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Md Shahid Arman

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超高頻度トレーダー
3.3年
Twitter/X- @MdShahid901 Futures strategist mastering price action market psychology turning volatility,funding shifts & liquidations into high probability wins.
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翻訳
US Arrests Maduro Crypto Impact in Brief Big geopolitical shock, headlines drive short-term volatility.Crypto networks stay active, no dependency on Venezuela or US politics. Expect fast moves, fake breakouts, and liquidation spikes.Bitcoin reacts to sentiment, not the arrest itself.Long term trend stays macro-driven, not news driven. $RIVER {future}(RIVERUSDT) $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) $BIFI {spot}(BIFIUSDT)
US Arrests Maduro

Crypto Impact in Brief

Big geopolitical shock, headlines drive short-term volatility.Crypto networks stay active, no dependency on Venezuela or US politics.
Expect fast moves, fake breakouts, and liquidation spikes.Bitcoin reacts to sentiment, not the arrest itself.Long term trend stays macro-driven, not news driven.

$RIVER
$BTC
$BIFI
翻訳
$FIL {spot}(FILUSDT) FIL Price Outlook: How High Can It Go? Next Rising star ✨ FIL currently trades around $1.5, far below its ATH of $238.Short-term potential (2025) could see $5–$7 if network usage grows.Moderate targets suggest $2–$3 in a stable bull scenario. Long-term (2027–2030) may reach $12 to $20 with strong adoption.Extreme bull cases push $20 to $50+, but unlikely without massive market growth. Supply dynamics matter: FIL issuance must stay below demand growth.Technicals show strong resistance near previous highs, slowing rapid climbs.ATH repeat (~$238) is highly unlikely without a huge market cap surge.FIL’s next move depends on adoption, investor confidence, and overall crypto cycles.
$FIL
FIL Price Outlook: How High Can It Go?
Next Rising star ✨

FIL currently trades around $1.5, far below its ATH of $238.Short-term potential (2025) could see $5–$7 if network usage grows.Moderate targets suggest $2–$3 in a stable bull scenario.
Long-term (2027–2030) may reach $12 to $20 with strong adoption.Extreme bull cases push $20 to $50+, but unlikely without massive market growth.

Supply dynamics matter: FIL issuance must stay below demand growth.Technicals show strong resistance near previous highs, slowing rapid climbs.ATH repeat (~$238) is highly unlikely without a huge market cap surge.FIL’s next move depends on adoption, investor confidence, and overall crypto cycles.
原文参照
$BIFI {spot}(BIFIUSDT) BIFIを$7,500で購入しましたか? 知っておくべきことはこれです。 BIFIは流動性が薄く、ボットのクジラ活動によって$7,500以上に急騰しました。価格はほぼ即座に崩壊し、数分で99%下落しました。最高値で購入した人は、今や大きな未実現損失を抱えています。 パニック売却は大きな損失を固定する可能性があるため、衝動的に反応しないでください。第一歩:実際のエクスポージャーを評価し、リスク許容度を決定してください。 価格が戻るのを追いかけるのは避けてください。すぐに急騰レベルに戻る可能性は低いです。部分的な回復が可能かどうかを見るために、流動的なサポートゾーン(約$20~$30)を探してください。価格が安定した場合は、全額パニック退出するのではなく、徐々にスケールアウトを考慮してください。 次回は、突然の急騰に飛びつく前に、ボリューム、流動性、ファンダメンタルズを観察してください。
$BIFI
BIFIを$7,500で購入しましたか?
知っておくべきことはこれです。

BIFIは流動性が薄く、ボットのクジラ活動によって$7,500以上に急騰しました。価格はほぼ即座に崩壊し、数分で99%下落しました。最高値で購入した人は、今や大きな未実現損失を抱えています。
パニック売却は大きな損失を固定する可能性があるため、衝動的に反応しないでください。第一歩:実際のエクスポージャーを評価し、リスク許容度を決定してください。

価格が戻るのを追いかけるのは避けてください。すぐに急騰レベルに戻る可能性は低いです。部分的な回復が可能かどうかを見るために、流動的なサポートゾーン(約$20~$30)を探してください。価格が安定した場合は、全額パニック退出するのではなく、徐々にスケールアウトを考慮してください。

次回は、突然の急騰に飛びつく前に、ボリューム、流動性、ファンダメンタルズを観察してください。
翻訳
$BROCCOLI714 {spot}(BROCCOLI714USDT) BROCCOLI714 Surges 1200% Before Collapsing Meme Coin Madness. BROCCOLI714 shot from $0.0119 to $0.16 in hours, then crashed to $0.021.Extreme volatility driven by low liquidity and tiny order books. Rapid spike likely fueled by big wallet buys and bots, not organic demand.Classic pump-and-dump behaviour in meme coins. Traders chasing the peak got hit as price retraced almost 87% from high. Current trading stabilizing around $0.02–$0.03, reflecting real market interest.Psychological pattern: small capital moves markets sharply; profits exit price collapses.Key takeaway not a sustainable breakout; caution needed before entering. If you trade, watch liquidity and depth rather than chasing spikes.Meme coin mania reminds us: extreme gains can reverse instantly. #BROCCOLI714 #CryptoVolatility
$BROCCOLI714
BROCCOLI714 Surges 1200% Before Collapsing Meme Coin Madness.

BROCCOLI714 shot from $0.0119 to $0.16 in hours, then crashed to $0.021.Extreme volatility driven by low liquidity and tiny order books.
Rapid spike likely fueled by big wallet buys and bots, not organic demand.Classic pump-and-dump behaviour in meme coins.
Traders chasing the peak got hit as price retraced almost 87% from high.

Current trading stabilizing around $0.02–$0.03, reflecting real market interest.Psychological pattern: small capital moves markets sharply; profits exit price collapses.Key takeaway not a sustainable breakout; caution needed before entering.

If you trade, watch liquidity and depth rather than chasing spikes.Meme coin mania reminds us: extreme gains can reverse instantly.

#BROCCOLI714
#CryptoVolatility
翻訳
$USDT $USD1 {spot}(USD1USDT) USD decline What It Means for Crypto The U.S. dollar has dropped significantly this year, hitting its weakest level in nearly a decade.Weak USD often drives traders to alternative assets, including Bitcoin and major altcoins.Bitcoin historically moves inversely to the Dollar Index (DXY), hinting at bullish potential.ETH and other top altcoins could benefit as investors look for inflation hedges.A softer dollar increases global liquidity flows into risk assets like crypto. Traders may rotate portfolios from cash and bonds into crypto for higher growth potential.Market sentiment is improving as dollar weakness fuels optimism for digital assets.Caution remains: global macro factors like inflation and liquidity can still trigger volatility.A declining USD alone doesn’t guarantee a crypto rally watch interest rate trends and equities. Overall, a weak dollar creates a supportive backdrop for crypto, making it an attractive alternative for traders.
$USDT
$USD1
USD decline
What It Means for Crypto

The U.S. dollar has dropped significantly this year, hitting its weakest level in nearly a decade.Weak USD often drives traders to alternative assets, including Bitcoin and major altcoins.Bitcoin historically moves inversely to the Dollar Index (DXY), hinting at bullish potential.ETH and other top altcoins could benefit as investors look for inflation hedges.A softer dollar increases global liquidity flows into risk assets like crypto.

Traders may rotate portfolios from cash and bonds into crypto for higher growth potential.Market sentiment is improving as dollar weakness fuels optimism for digital assets.Caution remains: global macro factors like inflation and liquidity can still trigger volatility.A declining USD alone doesn’t guarantee a crypto rally watch interest rate trends and equities.

Overall, a weak dollar creates a supportive backdrop for crypto, making it an attractive alternative for traders.
翻訳
$RIVER {future}(RIVERUSDT) Make it a short position. River will turn bearish, just a time of matter.
$RIVER
Make it a short position.

River will turn bearish, just a time of matter.
翻訳
$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $XAU {future}(XAUUSDT) Why BTC is moving down? Why Gold (XAU) is moving up? Bitcoin trades like a risk asset, and the market mood is risk-off.Too many long positions were open, triggering liquidation once support broke. Price slipped below key EMAs, shifting structure bearish.Liquidity tightening reduced speculative buying power.Weak spot demand failed to defend downside pressure. Why Gold (XAU) is moving up Gold attracts capital when fear and uncertainty rise.Money is rotating from risky assets into safe havens.Inflation and geopolitical tension support gold demand.Central bank accumulation strengthens the bullish trend.Strong price structure with volume confirms upside momentum.
$BTC
$XAU

Why BTC is moving down?

Why Gold (XAU) is moving up?

Bitcoin trades like a risk asset, and the market mood is risk-off.Too many long positions were open, triggering liquidation once support broke.
Price slipped below key EMAs, shifting structure bearish.Liquidity tightening reduced speculative buying power.Weak spot demand failed to defend downside pressure.

Why Gold (XAU) is moving up

Gold attracts capital when fear and uncertainty rise.Money is rotating from risky assets into safe havens.Inflation and geopolitical tension support gold demand.Central bank accumulation strengthens the bullish trend.Strong price structure with volume confirms upside momentum.
翻訳
Short position not easy too risky. Majority people while open a short position Shorts often fail not from direction, but poor timing Price does not fall just because it looks high.Early shorts fuel liquidity for a pump.First touch of EMA50 usually bounces.Negative funding alone is not a short signal.Wait for price to drop first before considering shorts.Enter only after a weak bounce and rejection. Confirm lower highs, shrinking volume, and RSI weakness. Shorting is patience, not bravery. Discipline > emotion = survival + profits $LIGHT {future}(LIGHTUSDT) $RIVER {future}(RIVERUSDT)
Short position not easy too risky.
Majority people while open a short position

Shorts often fail not from direction, but poor timing

Price does not fall just because it looks high.Early shorts fuel liquidity for a pump.First touch of EMA50 usually bounces.Negative funding alone is not a short signal.Wait for price to drop first before considering shorts.Enter only after a weak bounce and rejection. Confirm lower highs, shrinking volume, and RSI weakness. Shorting is patience, not bravery.

Discipline > emotion = survival + profits
$LIGHT
$RIVER
翻訳
Right at the moment don't try to short position open Light River You'll trap. $LIGHT {future}(LIGHTUSDT) $RIVER {future}(RIVERUSDT)
Right at the moment don't try to short position open
Light
River

You'll trap.
$LIGHT
$RIVER
翻訳
$SOL {future}(SOLUSDT) Solana ETF Inflows Boost Bullish Solana ETFs drew $2.93M inflows, showing strong institutional demand.Total inflows reach hundreds of millions, outpacing BTC and ETH ETFs. Spot altcoin ETFs, including SOL, remain net positive, signaling selective buying.Key levels $118–$126 will guide near-term price action. ETF inflows support a bullish structural narrative, but trend confirmation is needed.
$SOL
Solana ETF Inflows Boost Bullish

Solana ETFs drew $2.93M inflows, showing strong institutional demand.Total inflows reach hundreds of millions, outpacing BTC and ETH ETFs.
Spot altcoin ETFs, including SOL, remain net positive, signaling selective buying.Key levels $118–$126 will guide near-term price action.
ETF inflows support a bullish structural narrative, but trend confirmation is needed.
原文参照
$RIVER {future}(RIVERUSDT) アルトコインは大幅に下落しており、おそらくキャピタレーションフェーズにあります。大規模な売却は強気の反転に先立つことがあります。価格が下落したからといってアルトシーズンが始まるわけではありません。BTCが上昇すれば、アルトは弱いままである可能性があります。アルト全体の購入量の増加は強気の関心を示しています。極端にネガティブな資金調達率はショートスクイーズを引き起こす可能性があります。 トレンドの変化を確認するために、高値更新と抵抗線突破を探してください。最初のスパイクを追いかけるのは避け、確認を待ってください。一部のアルトは急速に反発するかもしれませんが、ベアトラップのリスクがあります。本当のアルトシーズンにはBTCの安定と一貫したアルトのパフォーマンスが必要です。 #AltcoinSeasonComing
$RIVER

アルトコインは大幅に下落しており、おそらくキャピタレーションフェーズにあります。大規模な売却は強気の反転に先立つことがあります。価格が下落したからといってアルトシーズンが始まるわけではありません。BTCが上昇すれば、アルトは弱いままである可能性があります。アルト全体の購入量の増加は強気の関心を示しています。極端にネガティブな資金調達率はショートスクイーズを引き起こす可能性があります。

トレンドの変化を確認するために、高値更新と抵抗線突破を探してください。最初のスパイクを追いかけるのは避け、確認を待ってください。一部のアルトは急速に反発するかもしれませんが、ベアトラップのリスクがあります。本当のアルトシーズンにはBTCの安定と一貫したアルトのパフォーマンスが必要です。

#AltcoinSeasonComing
翻訳
$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $BNB {future}(BNBUSDT) $XAU {future}(XAUUSDT) Happy New Year 2026 🎉 2025 taught us the market doesn’t reward hope, it rewards discipline.Some made profits, some took losses, but no one walked away empty handed. Wins give confidence. Losses give clarity. May 2026 bring better risk control, stronger psychology, and smarter trades. New year. New mindset. New opportunities.
$BTC
$BNB
$XAU

Happy New Year 2026 🎉

2025 taught us the market doesn’t reward hope, it rewards discipline.Some made profits, some took losses, but no one walked away empty handed.
Wins give confidence. Losses give clarity.

May 2026 bring better risk control, stronger psychology, and smarter trades.
New year. New mindset. New opportunities.
翻訳
$LIGHT {future}(LIGHTUSDT) LIGHTUSDT: Sideways Is Strength, Not Weakness Short & long think before trade LIGHTUSDT pumped from 0.31 to 1.41, a clear liquidity ignition move.After expansion, price went sideways instead of dumping, that’s bullish behaviour.Sideways range shows profit booking, not panic selling.EMA is holding as dynamic support, trend structure intact. Volume is cooling, meaning sellers are not in control.RSI is resetting without price falling, a strong continuation sign.Market makers are rebuilding liquidity, shaking impatient traders. Holding above the base means bulls still dominate. Break above range high with volume opens next upside leg. Sideways here is energy loading, not trend failure.
$LIGHT
LIGHTUSDT: Sideways Is Strength, Not Weakness

Short & long think before trade

LIGHTUSDT pumped from 0.31 to 1.41, a clear liquidity ignition move.After expansion, price went sideways instead of dumping, that’s bullish behaviour.Sideways range shows profit booking, not panic selling.EMA is holding as dynamic support, trend structure intact.

Volume is cooling, meaning sellers are not in control.RSI is resetting without price falling, a strong continuation sign.Market makers are rebuilding liquidity, shaking impatient traders.
Holding above the base means bulls still dominate.
Break above range high with volume opens next upside leg.

Sideways here is energy loading, not trend failure.
翻訳
$LIGHT {future}(LIGHTUSDT) Powerful turning bullish. short position face trouble.
$LIGHT

Powerful turning bullish. short position face trouble.
翻訳
$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) Really feel sad 😢😔 BTC Long Liquidation Shock & 2026 Outlook Over $100M–$250M+ BTC longs wiped out in short timeframes BTC’s sharp drop triggered a heavy long-position liquidation wave.High leverage bullish funding made longs fragile.Forced liquidations accelerated the downside move.This flush reduced excess leverage from the market. After such events, BTC often stabilises or ranges Short-term sentiment remains cautious, not panic Looking ahead, 2026 is not straight line bullish Institutional adoption and ETFs support long-term upside. Expect volatility first, then bullish potential later in 2026.
$BTC

Really feel sad 😢😔

BTC Long Liquidation Shock & 2026 Outlook

Over $100M–$250M+ BTC longs wiped out in short timeframes

BTC’s sharp drop triggered a heavy long-position liquidation wave.High leverage bullish funding made longs fragile.Forced liquidations accelerated the downside move.This flush reduced excess leverage from the market.

After such events, BTC often stabilises or ranges
Short-term sentiment remains cautious, not panic
Looking ahead, 2026 is not straight line bullish
Institutional adoption and ETFs support long-term upside.

Expect volatility first, then bullish potential later in 2026.
翻訳
$IR {future}(IRUSDT) IRUSDT Deep Bearish Move What Really Happened? Whoever opens a long position feels bad & sad. 😓 IRUSDT is a fresh futures listing with thin real liquidity.Early hype created a fast pump, then smart money exited.Profit-taking turned into panic selling.Funding rate leaned short, increasing sell pressure.Long liquidations stacked one after another.Volume expanded on red candles, showing aggressive sellers. No strong spot demand to absorb futures selling. Market psychology flipped from FOMO to fear quickly.Price structure broke key intraday supports.Bears remain in control until demand proves otherwise.
$IR
IRUSDT Deep Bearish Move
What Really Happened?

Whoever opens a long position feels bad & sad. 😓

IRUSDT is a fresh futures listing with thin real liquidity.Early hype created a fast pump, then smart money exited.Profit-taking turned into panic selling.Funding rate leaned short, increasing sell pressure.Long liquidations stacked one after another.Volume expanded on red candles, showing aggressive sellers.

No strong spot demand to absorb futures selling.
Market psychology flipped from FOMO to fear quickly.Price structure broke key intraday supports.Bears remain in control until demand proves otherwise.
翻訳
$XAU {future}(XAUUSDT) $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $XRP {future}(XRPUSDT) Reverse option Is a Tool, Not a Panic Button If you realise your futures entry is wrong, don’t freeze and hope. Act with logic.The Reverse option instantly closes your losing position and opens the opposite side.Yes, the loss is booked immediately. That’s the cost of being wrong, not a punishment.Short turns into long, long turns into short, without delay or hesitation. This protects your capital from deeper damage when momentum clearly flips.Waiting after confirmation of a wrong bias is how small losses become liquidations.Reverse works best when market structure breaks, not on emotion or noise. Strong volume shift + candle close against your bias = time to reverse, not pray.Pros accept losses fast and realign with price, not ego.Trade the market you see, not the position you wish was right.
$XAU
$BTC
$XRP
Reverse option Is a Tool, Not a Panic Button

If you realise your futures entry is wrong, don’t freeze and hope. Act with logic.The Reverse option instantly closes your losing position and opens the opposite side.Yes, the loss is booked immediately. That’s the cost of being wrong, not a punishment.Short turns into long, long turns into short, without delay or hesitation.

This protects your capital from deeper damage when momentum clearly flips.Waiting after confirmation of a wrong bias is how small losses become liquidations.Reverse works best when market structure breaks, not on emotion or noise.
Strong volume shift + candle close against your bias = time to reverse, not pray.Pros accept losses fast and realign with price, not ego.Trade the market you see, not the position you wish was right.
翻訳
$IR {future}(IRUSDT) All long positions are dead here 🤣😂🤪. Why does Price Keeps turns bearish? Early alpha hype faded fast once short-term buyers exited.Low liquidity made every sell order hit harder.No fresh catalyst or news to attract new demand.Funding and volume dried up, showing weak conviction.Market psychology flipped from “early entry” to capital protection.
$IR
All long positions are dead here 🤣😂🤪.

Why does Price Keeps turns bearish?

Early alpha hype faded fast once short-term buyers exited.Low liquidity made every sell order hit harder.No fresh catalyst or news to attract new demand.Funding and volume dried up, showing weak conviction.Market psychology flipped from “early entry” to capital protection.
翻訳
$XRP {future}(XRPUSDT) Why XRP Struggles to Reach New Highs XRP is closely tied to Ripple, raising centralisation concerns for big investors.Its use case is cross-border payments, but bank adoption moves very slowly.Regulatory pressure in the US still limits institutional confidence. No strong hype narrative like BTC, ETH, or SOL to attract aggressive traders.Large token supply and escrow releases create constant selling pressure Rallies often face early profit-taking from long-term holders.Trading volume follows Bitcoin instead of leading the market. Funding rates stay relatively low, limiting leverage driven pumps.Market psychology remains cautious after years of sideways price action.XRP is built for stability, not explosive price cycles.
$XRP
Why XRP Struggles to Reach New Highs

XRP is closely tied to Ripple, raising centralisation concerns for big investors.Its use case is cross-border payments, but bank adoption moves very slowly.Regulatory pressure in the US still limits institutional confidence.

No strong hype narrative like BTC, ETH, or SOL to attract aggressive traders.Large token supply and escrow releases create constant selling pressure
Rallies often face early profit-taking from long-term holders.Trading volume follows Bitcoin instead of leading the market.

Funding rates stay relatively low, limiting leverage driven pumps.Market psychology remains cautious after years of sideways price action.XRP is built for stability, not explosive price cycles.
原文参照
市場のバイアス:さようなら、連邦準備制度理事会の議長の信号 ビットコイン (BTC) は強気のバイアス 連邦準備制度に対する政治的圧力は政策の信頼性を弱めます。 金利の期待が低下するとリスク資産をサポートします。 流動性の物語は、政策のノイズに対するヘッジとしてBTCを支持します。 資金調達が極端にプラスに変わらない限り、下落は買い場です。 金 (XAU) は強気だが変動が激しい 中央銀行の独立性リスク = 安全な避難所の需要。 金利引き下げや米ドルの弱さの兆候は金を押し上げます。 短期的な反発は可能で、構造は依然として主要なサポートの上で強気です。 米ドル (DXY) は弱気のバイアス 連邦準備制度に対する政治的影響がドルの信頼を損ないます。 金利引き下げの圧力が上昇を抑えます。 弱いDXYは暗号通貨、金、そして新興資産をサポートします。 株式 (S&P 500) → 短期的に強気、中期的にリスキー。金利引き下げの話が短期的に株式を押し上げます。長期的にはインフレが再発したり、連邦準備制度が制御を失った場合にリスクがあります。 最終取引ビュー BTC: 反発時にロングを推奨。 金: 下落を買い、高値を追わない。 USD: ラリーを売る。 $BTC $XAU {future}(XAUUSDT) {future}(BTCUSDT)
市場のバイアス:さようなら、連邦準備制度理事会の議長の信号
ビットコイン (BTC) は強気のバイアス

連邦準備制度に対する政治的圧力は政策の信頼性を弱めます。
金利の期待が低下するとリスク資産をサポートします。
流動性の物語は、政策のノイズに対するヘッジとしてBTCを支持します。
資金調達が極端にプラスに変わらない限り、下落は買い場です。

金 (XAU) は強気だが変動が激しい

中央銀行の独立性リスク = 安全な避難所の需要。
金利引き下げや米ドルの弱さの兆候は金を押し上げます。
短期的な反発は可能で、構造は依然として主要なサポートの上で強気です。
米ドル (DXY) は弱気のバイアス
連邦準備制度に対する政治的影響がドルの信頼を損ないます。
金利引き下げの圧力が上昇を抑えます。
弱いDXYは暗号通貨、金、そして新興資産をサポートします。
株式 (S&P 500) → 短期的に強気、中期的にリスキー。金利引き下げの話が短期的に株式を押し上げます。長期的にはインフレが再発したり、連邦準備制度が制御を失った場合にリスクがあります。

最終取引ビュー
BTC: 反発時にロングを推奨。
金: 下落を買い、高値を追わない。
USD: ラリーを売る。
$BTC
$XAU
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