Will Bitcoin Follow Its Previous Trajectories?

The current price action in BTC, based on the pre-halving year low, is tracking similarly to the movements observed in 2015 leading up to the 2016 halving and in 2019 leading up to the 2020 halving.

After 364 days from the 2023 low, the BTC price has rebounded by 154%, compared to 151% from the 2015 low and 186% from the 2019 low at the same point in time.

The previous three halving events occurred between 376 and 542 days after the low was reached: the 2012 Halving took place 376 days after the 2011 low, the 2016 Halving occurred 542 days after the 2015 low, and the 2020 Halving happened 459 days after the 2019 low.

Anticipated for 467 days after the 2023 low, the 2024 halving is expected to fall within 75 days of the 2016 halving date from the low and within 8 days of the 2020 halving from the low.

This will be the true start of the bull market, as historical data shows a bullish trend starting right after the halving…