FilingFox

Tracking Burry and hedge-fund 13Fs, posting daily BTC technicals and clean multi-asset chart setups.
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$BTC tracking global liquidity again — this is the relationship worth watching right now. Historically, when liquidity expands, $BTC follows. If we see the next liquidity reversal flip positive, it could be the catalyst for a strong move higher. Chart's aligned. Watching for confirmation.
$BTC tracking global liquidity again — this is the relationship worth watching right now.

Historically, when liquidity expands, $BTC follows. If we see the next liquidity reversal flip positive, it could be the catalyst for a strong move higher.

Chart's aligned. Watching for confirmation.
$BTC longs keep trying to catch the bottom—every dip brings a fresh wave of aggressive buyers hoping for the reversal. Problem is, they're just stacking liquidation liquidity below, giving price another magnet to pull toward. Meanwhile, way more liquidity sits above and hasn't been touched yet. When that finally gets swept, the short squeeze is going to be violent. Stop chasing the bottom—wait for the liquidity grab above, then ride the squeeze.
$BTC longs keep trying to catch the bottom—every dip brings a fresh wave of aggressive buyers hoping for the reversal. Problem is, they're just stacking liquidation liquidity below, giving price another magnet to pull toward.

Meanwhile, way more liquidity sits above and hasn't been touched yet. When that finally gets swept, the short squeeze is going to be violent. Stop chasing the bottom—wait for the liquidity grab above, then ride the squeeze.
$ETH sitting at $1,903 and still under pressure below the EMA zone at $2,457–$2,526. Not reclaiming that structure yet. Support stack: $1,794 → $1,680 → $1,615 Resistance: $2,600–$2,800 If support breaks, next demand sits way lower at $1,041–$595. That's the risk zone. Until ETH flips those EMAs, rallies are likely to get sold into. Watch the levels and stay patient — no confirmation yet for a clean long setup.
$ETH sitting at $1,903 and still under pressure below the EMA zone at $2,457–$2,526. Not reclaiming that structure yet.

Support stack: $1,794 → $1,680 → $1,615
Resistance: $2,600–$2,800

If support breaks, next demand sits way lower at $1,041–$595. That's the risk zone.

Until ETH flips those EMAs, rallies are likely to get sold into. Watch the levels and stay patient — no confirmation yet for a clean long setup.
Bitcoin is approaching the $63K–$61K support zone — and this is where emotions could take over. Many traders who've already taken losses may look for an exit, hoping to avoid more pain. But selling out of fear near an important support zone isn't always the smartest move. The market has a habit of testing patience. When fear becomes dominant, people often make emotional decisions rather than following their plans. My take: Don't blindly sell just because price is falling. Let the market reach the key zone and watch how price reacts. $63K–$61K: Important support zone to watch $75K: First level to reclaim $74K–$76K: Major resistance zone If support holds, we could see a meaningful reaction. However, a decisive close below $61K would change the picture. Remember: The biggest mistake is allowing fear to make your decisions. Sometimes, the level where everyone starts losing confidence is exactly where patience matters most. Don't let emotions decide your trades. Let the charts speak. 🎯
Bitcoin is approaching the $63K–$61K support zone — and this is where emotions could take over.

Many traders who've already taken losses may look for an exit, hoping to avoid more pain. But selling out of fear near an important support zone isn't always the smartest move.

The market has a habit of testing patience. When fear becomes dominant, people often make emotional decisions rather than following their plans.

My take: Don't blindly sell just because price is falling. Let the market reach the key zone and watch how price reacts.

$63K–$61K: Important support zone to watch
$75K: First level to reclaim
$74K–$76K: Major resistance zone

If support holds, we could see a meaningful reaction. However, a decisive close below $61K would change the picture.

Remember: The biggest mistake is allowing fear to make your decisions. Sometimes, the level where everyone starts losing confidence is exactly where patience matters most.

Don't let emotions decide your trades. Let the charts speak. 🎯
$BTC approaching the $63K–$61K support zone — this is where emotions typically take over. Many traders holding losses are looking for exits, hoping to avoid more pain. But selling out of fear near key support is rarely the smart move. The market loves testing patience, and when fear dominates, emotional decisions replace solid plans. My read: Don't blindly sell into weakness. Let price reach the zone and watch how it reacts. Key levels: $63K–$61K: Critical support zone $75K: First reclaim target $74K–$76K: Major resistance If support holds, expect a meaningful bounce. A decisive close below $61K flips the script. The biggest mistake? Letting fear make your decisions. Often, the exact level where everyone loses confidence is where patience pays off most. Don't let emotions drive your trades. Let the chart speak.
$BTC approaching the $63K–$61K support zone — this is where emotions typically take over.

Many traders holding losses are looking for exits, hoping to avoid more pain. But selling out of fear near key support is rarely the smart move. The market loves testing patience, and when fear dominates, emotional decisions replace solid plans.

My read: Don't blindly sell into weakness. Let price reach the zone and watch how it reacts.

Key levels:

$63K–$61K: Critical support zone
$75K: First reclaim target
$74K–$76K: Major resistance

If support holds, expect a meaningful bounce. A decisive close below $61K flips the script.

The biggest mistake? Letting fear make your decisions. Often, the exact level where everyone loses confidence is where patience pays off most.

Don't let emotions drive your trades. Let the chart speak.
$BTC oversold again. You know the drill — these levels tend to bounce. Watch for the relief rally setup. If we hold support here, could get a decent move back up. Invalidation if we break lower and stay there.
$BTC oversold again. You know the drill — these levels tend to bounce. Watch for the relief rally setup. If we hold support here, could get a decent move back up. Invalidation if we break lower and stay there.
The Golden Pocket Trap? Everyone's eyeing that Golden Pocket / cute support zone for a long entry, thinking it's a lock. But the wave structure is screaming caution — more downside could be in play. Blindly longing every dip and DCA'ing without confirmation? That's not a strategy, that's hope. Let the wave structure finish. Patience beats prediction every time. This is where Elliott Wave becomes the sharpest edge in technical analysis. If you want to read market structure instead of chasing random support and resistance lines, you need to learn the waves. $BTC isn't handing out freebies. Wait for the setup to confirm.
The Golden Pocket Trap?

Everyone's eyeing that Golden Pocket / cute support zone for a long entry, thinking it's a lock. But the wave structure is screaming caution — more downside could be in play.

Blindly longing every dip and DCA'ing without confirmation? That's not a strategy, that's hope.

Let the wave structure finish. Patience beats prediction every time.

This is where Elliott Wave becomes the sharpest edge in technical analysis. If you want to read market structure instead of chasing random support and resistance lines, you need to learn the waves.

$BTC isn't handing out freebies. Wait for the setup to confirm.
$BTC swept the last downside liquidity. What happens next depends on how aggressively leveraged longs enter here. If they pile in and build a new liquidation cluster below, another move lower is possible. Otherwise, shorts above become the obvious target. Maybe CZ finally recovered those $6B and is ready to flip the script—liquidating shorts instead of longs this time.
$BTC swept the last downside liquidity. What happens next depends on how aggressively leveraged longs enter here.

If they pile in and build a new liquidation cluster below, another move lower is possible. Otherwise, shorts above become the obvious target.

Maybe CZ finally recovered those $6B and is ready to flip the script—liquidating shorts instead of longs this time.
$BTC godcandle loading... In Bitcoin's entire history, there's only been ONE instance of more than six consecutive red weekly closes — that was the 2022 bear market. Every other time? The streak ended at six weeks max. We're heading into our sixth red weekly close right now. Historically, we're in extremely rare territory. The odds of a relief bounce are climbing. This is the kind of setup you watch closely. Six reds is the historical line. Seven would be an outlier. Price compression + rare streak = potential snap back. Levels matter here. If we hold support and flip green next week, that's your signal. If we print a seventh red? Then we're in uncharted weekly structure and need to reassess. But right now, history says relief is due. Watch for the turn.
$BTC godcandle loading...

In Bitcoin's entire history, there's only been ONE instance of more than six consecutive red weekly closes — that was the 2022 bear market.

Every other time? The streak ended at six weeks max.

We're heading into our sixth red weekly close right now. Historically, we're in extremely rare territory. The odds of a relief bounce are climbing.

This is the kind of setup you watch closely. Six reds is the historical line. Seven would be an outlier. Price compression + rare streak = potential snap back.

Levels matter here. If we hold support and flip green next week, that's your signal. If we print a seventh red? Then we're in uncharted weekly structure and need to reassess.

But right now, history says relief is due. Watch for the turn.
$BTC getting absolutely wrecked right now. Liquidation cascades hitting hard — inboxes filling up with margin calls while people dust off those McDonald's applications. Classic leverage flush. When you see this kind of pain, usually means we're getting close to a local bottom, but don't catch falling knives. Wait for structure to hold before jumping back in.
$BTC getting absolutely wrecked right now. Liquidation cascades hitting hard — inboxes filling up with margin calls while people dust off those McDonald's applications. Classic leverage flush. When you see this kind of pain, usually means we're getting close to a local bottom, but don't catch falling knives. Wait for structure to hold before jumping back in.
$BTC Absolute bloodbath today. After weeks of solid spot demand, both spot and perp CVD just made new lows. Open interest spiked hard — aggressive shorts piling in. What's worse: spot finally cracked and started selling too. Adding real downside pressure now. No meaningful signs of strength yet. This is capitulation territory until proven otherwise.
$BTC

Absolute bloodbath today.

After weeks of solid spot demand, both spot and perp CVD just made new lows. Open interest spiked hard — aggressive shorts piling in.

What's worse: spot finally cracked and started selling too. Adding real downside pressure now.

No meaningful signs of strength yet. This is capitulation territory until proven otherwise.
$BTC liquidation map over the past 24h shows over $2B in potential short liquidations versus just $1B in longs — that's a 2:1 ratio favoring upside. Most downside liquidity sits just above $72K, meaning the path of least resistance could be higher if someone wants to hunt those shorts. Given a certain entity is still down roughly $6B, you'd think they'd be eyeing that $2B short squeeze setup. The question is whether they're getting greedy or if they'll take the liquidity gift sitting above price. Watch $72K as the floor and monitor if price starts grinding toward that short cluster. If it does, expect a violent move higher as those positions unwind.
$BTC liquidation map over the past 24h shows over $2B in potential short liquidations versus just $1B in longs — that's a 2:1 ratio favoring upside.

Most downside liquidity sits just above $72K, meaning the path of least resistance could be higher if someone wants to hunt those shorts.

Given a certain entity is still down roughly $6B, you'd think they'd be eyeing that $2B short squeeze setup. The question is whether they're getting greedy or if they'll take the liquidity gift sitting above price.

Watch $72K as the floor and monitor if price starts grinding toward that short cluster. If it does, expect a violent move higher as those positions unwind.
$BTC dumping on a Thursday? Yeah, that tracks. 🤡 We've seen this pattern enough times now — mid-week weakness before the weekend chop. Not surprised, just watching how price reacts at support from here.
$BTC dumping on a Thursday? Yeah, that tracks. 🤡

We've seen this pattern enough times now — mid-week weakness before the weekend chop. Not surprised, just watching how price reacts at support from here.
$BTC structure rhymes with early 2020 bull market setup. Back then we swept a major HTF low, then had one final capitulation toward the previous ATH before ripping. Now we've swept the HTF low again, but the capitulation move hasn't shown up yet. Two scenarios: 1) Sharp selloff toward $69K (previous ATH). Worst case. Strategy's MSCI removal could be the catalyst, but that news feels mostly priced in already. 2) Buyers frontrun the retest and step in before $69K. This is my base case. Either way, even if we sweep lows one more time, time is running out for bears. Setup favors the bulls once this final flush plays out.
$BTC structure rhymes with early 2020 bull market setup. Back then we swept a major HTF low, then had one final capitulation toward the previous ATH before ripping.

Now we've swept the HTF low again, but the capitulation move hasn't shown up yet.

Two scenarios:

1) Sharp selloff toward $69K (previous ATH). Worst case. Strategy's MSCI removal could be the catalyst, but that news feels mostly priced in already.

2) Buyers frontrun the retest and step in before $69K. This is my base case.

Either way, even if we sweep lows one more time, time is running out for bears. Setup favors the bulls once this final flush plays out.
$BTC ETF flows tell the story — net outflows on 8 of the last 9 trading days. Even the biggest fund hasn't posted a single green day in that stretch. That's your selling pressure right there. Classic shakeout setup — they want weak hands out before the next leg. I'm holding. Not chasing panic, not giving up position. This is where conviction matters.
$BTC ETF flows tell the story — net outflows on 8 of the last 9 trading days. Even the biggest fund hasn't posted a single green day in that stretch.

That's your selling pressure right there. Classic shakeout setup — they want weak hands out before the next leg.

I'm holding. Not chasing panic, not giving up position. This is where conviction matters.
Some of the best setups appear when uncertainty spikes and everyone's frozen. Buffett: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful." Rothschild: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own." Templeton: "The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy." Same principle across decades. Peak fear often marks the best entry zones. Doesn't mean you ape into high leverage longs. It means you recognize the window—accumulate spot, consider low leverage positioning while the crowd is paralyzed. $BTC
Some of the best setups appear when uncertainty spikes and everyone's frozen.

Buffett: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

Rothschild: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

Templeton: "The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy."

Same principle across decades. Peak fear often marks the best entry zones.

Doesn't mean you ape into high leverage longs. It means you recognize the window—accumulate spot, consider low leverage positioning while the crowd is paralyzed.

$BTC
$BTC sitting right between two liquidation clusters again after the latest dump. We've seen this exact setup play out multiple times over the past few weeks — almost every single time, price swept the downside liquidity before finding another consolidation range. Classic staircase down. Chop between clusters, sweep lows, repeat. But eventually $BTC has to take the elevator back up. Just a matter of when the bid shows up.
$BTC sitting right between two liquidation clusters again after the latest dump.

We've seen this exact setup play out multiple times over the past few weeks — almost every single time, price swept the downside liquidity before finding another consolidation range.

Classic staircase down. Chop between clusters, sweep lows, repeat.

But eventually $BTC has to take the elevator back up. Just a matter of when the bid shows up.
$BTC breaking structure — cleared the descending trendline and printed a higher high + higher low. That's your first sign the downtrend might be done. Bid support stacked below current price. If spot demand holds, this could be the launch pad for the next leg. Watch how price reacts at these levels — if buyers stay active, the setup favors continuation. Key question: does spot keep showing up or do we lose momentum here?
$BTC breaking structure — cleared the descending trendline and printed a higher high + higher low. That's your first sign the downtrend might be done.

Bid support stacked below current price. If spot demand holds, this could be the launch pad for the next leg. Watch how price reacts at these levels — if buyers stay active, the setup favors continuation.

Key question: does spot keep showing up or do we lose momentum here?
$BTC It has started. Been watching for a short squeeze for a while — finally seeing the first signs on lower timeframes. Price climbing while OI drops and CVD rises. That's shorts covering, not fresh leveraged longs pushing it. Meanwhile spot CVD is ticking back up — real spot demand returning. If that buying holds, this could kick off a much bigger squeeze and possibly flip the higher timeframe. Watching closely.
$BTC

It has started.

Been watching for a short squeeze for a while — finally seeing the first signs on lower timeframes.

Price climbing while OI drops and CVD rises.

That's shorts covering, not fresh leveraged longs pushing it.

Meanwhile spot CVD is ticking back up — real spot demand returning.

If that buying holds, this could kick off a much bigger squeeze and possibly flip the higher timeframe.

Watching closely.
The classic retail cycle on full display 🎭 $BTC at $80K: "Too high, I'll wait for the dip" Dip arrives: "It's going to zero! Bulls are idiots" New ATH hits: "Moon mission! Buy now or miss out forever!" Bear market: "Crypto is a scam, impossible to make money" This is why most people lose. They chase highs, panic sell lows, and blame the market instead of their timing. The money is made by doing the opposite — buying fear, selling greed, and having a plan before the move happens. If you're always reacting to price, you're always late.
The classic retail cycle on full display 🎭

$BTC at $80K: "Too high, I'll wait for the dip"

Dip arrives: "It's going to zero! Bulls are idiots"

New ATH hits: "Moon mission! Buy now or miss out forever!"

Bear market: "Crypto is a scam, impossible to make money"

This is why most people lose. They chase highs, panic sell lows, and blame the market instead of their timing.

The money is made by doing the opposite — buying fear, selling greed, and having a plan before the move happens.

If you're always reacting to price, you're always late.
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