CryptoLevels

$BTC isn't trading crypto news right now. It's trading the Fed.

Why this week hurt:
• Oct CPI beat: 0.4% m/m
• PPI 6.5% y/y: highest since Nov 2022
• 10Y yield ~5.13%: biggest weekly jump since Apr 2025
• Dollar Index ~103: highest since Apr 2025
• Dec 8–9 Fed: 25bp hike ~90% priced, 50bp ~10%

Higher yields + a stronger dollar = pressure on risk assets. So far BTC is trading like a macro risk asset, not a hedge.

🎯 What changes the picture
• Softer data → hike odds fall, relief bounce
• Hotter data → 50bp talk, more pressure
• DXY and the 10Y rolling over → first real green light

My BTC line stays $68K. But I'm watching the 10Y and the dollar before I watch the candles.

Cheat sheet in the image 👇
What matters more for $BTC right now: the Fed or ETF flows?

Not financial advice. DYOR.
$BTC #Bitcoin #Macro

🚨$BTC LOSES $70K: DATA, NOT NOISE

$BTC #~$69.2K (-5% in 24h) after a $67.9K low, its weakest since mid-August.

📊 What's driving it#
• $1.3B+ liquidated, ~90% longs
• 6 straight days of US spot ETF outflows
• Hot CPI + DXY above 103 + 10Y yield above 5%
• Thin order books (~33% below normal) amplify every move
• Fear & Greed: 20 (Extreme Fear)

🎯 Levels I'm watching
• $68K: already tested, still the line
• Hold it + reclaim $70K → relief bounce
• Lose $68K on volume → $65–66K, then the ~$63K August lows

Extreme fear shows mood, not direction. I'm tracking ETF flows, liquidations and volume.

The market doesn't reward confidence. It rewards preparation.

Not financial advice. DYOR.
$BTC

👋 Welcome. I post short, data-first $BTC analysis: levels, ETF flows, liquidations. No hype, no signals. Not financial advice. DYOR. $BTC