحماية من الهبوط.
الملاحظات تقول إن الاحتمالات ترتفع، لكنها لا تذكر نسبة محددة، ولا تؤكد أن الهبوط سيحدث. وصف «مهيأ لحركة حادة» يبقى وصفاً لحالة السوق، وليس توقعاً مؤكداً.
إذا استمر هذا الميل، قد تتسع الحركة في الاتجاهين، لأن المراكز المتقاربة تُغلق بسرعة عند أول صدمة. راقب معدل التمويل والعقود المفتوحة، فهما يتحركان قبل السعر عادة.
سوق الخيارات لا يتنبأ، لكنه يسعّر الخوف. من يقرأ تسعير الخوف يفهم ما ينتظر السعر قبل أن يتحرك.
هل تتوقع أن يبقى $BTC فوق 70,000 دولار حتى الكريسماس؟ 👇
#BTC #Options
المحتوى للمعلومات فقط وليس نصيحة مالية.
اضغط $BTC للتداول
$BTC
غيرك سبقك وتابع. ادخل بروفايلي وخلك مع اللي يقرأ قبل ما ينتشر الخبر.
32
#options
📊 Market Overview: Volatility Cooling Down and the Current State of Derivatives (BTC & ETH)
Following recent sharp price movements and a surge in volatility indices (DVOL), the derivatives market is now experiencing a breather. Let’s break down the key metrics from Deribit:
{future}(ETHUSDT)
➡️ #Ethereum ($ETH ):
DVOL: After peaking above 61%, the volatility index has corrected to around 55.33%. The extreme frenzy has subsided.
Term Structure: Shows a healthy contango—longer-dated contracts (extending to autumn 2027) are trading above 54%, indicating stable long-term expectations.
Volumes: Primary activity is concentrated in November–December 2026 options, with a focus on hedging instruments and interest in a potential recovery.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
➡️ #bitcoin ($BTC ):
DVOL: Mirrors the movement in ETH—after a local spike to over 44 points, volatility has declined to approximately 39.80%.
Structure: Features a smooth upward-sloping term structure of volatility, ranging from ~37% for near-term expiries to ~41% for 2027.
Volumes: Contracts expiring on November 27, 2026, lead the volume (with strikes centered around the 70k–74k range), confirming active hedging by major market participants.
📉 Market Outlook:
The rapid decline in volatility following impulsive moves indicates that the market is entering a phase of consolidation and sideways movement. The intense pressure from both sellers and buyers has temporarily subsided. Significant liquidity is concentrated toward the end of the year (November–December), suggesting that market participants are preparing for more substantial moves in the medium term; however, the most likely scenario for now is a narrower trading range and the accumulation of positions.
#options
📊 Market Overview: Volatility Cooling Down and the Current State of Derivatives (BTC & ETH)
Following recent sharp price movements and a surge in volatility indices (DVOL), the derivatives market is now experiencing a breather. Let’s break down the key metrics from Deribit:
➡️ #Ethereum ($ETH ):
DVOL: After peaking above 61%, the volatility index has corrected to around 55.33%. The extreme frenzy has subsided.
Term Structure: Shows a healthy contango—longer-dated contracts (extending to autumn 2027) are trading above 54%, indicating stable long-term expectations.
Volumes: Primary activity is concentrated in November–December 2026 options, with a focus on hedging instruments and interest in a potential recovery.
➡️ #bitcoin ($BTC ):
DVOL: Mirrors the movement in ETH—after a local spike to over 44 points, volatility has declined to approximately 39.80%.
Structure: Features a smooth upward-sloping term structure of volatility, ranging from ~37% for near-term expiries to ~41% for 2027.
Volumes: Contracts expiring on November 27, 2026, lead the volume (with strikes centered around the 70k–74k range), confirming active hedging by major market participants.
📉 Market Outlook:
The rapid decline in volatility following impulsive moves indicates that the market is entering a phase of consolidation and sideways movement. The intense pressure from both sellers and buyers has temporarily subsided. Significant liquidity is concentrated toward the end of the year (November–December), suggesting that market participants are preparing for more substantial moves in the medium term; however, the most likely scenario for now is a narrower trading range and the accumulation of positions.
📊 Market Overview: Volatility Cooling Down and the Current State of Derivatives (BTC & ETH)
Following recent sharp price movements and a surge in volatility indices (DVOL), the derivatives market is now experiencing a breather. Let’s break down the key metrics from Deribit:
➡️ #Ethereum ($ETH ):
DVOL: After peaking above 61%, the volatility index has corrected to around 55.33%. The extreme frenzy has subsided.
Term Structure: Shows a healthy contango—longer-dated contracts (extending to autumn 2027) are trading above 54%, indicating stable long-term expectations.
Volumes: Primary activity is concentrated in November–December 2026 options, with a focus on hedging instruments and interest in a potential recovery.
➡️ #bitcoin ($BTC ):
DVOL: Mirrors the movement in ETH—after a local spike to over 44 points, volatility has declined to approximately 39.80%.
Structure: Features a smooth upward-sloping term structure of volatility, ranging from ~37% for near-term expiries to ~41% for 2027.
Volumes: Contracts expiring on November 27, 2026, lead the volume (with strikes centered around the 70k–74k range), confirming active hedging by major market participants.
📉 Market Outlook:
The rapid decline in volatility following impulsive moves indicates that the market is entering a phase of consolidation and sideways movement. The intense pressure from both sellers and buyers has temporarily subsided. Significant liquidity is concentrated toward the end of the year (November–December), suggesting that market participants are preparing for more substantial moves in the medium term; however, the most likely scenario for now is a narrower trading range and the accumulation of positions.
71
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ສັນຍານກະທິງ
✨️ ETH 26.11.13 $2200 CALL
🟢 Buy Zone: 23 – 28
🎯 Targets:
T1: 50
T2: 100
T3: 150
#TradFiForBeginners #options $ETH $BTC $SOL
✨️ ETH 26.11.13 $2200 CALL
🟢 Buy Zone: 23 – 28
🎯 Targets:
T1: 50
T2: 100
T3: 150
#TradFiForBeginners #options $ETH $BTC $SOL
🟢 Buy Zone: 23 – 28
🎯 Targets:
T1: 50
T2: 100
T3: 150
#TradFiForBeginners #options $ETH $BTC $SOL
69
FOMO check: Everyone is saying, "Nvidia is at the bottom, buy now." The stock is 22% below its high.
→ Thursday −9.3%, Friday bounce +2.8%; it needs +28% to get back to the high
→ Friday call premium ~$970 million, put premium ~$798 million
→ Net ~$92 million of calls bought, net put buying almost zero
I think the crowd is buying the dip but not buying insurance; surprises usually show up on the unhedged side. Worst case: if Thursday's low at $181.46 breaks, the drop accelerates and these calls melt fast; that's the level I'm watching most closely.
#Stocks #Options
Watching: $NVDA
FOMO check: Everyone is saying, "Nvidia is at the bottom, buy now." The stock is 22% below its high.
→ Thursday −9.3%, Friday bounce +2.8%; it needs +28% to get back to the high
→ Friday call premium ~$970 million, put premium ~$798 million
→ Net ~$92 million of calls bought, net put buying almost zero
I think the crowd is buying the dip but not buying insurance; surprises usually show up on the unhedged side. Worst case: if Thursday's low at $181.46 breaks, the drop accelerates and these calls melt fast; that's the level I'm watching most closely.
#Stocks #Options
Watching: $NVDA
→ Thursday −9.3%, Friday bounce +2.8%; it needs +28% to get back to the high
→ Friday call premium ~$970 million, put premium ~$798 million
→ Net ~$92 million of calls bought, net put buying almost zero
I think the crowd is buying the dip but not buying insurance; surprises usually show up on the unhedged side. Worst case: if Thursday's low at $181.46 breaks, the drop accelerates and these calls melt fast; that's the level I'm watching most closely.
#Stocks #Options
Watching: $NVDA
91
ເປັນຄວາມຈິງບາງສ່ວນ
Biggest bet of the week: on Nasdaq 100's −6.4% day, the largest new position was a ~$68M put, expiring this Friday.
→ Strike ~1% below Friday's close
→ ~$188M new puts on index and chip ETFs
→ ~$153M calls into Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft
I think big money is hedging the index while buying dips in the hyperscalers. Worst case: if Nasdaq 100 drops another 1% this week, those puts go in the money, dealers hedge by selling, and the slide accelerates; watching.
Watching: $QQQ $NVDA $MSFT
#Options #Stocks #AI
Biggest bet of the week: on Nasdaq 100's −6.4% day, the largest new position was a ~$68M put, expiring this Friday.
→ Strike ~1% below Friday's close
→ ~$188M new puts on index and chip ETFs
→ ~$153M calls into Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft
I think big money is hedging the index while buying dips in the hyperscalers. Worst case: if Nasdaq 100 drops another 1% this week, those puts go in the money, dealers hedge by selling, and the slide accelerates; watching.
Watching: $QQQ $NVDA $MSFT
#Options #Stocks #AI
→ Strike ~1% below Friday's close
→ ~$188M new puts on index and chip ETFs
→ ~$153M calls into Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft
I think big money is hedging the index while buying dips in the hyperscalers. Worst case: if Nasdaq 100 drops another 1% this week, those puts go in the money, dealers hedge by selling, and the slide accelerates; watching.
Watching: $QQQ $NVDA $MSFT
#Options #Stocks #AI
758
خيارات $BTC تسعّر أهدأ عام على الإطلاق؛ متوسط مؤشر التقلبات الضمنية DVOL بلغ 42.4 في 2026، مقابل 93.2 في 2021 و45.8 في 2025.
وفي 54 من آخر 60 يوماً أغلق المؤشر دون 40.
هذا يوحي بسوق يتوقع اضطراباً أقل، لكنه لا يلغي مفاجآت الأسعار.
إذا استمر الهدوء، قد تنخفض تكلفة التحوط وتتغير شهية المخاطرة؛ وراقب عودة المؤشر فوق 40 كمؤشر مبكر على توتر جديد.
الخلاصة القابلة للحفظ: 40 صار عتبة نفسية مهمة لقياس هدوء الخيارات.
هل الهدوء فرصة شراء أم إشارة حذر؟
#BTC #Options
اضغط $BTC للتداول
$BTC
اضغط $BTC للتداول
$BTC
غيرك سبقك وتابع. ادخل بروفايلي وخلك مع اللي يقرأ قبل ما ينتشر الخبر.
خيارات $BTC تسعّر أهدأ عام على الإطلاق؛ متوسط مؤشر التقلبات الضمنية DVOL بلغ 42.4 في 2026، مقابل 93.2 في 2021 و45.8 في 2025.
وفي 54 من آخر 60 يوماً أغلق المؤشر دون 40.
هذا يوحي بسوق يتوقع اضطراباً أقل، لكنه لا يلغي مفاجآت الأسعار.
إذا استمر الهدوء، قد تنخفض تكلفة التحوط وتتغير شهية المخاطرة؛ وراقب عودة المؤشر فوق 40 كمؤشر مبكر على توتر جديد.
الخلاصة القابلة للحفظ: 40 صار عتبة نفسية مهمة لقياس هدوء الخيارات.
هل الهدوء فرصة شراء أم إشارة حذر؟
#BTC #Options
اضغط $BTC للتداول
$BTC
اضغط $BTC للتداول
$BTC
غيرك سبقك وتابع. ادخل بروفايلي وخلك مع اللي يقرأ قبل ما ينتشر الخبر.
وفي 54 من آخر 60 يوماً أغلق المؤشر دون 40.
هذا يوحي بسوق يتوقع اضطراباً أقل، لكنه لا يلغي مفاجآت الأسعار.
إذا استمر الهدوء، قد تنخفض تكلفة التحوط وتتغير شهية المخاطرة؛ وراقب عودة المؤشر فوق 40 كمؤشر مبكر على توتر جديد.
الخلاصة القابلة للحفظ: 40 صار عتبة نفسية مهمة لقياس هدوء الخيارات.
هل الهدوء فرصة شراء أم إشارة حذر؟
#BTC #Options
اضغط $BTC للتداول
$BTC
اضغط $BTC للتداول
$BTC
غيرك سبقك وتابع. ادخل بروفايلي وخلك مع اللي يقرأ قبل ما ينتشر الخبر.
75
·
--
Le marché des options $BTC ne parie pas sur une explosion après les midterms américaines. Sur Deribit, ce 3/11 à 16:50 UTC, l'échéance du 4/11 (08:00 UTC) price un mouvement d'environ 1,5 %, soit ±1 183 $ autour de 77 437 $.
On lit partout que le vote de ce soir va "faire bouger le marché" quoi qu'il arrive. Les chiffres sont plus nuancés.
Oui, il y a une prime d'élection. La volatilité implicite à la monnaie du 4/11 est à 45,9 %, contre 37,4 % pour le 27/11 et 39,7 % pour l'indice DVOL. Selon CoinDesk, elle tournait autour de 43,5 % hier pour cette même échéance. Les traders paient donc plus cher la protection sur les prochaines 15 heures que sur le reste du mois.
Mais traduite en dollars, cette prime reste modeste. Le straddle du 4/11 dessine une zone de 76 254 $ à 78 620 $ à l'échéance. Le 6/11, jour du rapport sur l'emploi US, le marché price ±2,9 %. Pas de quoi parler de séisme annoncé.
Ce qui compte aussi : les ETF spot BTC ont perdu 399 M$ lundi (Farside, via CoinDesk), après 643 M$ vendredi. Le support suivi par Bitcoin Magazine se situe entre 76 264 $ et 76 476 $, au niveau de la moyenne mobile exponentielle 200 jours, et le plus bas de septembre est à 74 967 $.
Ma lecture : la prime pourrait fondre vite une fois les premiers résultats tombés, c'est le schéma habituel après un événement daté. Deux chemins se dessinent :
- résultat sans surprise, le BTC reste dans la zone 76 250 à 78 600 $ et la volatilité implicite retombe vers 38-40 % ;
- surprise politique ou cassure des 76 264 $, et la cible du plus bas de septembre revient sur la table.
Les options sous-estiment-elles le risque de cette nuit, ou le marché a-t-il déjà tout digéré avec le hack Binance et les sorties d'ETF ?
#Bitcoin #Options
Le marché des options $BTC ne parie pas sur une explosion après les midterms américaines. Sur Deribit, ce 3/11 à 16:50 UTC, l'échéance du 4/11 (08:00 UTC) price un mouvement d'environ 1,5 %, soit ±1 183 $ autour de 77 437 $.
On lit partout que le vote de ce soir va "faire bouger le marché" quoi qu'il arrive. Les chiffres sont plus nuancés.
Oui, il y a une prime d'élection. La volatilité implicite à la monnaie du 4/11 est à 45,9 %, contre 37,4 % pour le 27/11 et 39,7 % pour l'indice DVOL. Selon CoinDesk, elle tournait autour de 43,5 % hier pour cette même échéance. Les traders paient donc plus cher la protection sur les prochaines 15 heures que sur le reste du mois.
Mais traduite en dollars, cette prime reste modeste. Le straddle du 4/11 dessine une zone de 76 254 $ à 78 620 $ à l'échéance. Le 6/11, jour du rapport sur l'emploi US, le marché price ±2,9 %. Pas de quoi parler de séisme annoncé.
Ce qui compte aussi : les ETF spot BTC ont perdu 399 M$ lundi (Farside, via CoinDesk), après 643 M$ vendredi. Le support suivi par Bitcoin Magazine se situe entre 76 264 $ et 76 476 $, au niveau de la moyenne mobile exponentielle 200 jours, et le plus bas de septembre est à 74 967 $.
Ma lecture : la prime pourrait fondre vite une fois les premiers résultats tombés, c'est le schéma habituel après un événement daté. Deux chemins se dessinent :
- résultat sans surprise, le BTC reste dans la zone 76 250 à 78 600 $ et la volatilité implicite retombe vers 38-40 % ;
- surprise politique ou cassure des 76 264 $, et la cible du plus bas de septembre revient sur la table.
Les options sous-estiment-elles le risque de cette nuit, ou le marché a-t-il déjà tout digéré avec le hack Binance et les sorties d'ETF ?
#Bitcoin #Options
On lit partout que le vote de ce soir va "faire bouger le marché" quoi qu'il arrive. Les chiffres sont plus nuancés.
Oui, il y a une prime d'élection. La volatilité implicite à la monnaie du 4/11 est à 45,9 %, contre 37,4 % pour le 27/11 et 39,7 % pour l'indice DVOL. Selon CoinDesk, elle tournait autour de 43,5 % hier pour cette même échéance. Les traders paient donc plus cher la protection sur les prochaines 15 heures que sur le reste du mois.
Mais traduite en dollars, cette prime reste modeste. Le straddle du 4/11 dessine une zone de 76 254 $ à 78 620 $ à l'échéance. Le 6/11, jour du rapport sur l'emploi US, le marché price ±2,9 %. Pas de quoi parler de séisme annoncé.
Ce qui compte aussi : les ETF spot BTC ont perdu 399 M$ lundi (Farside, via CoinDesk), après 643 M$ vendredi. Le support suivi par Bitcoin Magazine se situe entre 76 264 $ et 76 476 $, au niveau de la moyenne mobile exponentielle 200 jours, et le plus bas de septembre est à 74 967 $.
Ma lecture : la prime pourrait fondre vite une fois les premiers résultats tombés, c'est le schéma habituel après un événement daté. Deux chemins se dessinent :
- résultat sans surprise, le BTC reste dans la zone 76 250 à 78 600 $ et la volatilité implicite retombe vers 38-40 % ;
- surprise politique ou cassure des 76 264 $, et la cible du plus bas de septembre revient sur la table.
Les options sous-estiment-elles le risque de cette nuit, ou le marché a-t-il déjà tout digéré avec le hack Binance et les sorties d'ETF ?
#Bitcoin #Options
56
·
--
Options traders are paying up for election-night protection.
BTC options expiring Nov 4 show implied volatility near 43.5%, versus around 36% for later expiries (KuCoin market report). Spot $BTC sits near $77,000, down about 2% on the day.
My take: a roughly 7-point premium on the nearest expiry says the market expects a bigger swing around the vote than in the following weeks. It's hedging, not a forecast of direction.
Are you hedging, sitting in stablecoins, or ignoring the midterm noise entirely?
#Bitcoin #Options #Midterms #CryptoMarkets
Not financial advice.
Options traders are paying up for election-night protection.
BTC options expiring Nov 4 show implied volatility near 43.5%, versus around 36% for later expiries (KuCoin market report). Spot $BTC sits near $77,000, down about 2% on the day.
My take: a roughly 7-point premium on the nearest expiry says the market expects a bigger swing around the vote than in the following weeks. It's hedging, not a forecast of direction.
Are you hedging, sitting in stablecoins, or ignoring the midterm noise entirely?
#Bitcoin #Options #Midterms #CryptoMarkets
Not financial advice.
BTC options expiring Nov 4 show implied volatility near 43.5%, versus around 36% for later expiries (KuCoin market report). Spot $BTC sits near $77,000, down about 2% on the day.
My take: a roughly 7-point premium on the nearest expiry says the market expects a bigger swing around the vote than in the following weeks. It's hedging, not a forecast of direction.
Are you hedging, sitting in stablecoins, or ignoring the midterm noise entirely?
#Bitcoin #Options #Midterms #CryptoMarkets
Not financial advice.
11
·
--
🚨 $BTC OPTIONS SKYROCKET TO 36.8% IV—WHALES HOLD THE REINS! 🦈
📊 Implied volatility on the Nov 27 Deribit expiry is screaming 36.82%, while 30‑day realized vol sits at a modest 21.43% – a gap the market hasn’t closed yet. The Options Cost Score sits at a blistering 99th percentile, meaning sellers are hoarding premium like a vault. ⚡
Open interest across a top‑tier exchange has nudged past $26 B, even as spot slipped from $81k to $77k. Futures traders keep stacking positions, betting the storm will finally break. 🌊
💬 Are you watching the premium bleed out or gearing up to ride the volatility wave? 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #BTC #Options #Volatility #SmartMoney
🔥 💎
🚨 $BTC OPTIONS SKYROCKET TO 36.8% IV—WHALES HOLD THE REINS! 🦈
📊 Implied volatility on the Nov 27 Deribit expiry is screaming 36.82%, while 30‑day realized vol sits at a modest 21.43% – a gap the market hasn’t closed yet. The Options Cost Score sits at a blistering 99th percentile, meaning sellers are hoarding premium like a vault. ⚡
Open interest across a top‑tier exchange has nudged past $26 B, even as spot slipped from $81k to $77k. Futures traders keep stacking positions, betting the storm will finally break. 🌊
💬 Are you watching the premium bleed out or gearing up to ride the volatility wave? 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #BTC #Options #Volatility #SmartMoney
🔥 💎
📊 Implied volatility on the Nov 27 Deribit expiry is screaming 36.82%, while 30‑day realized vol sits at a modest 21.43% – a gap the market hasn’t closed yet. The Options Cost Score sits at a blistering 99th percentile, meaning sellers are hoarding premium like a vault. ⚡
Open interest across a top‑tier exchange has nudged past $26 B, even as spot slipped from $81k to $77k. Futures traders keep stacking positions, betting the storm will finally break. 🌊
💬 Are you watching the premium bleed out or gearing up to ride the volatility wave? 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #BTC #Options #Volatility #SmartMoney
🔥 💎
5
·
--
The options market is pricing a short, sharp midterm shock for $BTC, not a long storm.
Per CoinDesk, implied volatility on Nov. 4 expiries sits around 43.5%, versus roughly 36% for the expiries after it. The curve settles back near 36% by late November.
My take: traders expect noise as early results and newsroom calls roll in, then a return to normal. Bitcoin is near $77,700 right now.
Are you hedging, trading the headlines, or sitting out election week?
#Bitcoin #Options #Midterms #Volatility $BTC Not financial advice.
The options market is pricing a short, sharp midterm shock for $BTC , not a long storm.
Per CoinDesk, implied volatility on Nov. 4 expiries sits around 43.5%, versus roughly 36% for the expiries after it. The curve settles back near 36% by late November.
My take: traders expect noise as early results and newsroom calls roll in, then a return to normal. Bitcoin is near $77,700 right now.
Are you hedging, trading the headlines, or sitting out election week?
#Bitcoin #Options #Midterms #Volatility $BTC Not financial advice.
Per CoinDesk, implied volatility on Nov. 4 expiries sits around 43.5%, versus roughly 36% for the expiries after it. The curve settles back near 36% by late November.
My take: traders expect noise as early results and newsroom calls roll in, then a return to normal. Bitcoin is near $77,700 right now.
Are you hedging, trading the headlines, or sitting out election week?
#Bitcoin #Options #Midterms #Volatility $BTC Not financial advice.
3
·
--
Options traders just got a lot less bullish on $BTC for 2026.
Derive.xyz data cited by The Guardian: puts made up 68% of Bitcoin options premiums in the first 12 hours after the Binance hack, versus 43% in the prior five days.
Odds of $BTC reaching $100K by year-end are now priced at about 3.5%, down from 6% last Wednesday.
My take: options show fear, while spot has been steadier, so the two are telling different stories. Not financial advice.
Are you hedging with puts here, or ignoring the options market? Tell me why.
#Bitcoin #Options #CryptoMarkets
Options traders just got a lot less bullish on $BTC for 2026.
Derive.xyz data cited by The Guardian: puts made up 68% of Bitcoin options premiums in the first 12 hours after the Binance hack, versus 43% in the prior five days.
Odds of $BTC reaching $100K by year-end are now priced at about 3.5%, down from 6% last Wednesday.
My take: options show fear, while spot has been steadier, so the two are telling different stories. Not financial advice.
Are you hedging with puts here, or ignoring the options market? Tell me why.
#Bitcoin #Options #CryptoMarkets
Derive.xyz data cited by The Guardian: puts made up 68% of Bitcoin options premiums in the first 12 hours after the Binance hack, versus 43% in the prior five days.
Odds of $BTC reaching $100K by year-end are now priced at about 3.5%, down from 6% last Wednesday.
My take: options show fear, while spot has been steadier, so the two are telling different stories. Not financial advice.
Are you hedging with puts here, or ignoring the options market? Tell me why.
#Bitcoin #Options #CryptoMarkets
3
ເຂົ້າສູ່ລະບົບເພື່ອສຳຫຼວດເນື້ອຫາເພີ່ມເຕີມ
ເຂົ້າຮ່ວມກຸ່ມຜູ້ໃຊ້ຄຣິບໂຕທົ່ວໂລກໃນ Binance Square.
⚡️ ໄດ້ຮັບຂໍ້ມູນຫຼ້າສຸດ ແລະ ທີ່ມີປະໂຫຍດກ່ຽວກັບຄຣິບໂຕ.
💬 ໄດ້ຮັບຄວາມໄວ້ວາງໃຈຈາກຕະຫຼາດແລກປ່ຽນຄຣິບໂຕທີ່ໃຫຍ່ທີ່ສຸດໃນໂລກ.
👍 ຄົ້ນຫາຂໍ້ມູນເຊີງເລິກທີ່ແທ້ຈາກນັກສ້າງທີ່ໄດ້ຮັບການຢືນຢັນ.
ອີເມວ / ເບີໂທລະສັບ
ຫົວຂໍ້ທີ່ກໍາລັງນິຍົມ
1
#WhoWillSucceedJensenHuangatNvidia?
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2
#WhatWillDriveCryptoandStocks’NextRebound?
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#TONStrategyReports$23.97MQ3NetLoss
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#PolkadotCommunityApprovesNewStrategyWith97%Vote
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#dYdXPlansV9.9UpgradeToShiftUSDCToInjective
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7
#TradFiForBeginners
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#MANTRAPausesUnstakingFor7DaysAfterKeplrSecurityIncident
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#BitcoinCoreDisclosesTorTrafficVulnerability
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158,286 ຄັ້ງທີ່ເບິ່ງ
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