The Crypto Basic

GRAM is finding support at a key moving average after a strong rejection at a familiar trendline, with analysis highlighting the next possible scenarios.
After the rally that came from its rebrand from TON, GRAM has started trending lower again. For context, the coin jumped 22% between July 1 and 4, spurred by momentum from the rebrand and a broader market rebound.
Now, with momentum fading, the 200-day simple moving average is preventing GRAM from seeing lower prices. The major question here remains if this support will hold and what would happen next in any scenario.
200-Day MA Provides Short-Term Support
Yesterday, GRAM dipped to a low of $1.55, briefly dropping below the 200-day MA at $1.56. However, buying pressure emerged from this dynamic support, ensuring that the coin closed at $1.58, above the moving average.
Notably, the 200 MA has continued to support prices since it broke above in early May. Wednesday’s repeat reinforces the indicator’s importance to bulls. While this is positive for GRAM, momentum remains weak.
Prices continue to retest this support, suggesting that GRAM does not have sustained upward momentum. Additionally, repeated drops to the 200 MA put the support at risk of collapsing, particularly if bears continue to dominate the broader crypto market proceedings.
GRAM Trapped Below Descending Trendline
Moreover, GRAM continues to trade beneath a downward resistance trendline that has suppressed prices for weeks now. After the notable 118% rally in the first seven days of May, the asset peaked at $2.91.
GRAM Below Descending Trendline
Since then, the altcoin has been trending within a descending trendline, with repeated upside attempts capped near this resistance. For context, the June 1 rebound to $2.28 ended near the downward-sloping resistance. The recent rejection at $1.84 on July 4 also aligned with this dynamic supply zone.
As long as GRAM continues to trend below this trendline, it cannot sustainably target higher prices. Interestingly, this resistance is beginning to compress prices around the support below, suggesting a decisive move is on the horizon.
If the 200-day MA continues to hold, GRAM could rebound to the descending trendline, currently around $1.70, representing a 7.5% increase from the current market price of $1.58. Breaking above with strong volume sets GRAM up for a stronger upsurge. The May high of $2.91, where the trendline started, is a probable target, an 84% increase from here.
Support Level to Watch
However, in the case where the 200-day MA fails to continue holding, GRAM could drop lower. The closest support is the key area between $1.52 and $1.43, a 4% to 9% decline from here.
Notably, this was a former resistance area, with GRAM peaking at this level on April 11. However, it broke above it in May and has continued to hold this support since then, despite repeated tests. This would be the most likely target if GRAM loses the 200 MA. Breaching this support puts the coin at risk of a much larger downtrend.
#Crypto

Latest on-chain data for #Bitcoin suggests the leading crypto may not have reached its cycle bottom despite the current massive drawdowns.
This is because key historical indicators have yet to flash the signals that marked previous bear market lows. At the time of writing, Bitcoin traded at $63,150, up 0.5% over the past 24 hours and 6.75% over the last seven days.
Despite the recovery, the asset remains down 28% year-to-date and nearly 50% below its 2025 all-time high.
NUPL Indicator Has Yet to Confirm a Market Bottom
CryptoQuant author thechessONCHAIN highlighted Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) as one of the market’s most reliable long-term cycle indicators.
NUPL measures the share of Bitcoin’s market capitalization that is sitting in unrealized profit. The metric currently stands at 0.158. Its 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) is at 0.215, while the 30-day EMA is at 0.155.
The 30-day EMA crossed below the 100-day EMA on June 2. Both indicators have continued to trend toward the zero line. Although the crossover points to weakening market momentum, it does not necessarily signal that Bitcoin has reached its bottom.
Notably, every major Bitcoin cycle low occurred only after the 100-day EMA of NUPL fell below zero. That happened during the 2011 bear market near $2, in January 2015 around $182, at the December 2018 low near $3,206, and during the FTX-driven bottom in November 2022 around $15,792.
Each bear market has produced a smaller negative NUPL reading. The indicator fell to -0.58 in 2011, -0.22 in 2015, and roughly -0.15 in both the 2018 and 2022 cycles.
However, this cycle has yet to produce a negative reading on the 100-day EMA. Accordingly, that leaves two possibilities.
Either the indicator eventually drops below zero, as it did in previous cycles, or Bitcoin forms its first major cycle bottom without the signal.
For the indicator to turn negative, Bitcoin’s price may need to fall once again. Bitcoin has already dropped 53% from its October 2025 peak of $126,200. However, that decline is still smaller than the drawdowns of up to 90% seen in previous cycles.
Loss-Holding Bitcoin Addresses Remain Below Past Bear Market Levels
Separately, market watcher Cyclop pointed to another historical bottom indicator that tracks the percentage of Bitcoin addresses holding coins at a loss.
According to the observation, 34% of Bitcoin addresses are currently underwater. That is well below the roughly 55% recorded at the 2018 market bottom and around 50% during the 2022 bear market low.
This could mean Bitcoin faces more downside or an extended period of weakness before a final cycle bottom appears.
Source: @nobrainflip on X
BTC Historical Signals Are Not Guarantees
Ultimately, these indicators are based on historical trends rather than certainty. Some industry commentators believe this cycle is different because Bitcoin has become a more mature asset. As a result, historical patterns may not repeat, and the massive drawdowns seen in previous cycles may not occur again.
Those who hold this view believe the $58,000 price low in June 2026 could mark the market’s bottom. Bitcoin is already up more than 7% from that low.
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The broader #Shiba Inu community has gone a full month without an active voice from the core team after Lucie, the ecosystem’s pseudonymous marketing lead and most active representative, disappeared from X.
For years, Lucie served as the primary bridge of communication between the Shiba Inu team and its community. However, she has not posted or interacted on the platform for exactly one month. As a result, the ecosystem currently lacks a regularly active team member on X, even as holders continue to seek updates on ongoing developments.
According to her X profile, Lucie’s last activity occurred on June 9, when she reposted a message from community figure Sand announcing that the ShibaSwap website had started loading again. Since then, she has remained completely silent, with no posts, replies, or reposts.
A Familiar Voice Falls Silent
Over the years, Lucie earned widespread respect within the Shiba Inu community through her consistent engagement. She regularly shared ecosystem updates, addressed community concerns, and encouraged holders during challenging market conditions.
In addition, she repeatedly expressed confidence in SHIB’s long-term prospects. On several occasions, Lucie argued that $0.01 remains a realistic long-term target. She also suggested that a future move toward $1 should not be ruled out, while emphasizing that achieving such milestones would require patience and continued ecosystem growth.
Due to her consistent presence, many community members came to view Lucie as the project’s most accessible public representative.
Lucie Joins Other Silent Shiba Inu Leaders
Lucie’s disappearance also reflects a broader pattern of inactivity among prominent Shiba Inu team members.
Lead developer and ambassador Shytoshi Kusama has not posted on X since May 13. At the time, he posted a message of admiration for fellow developer Kaal Dhairya. Meanwhile, Kaal Dhairya has also remained inactive on the platform since March 12, 2026.
Unlike Lucie, Kusama’s absence has a known explanation. He previously revealed that he has been focusing on an artificial intelligence initiative called R. OS, an independent project that operates outside the Shiba Inu ecosystem.
Nonetheless, the prolonged silence from several key figures has left the community with little direct communication from the project’s leadership.
Silence Comes as the Ecosystem Faces Growing Challenges
The communication gap comes at a particularly difficult time for the Shiba Inu ecosystem.
Several ecosystem projects remain unfinished, while internal disagreements have sparked fresh debates within the community. Meanwhile, the prices of major ecosystem tokens have continued to decline.
SHIB has fallen sharply in recent months, dropping out of the top 30 cryptocurrencies by market cap and trading below $0.0000045. Likewise, the ecosystem’s governance token, BONE, has struggled to regain momentum. After reaching an all-time high of $41.67, the token has plunged by 99.89% and now trades at around $0.045.
Against this backdrop, the continued silence from Lucie and other leading team members has fueled growing concern among some community members, many of whom await fresh updates and a clearer roadmap for the future of the Shiba Inu ecosystem.
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#Cardano recently formed a bullish divergence involving the daily RSI, suggesting that the selling pressure may be weakening.
Cardano (ADA) remains under pressure, trading at $0.16697 and down 4.19% on the day. However, a major technical signal has appeared on the daily chart, suggesting that bearish momentum may be losing strength.
The signal comes from a bullish divergence between ADA’s price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). While this pattern does not confirm that the downtrend has ended, it shows that sellers are losing momentum even as the price continues to make lower lows.
Cardano RSI Divergence Indicates Improving Momentum
The bullish divergence developed between two swing lows that formed about three weeks apart. Specifically, on June 8, ADA dropped to $0.1487, pushing the RSI down to 12.78, an extremely oversold level that reflected heavy selling pressure during the early-June decline.
Later, on June 25, ADA fell further to $0.1380, creating a lower low on the price chart. However, instead of falling further, the RSI posted a higher low of 25.10 on the same day. This created a bullish divergence, where price makes a lower low but the momentum indicator forms a higher low.
Cardano RSI Bullish Divergence
This pattern suggests that sellers are beginning to lose control. Although they managed to push ADA to a new low between June 8 and June 25, they did so with much weaker momentum.
Since then, the RSI has climbed to 47.57, while its signal line stands at 42.93. An upward trendline now connects the RSI readings of 12.78 and 25.10, confirming the improving momentum. If the RSI moves above 50 and stays there, it would provide stronger confirmation that buyers are now gaining control.
Cardano Fibonacci Levels
Meanwhile, ADA’s daily chart also shows Fibonacci retracement levels from the swing high of $0.28935 to the June 25 swing low of $0.13800, which also marks the point where the RSI bullish divergence formed. These levels present key support and resistance areas for ADA.
Right now, ADA is testing the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement at $0.16169, a level that has served as both support and resistance in recent sessions. Just below it sits the 0.888 retracement at $0.14993, which provides another important support area.
If ADA closes below that level, the market could revisit the $0.13800 low. A break below that support would then expose the 1.272 Fibonacci extension at $0.11283 and the 1.414 extension at $0.10156, although reaching those levels would likely require a much weaker crypto market overall.
On the upside, ADA first needs to reclaim the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.18311 to improve the short-term outlook.
Cardano Fibonacci Levels and MACD
Holding above that level could then open the door to the 0.33 retracement at $0.22663, representing a gain of about 35% from the current price. The previous swing high at $0.28935 remains the major resistance level over the longer term.
MACD and Bollinger Bands Show Weakening Pressure
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also shows improving momentum. The MACD line currently stands at 0.00462, while the signal line sits at -0.00095.
During the sharp sell-off in June, the MACD histogram recorded deeply negative readings. Since then, the histogram has moved closer to the zero line and has begun shifting toward positive territory, showing that bearish momentum continues to weaken despite today’s decline.
Meanwhile, the middle Bollinger band stands at $0.16047, while the upper and lower bands sit at $0.19128 and $0.12966, respectively. ADA is trading slightly above the middle band, placing it in a neutral position rather than confirming either a breakout or another breakdown.
The upper Bollinger Band at $0.19128 also sits close to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.18311, creating a strong resistance area that buyers will need to overcome.
What Could Come Next for Cardano?
In the short term, $0.16169 remains the most important level to watch. ADA needs to stay above this 0.786 Fibonacci retracement on a daily closing basis to keep the bullish divergence valid.
A drop below the 0.888 retracement at $0.14993 would show that buyers failed to build on the improving momentum and could lead to another test of the June 25 low at $0.13800. If that level breaks, the current bullish setup would lose its validity, and the Fibonacci extension targets could come into focus.
If ADA holds its ground and the rising RSI trendline remains intact, the first upside target stands at $0.18311, where the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement meets the upper Bollinger Band.
A strong daily close above that level, together with an RSI move above 50 and continued improvement in the MACD, would point to a greater change in market structure and could pave the way for a move toward $0.22663.
Meanwhile, it remains to be seen if the $0.13800 low will prove to be the cycle bottom. The bullish RSI divergence and improving MACD momentum point to that possibility.
However, ADA still needs to reclaim and hold above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.18311 before the broader trend can shift from bearish to bullish. Until then, the RSI divergence is just a promising signal, not the confirmation of a full trend reversal.
#CryptoNewsCommunity

A recent #XRP trading strategy presents a tiered take-profit plan, showing how much investors could consider selling at different price levels up to a $7 peak.
The bear market has persisted into its tenth month, and XRP has not escaped the onslaught. After recently recovering to a $1.18 high, XRP has recorded three consecutive intraday losses and is now on track for a fourth one, as prices retrace to $1.09.
However, amid the downward price action, a recent trade setup indicates that this presents an opportunity for investors to enter the scene at lower prices, presenting a tiered take-profit plan all the way to a new all-time high around $7.
XRP Trade Entry Plan
The trade calls for deploying 25% of intended capital in the $1.35 to $1.36 range, a level XRP currently trades below. At present, the market is moving toward the deeper entry zones where the strategy places its heaviest allocation.
Specifically, the trade deploys capital across three distinct price ranges, with the largest commitment reserved for the lowest level.
The first tranche of 25% targets the $1.35 to $1.36 area, which XRP has already lost. The second tranche of 25% targets a range between $0.90 and $1.00, a level XRP has not yet reached during this downturn. Meanwhile, the final tranche, carrying 50% of total capital, targets the $0.55 to $0.65 range.
Notably, reserving the largest allocation for the lowest price level could maximize the return potential if XRP embarks on a full recovery, since the average cost basis drops as the price falls further before a rebound.
XRP Take-Profit Targets Up to $7
Essentially, the trade assumes XRP will rebound from whichever of these lower levels it touches, with the recovery projected using a Fibonacci extension model based on its long-term base at $0.2411.
The first major take-profit target sits at $4.9192, which aligns with the 4.0 Fibonacci extension. Reaching this level would mean XRP more than quadruples from its current price and multiplies several times over from the deepest entry tier.
XRP Trade Setup
At this point, the setup instructs participants to sell 80% of their accumulated position. This would allow them to secure the bulk of gains while the asset retains momentum.
Meanwhile, the terminal take-profit sits at $7.2582, aligning with the 6.0 Fibonacci extension from the base anchor. This level is more than six times above the current price and would represent a new peak for XRP by a wide margin. The trade directs participants to close the remaining 20% of the position here, completing the full exit.
How a $10,000 Trade Would Look
To put things into perspective, a $10,000 capital deployment would purchase 7,692 XRP at $0.65 with 50% entry, 2,777 XRP at $1 with 25% entry, and then 1,838 XRP at $1.36 with 25% entry. This brings total XRP procured to 12,307 with the $10,000 capital.
If the investor follows the take-profit plan, they will sell off 9,845 XRP or 80% of their holdings at a price of $4.9192, securing $48,433. Moving further, the remaining 20% bag, about 2,461 XRP, could be sold at $7.25 for $17,845.
Overall, the $10,000 capital could grow to over $66,000. However, this depends on XRP surging to the take-profit targets of $4.9 and $7.25, which remains uncertain at press time.
#CryptoNewsFlash

Strategy has sold another large batch of #Bitcoin , prompting comparisons with its only previous major BTC sale in late 2022.
A popular post on X noted that the last time Michael Saylor’s company sold a significant amount of Bitcoin, BTC later climbed roughly fivefold from its bear-market low. Some traders believe history could repeat itself.
Strategy Sells 3,588 BTC to Fund Dividends
On Monday, Michael Saylor announced that Strategy sold 3,588 BTC for approximately $216 million. The proceeds will fund dividends on the company’s Digital Credit securities. After the sale, Strategy said it still holds:
843,775 BTC in its Bitcoin reserves.$2.55 billion in U.S. dollar reserves.
The latest transaction follows the sale on June 30, when Strategy sold 1,363 BTC for about $80.77 million at an average price of $59,256 per BTC. Meanwhile, the company also sold 2,225 BTC for $135.22 million at an average price of $60,773.
In total, the company has sold 3,588 BTC within a week. Based on Strategy’s average purchase price of $75,651 per BTC, the BTC sale resulted in a realized loss of more than $55.44 million.
Earlier in June, the company also sold a much smaller 32 BTC for about $2.47 million at an average price of $77,135.
First Major Sales Since the 2022 Bear Market
Before this recent selling activity, Strategy’s only notable Bitcoin sale came in December 2022. The company sold 704 BTC at roughly $16,500 per coin as part of a tax-loss harvesting strategy. The sale generated approximately $11.8 million.
The move was short-lived. Strategy soon repurchased 810 BTC, leaving its long-term Bitcoin strategy largely unchanged. Aside from that transaction, the company had not made any significant Bitcoin sales until this year’s activity.
The timing has drawn attention because both selling periods occurred during bear markets. Notably, Bitcoin traded near $16,400 during the December 2022 sale and later reached $126,200 in October 2026. This represents over 7.7x price expansion.
Meanwhile, the recent sales came after BTC had fallen about 50% from its all-time high, trading near $58,000 before rebounding. At press time, Bitcoin had recovered about 6% to around $63,010.
Source: saylortracker
What Another 5x Rally Would Look Like
If Bitcoin’s price repeats the roughly 7.7x rally that followed the 2022 bear market low, BTC could reach about $484,800 from its current price of around $63,010.
With approximately 20.05 million BTC in circulation, that price would value Bitcoin at roughly $9.72 trillion. However, whether such a rally happens remains uncertain.
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#Shiba Inu has formed a death cross on lower timeframes, but whales are aggressively buying the dip, offering fresh optimism for the price.
A death cross often happens when a long-term moving average moves above a short-term moving average. Typically, this crossing occurs between the 200- and 50-period MAs. Today, this interaction has happened, raising further concerns about the price trajectory of Shiba Inu (SHIB).
Shiba Inu Death Cross
On the 30-minute timeframe, the 200 MA has moved over the 50 MA, suggesting that earlier price recovery could be nearing its end. For context, Shiba Inu bounced from a low of $0.00000426 on Monday, forming a golden cross.
The 50 MA crossed the 200 MA, providing the momentum that pushed SHIB to a high of $0.00000447, a nearly 5% increase from the low. However, the meme coin could not overcome the resistance there, and a rejection followed.
Shiba Inu Death Cross
Since then, SHIB has slid lower to $0.00000436. During the course of this pullback, a death cross formed, casting doubts on the chances of a further recovery attempt. Typically, this crossing suggests that buying momentum is fading, which signals the end of an uptrend.
However, some see the signal as a lagging indicator. The argument is that it reflects what has already happened in the market, rather than providing hints of what to expect. This suggests that the downtrend is already priced in, and SHIB could not fall further due to the crossover.
Nonetheless, it remains a bearish indicator and one that Shiba Inu bulls would not want to see, especially as they hope for a sustained recovery. The fact that it also happened on lower timeframes further boosts confidence. If such a crossover appears on higher timeframes, it will confirm the bearishness and increase the chances of an impact on SHIB’s price.
Should prices trend lower, the critical support areas to watch for SHIB are at $0.00000241 and $0.00000155. Further bearish pressure could take the token to $0.0000010.
SHIB Whale Accumulation Presents Fresh Buying Pressure
Meanwhile, Shiba Inu whales continue to buy the dip. Over the past 24 hours, they have withdrawn another 75.7 billion SHIB tokens from exchanges.
Shiba Inu Exchange Netflow/CryptoQuant
CryptoQuant’s exchange netflow data confirms this. The metric measures the difference between exchange inflows and outflows and turns negative when the latter exceeds the former.
Exactly this scenario played out over the past day, with netflow showing a negative reading of 75.7 billion. This suggests that that was the net amount that traders withdrew from exchanges yesterday.
Notably, this pattern has persisted for a while now, highlighting the unrelenting accumulation effort from Shiba Inu investors. They continue to take advantage of the low price to move the token off exchanges to self-custody wallets for long-term holding.
This not only reduces selling pressure but also impacts the availability of the meme coin on exchanges. Additionally, it highlights the confidence among SHIB holders that the token could recover from recent downtrends and target higher prices.
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#XRP may now be looking to complete the same multi-year trendline retest pattern that previously led to a more than 60,000% surge in 2017.
The market has not been favorable to XRP since the downtrend began in Q4 2025. XRP has continued to record consistent losses, now down nearly 70% from its all-time high of $3.66, attained in July 2025, as it currently changes hands around $1.12.
However, amid this downward price action, chart data shows that XRP may now be looking to complete what appears to be the same multi-year trendline retest pattern that played out before it surged by more than 60,000% in 2017 to the $3.31 high.
XRP’s First Multi-Year Trendline Retest Pattern
Notably, this trendline retest pattern has only successfully played out once throughout XRP’s history, and it appears to be repeating now. If successful, this would mark only the second time it has developed.
Specifically, the pattern involves retesting a multi-year ascending trendline four times before an eventual surge to new price highs. The retest of the trendline and subsequent recovery indicates that bulls are still in control of the market over a longer timeframe, as the asset continues to form higher lows.
The pattern started in August 2013, when XRP began trading in the public market, with the formation of an ascending trendline. Each time XRP retested the trendline and recovered, a rally ensued.
When XRP tested the trendline at the $0.00289 low in August 2013, it spiked more than 2,000% to the December 2013 peak of $0.0614. After collapsing from this high, XRP again retested the trendline at a $0.00310 floor in May 2014, and then rebounded 897% to $0.02803 by December 2014.
A third retest of the trendline occurred when XRP dropped to $0.00404 by December 2015. The ensuing recovery resulted in a milder 134% increase to $0.00947 by October 2016. Then, XRP recorded the fourth retest with a crash to $0.005 in February 2017.
What followed this fourth retest of the trendline was a massive breakout. Specifically, XRP surged from the $0.005 low to a new all-time high of $3.31 by January 2018, representing a near 63,000% rise within a year. This marked the end of the first retest pattern.
XRP Now Repeating the Same Pattern
Interestingly, XRP now seems to be repeating the same pattern. Specifically, the asset formed a second ascending trendline from early 2020, with the first test occurring at the $0.1681 low of April 2020.
XRP Ascending Trendline Retest
After this retest, XRP soared 1,065% to a high of $1.96 by April 2021. From here, the price pulled back and then retested the trendline when XRP dropped to $0.28 in June 2022. The ensuing rebound pushed XRP’s price to $0.94 by July 2023, marking a 184% rise.
XRP recorded the third retest with a drop to $0.49 by November 2024. What followed was a massive 646% increase to the current all-time high of $3.66 by July 2025.
Now, XRP is on the verge of recording the fourth retest, which could lead to the final explosive upsurge. Data from the chart shows that the ascending trendline currently aligns with the $0.74 to $0.80 price range. Should XRP drop further to hit this level and defend the trendline retest, an upward push could ensue.
However, it is important to point out that the resulting rallies from this second trendline’s retests have been considerably lower. As a result, XRP may not see anything close to the 63,000% rise from 2017. Nonetheless, even if it manages just a tenth of that rally, prices could hit $46.
#CryptoNewsFlash

Shiba Inu continues to follow a well-defined downtrend pattern, with the latest price action reinforcing the broader bearish structure.
The Shiba Inu (SHIB) chart shows sellers maintaining control through a series of lower highs, while each recovery attempt has not been sustainable.
A long-term descending trendline early capped rallies for months, and the recent move fits the same pattern. After slipping below support, SHIB has repeatedly attempted to rebound, but its price has stalled around key resistance zones, raising the possibility of deeper corrections.
Shiba Inu Recovery Attempts Continue to Lose Momentum
Shiba Inu trailed beneath a descending trendline between September 2025 and April 2026, consistently making lower highs and lower lows. After breaking out, it made a series of higher lows along an ascending trendline before breaking below it in May. This confirmed the bearish bias.
The SHIB/USDT 4H chart highlights a familiar sequence that repeated throughout the decline. A brief rebound has followed each sharp sell-off, only for earlier gains to be wiped out as the retested resistance attracts fresh selling pressure.
Shiba Inu confirmed this in the early June retest, where its price peaked near $0.00000558. What followed was a sharp decline to a new low of $0.00000430 five days later. Another fakeout happened with a brief rally to $0.00000520 on June 15. Bears regained control and dragged SHIB lower.
Shiba Inu Chart Analysis
SHIB Downward Structure Intact
Meanwhile, the latest market bounce has carried SHIB back toward the former support area near $0.0000046. The meme coin stalled near the resistance area, which aligned closely with the 100-period moving average. Notably, the loss of momentum there is critical as the dynamic resistance has repeatedly rejected earlier recoveries.
The latest rejection means the overall market structure has not changed. The sequence of lower highs and lower lows remains intact, while repeated failures near resistance indicate that buyers have yet to establish sustained control.
As long as SHIB remains below the 100 MA and the nearby resistance zone around $0.0000046, the broader bias continues to favor the downside. The downside target is a potential decline toward the next support region near $0.0000010, a 77% crash from the current price level.
However, a successful reclaim of the resistance could open the door to a stronger recovery. A decisive move above resistance, supported by sustained buying pressure, would weaken this outlook.
Could SHIB Accumulation Disrupt Bears?
While price analysis shows a bearish outlook, on-chain data provides a glimmer of hope. Specifically, Shiba Inu whales are accumulating Shiba Inu through weakness, suggesting confidence in the asset’s price trajectory.
In the past 24 hours, the total exchange netflows have turned negative, highlighting that coins that flowed out surpassed those that entered. The metric increased by 1.43% to a negative 33.5 billion SHIB tokens, worth $146,207.
#CryptoNewsFlash

A viral social media post claiming Ethereum controls 87% of the global stablecoin supply has sparked debate within the XRP community.
However, the chart behind the claim excluded Tron, one of the largest stablecoin networks. The discussion comes as stablecoin activity reaches new highs. At the same time, Ripple’s RLUSD continues to gain traction on the XRP Ledger.
Ethereum and Tron Control 81% of the Market
Notably, a crypto user shared Artemis data claiming Ethereum now controls 87% of the stablecoin supply. Longtime XRP critic on X, @ScamDetective5, used the post to further criticize XRP, saying, “The XRP Ledger is not even on the map.”
However, an Artemis dashboard that includes all major blockchains tells a different story. Ethereum remains the largest stablecoin network, with $162.7 billion in circulating supply. This gives it a 52.4% market share, not 87%.
Tron ranks second with $89.4 billion in circulating supply, accounting for 28.8% of the market. Together, Ethereum and Tron host more than 81% of the global stablecoin supply.
Other major networks include:
BNB Chain: $16.6 billion (5.4%)Solana: $16.2 billion (5.2%)HyperEVM: $5.7 billion (1.8%)Base: $4.6 billion (1.5%)Arbitrum: $4.3 billion (1.4%)Polygon PoS: $3.9 billion (1.3%)XRP Ledger: Approximately $1.2 billion (0.4%)
The dashboard puts the total stablecoin supply at $312.7 billion.
Source: Artemis
Stablecoin Transaction Volume Reaches New High
Notably, the market share debate comes as stablecoin adoption continues to grow. According to Visa’s Allium-powered analytics, adjusted stablecoin transaction volume hit a record $1.79 trillion in June. That was up 63% from May and 125% compared with the same month last year.
Visa’s methodology removes bot activity, treasury rebalancing, and repetitive smart contract transactions. The goal is to better measure genuine economic activity.
USDC led June’s transaction volume at $1.21 trillion, accounting for about 67% of the total. USDT followed with $576 billion, or roughly 32%. PYUSD processed another $2.42 billion.
Among blockchains, Base narrowly led June’s transaction volume at $565 billion. Ethereum followed closely with $562 billion, while Tron processed about $320 billion.
The data suggests stablecoins are seeing increased use for payments, decentralized finance, and cross-border transfers despite broader market uncertainty.
RLUSD Gains Ground on the XRP Ledger
While the XRP Ledger remains a small player in the broader stablecoin market, Ripple’s RLUSD recently reached an important milestone.
In late June, RLUSD’s circulating supply on the XRP Ledger surpassed its supply on Ethereum for the first time. That made XRPL the largest network hosting Ripple’s stablecoin.
Current figures from the RLUSD Tracker show that the XRP Ledger holds about $848 million in RLUSD. Ethereum holds a far lower figure at $727 million.
Across both networks, RLUSD’s circulating supply has grown to nearly $1.6 billion. The figures indicate growing adoption within Ripple’s ecosystem, even as Ethereum and Tron continue to dominate the overall stablecoin market.
#CryptonewswithJack

#Cardano is showing signs of life after nearly 15,000 new wallet holders joined the ecosystem in a few days, even as its price rebounded from recent lows.
According to an analysis shared by Santiment Intelligence, the number of non-empty ADA wallets has increased by 14,783 since June 23, reversing a short-lived decline in holder count. At the same time, Cardano (ADA) has climbed toward the $0.20 level for the first time in roughly a month after rebounding sharply from its recent bottom.
The combination of rising wallet activity and improving price action suggests retail participation is returning after weeks of market uncertainty. Furthermore, ADA has climbed several places higher in the crypto market cap ranking to reflect the recent price growth.
Cardano Holder Count Surges Amid Price Rebound
The Santiment data shows the total Cardano holder count starting to recover after falling through much of June. Since reaching a local low on June 23, the network has added 14,783 non-empty wallets, lifting the total holder count back above 4.62 million.
Cardano Non-Empty Wallet Rise/Santiment
A rising holder count means more adoption. The situation confirms that buying pressure is returning for Cardano, as users saw the June dip as an opportunity to buy lower.
Meanwhile, this has seen ADA stage a notable recovery from its recent lows. The asset rose by roughly 45% from its June 25 bottom of $0.138 to the $0.20 level before retracing slightly.
Notably, last week’s 32% rebound marks its strongest weekly upward move since late February 2025, when it rallied 47%. Nonetheless, the token remains well below prices seen earlier this year.
Santiment noted that Cardano has historically maintained a loyal retail community even during prolonged market downturns. As such, the latest increase in wallet addresses may indicate that smaller holders are returning as market sentiment stabilizes.
Cardano Climbs to 14th Place in Crypto Market Cap Ranking
The price shift has also impacted ADA’s position in the cryptocurrency ranking by valuation.
Following the 38% dip in June, Cardano dropped to the 18th asset by market cap. However, as prices started to outperform Bitcoin and other major large-cap assets, ADA started to move in the rankings.
It briefly moved five spots to the 13th spot before the current pullback saw it lose that spot to Stellar again.
With a market cap of $6.71 billion, ADA now ranks 14th, climbing above the Dai stablecoin, Canton, Chainlink, and Monero. Meanwhile, the current momentum is now fueling optimism that Cardano will reclaim the 10th place in the cryptocurrency market cap ranking.
Cardano Reclaims 14th in Market Cap Ranking/CoinMarketCap
Sentiment Slowly Shifts After Weeks of Uncertainty
Cardano faced heavy selling pressure throughout June as bearish sentiment intensified across the ecosystem.
Several factors fueled the weakness, including ADA falling to price levels not seen since 2020, public comments from Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson about ecosystem shortcomings, and community debate around efforts to move Cardano discussions away from X.
Together, those developments weighed on confidence and contributed to the decline in both price and holder activity. Growing FUD also climbed as Cardano’s social dominance rose considerably.
However, the recent recovery in wallet growth suggests confidence may be gradually returning. Santiment added that if the number of holders continues to rise while ADA establishes support around the current levels, it could signal that the period of FUD marked a local capitulation rather than the beginning of another prolonged decline.
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#XRP is now close to a recording death cross between the 20-week EMA and the 200-week SMA, which could determine its next direction from here.
A death cross forms when a short-term moving average drops below a long-term one. While this is often discussed in terms of the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the same idea applies to other pairs, including the 20-week EMA and the 200-week SMA.
200W SMA and 20W EMA Seeing Opposing Trends
Right now, this crossover has not happened yet, but it looks very close. Since October 2025, the two indicators have been moving in opposite directions and seem to be gradually converging.
Notably, the 200-week SMA has been rising since late 2024, but only at a slow and steady pace. Meanwhile, the 20-week EMA entered an uptrend from November 2024, but things changed after it reached a high of $2.77 in October 2025. Since then, the shorter-term average has been falling.
The gap between these two indicators has become smaller over time. At the moment, the 20-week EMA stands at $1.34 and is still declining, while the 200-week SMA has climbed to $1.209 and continues its gradual rise.

XRP Weekly Death Cross Imminent
If the 20-week EMA falls below the 200-week SMA, it would be the first time this has happened since November 2024. For context, in November 2024, the moving averages witnessed a golden cross, which coincided with a broader market rally linked to Donald Trump’s election victory.
What This Could Mean for XRP Price Action
A death cross usually points to growing selling pressure. In this case, it would show that sellers are gaining more control and that the downtrend is still in place. However, in some cases, this signal appears close to a market bottom.
For instance, in July 2022, XRP showed a similar pattern. At that time, the price had already dropped to a low of $0.28 in June 2022 and was starting to recover. After the death cross formed, XRP still fell slightly to about $0.31 by Q3 2022.
Following this low, the market stabilized, but XRP saw a consolidation instead of a decisive uptrend despite avoiding further declines. A strong bull run did not begin until November 2024, nearly two years later.
However, not every case follows the same path. During the 2018/2019 bear market, a similar crossover happened in October 2019. XRP continued to fall for several months after the signal, eventually reaching a low of $0.1140 in March 2020. It took about five months for the market to find a bottom.
However, this period coincided with the March 2020 crash caused by the COVID-19 crisis, which many see as an unexpected Black Swan event.
As a result, some analysts treat it as an exception. If no similar shock happens now, XRP could follow the 2022 pattern, where the death cross appeared close to the bottom and was followed by a period of consolidation within weeks.
Key XRP Levels to Watch
While each market cycle is different, data from these past trends suggest that XRP could form a bottom between now and the end of the year or within the next six months, depending on how the market develops.
Most analysts believe the next major support lies between $0.8 and $0.9. On-chain data supports this view. Specifically, the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows that below the $1.06 support level, the next strong support sits around $0.8, where about 923 million XRP was previously traded.
With XRP currently priced at $1.13, a drop to the $0.8 to $0.9 range would mean a decline of around 20% to 29%. Whether the price reaches that level or stabilizes earlier will depend on how the market reacts as this possible death cross plays out.
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ASTER is showing signs of renewed strength after a range breakout, with analysis suggesting buyers are gradually regaining control.
The recent #Aster (ASTER) price action suggests an optimistic short-term outlook, particularly as its price regains momentum and the broader crypto market shows recovery signs. Provided the token holds above critical support levels, it might experience a considerable rebound to higher resistance areas.
ASTER Breaking Out from Multi-Week Range
After spending several weeks consolidating, ASTER has climbed back toward the upper end of its multi-week price range. The coin fell into this range on June 5. While it broke out in mid-June to a high of $0.803 following news of the 99% fee buyback, it fell back and continued to trend within the range.
The recent uptrend has now shifted attention to whether ASTER can successfully break out and target higher prices. Meanwhile, ASTER is already showing early positive signs, with price now trending above the upper resistance trendline at $0.634.
Aster 4H Chart Analysis
The coin first broke out on June 2, following its rally to an intraday high of $0.649. Since then, ASTER has consolidated above the key zone, gaining momentum for the next uptrend. This presents an ideal entry point. If the price continues to trade above the $0.634 resistance, the chances of a rally higher remain.
Key Resistance Levels Ahead
The immediate resistance should the upward momentum begin is the $0.649 level. ASTER stalled there yesterday, and reclaiming it is crucial for a sustained uptrend.
If buyers successfully clear $0.649, the next technical hurdles appear near $0.665 and $0.709, representing an uptrend of 4% to 11% from the current price of $0.638. Beyond those levels, there are still resistance zones between $0.740 and $0.780.
Ultimately, the breakout could target the previous swing high around $0.803. From the current market price, this represents a 26% increase.
Notably, the bullish outlook would weaken if ASTER loses its breakout structure. Falling below $0.634 invalidates the breakout and pushes the coin back into a range. It also opens the path to retesting lower support regions.
The closest support is $0.612, representing a 4% drop from here. Below this level, another support sits around $0.602. Meanwhile, $0.585 marks the most important floor on the chart, as it represents the lower support of the price range.
A convincing close beneath that level would invalidate the current recovery setup and could expose the token to a deeper decline toward $0.542 and $0.514.
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