Ethereum is currently trading within a crucial **decision zone**.
For me, the key level to watch is **$2,276.85**.
🟢 **LONG BIAS (BULLISH SCENARIO):**
As long as ETH holds above **$2,276.85** on the 4H timeframe, my bias will remain bullish.
Currently, ETH is facing resistance from a descending trendline. If ETH breaks above this resistance with proper confirmation, the price could move toward the **$2,550–$2,600 retest area**.
If ETH manages to break above this retest area cleanly and confirms the breakout with a 4H candle close, the next major upside target could be the **$3,000 zone**.
🔴 **SHORT BIAS (BEARISH SCENARIO):**
If ETH closes a 4H candle below **$2,276.85** and shows sustained acceptance below this level, my bias will shift toward the bearish side.
In that scenario, the first important local support is around **$2,090**.
If this support also breaks down with confirmation, ETH could potentially extend its decline toward the **$1,800 zone**.
⚠️ **IMPORTANT EVENT WEEK**
Several major economic events are scheduled:
📅 **October 29** — FOMC Rate Decision
📅 **October 29** — US GDP + PCE Inflation Data
📅 **October 29** — ECB Rate Decision
📅 **October 29–30** — Bank of Japan Meeting
📅 **October 30** — US Employment Cost Index
These events could trigger significant market volatility, including false breakouts and breakdowns.
Therefore, instead of entering a trade simply because the price touches a key level, it is important to wait for proper **4H candle confirmation**.