The Fed just put the crypto market on trial! Here's the verdict you need to watch for🧏"
The verdict drops October 28. That's when the FOMC meets, and right now the market is pricing only a ~12% chance of a hike this month. Sounds bullish, right? Wrong.
The real threat isn't October—it's December. Fed minutes confirmed most officials still see another hike as "likely appropriate" before year-end.
Here's what that means for your bags:
Bitcoin is trapped in a cage between $80,000 and $87,000.
The floor holds because ETF buyers and corporate treasuries have their average cost basis sitting right around $80,200. The ceiling is capped by trapped buyers from late 2025 who are desperate to break even near $87,700.
The trial isn't about whether the Fed hikes. It's about whether crypto can survive without new money.
ETF inflows turned negative in October. Institutional buying has slowed to a fraction of last year's pace. If the Fed stays hawkish and yields keep pressing higher, Bitcoin has no earnings to justify its price—it only moves on fresh capital. #EarningsSeason #FedRateDecisions $BTC
$XPIN is looking incredibly clean on the daily right now👀
We’ve had a massive consolidation period, and it’s currently coiling right at the bottom of this channel. You can see the orange box I drew—price is bouncing perfectly off the 0.00074 support level.
Volume has completely dried up, which usually means a big move is coming.
I’m taking a long here.
🎯 Target: 0.00095 (top of the box)
🛑 Stop: Below 0.00071 (invalidation if we lose support)
Risk to reward looks great on this one. Let’s see if it bounces. 🚀$XPIN
We’ve had a brutal few weeks on this one, but looking at the daily chart, something is finally catching my eye.
After that massive pump in August, we bled all the way back down to reality.
But looking at the chart right now, the price is tapping into a major support floor around 0.00650.
The volume has been completely dead for a month, which usually means the sellers are exhausted. If the bulls can step in here, we could see a relief rally back up.
Here is the setup I’m watching:
📍 Entry: Current price zone (0.00650 - 0.00655). Wait for a 15m or 1h candle close above 0.00655 to confirm momentum.
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.00615. If we break the recent lows, this trade is invalidated and we dip further.
🎯 Take Profit 1: 0.00720 (First major resistance)
🎯 Take Profit 2: 0.00800 (Previous consolidation zone)