The Buzzing Bee

Cardano's big whales got caught on-chain scooping bags and bags of ADA as the token deals with uncertain selling pressure. Fresh data shows that wallets holding between 100,000 and 100 million ADA added about 454.7 million ADA over the past two months. At current prices, that accumulation stands around $161 million.
As big whales look to take over, smaller wallets continue to exit positions. Wallets holding 100 ADA or less dumped 22,000 tokens over the last week. The investors' behavior has grown a spot on separation between large and small holders. Such actions often appear during phases of market stress. It is suggested that when whales add and retails dump, it could turn out to be an ideal setup for a rebound when markets stabilize.
Cardano holders sitting on losses ⁉️
Santiment in a post shared data around Cardano's current market value to realized value ratio. It mentioned that a lower 30-day MVRV suggests reduced downside risk relative to recent market participants. However, ADA's 30-day MVRV stood at minus 7.9 percent.
A negative MVRV number indicates that the average holder is sitting on unrealized losses. This can lower the selling pressure since fewer holders are in profit. It added that if a coin holds a positive percentage, then the traders you're competing with are making money. This eventually pushes a high risk of entering while profits are above the normal.
Data shows that other major altcoins are also holding similar readings. Chainlink sits at minus 9.5 percent, while Ether is at minus 7.6 percent. XRP is at minus 5.7 percent. The biggest crypto, Bitcoin, shows a milder negative reading of minus 3.7 percent.
Cardano price has dropped by almost 19% in the last 60 days but it has managed to gain by 6% on YTD. ADA price jumped by 4% in the last 24 hours. It is trading at an average price of $0.35 at the press time. It is down by over 88% from its all time high of $3.10, recorded in September 2021.
🌟 Is ADA facing US regulatory pressure⁉️
The accumulation trend comes as Cardano faces political and regulatory uncertainty in the United States. Cardano creator Charles Hoskinson said the current administration has left the US crypto industry in a weaker position than under former President Joe Biden.
Hoskinson criticized how the Trump admin handled the launch of the Trump Coin and Melania Trump’s token. He said the rollout blasted the trust and damaged prospects for bipartisan crypto legislation in early 2025. Earlier, after Donald Trump’s election in November 2024, he reportedly stated that he would work with the new administration. He later said relations worsened as policy decisions unfolded.
Despite political headwinds, institutional infrastructure around Cardano is expanding. CME Group said it plans to list futures contracts tied to Cardano on Feb. 9. It is still awaiting regulatory approval. It also plans to introduce futures for Chainlink and Stellar. The products would fall under the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
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The digital and physical frontlines are blurring. With the USS Abraham Lincoln strike group entering the Middle East this January 2026 and the #USIranStandoff hitting a fever pitch, the crypto markets are reacting with "blink and you miss it" speed.
Here are three action oriented posts tailored for the current climate:
🚨 Post 1: The Macro Shockwave
Headline: When Steel Meets the Strait, Satoshi Responds.
The standoff isn't just about naval maneuvers; it’s a high stakes stress test for your portfolio. As the U.S. weighs strike options against Iranian nuclear sites, Bitcoin is proving its dual nature: a risk off casualty in the first hour, but a "digital gold" hedge by the first daily candle.
🔹️ The Action: Watch the $90,000 floor. Historically, geopolitical flares trigger massive liquidations over $1B was wiped in a single day during last summer’s tensions. Smart money isn't panic selling; they're setting limit orders at the wick.
🔹️ The Play: While altcoins bleed 10% on the news, BTC resilience is the signal. This is macro chess, not checkers.
🛡️ Post 2: The Sovereignty Shield
Headline: Financial Borders are Dissolving in the Fog of War.
As the Iranian regime tightens its grip with internet blackouts and the U.S. surges forces into the region, the Iranian people are turning to the only exit ramp left: On chain assets. Despite the crackdown, peer to peer flows are surging.
🔹️ The Reality: When traditional banks freeze and currencies crater, crypto isn't a "speculative asset" it’s a lifeline.
🔹️ The Trend: We’re seeing a massive migration to stablecoins and private self custody wallets. The lesson? In a standoff, "Not your keys, not your coins" isn't a slogan; it's a survival strategy.
⚡ Post 3: The Volatility Hunter
Headline: Trading the Tensions Volatility is the New Alpha.
The USS Abraham Lincoln just signaled "Mission Ready." For the average trader, that’s a signal to de leverage. For the pros, it’s a volatility goldmine.
🔹️ The Correlation: Oil is jumping, and gold is chasing record highs above $5,000. Bitcoin is the "fast horse" in this race, reacting to news before the ink is dry on the headlines.
🌟 The Strategy:
1. Hedge with USDT/USDC: Stay liquid but stay diversified across chains.
2. Monitor the Fed: If energy prices spike, the Fed pauses rate cuts. That’s the real crypto killer.
3. Stay Sharp: Rumors move markets; facts settle them. Don’t trade the noise; trade the reaction.
#bitcoin #MarketUpdate #CryptoNews
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4年サイクルの終わり
数年間、ビットコイン投資家は単純なルールに依存してきました：半減によって引き起こされる4年サイクルです。
半減が発生します > 供給ショック > 14–18ヶ月後、新しい最高値。
しかし、バイナンスの創設者で前CEOのチャンポン・ジャオ（CZ）によると、そのルールはもはや適用されないかもしれません。
ダボスの世界経済フォーラムでスピーチを行ったCZは、暗号コミュニティ全体の注目を集める声明を発表しました：2026年はビットコインにとって構造的な転換点となる可能性があり、歴史的な4年サイクルから脱却するかもしれません。

ビットコイン、金融の自由の代名詞である暗号通貨の巨人は、あるアナリストによると、見た目ほど安全ではない。暗号投資会社サイバーキャピタルの創設者ジャスティン・ボンズは、ビットコインが自らの崩壊に向かっている可能性があることを強調した。そして、それは数世紀後ではなく、どの愛好家も想像したくないより短い時間枠の中で：2031年から2036年の間に。
最近、ソーシャルネットワークXでの投稿の中で、ボンズは世界で最も人気のあるネットワークの将来に対する懸念を説明した。すべては単純な数学に起因する：ブロック報酬は各半減期ごとに減少し（新しいビットコインの発行を調整するメカニズム）、彼の計算によれば、2036年までにはマイナーは1ブロックあたりわずか0.39 BTCを受け取ることになる。現在の価格では、それは年間約23億ドルに相当し、その時点で市場資本が兆単位になる可能性のあるネットワークを守るためには十分ではない。その数字は、ボンズによれば、潜在的な攻撃者を思いとどまらせるには不十分だという。ボンズはさらに進んだ。彼は、「セキュリティ予算」のこの弱点が51%攻撃の扉を開く可能性があると警告した。これは、誰かがネットワークの過半数を掌握して取引を操作する「内部ハック」の一種である。今日ではありそうにないシナリオだが、ネットワークを保護するための経済的インセンティブが弱まると、より実行可能になる可能性がある。