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Solana Price Struggles Near $80 Amid Bearish Pressure and Key Support Levels
Key Insights:
Solana faces a critical support zone near $67–$70, with a breakdown below $67 potentially exposing $62.
Resistance between $95–$101 remains key for any potential recovery, while $138.7 serves as a major supply zone.
A sharp contraction in open interest suggests reduced liquidation risk, making the derivatives market more neutral.
Solana’s price is currently hovering just above $80 after experiencing months of sustained downward pressure. The token’s failure to reclaim its $253 high led to a significant downtrend, with the price continually printing lower highs and lower lows. This shift in market sentiment now heavily favors sellers, especially on higher time frames.
Solana now sits close to the $67–$70 range, which marks a critical support area in the ongoing cycle. This zone represents the Fib 0.0 level, which traders are watching closely. If bulls fail to defend this region, the next likely support level comes in at $62, with a potential macro support at $50 if the market capitulates.
On the other hand, the upside remains capped by resistance between $95 and $101. This range is crucial, as it aligns with a dense EMA cluster and previous breakdown levels. Should Solana break above this range, the next resistance levels to watch will be around $111.5, followed by the major supply zone near $138.7.
Market Structure and Moving Averages
The technical structure clearly shows a bearish trend, with Solana trading below major moving averages. This supports the notion that sellers remain in control, especially given that Bollinger Bands continue to expand, indicating that volatility is likely to continue to the downside.
Source: TradingView
Derivatives data reveal a significant reset in speculative positioning. Open interest surged dramatically during Solana’s previous rally, spiking from under $2 billion to above $15 billion as the price moved toward the $250 mark. However, after a series of failed attempts to sustain upward momentum, open interest has contracted back to $5 billion. This shift suggests that excessive leverage has been flushed from the system, reducing liquidation risk in the short term. The market now appears more neutral as traders await clearer directional signals.
Exchange Flow Data Shows Stabilization
Recent exchange flow data highlights a phase of heavy distribution between July and October. However, more recent data points to a shift in sentiment, with outflows becoming more frequent and moderate inflows signaling stabilization. For now, the market remains in a holding pattern, as traders look for signs of continued accumulation.
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Privacy Gaps Threaten Crypto Payroll Adoption, Warn CZ and Chamath
On-chain transparency makes employee crypto salaries visible, slowing business adoption of crypto payments.
Lack of fungibility and privacy keeps ordinary users from using crypto for everyday purchases.
Strengthening privacy could boost trust, payroll use, and broader mainstream crypto adoption.
Crypto adoption faces a critical roadblock as privacy concerns continue to hinder mainstream use, industry leaders warn. Binance founder CZ and investor Chamath Palihapitiya recently highlighted how the lack of robust privacy features prevents cryptocurrencies from reaching widespread payroll integration.
Currently, in blockchain technology, the transparency of blockchain means that employees’ salaries are revealed. Therefore, crypto payment is not as private as cash payment. This may deter more businesses from using crypto to pay their employees.
CZ argues, “Imagine a company pays employees in crypto on-chain. You can pretty much see how much everyone in the company is paid by clicking the from address.” CZ asserts that while cryptocurrencies have pseudo-anonymity, in actual fact, blockchain’s transparency coupled with the KYC requirements of exchanges means that users are traceable. Therefore, crypto payment loses its allure as a fast and cheap means of payment compared to traditional banking.
The Privacy Problem in Crypto
The issue does not end with salaries. Chamath and CZ believe that there is a lack of fungibility in most cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin. This means that not all coins are the same, as the transaction history of every coin is being tracked. “I think my biggest issue with it is that there's a lack of fungibility, which I think is problematic to get to mega scale,” Chamath said.
CZ further emphasized that this privacy issue prevents cryptocurrencies from being fully utilized in society. People cannot buy digital goods or services without leaving a trace. In addition, blockchain technology does not have the feature of cash, as every movement in the blockchain is being permanently recorded.
Implications for Mainstream Adoption
This means that without these privacy enhancements, the adoption of crypto in businesses as well as in consumer payment systems can be a challenge. For instance, businesses might not want to engage in payroll systems in case their employees’ salary information becomes public. In addition, people might not want to engage in crypto in their day-to-day lives in case they feel they are being monitored. CZ said, “There are those use cases [illicit], but the overwhelming majority is you buy a pack of gum, or maybe a movie or video game. It’s not for me to judge.”
Moving Forward: Privacy as a Priority
According to industry experts, filling this gap could speed up mainstream adoption. Cryptocurrency requires traceability prevention and regulatory compliance solutions.
The addition of privacy layers would make cryptocurrencies fungible, allowing coins to be interchangeable while keeping users' data private from exposure. Besides fostering trust, this could pave the way for new opportunities for cryptocurrency payroll and other financial inclusions.
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Eric Trump Says Banks Will Adopt Bitcoin and Crypto Soon
Eric Trump predicted banks will embrace Bitcoin within a year citing banking system flaws.
American Bitcoin reserves climbed to 6049 BTC worth about 425M after recent buys.
Hut 8 mines 8 to 10 BTC daily highlighting Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million supply limit.
Eric Trump said every major bank will adopt Bitcoin and crypto, as Trump-backed American Bitcoin’s reserves climbed above 6,000 BTC. He made the remarks while criticizing the U.S. banking system as outdated, slow, and costly. The comments came as Bitcoin moved back above $70,000, even as some traders feared a deeper price dip.
However, Trump tied his crypto interest to what he described as being “debanked and deplatformed.” He said Capital One sent letters notifying him that 300 accounts were removed overnight. He added that without those closures, he would not have entered the crypto space. Trump also said he expects widespread adoption within a year.
Eric Trump Links Crypto Push to Account Closures
Trump described the banking system as “absolutely antiquated” and said it “doesn’t work.” He also said it costs too much and moves too slowly. Notably, he argued that crypto provides a better direction for the future.
He also said he believes every bank and consumer will join the industry soon. Trump added that he felt honored to be part of crypto’s growth. He also said he was glad his father was “leading the way,” saying otherwise another country would benefit.
American Bitcoin Reserves Rise After Fresh Buying
Meanwhile, Arkham Intelligence reported that American Bitcoin now holds 6,049 BTC. The company added 196 BTC over the past 18 days. As a result, its holdings reached an estimated value of $425.82 million.
The update placed American Bitcoin among the top 20 largest public Bitcoin holders globally. It now sits in the same group as Nakamoto Inc., Anthony Pompliano’s ProCap, and GameStop. However, the company built its holdings through both mining activity and direct purchases.
Hut 8 CEO Details Mining Output and Supply Limits
American Bitcoin also highlighted mining expansion through Hut 8 Corp. In a company update, Hut 8 CEO Asher Genoot said the operation mines around 8 to 10 Bitcoin daily. He also pointed to Bitcoin’s fixed supply structure.
Genoot noted that only 21 million Bitcoin will ever exist. This supply limit remains central to Bitcoin’s long-term design. Meanwhile, American Bitcoin’s recent accumulation followed Bitcoin’s move back above the $70,000 level.
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Bitcoin and Crypto Market Show Early Signs of Recovery
Bitcoin bounced near $64K and is stabilizing around $70K, with key resistance at $74.5K–$80.6K.
Total crypto market may have bottomed at $2T, signaling oversold conditions and possible stabilization.
Altcoins are gaining strength, and higher volume at support zones hints at potential buying opportunities.
Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market are showing early recovery signals after recent sharp declines, according to leading analysts. Michaël van de Poppe highlighted on X that Bitcoin found a “potential bounce area” near $64,000. The cryptocurrency has since stabilized, trading around $70,300.
Currently, the key levels being monitored by analysts for a potential break are $74,500, $76,600, and $80,600. A break below these levels may decide the fate of a stronger rally for Bitcoin. On the downside, the levels for potential support are $60,750 and $59,600. In addition, deeper potential lows for Bitcoin can be found at $56,560 and $53,340.
Not just Bitcoin, the altcoins too are showing some strength in the market. Van de Poppe mentioned that the altcoins “are acting stronger.” The high trading volume in the recent drop is a positive indicator for the market. The moving average line is curving upwards in the chart, which is a sign of a potential short-term trend reversal.
Market-Wide Trends Signal Potential Stabilization
Crypto Seth provided further insight on X, observing that the total cryptocurrency market cap may have bottomed at $2 trillion. He noted, “Weekly RSI became oversold for the first time since 2022. Only once every 4 years will the RSI ever go under 30 on the total market cap and it just happened.”
This suggests that the market is approaching oversold conditions. Support appears strong around $2.05–$2.15 trillion, while resistance sits near $3.01 trillion. Additionally, the $752 billion mark stands as historical support from previous cycles.
In addition, the long-term trend line in Seth’s chart shows that despite the short-term fluctuations, the overall trend in the long run is upward. However, the recent declines in Bitcoin’s price also underscore the significance of market fundamentals. Seth also warned of new lows in the event of unexpected events, which include the collapse of major exchanges or the failure of tokens.
Bitcoin’s short-term hurdles include the $74,500 and $76,600 price points, while market capitalization hurdles include the $3 trillion mark. Therefore, market participants should anticipate possible declines in the event these points are breached. Furthermore, increased volume in the vicinity of the support zones may indicate the start of accumulation phases.
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X Clarifies Smart Cashtags, Rules Out Crypto Trading
X said Smart Cashtags will display live market data but not enable native crypto trading.
Nikita Bier confirmed X will not execute trades custody assets or act as a broker.
Users must complete buy or sell actions through external exchanges or brokerage partners.
X corrected reports that the platform would launch direct crypto trading. The clarification is after posts suggested imminent Bitcoin trading for over one billion users. X head of product Nikita Bier said the platform will not execute trades or act as a broker.
Smart Cashtags Will Not Enable Native Trading
Earlier reports claimed X would let users trade stocks and cryptocurrencies directly from timelines. Those reports cited upcoming Smart Cashtags features. However, Bier publicly rejected that claim in a direct response on X.
According to Bier, X is only building financial data tools. These tools will show live prices, charts, and asset information. Any buy or sell action will redirect users to external brokers or exchange partners. X will not custody assets or process transactions.
Bier stated, “X is not handling trade execution or acting as a brokerage.” He added that reports suggesting otherwise were incorrect. X Community Notes later reinforced that clarification to curb misinformation.
What Smart Cashtags Will Actually Do
Smart Cashtags will still change how financial content appears on X. Users will be able to tap ticker symbols inside posts. Doing so will display real-time market data directly in the app.
The feature reduces friction for users following market news. However, trade execution will occur outside X. Users must complete transactions through third-party platforms linked within the interface.
This structure keeps X focused on information delivery. It also avoids regulatory requirements tied to brokerage operations. Bier emphasized that the tools focus on data access, not trading infrastructure.
Everything App Vision and Spam Concerns
The clarification fits into Elon Musk’s long-term vision for X. Musk has repeatedly said he wants X to evolve into an “everything app.” He has referenced China’s WeChat as a functional comparison.
However, Bier stressed moderation remains a priority. He said he wants crypto activity to grow on X without encouraging spam or harassment. According to Bier, features that incentivize raids or abuse undermine that goal.
As a result, X’s approach limits direct financial actions. The platform will instead serve as a gateway to verified market data and external services.
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Morgan Stanley Hunts Blockchain Engineer for Multi-Chain Projects
Morgan Stanley seeks a blockchain engineer to connect Hyperledger, Polygon, Canton, and Ethereum across its projects.
Bitcoin miners TeraWulf and Cipher pivot to AI data centers, boosting value and landing long-term deals with Google and Amazon.
Morgan Stanley plans crypto ETFs for bitcoin and Solana, offering safer, easier access to digital assets for investors.
Morgan Stanley is expanding its blockchain strategy, seeking a software engineer to manage integrations across multiple chains. The role will oversee projects involving Hyperledger, Polygon, Canton, and Ethereum, with compensation up to $150,000 annually.
As per the job post, it requires expertise to design interoperable systems that can effectively interconnect various blockchain chains. Apart from this, it is also an indication of the bank’s increased focus on further integrating blockchain technology into its financial system.
Frank Chaparro of X also discussed this opportunity, stating that Morgan Stanley plans to utilize this chain to simplify transactions, smart contracts, and data security. Moreover, it is an indication of the bank’s willingness to innovate within traditional finance and blockchain technology. Thus, it is an indication of the mainstream adoption of blockchain technology.
Bitcoin Miners Pivot to AI Data Centers
Meanwhile, two bitcoin mining firms with high upside potential, according to Morgan Stanley analysts, are TeraWulf and Cipher Mining. The run-up has little to do with cryptocurrency price forecasts. Instead, they are repurposing their mining assets into AI data centers.
The price of TeraWulf and Cipher Mining stocks, or their equity value per watt, has increased from $7 to $18 between June and December 2025, owing to the increase in demand for AI computing power. Consequently, they have secured long-term contracts with hyperscalers, including Google and Amazon.
Analyst Stephen C. Byrd, highlighted the repeated success of TeraWulf in repurposing power infrastructure into data centers, which has high growth potential. Cipher Mining, with an experienced construction team, has also secured several contracts with long tenures of over a decade.
However, there are execution risks, including delays or cost overruns, which could result in higher capital requirements, thus diluting shareholder value. Moreover, hyperscalers could decrease their investment in AI, but recent news points to the contrary.
Crypto ETFs and Market Legitimacy
To this end, Morgan Stanley has filed an application with the SEC to launch ETFs that track the prices of bitcoin and Solana last month. The ETFs provide investors with an opportunity to invest in cryptocurrency markets securely and with ease.
Bryan Armour of Morningstar said, “A bank entering the crypto ETF market adds legitimacy to it, and others could follow.” ETFs could also provide Morgan Stanley with an opportunity to acquire clients in the digital asset market even when it is late to market.
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Bitcoin Whale Garrett Jin Dumps BTC, Moves $545M ETH
Garrett Jin transferred 5000 BTC and 261K ETH to Binance following Bitcoin’s rebound above 70K.
Wallet activity suggests possible market sales after USDT withdrawals and renewed price weakness.
A dormant Satoshi era wallet reactivated with 7068 BTC amid heightened whale movements.
On-chain data shows Garrett Jin transferred billions in digital assets after Bitcoin rebounded above $70,000. The activity occurred over two days and involved Bitcoin and Ethereum deposits, following earlier liquidation losses tied to Jin-linked wallets.
BTC Transfers Follow Bitcoin’s $70,000 Rebound
On-chain records show Garrett Jin moved 5,000 Bitcoin, valued near $350 million, to Binance. The transfer occurred shortly after Bitcoin reclaimed the $70,000 price level. While exchanges cannot confirm execution, blockchain activity later provided additional context.
According to Lookonchain data, a wallet linked to Jin withdrew $53.12 million in USDT from Binance shortly after the Bitcoin deposit. That withdrawal coincided with Bitcoin falling below $70,000 again. The timing suggests the Bitcoin transfer likely resulted in a market sale. Despite the activity, Jin-linked wallets still hold roughly 30,000 Bitcoin worth about $2.09 billion.
Ethereum Deposit Adds to Exit Pattern
The following day, Jin deposited 261,000 Ethereum, valued near $545 million, into Binance. That transaction added to a broader pattern of asset exits. The deposits followed reports that Jin previously suffered liquidation losses totaling about $250 million.
Separately, Whale Alert reported another large Bitcoin movement. The service tracked 1,651 Bitcoin, worth roughly $114 million, transferred from an unknown wallet to Binance. That transaction occurred amid elevated whale activity across major exchanges.
Dormant Satoshi-Era Wallet Reactivates
At the same time, older Bitcoin wallets resurfaced. According to Arkham Intelligence, a Satoshi-era wallet inactive for more than 14 years received 7,068 Bitcoin. The transfer carried an estimated value near $470 million.
The wallet, identified by Arkham as a “Satoshi Whale,” received the funds shortly after becoming active. Traders flagged the move due to its size and the wallet’s long dormancy.
Together, the large transfers from Garrett Jin and the reactivation of an early Bitcoin wallet marked a concentrated period of whale-driven blockchain activity.
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Roundhill Files ETFs to Bet on 2028 U.S. Elections
Roundhill’s ETFs let investors speculate on 2026 midterms and 2028 elections through yes/no contracts.
Presidential, Senate, and House ETFs roll over after elections, keeping funds active for future contests.
These ETFs bridge political betting and mainstream finance, attracting both retail and institutional traders.
Political betting is moving into mainstream finance as Roundhill Investments files for six exchange-traded funds that track U.S. election outcome bets. The move could significantly impact prediction markets.
As per a Feb. 13 filing with the SEC, the funds will invest in "yes/no"-style contracts tied to the presidential race, as well as the Senate and House elections. Roundhill is planning to launch six ETFs: Roundhill Democratic President ETF (BLUP), Roundhill Republican President ETF (REDP), Roundhill Democratic Senate ETF (BLUS), Roundhill Republican Senate ETF (REDS), Roundhill Democratic House ETF (BLUH), and Roundhill Republican House ETF (REDH).
The funds will track the elections and make their adjustments after the elections. For instance, BLUP and REDP ETFs will "acknowledge the gain or loss after the 2028 presidential election," and then "reinvest in a series of contracts tied to the 2032 elections."
BLUS and REDS will have contracts tied to the Senate outcome after the 2026 midterm elections, while BLUH and REDH will have contracts tied to the outcome in the House. Therefore, these ETFs have a rolling engagement in politics.
How These Political ETFs Operate
Roundhill plans to source contracts from Designated Contract Markets (DCMs), a regulatory requirement for exchange-listed derivatives. Consequently, these ETFs are designed to be transparent and compliant, offering a structured approach to political speculation.
Moreover, investors who are familiar with Roundhill’s Sports Betting & iGaming ETF (BETZ) may recognize the investment strategy. BETZ, which tracks the Morningstar Sports Betting & iGaming Select Index, holds popular sportsbook operators such as Flutter Entertainment (NYSE: FLUT) and DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG).
Likewise, these political ETFs could attract trading volume from retail and institutional investors who want to gain insight from the markets about the elections.
Implications for Prediction Markets
Political event contracts were traditionally the mainstay of the prediction markets prior to the emergence of sports derivatives. In addition, 2026 is a midterm election year, which is a major event. This could potentially lead to a high level of interest in the markets. However, it is not indicated exactly which markets will be used for the sourcing of the contracts.
It is apparent that these ETFs will help to fill a gap between the unofficial betting markets and the conventional financial markets.
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Tom Lee said crypto winter may have ended or could conclude by April based on sentiment trends.
Technical analysis projected Bitcoin near 60K and Ethereum near 1890 during correction.
Lee cited historical cycle patterns showing final undercuts often mark durable market bottoms.
Fundstrat Global Advisors managing partner Tom Lee said the crypto market downturn may be nearing its end. Lee said the crypto winter may have already ended or could conclude by April. He explained that deteriorating sentiment, recent price action, and technical levels support his assessment.
Sentiment and Technical Levels Shape the Call
Lee said market sentiment remains poor, which he described as typical near cycle lows. He noted that sustained negative positioning often appears before prices stabilize. According to Lee, technical indicators also suggest downside pressure may be nearly exhausted.
He referenced analysis from timing strategist Tom DeMark, who has advised Fundstrat since November. DeMark expected Bitcoin to decline toward the 60,000 level during the correction. He also projected Ethereum would bottom near 2,400, with 1,890 as a secondary downside target.
Lee said Ethereum later traded near 1,890, aligning with that projection. He added that markets may require one final undercut below support. That move, he said, would likely mark the low rather than extend the decline.
Cycle Patterns and Market Behavior
Lee said previous crypto downturns followed similar structures. In those cycles, prices fell sharply, stabilized, and briefly undercut support before recovering. He described this phase as a common reset rather than a breakdown.
He also said market participants often exit positions late in the cycle. That selling, he explained, tends to complete the bottoming process. According to Lee, the current structure matches that historical pattern.
Macro Conditions and Participation Trends
Lee said broader macro uncertainty continues to influence digital assets. He cited interest rate expectations and geopolitical risks as ongoing factors. However, he said those pressures have not altered the long-term participation trend.
Retail activity remains lower than last year, he said. At the same time, institutional and corporate involvement continues. Lee described that contrast as consistent with late-stage market corrections.
He reiterated that April represents the latest point for a potential bottom. He said the market appears close to completing the current cycle.
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Richard Teng Says Oct. 10 Crypto Crash Was a Macro Shock
Teng said US tariffs and China export controls sparked cross market liquidations not exchange failures.
Crypto saw about 19B in liquidations versus 150B in US equities during the Oct. 10 shock.
Binance paid 300M in compensation and cited stable user activity despite volatility.
Following the Oct. 10 crypto selloff, yet Binance leadership says the cause was global. On Feb. 12, 2026, in Hong Kong, Richard Teng addressed the episode at Consensus Hong Kong. He said macro policy shocks, not exchange failures, drove widespread liquidations across global markets.
Macro Shock Behind the Mass Liquidations
According to Teng, the selloff followed major policy announcements that rattled risk assets. He said the U.S. imposed 100% tariffs, while China introduced rare earth controls. As a result, U.S. equities lost about $1.5 trillion in value that day.
Notably, he said U.S. equity markets alone saw roughly $150 billion in liquidations. By comparison, crypto liquidations totaled about $19 billion. Teng stressed that crypto liquidations occurred across all exchanges, not on any single platform.
He added that roughly 75% of crypto liquidations clustered around 9:00 p.m. ET. Therefore, the timing matched broader market stress rather than platform-specific issues. He described the event as a market-driven liquidation cycle rather than a disorderly crash.
USDe Depeg and Transfer Delays Addressed
Following the main liquidation wave, two separate issues emerged. Teng said one involved a temporary USDe price deviation. Another involved slower asset transfers for some users facing liquidation risk.
However, he said both issues happened after most liquidations concluded. Therefore, they did not trigger the broader selloff. Still, Binance accepted responsibility for those isolated problems.
Teng said Binance issued about $300 million in compensation. Additionally, the exchange allocated another $300 million through a shared-gain program. He clarified that some users expected full liquidation coverage, which the firm did not promise. He reiterated that traders must bear normal market risks.
Market Data and Broader Conditions
Teng also addressed concerns about platform stability. He said Binance serves about 300 million users and processed roughly $34 trillion in trading volume last year. Moreover, he said trading data showed no signs of mass withdrawals during the episode.
He added that crypto prices continue to reflect global uncertainty. These include interest rate expectations and geopolitical tensions. However, he noted that institutional and corporate participation remains strong, even as retail activity softens.
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Cardano Price Approaches Crucial Support Amid Oversold Conditions
Key Insights:
Cardano price tests critical multi-year support zone, marking a potential turning point for the market.
The convergence of historical support and value area low boosts Cardano's chances for a reversal.
Deeply oversold RSI on Cardano suggests exhaustion of selling momentum, raising the likelihood of a bullish turn.
Cardano's price is testing a crucial multi-year support zone amid extremely oversold conditions, marking a pivotal moment for its potential market reversal. This level, which has acted as a strong support since 2022, is once again under scrutiny as broader market weakness continues.
Cardano’s price is revisiting a critical support zone that has remained intact for over four years. This support has historically acted as a demand zone, especially during previous market cycles. Despite the ongoing market downturn, ADA has bounced back towards this long-term support level, prompting speculation about whether buyers will step in to defend it once again.
Value Area Low Adds Additional Support
Compounding the significance of this support level is the value area low, which is in close alignment with the current price. The value area low typically signifies the lower boundary of fair value within a trading range and often attracts price action after periods of downward movement. This confluence of historical support and value area low strengthens the possibility of a reversal.
Source: TradingView
Another key indicator suggesting a potential reversal is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has dropped into deeply oversold territory on the weekly chart. Such extreme readings are often followed by sharp counter-trend moves, particularly when combined with strong support levels. While oversold conditions do not guarantee an immediate reversal, they suggest that selling momentum may be losing steam.
The larger technical picture suggests that Cardano is currently positioned at a key inflection point. As long as the price holds above this four-year support, the broader market structure remains intact, indicating that a potential rally could unfold. If the price successfully defends this level, a move towards higher targets, including a return to the range high, could be on the horizon.
The current market structure hinges on whether the four-year support level holds. If ADA continues to close above this zone, a bullish rotation is more likely, particularly with the oversold momentum conditions. However, a decisive breakdown could lead to further downside risk, invalidating the long-term range structure.
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XRP Price Sees Modest Recovery After Ripple’s Community Day
Key Insights:
XRP price sees a 1.68% rise, signaling a potential recovery after recent bearish trends.
Ripple’s XRP Community Day aims to drive adoption and showcase innovative XRP products like ETFs.
XRP-based ETFs have received $1.23 billion in net inflows, indicating growing investor interest.
XRP price has experienced a modest 1.68% increase over the past 24 hours, reaching $1.38. This marks a potential recovery after a week of bearish trends. The cryptocurrency had previously dropped 20% from its four-week peak of $2. However, the uptick comes after Ripple’s highly anticipated "XRP Community Day," held on February 11 and 12.
Ripple, the company behind XRP, aims to boost the adoption of its cryptocurrency by showcasing real-world use cases and the future potential of the XRP Ledger. The event brings together XRP holders, developers, financial institutions, and Ripple’s leadership, including CEO Brad Garlinghouse, President Monica Long, and CTO David Schwartz. During the event, Ripple continues its focus on global partnerships and the ongoing effort to integrate XRP into various financial ecosystems.
Ripple’s Strategy to Drive XRP Adoption
Ripple’s XRP Community Day is not just about discussions but also addresses the increasing importance of XRP in cross-chain liquidity and financial integration. The company unveiled its roadmap for 2026, detailing advancements like regulated XRP products, including exchange-traded funds (ETFs), wrapped XRP, and other innovations designed to expand its utility. Ripple’s efforts are aimed at reaching a broader audience, from financial institutions to individual investors.
Source: TradingView
Another positive development for XRP comes from the rise in investor interest in XRP-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Since their launch, net inflows into XRP ETFs have reached $1.23 billion, a strong indicator of positive sentiment among investors. Weekly inflows have averaged $9.57 million, highlighting the growing demand for exposure to XRP and suggesting increasing confidence in its future potential.
XRP Price Outlook: Key Levels to Watch
Despite the recent recovery, XRP’s price remains in a narrow band between $1.36 and $1.40, with a slight increase observed in the last 24 hours. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 43, indicating a neutral market. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) signals a potential decline unless the market momentum shifts. XRP faces key support at $1.30, and resistance at $1.50, with the possibility of hitting $1.60 should the price break through resistance.
Looking ahead, the future of XRP will depend on its ability to break past resistance at $1.50. If it continues its upward momentum, the price could rise toward $1.60. Conversely, if it falls below the support level at $1.30, a further decline to $1.20 could follow. As Ripple continues to build on its global partnerships and innovations, the outlook for XRP remains cautiously optimistic.
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HYPE Faces Pressure Below 50-Day EMA, Retail Demand Dips
Key Insights
HYPE's price continues to struggle below the 50-day EMA, signaling a weakening market outlook.
Futures Open Interest drops 2% as long liquidations dominate over shorts, indicating a bearish shift.
The MACD and RSI show growing bearish momentum, suggesting further downside potential for Hyperliquid.
Hyperliquid (HYPE) has dropped to its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $28.85, continuing a downward trend that marks a 10% decline so far this week. As the token faces rising selling pressure, bearish sentiment is taking hold, with more short positions building in the market. The 50-day EMA now serves as a critical short-term resistance level, marking a crucial turning point in HYPE’s price action.
Data from CoinGlass reveals a sharp decrease in futures Open Interest (OI), dropping by 2% over the past 24 hours to $1.34 billion. This decline reflects a drop in retail demand as traders either close out their positions or reduce leverage. This is supported by the fact that long liquidations have outpaced short liquidations by a significant margin, with long positions losing $3.07 million compared to just $228,950 in short liquidations. The shift in liquidation dynamics has brought the long-to-short ratio down to 0.9037, indicating more short positions are being opened.
Bearish Outlook Grows as HYPE Breaks Below 50-Day EMA
As of Wednesday, HYPE’s price has slipped below its 50-day EMA, signaling a worsening technical outlook. A daily close beneath this level would signal further downside potential, with the next support levels at $23.58 and $20.82, which align with previous lows. The decline also places the 50-day EMA well below the 200-day EMA at $32.75, strengthening the bearish outlook in the short term.
Source: TradingView
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has displayed a bearish crossover, and its negative histogram is widening, suggesting increased selling pressure. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 48, below the midline, showing that HYPE is in a declining phase after recently being overbought. This signals that the token may have further room to fall before reaching an oversold condition.
Potential for Rebound Above 50-Day EMA
Despite the negative technical indicators, HYPE could see a reversal if it manages to secure a daily close above the 50-day EMA at $28.85. Such a move would relieve some of the immediate selling pressure and could set the stage for a rebound toward the 200-day EMA at $32.75.
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Vitalik Buterin Warns Prediction Markets Face “Corposlop” Crisis
Vitalik Buterin says prediction markets chase clicks and quick bets, losing their power to deliver useful, long-term insights.
He argues markets now depend on uninformed bettors, pushing platforms to value engagement and profit over accurate forecasting.
Buterin sees a future where prediction markets help people hedge everyday costs, acting more like insurance than gambling tools.
Ethereum co‑founder Vitalik Buterin has issued a stark warning about the current state of prediction markets. He says these markets risk losing meaningful value by focusing on short‑term bets like crypto prices and sports.
Buterin argues this trend weakens long‑term social value and steers teams toward what he calls “corposlop.” He proposes a new role for prediction markets in finance that could replace traditional currency hedging with personalized future expense markets.
Buterin emphasizes that while trading volumes have grown enough to support full‑time market participants, this growth comes at a cost. “Market volume is high enough to make meaningful bets,” he notes, “but also they seem to be over‑converging to an unhealthy product market fit.” Instead of socially useful information, these platforms attract bets driven by dopamine and revenue needs.
Current Problems With Prediction Markets
Buterin identifies two fundamental roles in prediction markets: smart traders and money‑losing counterparts. Smart traders inject useful information into pricing. However, one side must lose money. Currently, markets rely on naive bettors who make uninformed bets. Buterin warns this encourages platforms to actively seek out less experienced traders.
Moreover, he says that relying on uninformed actors encourages brands and communities to cultivate unrealistic or “dumb” opinions just to increase participation. This, he explains, fuels a cycle where platforms prioritize engagement over genuine forecasting value. Consequently, the quality of information and societal benefit stagnates.
Hedging as a New Use Case
Buterin suggests shifting markets toward generalized hedging use cases. He explores scenarios where hedgers enter markets not to gamble, but to reduce risk. For example, owning shares in a biotech firm ties political outcomes to financial risk.
Betting on the underdog can stabilize returns by smoothing volatility, he explains. This framing positions markets as insurance tools rather than pure speculation venues.
“Suppose that you have shares in a biotech company,” Buterin writes, illustrating how prediction markets could lower risk. “Taking a logarithmic model of utility, this risk reduction is worth $0.58.”
Beyond Stablecoins to Expense Index Markets
Buterin then links prediction markets to the future of money itself. Stablecoins aim for price stability, but they still depend on fiat systems. He proposes prediction markets built on price indices across major goods and services. Each user could hold a basket of market shares tailored to expected future expenses.
This vision eliminates traditional currency altogether. People might hold assets for growth and market shares for stability. “We do not need fiat currency at all!” he declares.
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Bitcoin New Whales UPR Signals Bearish Pressure with Gradual Downshift
Bitcoin whales are repositioning gradually, not panic selling, signaling steady market caution.
Price bounced from $65K to over $70K, showing buyers see dips as strong entry points.
Technicals hint mixed momentum; RSI near overbought, MACD positive, pullbacks are likely profit-taking.
Bitcoin’s price action turned heads as new on‑chain data showed key whale investors shifting their stance. According to CryptoQuant analyst _onchain, Bitcoin’s New Whales’ UPR dropped to –0.30. This decline matches a similar level last seen after the 2022 all‑time high. However, the pace and context differ meaningfully.
As per the data, the current move took over three months to reach –0.30, whereas in 2022 it happened in less than six weeks. Hence, the latest drop reflects a slower, more drawn‑out market response rather than a sudden crash. The prolonged slide signals that major holders may cautiously reduce risk or reassess exposure as prices fluctuate.
Gradual UPR Drop vs 2022 Crash
The UPR for Bitcoin’s New Whales turned negative before dropping to –0.30. In 2022, large entities reacted quickly after turmoil like the collapse of Luna and 3AC. Consequently, markets fell sharply then. However, now the downturn unfolded over three months.
Moreover, this suggests larger holders adjust slowly. Besides, gradual weakening can point to broader market hesitation. The indicator did not show frantic selling. Instead, it hinted at steady repositioning. Therefore, traders should weigh not just the level, but the context and speed of change.
Price Action Shows Mixed but Improving Tone
Although the price of Bitcoin moved erratically, it continued to rise on the 30-minute Bitstamp chart that was displayed on TradingView. At first, the price of Bitcoin dropped from the high $69,000 range to the mid-$66,000 range. The momentum showed that this phase was dominated by sellers.
Source: TradingView
Buyers quickly appeared, though, and prices dropped back to between $67,000 and $68,000. Later, when the price of Bitcoin dropped to around $65,000, there was a spike in price volatility. Buyers began to arrive at this point, and prices began to rise once more. A sequence of higher lows followed, signifying an increase in momentum. The price of Bitcoin later surpassed $69,000 and even crossed the $70,000 threshold.
Technical Indicators Reflect Tension
Technical indicators' strength varied during the rally. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) approached the overbought zone during the strong up moves. Hence, traders might have sensed the stretch in the markets for the short term.
Also, the MACD indicator turned positive during the up move. However, it flattened out as Bitcoin corrected slightly. The recent correction towards $69,400 looks more like profit-taking than a trend change. Moreover, corrections are normal after strong up moves.
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CFTC Names Coinbase, Kraken, Gemini CEOs to Innovation Panel
CFTC named 35 members including crypto exchange CEOs to guide emerging market regulation.
Panel shifts focus from tech advisory to commercial impacts on integrity protection and competition.
Members span Coinbase Kraken Gemini plus Nasdaq CME and DTCC under Project Crypto coordination.
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission announced a 35-member Innovation Advisory Committee, adding senior leaders from major crypto firms. The panel launch took place in Washington as digital asset oversight gains urgency. CFTC Chair Michael Selig said the group will guide future market rules shaped by emerging technology.
Committee Structure and Regulatory Focus
According to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the committee includes 20 members directly tied to crypto companies. Notably, the panel replaces the former Technology Advisory Committee, which focused broadly on derivatives innovation.
However, the new body concentrates on commercial and economic impacts of specific business models. It will advise how novel platforms affect market integrity, customer protection, and competition. The committee first launched in January with 12 charter members, then expanded to its final size.
Selig stated the goal is ensuring regulatory decisions reflect real market conditions. Therefore, the agency seeks direct industry input while developing rules for new products and platforms.
Crypto, Blockchain, and Prediction Market Leaders
Executives from leading exchanges now hold prominent seats. Appointees include Brian Armstrong, Tyler Winklevoss, and representatives from Kraken. Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek also joined the panel. Meanwhile, blockchain firms gained strong representation.
Members include Brad Garlinghouse, Anatoly Yakovenko, and Hayden Adams. Prediction markets also secured influence. Appointees include Shayne Coplan and Tarek Mansour. At least five members have direct ties to that sector.
Traditional Finance and Project Crypto Link
Beyond crypto-native firms, traditional finance leaders joined the committee. Members include Vladimir Tenev, Peter Mintzberg, and Nathan McCauley. Additionally, major market operators gained seats. These include Nasdaq, CME Group, Cboe Global Markets, and Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation. The committee aligns with the CFTC and Securities and Exchange Commission joint “Project Crypto” initiative. That effort aims to coordinate digital asset oversight as regulation advances.
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MON Price Analysis Eyes $0.026 as Momentum Turns Positive
MON price analysis shows a rounded base forming between $0.017 and $0.022 after an 11-week correction phase.
A break above $0.022 with volume could open upside toward $0.026 and $0.030 supply levels.
Failure to hold $0.017 may shift focus to $0.015 as downside risk re-emerges.
MON price analysis points to a developing structural shift after weeks of controlled decline. Price compression above $0.017 now defines the chart, while momentum indicators begin to stabilize near range highs.
Compression Phase Signals Structural Shift
MON price analysis shows the asset transitioning from impulsive downside to tight consolidation. After peaking near $0.038–$0.040, the price entered a prolonged correction lasting 11 weeks.
However, recent candles reflect reduced follow-through on each sell attempt. The 23-day consolidation range between $0.017 and $0.022 has narrowed volatility.
Volume has contracted materially compared to earlier distribution waves. As a result, breakdown attempts lack expansion and fail to attract aggressive sellers.
Repeated defenses of the $0.017–$0.018 zone indicate steady absorption. Long lower wicks form consistently after dips into that region.
This behavior contrasts with earlier sessions when declines extended without meaningful recovery.
Trendline Break and Momentum Stabilization
MON price analysis identifies a decisive technical development on the daily timeframe. Price pierced the descending resistance trendline that defined the post-spike downtrend.
That trendline previously capped every lower high during the decline. The break occurred directly above the established horizontal demand area.
Multiple tests of $0.017 held without a conviction breakdown. Each retest met responsive buying, preventing continuation toward lower levels.
Momentum indicators now reflect a gradual improvement. The MACD histogram flipped positive while the price remains within the range of highs.
This setup suggests momentum expansion could precede a broader price move if resistance yields.
Short-Term Levels and Market Commentary
MON price analysis now focuses on the $0.021–$0.022 area as a key pivot. A daily close with acceptance above $0.022–$0.023 could shift focus toward $0.026.
Beyond that, $0.030–$0.033 marks the next visible supply cluster. Market commentator Aromat noted that MON closed Thursday down 5% at $0.019.
Despite weakness, the token recovered more than 13% from the $0.016 low. At the time of writing, the price traded near $0.0215 during the Asian session.
The same commentary identified $0.021 as a crucial intraday threshold. Holding above it could allow attempts toward the $0.024 trendline resistance.
Conversely, failure to defend the level may expose $0.015 as a downside target. Risk parameters remain clearly defined within this structure.
The base between $0.017 and $0.022 frames both opportunity and invalidation. As long as higher lows continue inside the range, downside momentum appears contained.
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X Introduces Smart Cashtags to Trade Stocks and Crypto
X wants users to trade stocks and crypto without leaving the timeline, making investing faster and more social.
Nikita Bier says Smart Cashtags support crypto growth while cutting spam and harmful promotions across the platform.
Smart Cashtags could push crypto adoption by letting users discover assets, check prices, and trade in one smooth flow.
X is set to transform social media into a financial hub as it prepares to launch “Smart Cashtags.” Nikita Bier, X’s Head of Product, announced that users will soon trade stocks and cryptocurrencies directly from their timelines. The move comes amid concerns over crypto apps promoting spam or harassment.
Bier emphasized that X supports crypto growth responsibly while protecting millions of users from disruptive behaviors. The upcoming feature promises to merge discovery, discussion, and action on a single platform.
Previously, X introduced basic market data, allowing users to track prices and sentiment without leaving the platform. Now, Smart Cashtags will upgrade the experience. Users typing symbols like $BTC or $TSLA will see live prices, charts, and related posts. Beyond simple tracking, these cashtags enable trading in one seamless flow. Consequently, posts about trending assets could now include buy and sell options, turning timelines into interactive trading spaces.
From Price Tracking to Direct Trading
Besides showing live prices, Smart Cashtags aim to reduce friction in trading. Instead of switching apps, users can spot trends, analyze charts, and place trades instantly. This integration could streamline the experience for both casual users and active traders.
Moreover, X plans to manage crypto growth without aggressive third-party apps that flood timelines with token promotions. Bier explained, “The goal is to support crypto growth without hurting the user experience.” Hence, the platform balances innovation with user safety.
Community Buzz and Early Reactions
The news triggered swift reactions from the crypto community. Traders consider this a move towards adoption, as social media might bring in new users.
On the other hand, some users are concerned about possible regulations and the ability of casual traders to handle complex markets. Moreover, this service might change the way people interact online, where social media posts act as trading portals. As a result, X emerges as a platform for both discussion and trading.
Smart Cashtags are expected to launch within a couple of weeks. Initially, X may use a limited rollout, gradually expanding features and supported regions. Decisions on available assets and trading partners will depend on local regulations. This development aligns with X’s vision of becoming an “everything app,” combining social networking, payments, and trading in one ecosystem.
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Tether Invests in Dreamcash to Launch USDT RWA Perpetuals
Tether invested in Dreamcash to expand USDT quoted perpetual trading on Hyperliquid.
USDT0 enables 1 to 1 USDT backed collateral across 15 networks using LayerZero infrastructure
Ten RWA perpetual markets launched with weekly 200K dollar incentives for traders.
Tether confirmed a strategic investment in Dreamcash’s operating entity, Supreme Liquid Labs, to expand USDT-quoted trading access. The announcement coincided with new USDT0-collateralized perpetual markets going live on Hyperliquid in January 2026. The move involves Tether, Dreamcash, Selini Capital, and traders seeking non-custodial access.
Strategic Investment and Market Launch
According to Tether, the investment supports Dreamcash’s effort to connect retail traders to onchain perpetual markets. Dreamcash operates through Supreme Liquid Labs, which received the funding.
At the same time, the first HIP-3 perpetual markets collateralized with USDT0 launched on Hyperliquid. The launch followed collaboration between Dreamcash, Selini Capital, and Tether.
Initially, ten markets became available. These include USA500/USDT, TSLA/USDT, and NVDA/USDT. Traders can access these products on Hyperliquid and through the Dreamcash application.
USDT0 Infrastructure and Access Shift
The markets rely on USDT0, Tether’s unified liquidity network. USDT0 operates using LayerZero and its OFT standard. Since January 2025, USDT0 has processed more than $50 billion in transfers across 15 networks.
Notably, USDT0 maintains a 1:1 peg with USDT through a lock-and-mint mechanism. This structure allows traders to move funds from centralized exchanges to non-custodial wallets without currency conversion.
Previously, traders holding USDT could not directly access Hyperliquid markets. The collaboration removed that limitation. As a result, USDT-margin traders can now use familiar collateral onchain.
Incentives and Trading Availability
To support early activity, Dreamcash announced a weekly incentive program. The program allocates $200,000 per week to traders based on USDT trading volume. Details on eligibility and duration remain pending.
The markets are accessible through Dreamcash’s mobile-first interface. Selini Capital provides liquidity for these products. According to Marco van den Heuvel, the setup targets traders already using USDT as their primary trading unit.The products became available during the third week of January 2026.
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BNB Price Drops Below $620, Key 200-Week Moving Average in Focus
Key Insights:
BNB's price has slipped below the critical $620 Fibonacci support, now testing key long-term support near $609.
The 200-week moving average is a major trend indicator, and a strong rebound above $620 could restore bullish momentum.
Failure to reclaim $620 could lead to further downside, with extended consolidation potentially forming before any bullish reversal.
BNB has recently fallen below the $620 mark, a key support level that had been holding strong for weeks. This level, referred to as the "golden pocket" at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, is often seen as a crucial reversal zone. As the price dips below this significant barrier, the crypto asset is now hovering around the $609 range. This shift signals a critical point for BNB, as it now faces a potential test of long-term support.
The $620 level has been pivotal in maintaining BNB’s price structure for an extended period. It was seen as a strong high-timeframe support level, and its breach has raised concerns about further downside potential. The loss of this support has moved the focus to lower levels, with BNB now testing the 200-week moving average. This is a widely monitored indicator for longer-term trends, and its response in the coming weeks could dictate BNB's near-term direction.
Key Resistance and Support Levels in Focus
BNB is now at a crossroads, as the price action teeters around critical support zones. The $620 Fibonacci level is still seen as a major resistance to reclaim. Should BNB manage to break back above this level, the market would likely regain confidence, signaling a potential reversal. However, failure to do so would imply deeper consolidation, with the risk of further downside exploration. Traders are closely monitoring the next few weekly closes to assess whether this drop represents a temporary deviation or the start of a more significant breakdown.
Source: TradingView
The 200-week moving average has historically been a reliable indicator of long-term trends. At present, BNB is testing this level, with sustained trading below it raising concerns of prolonged consolidation. Nevertheless, a strong rebound above the $620 region would likely restore optimism among buyers, pointing to a possible move towards higher resistance areas.
Outlook for BNB: Bulls and Bears Eye $620 Reclaim
For BNB to regain its bullish momentum, the price needs to reclaim and stabilize above the $620 level. A decisive move above this area would likely bring back the upside targets, with the $932 resistance remaining the next major goal. On the other hand, continued failure to stay above the 200-week moving average would fuel bearish sentiment, leading to potential losses and further testing of lower support levels before any sustained recovery can take place.
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