The market has already called it: a 25 bps cut this Wednesday is a near-certainty.
With inflation cooling and the growth story looking shaky, the Fed's hand is being forced. This easing path is pure fuel for risk assets—both equities and crypto are ready for the pump.
The correlation is too strong to ignore. $ETH is tracking Gold's trajectory almost identically. The momentum is just building here, whereas Gold's initial run is already in. This isn't about repetition; it's about a pattern reasserting itself under new conditions. And all signs point to this pattern resolving at the $10,000 level.
$BTC Recovery is Fueled by Unshakable Institutional Demand 🚀
We've successfully held the $112,000 front line, and the bounce from the lows has been powerful. This isn't just a retail pump—it's being driven by sustained institutional resilience and clearer regulatory landscapes.
My Technical Take:
· Key Support: ~$108,000 (This is our new foundation) · Current Pivot: $112,000 (The battle line) · Next Target: ~$116,000 (The major hurdle to break)
The MACD is hinting at some short-term fatigue, so a pause wouldn't surprise me. But the overall sentiment has clearly shifted from fear to bullish. The institutional tailwind for $BTC is real.
Just saw that Spot $BTC ETFs are back in the red, with the 7-day average showing net outflows again. Honestly, this feels less like a panic and more like a healthy reset. The market's just catching its breath before the next leg up. Once liquidity stabilizes and sentiment shifts, we'll probably flip right back into accumulation mode.
$BTC ticking up 0.38% to $110,824. The move feels solid, backed by a $46.6 billion volume and a massive $2.21 trillion market cap. To me, this signals steady institutional digestion, not just retail hype.
The sentiment is getting a real boost from JPMorgan recognizing $BTC as loan collateral and BlackRock's latest $107.8 million infusion. It's a powerful combo. The big money is still flowing in—Q3 spot ETF inflows smashed $7.8 billion, and a significant 67% of institutions see $130K as the next logical stop.
On the charts, the $109K support is holding firm. We're now testing that key $112K–$114K resistance zone. Once we break through, my next target is the $125K–$135K range, which lines up perfectly with the Fibonacci extensions.
The Fear & Greed Index is at a cool 34, which keeps the greed in check, but heavy whale accumulation is screaming opportunity. All eyes are on that upper resistance band—it feels like breakout o'clock.
Just as I predicted, Bitcoin has smashed through $110,500.
I hope you held strong and bought that dip at $106k yesterday. Congratulations to everyone who trusted the plan and secured this profit. Well deserved!
Interesting take from Standard Chartered. Their analysts are flagging that we could see a significant trend of capital rotating out of gold and into $BTC
Finally. The 3-year downtrend of $ETH is broken. Now we're watching the bullish retest play out in real time. No need to say more, the chart says it all.
$BTC daily chart remains in a bearish trend until we secure a close above $116k.
Price did bounce from the $107k level as I was watching, but it gave back all its gains after the Trump tariff headline.
This is exactly what I've been saying: the market is completely driven by headlines right now. Technical analysis loses a lot of its edge in these conditions.
If you're getting whipsawed by this noise, my advice is to step back. Wait for cleaner price action to develop and keep your focus on the higher-timeframe structure, like the Weekly chart.
The S&P 500 and NASDAQ have shown remarkable resilience, nearly recovering to all-time highs despite the renewed tariff threats from Trump toward China. Bitcoin, however, has failed to follow this historical correlation. The discrepancy is striking and makes me question if the price is currently being suppressed.
According to the latest TRM Labs data, India now leads the world in crypto adoption. This isn't just a statistic; it's a signal of massive, grassroots demand and a huge new wave of users. Extremely bullish for the long-term.
That's why I set smaller profit targets. I know how powerful trendline rejections are. Look at $SOL —so many people FOMO'd in after it hit my full targets, thinking the surge would continue. But I was already telling everyone to close their positions. The market almost always reverses right after a clear, obvious bullish wave!
$TRUMP is flashing a classic reversal setup off the bottom.
The deep fall looks exhausted, and price is now holding firm—this is where momentum builds silently before a breakout. My read is the dip-buyers are finally stepping back in.
This is the kind of buy-the-dip opportunity I watch for. The chart is signaling that the selling pressure has dried up and buyers are slowly regaining control. If this momentum builds, we're set up for a strong move into the next bullish leg.
My plan is simple: get positioned smartly at these lower levels and get ready.
My $150k-$180k $BTC target for Q4 is still absolutely in play.
I've been watching this movie for years, and every October, it feels like $BTC runs the same script. A sharp dip, a period of deceptive calm that makes everyone second-guess the bull run, and then a face-melting breakout that catches the majority offside. The rhythm is almost mechanical.
My analysis shows the bottoms consistently form in the first 10 days of October. That's the shakeout. Then, we get the explosive Q4 rally. We saw it in 2023. We saw it again in 2024. And now, in 2025, all the pieces are on the board for the trilogy.
The pattern is simple, and that's what makes it so powerful. Bitcoin bleeds into early October, flushes out the over-leveraged longs, and traps the bears who think the top is in. Then, like clockwork, it rips through key resistance levels as liquidity comes flooding back. Seeing BTC hold strong above $110k right now looks eerily similar to the last two major pre-rallies I tracked.
The momentum is building under the hood, just like I look for:
· The RSI is coiling into a bullish position. · Funding rates have reset from greedy to neutral—perfect launchpad conditions. · Market sentiment is sitting in that sweet spot of disbelief where the biggest reversals love to start.
If this pattern holds—and my bet is that it will—the next leg up is primed to send us to my $150k–$180k range before the year is out. My plan hasn't changed. What the weak hands see as October's pain is exactly the setup for November's opportunity.
As anticipated, $ETH has executed a powerful move from the support zone we identified.
The bounce from the 3840 area has been decisive, pushing price above 3950 and confirming a strong bullish structure. For those who entered on that dip, this is a well-earned profit. The candles are clean, buyer volume is present, and control has firmly shifted.
From a structural perspective, the 3900 level is now critical support. A sustained hold above this level keeps the bullish trend active and opens the door to our next key resistance at 4010. A break above that level would likely trigger the next leg up.
The trend is your friend here. Holding long positions with a defined risk makes sense as the momentum remains bullish. The targets are clear, and the structure is cooperating.
$ETHW
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