The spread between the True Market Mean around $79.2K and the Realized Price near $55K mirrors the structure seen in early 2022 📊
Price is likely to move back and forth within this range as fresh demand gradually absorbs available supply ⏳
A short-term regime shift would require a major catalyst — either $BTC reclaiming $79.2K to signal renewed strength across the market, lifting $ETH with it 📈, or a systemic shock similar to LUNA/FTX that drags BTC toward $55K and pressures ETH lower 📉
Absent those extremes, the higher-probability mid-term scenario remains extended consolidation and steady absorption ⚠️💰