$BTC 🔥 My Bitcoin Downtrend Prediction… and the Results Speak for Themselves!
A few months ago, I draw the distribution zone between 125K–119K, and I clearly stated it would mark the beginning of a major drop. this week's, Bitcoin has fallen exactly to the levels I predicted. I also have Short postion that hit: 💹 +3096% ROI Entry at $125,117 📉 This isn’t luck… it’s smart market reading and years of experience.
🚀 If you want analysis that predicts the move before it happens.
Follow me for precise, Smart Money Concept insights and accurate market forecasts.
Differences Between Breaker Block Trading, Order Block Trading, and Pullback Trading:
The key difference between these strategies is how they identify potential trading opportunities.
1. The breaker block strategy focuses on identifying significant support or resistance levels,
2. Order block strategy focuses on identifying areas where significant buying or selling activity has taken place,
3. The pullback strategy focuses on identifying temporary retracements in the price of an asset.
Each strategy has advantages and disadvantages, and traders should choose the one that best fits their trading style, risk tolerance, and goals. To implement these strategies effectively, traders should also understand technical analysis tools and market dynamics. $BTC $SOL $TON #BinanceLaunchpoolHMSTR
$LUNC Positives 1. Ecosystem Development: Recent activation of Governance v2.0 and return of core L1 structure indicate ongoing development and ecosystem revitalization. 2. Burn Initiatives: Continued token burning, with over 532 million LUNC burned in the last 7 days, contributes to deflationary pressure and supply reduction.
3. Short-Term Momentum: Technical indicators show a recent bullish cross in EMA and a period of positive MACD histogram, suggesting potential upward price movement.
🚀⬆️buy Gradual long 📈 0.00002800 or Wait for break then buy 📈 0.00002900 target : 0.000034–0.000035🚀🚀🚀 stop: 0.0000260
Risk 1- Price Consolidation: After touching the upper Bollinger Band, the price has moved towards the middle band, suggesting a potential consolidation or downward 2- Weakening Bullish Signals: The MACD histogram has recently decreased to zero, indicating a loss of short-term bullish momentum following an earlier price surge. #WriteToEarnUpgrade #BTCRebound90kNext?
$LUNC Positives 1. Ecosystem Development: Recent activation of Governance v2.0 and return of core L1 structure indicate ongoing development and ecosystem revitalization. 2. Burn Initiatives: Continued token burning, with over 532 million LUNC burned in the last 7 days, contributes to deflationary pressure and supply reduction.
3. Short-Term Momentum: Technical indicators show a recent bullish cross in EMA and a period of positive MACD histogram, suggesting potential upward price movement.
🚀⬆️buy Gradual long 📈 0.00002800 or Wait for break then buy 📈 0.00002900 target : 0.000034–0.000035🚀🚀🚀 stop: 0.0000260
Risk 1- Price Consolidation: After touching the upper Bollinger Band, the price has moved towards the middle band, suggesting a potential consolidation or downward 2- Weakening Bullish Signals: The MACD histogram has recently decreased to zero, indicating a loss of short-term bullish momentum following an earlier price surge. #WriteToEarnUpgrade #BTCRebound90kNext?
🎯 Opportunities News & Sentiment (Bullish 📈) ETF Catalyst: Grayscale announced the first Dogecoin Spot ETF listed on the New York Stock Exchange, marking DOGE’s formal entry into regulated U.S. investment channels and triggering widespread media coverage. Momentum Indicators: On 4‑hour charts, KDJ and MA signals show upward crossover; short‑term EMA5 > EMA20 implies continuation toward the next psychological zone at 0.15 USDT. Leverage Positioning: The long/short ratio averages ≈ 5.1 across retail and elite accounts, confirming dominance of long exposure; funding rate (+0.000081) is positive but mild, showing controlled optimism. Market Liquidity: Over the last few hours, buy-side activity exceeds sell-side (average bid/ask ratio ≈ 1.05), while multi‑day net inflow turned positive ( + 1.63 M USDT on current day) after a week of outflows — suggesting profit‑taking phase may be ending. #WriteToEarnUpgrade #ProjectCrypto
Chart-Based Forecast: Targeting 130K (Wave 5) Before the Major Bitcoin Cycle Bottom
Elliott Wave & Halving Analysis: The Bitcoin Path to 140K and the Post-Peak Correction 📈 Chart-Based Forecast Explanation The displayed chart relies on: Elliott Waves 1–5Major Ascending ChannelSubsidiary Inner ChannelReversal points at Fibonacci levels
The Halving effect as a catalyst for the start of the impulsive wave I will explain the scenario for you step-by-step... _____&____&________&_________&____ 🔵 1) Cycle Start – The Halving The blue arrow indicates: The start of a new phase after the Halving. Historically:After the Halving, the Bitcoin price launches into an ascending wave that lasts 12–18 months.Therefore, the Halving was considered the start of Wave 1 within the ascending channel. _____&____&________&_________&____ 🔵 2) Elliott Waves on the Weekly Frame The chart shows the completion of a full impulsive wave: ✔ Wave (1):Initial launch after the Halving.Breakout of the lower channel. ✔ Wave (2):A natural correction of 38%–50%.Touched the lower limit of the channel → strong support. ✔ Wave (3):The longest wave, as expected in Elliott Wave Theory.The price penetrates the middle of the channel and reaches the region of approximately 105k–115k. ✔ Wave (4):Sideways correction within the channel.Decline to the 73k–80k regions (Red Support). ✔ Wave (5):The final peak.Targets the levels: 130,673 133,715 139,439(These levels are drawn as dashed white lines) _____&____&________&_________&____ 🔵 3) Reason for Choosing the 139k Level as Wave 5 Because:It is the upper ceiling of the channel.It coincides with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension for Wave 3.It represents the Distribution top area of the cycle. _____&____&________&_________&____ 🔵 4) After Wave 5 — Major Decline After reaching Peak 5:The chart shows a very strong decline reaching: 109k (First support) 80k–73k (Major support) 52k–49k (Low of the deep correction - Blue Low level) This historically matches post-peak corrections:2013 Decline: −86%2017 Decline: −84%2021 Decline: −77%In the upcoming cycle, a lighter decline (50–60%) is expected → This matches the price falling towards approximately 50k–60k. _____&____&________&_________&____ 🔵 5) Why Does the Chart Show a Rebound from 50k? Because:50k is the bottom of the lower channel.It is the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the previous cycle.It is a historical demand zone.After reaching 50k, the major Accumulation phase usually begins, preceding the next bull market wave. _____&____&________&_________&____ 📌 Brief Summary The chart shows the following forecast: 📈 Final Ascent (Wave 5) to 130k–140k Followed by 📉 Start of a Bearish Cycle Gradually declining through:109k80k77kFinal bottom of approximately 50k Then a new ascending cycle begins later. $BTC #WriteToEarnUpgrade #BTCVolatility