Mike On The Move
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I’m Mike a crypto blogger sharing real insights from years in the market. No hype, just experience to help you cut through the noise.
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💛 Thank you, Binance Square team, for awarding the gold badge! 🚀
Today marks a special milestone. The account has officially been granted the gold verification, and it’s an amazing recognition from the Binance Square team.
Thank you for the support, the trust, and the opportunity to continue delivering quality content to the community.
I’ll keep sharing market updates, trade strategies, and valuable insights — clear plans, disciplined execution, and staying laser-focused on every move.
Huge appreciation to the Binance Square team and everyone who has been following along.
Today marks a special milestone. The account has officially been granted the gold verification, and it’s an amazing recognition from the Binance Square team.
Thank you for the support, the trust, and the opportunity to continue delivering quality content to the community.
I’ll keep sharing market updates, trade strategies, and valuable insights — clear plans, disciplined execution, and staying laser-focused on every move.
Huge appreciation to the Binance Square team and everyone who has been following along.
PINNED
$BTC has always been a cyclical beast 👀
2013: -87.06%
2017: -83.46%
2021: -78.57%
2025: people see one tiny bounce and immediately scream “TO THE MOON!” — then call me stupid for staying cautious. $ETH
Every cycle, I used to respond:
“Sure, maybe I’m dumb.”
But here’s the truth:
When the market pumps, nobody sends me their profits.
When it crashes, nobody apologizes.
So in 2025, my answer is simple:
Trade your conviction.
If you win — you keep it.
If you lose — you own it.
DYOR. Stay sharp. 🧠🚀
#downtrend #ETHBreaksATH #CFTCCryptoSprint
2013: -87.06%
2017: -83.46%
2021: -78.57%
2025: people see one tiny bounce and immediately scream “TO THE MOON!” — then call me stupid for staying cautious. $ETH
Every cycle, I used to respond:
“Sure, maybe I’m dumb.”
But here’s the truth:
When the market pumps, nobody sends me their profits.
When it crashes, nobody apologizes.
So in 2025, my answer is simple:
Trade your conviction.
If you win — you keep it.
If you lose — you own it.
DYOR. Stay sharp. 🧠🚀
#downtrend #ETHBreaksATH #CFTCCryptoSprint
ALERT — $ETH SETUP IS CLEAR, RELIEF → EXPANSION PLAY
Trading Plan — LONG $ETH
Entry: 2980 – 3020
SL: 2860
TP1: 3200
TP2: 3450
TP3: 3650 – 3700
Analysis
$ETH is holding a high-timeframe demand zone after a prolonged pullback, with downside momentum clearly slowing. Recent price action shows compression and absorption, not panic selling — typical conditions for a relief-to-expansion move ⚡
This is a tactical long, not a macro bottom call. As long as price holds above 2860, upside continuation toward 3200 → 3450 remains favored, with 3650–3700 acting as the major reaction / distribution zone.
Risk is defined. Plan is set. Let price confirm.
Trading Plan — LONG $ETH
Entry: 2980 – 3020
SL: 2860
TP1: 3200
TP2: 3450
TP3: 3650 – 3700
Analysis
$ETH is holding a high-timeframe demand zone after a prolonged pullback, with downside momentum clearly slowing. Recent price action shows compression and absorption, not panic selling — typical conditions for a relief-to-expansion move ⚡
This is a tactical long, not a macro bottom call. As long as price holds above 2860, upside continuation toward 3200 → 3450 remains favored, with 3650–3700 acting as the major reaction / distribution zone.
Risk is defined. Plan is set. Let price confirm.
BREAKING — TRUMP MEDIA ADDS MORE BITCOIN ⚡️
Trump Media has just purchased 451 $BTC , spending roughly $40.3 million, according to the latest disclosure. With this addition, the company’s total Bitcoin holdings have climbed to 11,542 BTC, now valued at approximately $1.04 billion.$ETH
This move further confirms the trend of corporate balance sheets leaning into Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset. Rather than treating BTC as a short-term trade, companies at this scale are signaling long-term conviction and a willingness to hold through volatility.
$SOL
Another reminder that while retail debates entries, institutions and corporates keep accumulating quietly.
Trump Media has just purchased 451 $BTC , spending roughly $40.3 million, according to the latest disclosure. With this addition, the company’s total Bitcoin holdings have climbed to 11,542 BTC, now valued at approximately $1.04 billion.$ETH
This move further confirms the trend of corporate balance sheets leaning into Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset. Rather than treating BTC as a short-term trade, companies at this scale are signaling long-term conviction and a willingness to hold through volatility.
$SOL
Another reminder that while retail debates entries, institutions and corporates keep accumulating quietly.
REALITY CHECK — $SOL FOLLOWING THE PLAN, STRUCTURE STILL CLEAN
Trading Plan — LONG $SOL
Entry: 124 – 130
SL: 118
TP1: 145
TP2: 165
TP3: 170 – 190
Analysis
$SOL is reacting exactly where expected — above the major 120 demand, with price stabilizing inside the 124–130 accumulation range. Selling pressure is slowing, and structure supports a relief bounce rather than an immediate breakdown ⚡
This remains a bounce-to-lower-high setup, not a trend reversal. Upside targets are staged to scale out into strength, with 170–190 acting as the key distribution area where sellers are likely to return.
Invalidate: a clean close below 118. Until then, plan stays valid — manage risk, let price do the work.
Trading Plan — LONG $SOL
Entry: 124 – 130
SL: 118
TP1: 145
TP2: 165
TP3: 170 – 190
Analysis
$SOL is reacting exactly where expected — above the major 120 demand, with price stabilizing inside the 124–130 accumulation range. Selling pressure is slowing, and structure supports a relief bounce rather than an immediate breakdown ⚡
This remains a bounce-to-lower-high setup, not a trend reversal. Upside targets are staged to scale out into strength, with 170–190 acting as the key distribution area where sellers are likely to return.
Invalidate: a clean close below 118. Until then, plan stays valid — manage risk, let price do the work.
REALITY CHECK — $SOL STRUCTURE STILL HOLDS, NO DAMAGE ABOVE SUPPORT
Trading Plan — LONG $SOL
Entry: 124 – 130
SL: 118
TP1: 145
TP2: 165
TP3: 170 – 190
Analysis
$SOL continues to respect the major 120 support zone, which keeps the higher-timeframe structure intact 🚨 As long as price stays above this level, the market favors stabilization and relief bounces, not immediate breakdowns.
This is a bounce-play, not a trend reversal. Momentum is corrective, and the upside is expected to form a lower high into heavy supply. The 170–190 zone remains the area where sellers are likely to step back in aggressively ⚡
Invalidate: a clean close below 118 — support fails, long thesis off.
Structure unchanged. Trade the reaction, not the narrative.
Trading Plan — LONG $SOL
Entry: 124 – 130
SL: 118
TP1: 145
TP2: 165
TP3: 170 – 190
Analysis
$SOL continues to respect the major 120 support zone, which keeps the higher-timeframe structure intact 🚨 As long as price stays above this level, the market favors stabilization and relief bounces, not immediate breakdowns.
This is a bounce-play, not a trend reversal. Momentum is corrective, and the upside is expected to form a lower high into heavy supply. The 170–190 zone remains the area where sellers are likely to step back in aggressively ⚡
Invalidate: a clean close below 118 — support fails, long thesis off.
Structure unchanged. Trade the reaction, not the narrative.
Mike On The Move
--
WARNING — $SOL HAS HIT A MAJOR SUPPORT, BUT THIS IS NOT A TREND REVERSAL
Trading Plan — LONG $SOL
Entry: 124 – 130
SL: 118
TP1: 145
TP2: 165
TP3: 170 – 190 (lower-high / distribution zone)
Analysis
On the 3D timeframe, $SOL is reacting from a critical long-term support zone. Selling momentum is slowing, and historically this area tends to produce at least a relief bounce, not an immediate breakdown 🚨
This setup is a bounce → lower high, not a bullish trend flip. The 170–190 zone is expected to act as heavy supply, where sellers reassert control. Structure remains bearish on higher timeframes, and the broader thesis points to a deeper breakdown later, not now ⚡
Invalidate: a decisive close below 118 — support fails early and bounce thesis is off.
Trade the reaction. Respect the structure.
{future}(SOLUSDT)
Trading Plan — LONG $SOL
Entry: 124 – 130
SL: 118
TP1: 145
TP2: 165
TP3: 170 – 190 (lower-high / distribution zone)
Analysis
On the 3D timeframe, $SOL is reacting from a critical long-term support zone. Selling momentum is slowing, and historically this area tends to produce at least a relief bounce, not an immediate breakdown 🚨
This setup is a bounce → lower high, not a bullish trend flip. The 170–190 zone is expected to act as heavy supply, where sellers reassert control. Structure remains bearish on higher timeframes, and the broader thesis points to a deeper breakdown later, not now ⚡
Invalidate: a decisive close below 118 — support fails early and bounce thesis is off.
Trade the reaction. Respect the structure.
{future}(SOLUSDT)
WARNING — $SOL HAS HIT A MAJOR SUPPORT, BUT THIS IS NOT A TREND REVERSAL
Trading Plan — LONG $SOL
Entry: 124 – 130
SL: 118
TP1: 145
TP2: 165
TP3: 170 – 190 (lower-high / distribution zone)
Analysis
On the 3D timeframe, $SOL is reacting from a critical long-term support zone. Selling momentum is slowing, and historically this area tends to produce at least a relief bounce, not an immediate breakdown 🚨
This setup is a bounce → lower high, not a bullish trend flip. The 170–190 zone is expected to act as heavy supply, where sellers reassert control. Structure remains bearish on higher timeframes, and the broader thesis points to a deeper breakdown later, not now ⚡
Invalidate: a decisive close below 118 — support fails early and bounce thesis is off.
Trade the reaction. Respect the structure.
Trading Plan — LONG $SOL
Entry: 124 – 130
SL: 118
TP1: 145
TP2: 165
TP3: 170 – 190 (lower-high / distribution zone)
Analysis
On the 3D timeframe, $SOL is reacting from a critical long-term support zone. Selling momentum is slowing, and historically this area tends to produce at least a relief bounce, not an immediate breakdown 🚨
This setup is a bounce → lower high, not a bullish trend flip. The 170–190 zone is expected to act as heavy supply, where sellers reassert control. Structure remains bearish on higher timeframes, and the broader thesis points to a deeper breakdown later, not now ⚡
Invalidate: a decisive close below 118 — support fails early and bounce thesis is off.
Trade the reaction. Respect the structure.
REALITY CHECK — $BTC IS GRINDING INTO A LIQUIDITY DECISION POINT
Trading Plan — CONDITIONAL SETUPS ($BTC )
Setup 1: Rejection at Liquidity (Short)
Entry: 90,200 – 90,600
SL: 92,000
TP1: 88,000
TP2: 86,000
Setup 2: Reclaim & Hold (Long)
Entry: 4H reclaim above 90,500 + higher low
SL: 88,000
TP1: 92,360
TP2: 94,500
Setup 3: Breakdown Continuation (Short)
Entry: Loss & close below 88,016
SL: 89,600
TP: 86,000
Analysis
$BTC is printing weak, grinding highs just below a major liquidity pool, a classic sign of liquidity build-up rather than bullish strength 🚨 This type of price action typically resolves with a stop-hunt, not a clean trend breakout.
A rejection at the liquidity level favors a high-RR short. A 4H reclaim and acceptance flips structure bullish for a push toward 92.36K. On the downside, a clean loss of 88,016 breaks market structure and opens continuation toward 86K, where shorts get covered and reversal longs are reassessed ⚡
Liquidity decides. React, don’t predict.
Trading Plan — CONDITIONAL SETUPS ($BTC )
Setup 1: Rejection at Liquidity (Short)
Entry: 90,200 – 90,600
SL: 92,000
TP1: 88,000
TP2: 86,000
Setup 2: Reclaim & Hold (Long)
Entry: 4H reclaim above 90,500 + higher low
SL: 88,000
TP1: 92,360
TP2: 94,500
Setup 3: Breakdown Continuation (Short)
Entry: Loss & close below 88,016
SL: 89,600
TP: 86,000
Analysis
$BTC is printing weak, grinding highs just below a major liquidity pool, a classic sign of liquidity build-up rather than bullish strength 🚨 This type of price action typically resolves with a stop-hunt, not a clean trend breakout.
A rejection at the liquidity level favors a high-RR short. A 4H reclaim and acceptance flips structure bullish for a push toward 92.36K. On the downside, a clean loss of 88,016 breaks market structure and opens continuation toward 86K, where shorts get covered and reversal longs are reassessed ⚡
Liquidity decides. React, don’t predict.
ALERT — $ETH IS COILING FOR A BREAKOUT, PRESSURE IS BUILDING
Trading Plan — LONG $ETH
•Entry: 2980 – 3020
•SL: 2860
•TP1: 3200
•TP2: 3450
•TP3: 3650 – 3700
Analysis ⚡
$ETH keeps retesting a major resistance, and after multiple failed breakdowns, the probability shifts toward a clean upside expansion. On lower timeframes, structure is clearly bullish with higher highs and higher lows, confirming that buyers are stepping in at increasingly higher levels.
Momentum and price action suggest compression rather than exhaustion. A confirmed breakout would open the path toward the 3650–3700 target zone.
Invalidate: a decisive loss of 2860, which would break structure and delay the bullish thesis.
Market is loaded — expansion is the next phase.
Trading Plan — LONG $ETH
•Entry: 2980 – 3020
•SL: 2860
•TP1: 3200
•TP2: 3450
•TP3: 3650 – 3700
Analysis ⚡
$ETH keeps retesting a major resistance, and after multiple failed breakdowns, the probability shifts toward a clean upside expansion. On lower timeframes, structure is clearly bullish with higher highs and higher lows, confirming that buyers are stepping in at increasingly higher levels.
Momentum and price action suggest compression rather than exhaustion. A confirmed breakout would open the path toward the 3650–3700 target zone.
Invalidate: a decisive loss of 2860, which would break structure and delay the bullish thesis.
Market is loaded — expansion is the next phase.
STABLECOIN DOMINANCE — KEY SIGNAL ⚠️
$BTC A 3-day bearish divergence has now been confirmed on Total Stablecoin Dominance. That matters. Historically, since stablecoins existed, every 3-day bear div on dominance has preceded a risk-on move.
Translation: capital is rotating out of stables and back into crypto.
When stablecoin dominance rolls over, $BTC usually rallies shortly after.
Momentum is lining up. The window is opening.
Trading Plan — $BTC (LONG)
•Entry: 89.0K – 90.0K
•SL: 88.0K
•TP1: 92.0K
•TP2: 96.0K
•TP3: 98.0K
Why long?
•Stablecoin dominance rolling over = risk-on
•Historical 100% hit rate for this signal
•Liquidity rotation favors BTC first
Rule:
As long as stablecoin dominance keeps trending down, bias stays long.
$BTC A 3-day bearish divergence has now been confirmed on Total Stablecoin Dominance. That matters. Historically, since stablecoins existed, every 3-day bear div on dominance has preceded a risk-on move.
Translation: capital is rotating out of stables and back into crypto.
When stablecoin dominance rolls over, $BTC usually rallies shortly after.
Momentum is lining up. The window is opening.
Trading Plan — $BTC (LONG)
•Entry: 89.0K – 90.0K
•SL: 88.0K
•TP1: 92.0K
•TP2: 96.0K
•TP3: 98.0K
Why long?
•Stablecoin dominance rolling over = risk-on
•Historical 100% hit rate for this signal
•Liquidity rotation favors BTC first
Rule:
As long as stablecoin dominance keeps trending down, bias stays long.
$BTC — LEVELS CLEAR, EXECUTION MATTERS ⚠️
The levels are well-defined, but expect aggressive and messy price action from here. This is the kind of phase where the market focuses more on liquidity games than clean directional trends. On a macro level, conditions are still fragile, so chasing extended moves doesn’t make much sense.
Because of that, I’m not interested in short scalps here — in this environment, they often turn into traps. Risk needs to be controlled, size needs to be smart.
The focus stays on long scalps, but only on confirmed level interactions:$BTC
sweeps, clean reclaims, and fast reactions at already-tested zones.
It’s also Monday. Volume is slowly coming back, and the market often “builds” the week with deceptive moves before showing real intent.
Trading Plan — $BTC (LONG SCALP ONLY)
•Entry: 89.0K – 89.8K (on sweep / clean reclaim)
•SL: 88.2K
•TP1: 91.0K
•TP2: 92.5K
Why long?
•Trading reactions, not trends
•Liquidity sweeps favor quick upside responses
•Proven levels reduce randomness
Small size. Fast execution.
Trade the reaction, not the narrative.
The levels are well-defined, but expect aggressive and messy price action from here. This is the kind of phase where the market focuses more on liquidity games than clean directional trends. On a macro level, conditions are still fragile, so chasing extended moves doesn’t make much sense.
Because of that, I’m not interested in short scalps here — in this environment, they often turn into traps. Risk needs to be controlled, size needs to be smart.
The focus stays on long scalps, but only on confirmed level interactions:$BTC
sweeps, clean reclaims, and fast reactions at already-tested zones.
It’s also Monday. Volume is slowly coming back, and the market often “builds” the week with deceptive moves before showing real intent.
Trading Plan — $BTC (LONG SCALP ONLY)
•Entry: 89.0K – 89.8K (on sweep / clean reclaim)
•SL: 88.2K
•TP1: 91.0K
•TP2: 92.5K
Why long?
•Trading reactions, not trends
•Liquidity sweeps favor quick upside responses
•Proven levels reduce randomness
Small size. Fast execution.
Trade the reaction, not the narrative.
$BTC / $USD — KEY TEST AHEAD ⚠️
A push toward $90,000 would be a big moment. That level is where bulls have to prove conviction, not just momentum. Reaching it is one thing — holding it is the real test.
How price reacts there will likely set the tone for the next leg.
Trading Plan — $BTC
LONG — Break & Hold
•Entry: 89.2K – 90.0K (on acceptance above)
•SL: 87.8K
•TP1: 92K
•TP2: 96K
Why long?
•$90K reclaimed = psychological + structural confirmation
•Acceptance above turns resistance into support
•Opens the path toward higher HTF liquidity
Invalidation:$BTC
•Sharp rejection and acceptance back below $88K → step aside
Let price prove the bulls are real.
A push toward $90,000 would be a big moment. That level is where bulls have to prove conviction, not just momentum. Reaching it is one thing — holding it is the real test.
How price reacts there will likely set the tone for the next leg.
Trading Plan — $BTC
LONG — Break & Hold
•Entry: 89.2K – 90.0K (on acceptance above)
•SL: 87.8K
•TP1: 92K
•TP2: 96K
Why long?
•$90K reclaimed = psychological + structural confirmation
•Acceptance above turns resistance into support
•Opens the path toward higher HTF liquidity
Invalidation:$BTC
•Sharp rejection and acceptance back below $88K → step aside
Let price prove the bulls are real.
$ZEC — EXHAUSTION SIGNALS AT RESISTANCE ⚠️
Multiple rejections at the same level are telling a clear story.
Each push higher shows less follow-through, volume keeps fading, and structure is compressing under resistance.$ZEC
That’s not strength — that’s bull exhaustion.
Effort is going up. Results aren’t.
Markets don’t tolerate that imbalance for long — they resolve it.
Trading Plan — $ZEC
SHORT — Rejection Play
•Entry: 455 – 470
•SL: 495
•TP1: 420
•TP2: 385
•TP3: 350
Why short?
•Repeated rejection = active supply
•Weak volume = no acceptance
•Compression under resistance favors downside resolution
Bias:
Until ZEC shows clean acceptance above resistance with volume, selling strength is the higher-probability trade.
Multiple rejections at the same level are telling a clear story.
Each push higher shows less follow-through, volume keeps fading, and structure is compressing under resistance.$ZEC
That’s not strength — that’s bull exhaustion.
Effort is going up. Results aren’t.
Markets don’t tolerate that imbalance for long — they resolve it.
Trading Plan — $ZEC
SHORT — Rejection Play
•Entry: 455 – 470
•SL: 495
•TP1: 420
•TP2: 385
•TP3: 350
Why short?
•Repeated rejection = active supply
•Weak volume = no acceptance
•Compression under resistance favors downside resolution
Bias:
Until ZEC shows clean acceptance above resistance with volume, selling strength is the higher-probability trade.
$ETH — DECISION ZONE ⚠️ (LONG SETUP ONLY)
ETH just flushed below the rising channel, shaking out weak hands, and found strong demand in the $2,750–$2,850 zone. Buyers defended this area aggressively, which is why price bounced quickly.
Right now, price action is still corrective, but the key is simple:
if $ETH reclaims the old channel / resistance, momentum flips bullish fast.
This is a wait-for-confirmation long, not a chase.
Trading Plan — $ETH (LONG ONLY)
•Entry: 2,880 – 2,920 (on reclaim & hold)
•SL: 2,830
•TP1: 3,050
•TP2: 3,200
Why long?
•Demand already proven at 2,750–2,850
•Reclaiming the broken channel = structure flip
•Upside opens quickly once resistance turns support
No reclaim → no trade.
Let ETH prove strength before committing.
ETH just flushed below the rising channel, shaking out weak hands, and found strong demand in the $2,750–$2,850 zone. Buyers defended this area aggressively, which is why price bounced quickly.
Right now, price action is still corrective, but the key is simple:
if $ETH reclaims the old channel / resistance, momentum flips bullish fast.
This is a wait-for-confirmation long, not a chase.
Trading Plan — $ETH (LONG ONLY)
•Entry: 2,880 – 2,920 (on reclaim & hold)
•SL: 2,830
•TP1: 3,050
•TP2: 3,200
Why long?
•Demand already proven at 2,750–2,850
•Reclaiming the broken channel = structure flip
•Upside opens quickly once resistance turns support
No reclaim → no trade.
Let ETH prove strength before committing.
$BTC — WEEKLY STRUCTURE UPDATE ⚠️
Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish and continuation is still favored. Pullbacks are being absorbed and price is respecting structure. This is a trend-following environment — but risk needs to be defined.
Trading Plan — $BTC
LONG (Continuation)
•Entry: 88K–89K
•SL: 85.8K
•TP1: 91K
•TP2: 96K
•TP3: 98K
SHORT (HTF Reaction)
•Entry: 97K–99K (only on clear rejection)
•SL: 101K
•TP: 88K → 74K → 54K
Bias:$BTC
Above support → favor longs.
Near HTF resistance → prepare for shorts.
Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish and continuation is still favored. Pullbacks are being absorbed and price is respecting structure. This is a trend-following environment — but risk needs to be defined.
Trading Plan — $BTC
LONG (Continuation)
•Entry: 88K–89K
•SL: 85.8K
•TP1: 91K
•TP2: 96K
•TP3: 98K
SHORT (HTF Reaction)
•Entry: 97K–99K (only on clear rejection)
•SL: 101K
•TP: 88K → 74K → 54K
Bias:$BTC
Above support → favor longs.
Near HTF resistance → prepare for shorts.
Mike On The Move
--
$BTC UPDATE — CONTINUATION PHASE
Momentum is still intact as we move toward the yearly open. Price is holding structure and the broader move remains a continuation leg, not a reversal. The upside target stays the same — $98K.
For those not positioned yet, there’s still a clean, controlled way to participate without chasing.
Trading Plan — $BTC
LONG (Continuation)
•Entry: 87.5K – 88.8K
•SL: 85.8K
•TP: 98K
Why long?
•Holding above prior demand
•No meaningful lower highs formed
•Year-end liquidity favors trend continuation
SHORT (Rotation Setup)
•Entry: 97K – 100K
•Target: 54K
Bias:$BTC
•Above 86K → bullish continuation favored
•Reaction near 98K → prepare for trend rotation
Stay patient, manage risk, and let price do the work.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Momentum is still intact as we move toward the yearly open. Price is holding structure and the broader move remains a continuation leg, not a reversal. The upside target stays the same — $98K.
For those not positioned yet, there’s still a clean, controlled way to participate without chasing.
Trading Plan — $BTC
LONG (Continuation)
•Entry: 87.5K – 88.8K
•SL: 85.8K
•TP: 98K
Why long?
•Holding above prior demand
•No meaningful lower highs formed
•Year-end liquidity favors trend continuation
SHORT (Rotation Setup)
•Entry: 97K – 100K
•Target: 54K
Bias:$BTC
•Above 86K → bullish continuation favored
•Reaction near 98K → prepare for trend rotation
Stay patient, manage risk, and let price do the work.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ZEC — THIS IS RETAIL BEHAVIOR ⚠️
Chasing price straight into overhead supply while liquidity below is still unresolved is classic retail behavior. The upper wicks and candle compression are telling you everything: buyers are getting absorbed, not rewarded.
This is the worst area to buy. Risk/reward is poor, and FOMO gets punished here. Patience wins — every time.
Trading Plan — $ZEC (SHORT)
•Entry: 455 – 470
•SL: 495
•TP1: 420
•TP2: 385
•TP3: 350
Why short?
•Overhead supply + repeated rejections
•Unresolved liquidity below
•Weak follow-through = distribution, not continuation
Bias:
Until $ZEC shows real acceptance above supply, selling strength is the higher-probability play.
Chasing price straight into overhead supply while liquidity below is still unresolved is classic retail behavior. The upper wicks and candle compression are telling you everything: buyers are getting absorbed, not rewarded.
This is the worst area to buy. Risk/reward is poor, and FOMO gets punished here. Patience wins — every time.
Trading Plan — $ZEC (SHORT)
•Entry: 455 – 470
•SL: 495
•TP1: 420
•TP2: 385
•TP3: 350
Why short?
•Overhead supply + repeated rejections
•Unresolved liquidity below
•Weak follow-through = distribution, not continuation
Bias:
Until $ZEC shows real acceptance above supply, selling strength is the higher-probability play.
$ETH — SHORT BIAS ⚠️
$ETH is back around $3,000, but the 2H structure remains bearish. This looks more like a relief bounce into resistance than real strength.
As long as price fails to accept above $3,050, this zone favors shorts.
Trading Plan — $ETH (SHORT)
•Entry: 2,990 – 3,030
•SL: 3,080
•TP: 2,850 → 2,700 → 2,600
Bias:
Below $3,050 → sell strength.
Acceptance above $3,080 → invalidation.
$ETH is back around $3,000, but the 2H structure remains bearish. This looks more like a relief bounce into resistance than real strength.
As long as price fails to accept above $3,050, this zone favors shorts.
Trading Plan — $ETH (SHORT)
•Entry: 2,990 – 3,030
•SL: 3,080
•TP: 2,850 → 2,700 → 2,600
Bias:
Below $3,050 → sell strength.
Acceptance above $3,080 → invalidation.
$ZEC / $USD — UPDATE ⚠️
ZEC is hovering near a key decision area, and a dip toward $417 would actually be constructive here. That level lines up with prior demand and offers a cleaner reset after the recent push higher.
A controlled pullback into support is healthier than grinding at highs on thin volume. If buyers step in around $417, it strengthens the case for continuation. If not, it tells us acceptance higher isn’t ready yet.
Trading Plan — $ZEC
LONG — Buy the Dip
•Entry: 415–420
•SL: 398
•TP1: 455
•TP2: 485
•TP3: 520
Why long?
•Prior demand zone + structural support
•Better risk/reward vs chasing highs
•Fits a grind-up scenario in low-volume conditions
SHORT — Only if Rejection $ZEC
•Entry: 455–470
•SL: 495
•TP: 420 → 385
Bias:
Dip into $417 and hold → favor longs.
Failure to hold support → step aside or look for shorts on rejection.
ZEC is hovering near a key decision area, and a dip toward $417 would actually be constructive here. That level lines up with prior demand and offers a cleaner reset after the recent push higher.
A controlled pullback into support is healthier than grinding at highs on thin volume. If buyers step in around $417, it strengthens the case for continuation. If not, it tells us acceptance higher isn’t ready yet.
Trading Plan — $ZEC
LONG — Buy the Dip
•Entry: 415–420
•SL: 398
•TP1: 455
•TP2: 485
•TP3: 520
Why long?
•Prior demand zone + structural support
•Better risk/reward vs chasing highs
•Fits a grind-up scenario in low-volume conditions
SHORT — Only if Rejection $ZEC
•Entry: 455–470
•SL: 495
•TP: 420 → 385
Bias:
Dip into $417 and hold → favor longs.
Failure to hold support → step aside or look for shorts on rejection.
⚠️ BITCOIN $56K — THE BEAR CASE SCENARIO
Historically, Bitcoin has only revisited its Realized Price at major cycle bottoms — and it’s happened three times:$BTC
2018: −60%
COVID crash: −72%
2022: −77%
Right now, Bitcoin’s Realized Price sits near $56K. If history were to repeat, that level would represent the bear-case downside, implying roughly a 55% drawdown from the recent all-time high.$ETH
This isn’t a prediction — it’s a risk boundary.
Understanding where true cycle lows have formed in the past helps frame downside risk when sentiment flips.$SOL
Bull case or bear case, context matters.
Historically, Bitcoin has only revisited its Realized Price at major cycle bottoms — and it’s happened three times:$BTC
2018: −60%
COVID crash: −72%
2022: −77%
Right now, Bitcoin’s Realized Price sits near $56K. If history were to repeat, that level would represent the bear-case downside, implying roughly a 55% drawdown from the recent all-time high.$ETH
This isn’t a prediction — it’s a risk boundary.
Understanding where true cycle lows have formed in the past helps frame downside risk when sentiment flips.$SOL
Bull case or bear case, context matters.
ALERT — $ETH IS HOLDING A STRONG BUY-SIDE REACTION ZONE
Trading Plan — LONG $ETH
Entry: 2980 – 3020
SL: 2860
TP1: 3100
TP2: 3180
TP3: 3300
Analysis ⚡
$ETH is stabilizing above a key demand zone after a controlled pullback, with selling momentum clearly cooling off. Price action shows absorption rather than continuation, while lower timeframes are starting to form a base — a typical pre-bounce structure 🚨
As long as 2980–3000 holds, a relief push toward 3100 → 3180 is the favored scenario. A clean break with volume opens room toward 3300, where heavier supply is expected.
Invalidate: a decisive close below 2860 — structure breaks, long idea is off.
Risk defined. Reaction trade, not hopium.
Trading Plan — LONG $ETH
Entry: 2980 – 3020
SL: 2860
TP1: 3100
TP2: 3180
TP3: 3300
Analysis ⚡
$ETH is stabilizing above a key demand zone after a controlled pullback, with selling momentum clearly cooling off. Price action shows absorption rather than continuation, while lower timeframes are starting to form a base — a typical pre-bounce structure 🚨
As long as 2980–3000 holds, a relief push toward 3100 → 3180 is the favored scenario. A clean break with volume opens room toward 3300, where heavier supply is expected.
Invalidate: a decisive close below 2860 — structure breaks, long idea is off.
Risk defined. Reaction trade, not hopium.
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