Technical strength LONG: 86/100 (+1 since signal start)
Confirmation / Fakeout / Data: 92 / 41 / 97
Current classification
Continue to wait for a confirmed entry zone
No released live price scenario: The market is overstretched on at least one relevant time level.
Entrance exam
Original entry zone: 77'365.38–77'677.75 USDT
Currently recalculated zone: 79'988.13–80'322.43 USDT
Postponed by +3.40% compared to the start schedule. The original plan is not changed retroactively.
What has been adjusted?
This re-evaluation uses the most recent market snapshot and the last saved price reviews. The published initial plan, events already achieved and the later results statistics remain unchanged.
⚠️ The adjustment report is a technical decision-making aid, not an automatic order or personal financial advice. In particular, "Entry possible" and "Check closing" continue to require their own decision based on current candles, position size and personal risk.
Structure: Unclear structure. SUPPORT 61'546.86–62'550.18 USDT; Resistance 65'042.47–66'045.79 USDT.
Positive factors
+ The MACD histogram in the daily chart improves.
+ BTC is 49.08% below its 365-day high.
Risks
! The long-term weighted weekly chart remains technically weak.
! The price is below EMA200 on the daily chart.
Briefly explained
BTC gains some stability after a weaker phase.
• In the short term, the price moves sideways, sideways in the daily picture and sideways in the longer-term weekly picture.
• The recent price movement is stabilizing, but the longer-term course does not yet fully confirm this improvement.
• The price is about 49% below the highest price of the last 365 days. The price fluctuations are currently comparatively quiet.
Purely technical-mathematical analysis; news, events, fundamentals and market sentiment are currently not taken into account. No forecast and no buy or sell signal.
Structure: Downward trend. Support 72.57–74.21 USDT; Resistance 75.97–77.62 USDT.
Positive factors
+ SOL is 69.95% below its 365-day high.
+ SOL is 22.6% below its 180-day high.
Risks
! The long-term weighted weekly chart remains technically weak.
! The price is below EMA200 on the daily chart.
Briefly explained
SOL gains some stability after a weaker phase.
• In the short term, the price moves upwards, sideways in the daily picture and sideways in the longer-term weekly picture.
• The longer-term course is slowly improving, while the recent price movement does not yet show a clear additional strength.
• The price is about 70% below the highest price of the last 365 days. The price fluctuations are currently comparatively quiet.
Purely technical-mathematical analysis; news, events, fundamentals and market sentiment are currently not taken into account. No forecast and no buy or sell signal.
Structure: Uptrend. Support 1'829.33–1'866.85 USDT; resistance 1'945.12–1'982.64 USDT.
Positive factors
+ The MACD histogram in the daily chart improves.
+ ETH is 61.7% below its 365-day high.
Risks
! The long-term weighted weekly chart remains technically weak.
! The price is below EMA200 on the daily chart.
Briefly explained
ETH gains some stability after a weaker phase.
• In the short term, the price moves sideways, sideways in the daily picture and sideways in the longer-term weekly picture.
• The recent price movement and the longer-term course are currently stabilizing.
• The price is about 62% below the highest price of the last 365 days. The price fluctuations are currently comparatively quiet.
• ETH is currently developing more strongly than Bitcoin.
Purely technical-mathematical analysis; news, events, fundamentals and market sentiment are currently not taken into account. No forecast and no buy or sell signal.
Analysis base: 0.9911 USDT from the last closed 4h candle.
Trend image
4h: without clear direction; daily chart: without clear direction; weekly chart: downwards.
Daily end 1 USDT: -2.88% to EMA20 (1.03 USDT), -6.91% to EMA50 (1.08 USDT), -25.63% to EMA200 (1.35 USDT). EMA structure ordered downwards: EMA20 < EMA50 < EMA200.
ADX 25.8 confirms a clearly pronounced trend; −DI 28.2 is over +DI 11.7. Regression -0.2% per day candle downwards, R² 0.50.
Momentum, volume & volatility
RSI14 37.6 (weak). MACD -0.0249, signal line -0.0226, histogram -0.0024; the histogram improves. The histogram remains below zero, but the negative impulse decreases. ROC12 -5.58%.
Odds volume 48.3 million USDT (-9.62% against Ø20); Taker purchases 45.69%; market-active sellers prevailed. OBV sideways.
Relative ATR 2.66%, realized volatility 24.85%, Parkinson's 28.89%; compared to our own recent history, the fluctuation intensity is low.
Relative strength vs. BTC: 7T -1.8% | 30T -7.76% | 90T -10.33% | 180T -26.56% - weaker than BTC.
Market breadth: Of 12 coins observed, 50% are above EMA50 and 16.67% above EMA200; 50% have a positive 30T momentum.
Pivot structure: Unclear structure. Computational zones: support zone 0.975526 USDT–0.996874 USDT; resistance zone 1.12 USDT–1.14 USDT.
Short conclusion
The 30T drawdown is -14.28%, while the 365T drawdown is -68.66%. In the short term, the movement loses strength; the time planes do not yet give a uniform positive picture.
Purely technical-mathematical analysis; news, events, fundamentals and market sentiment are currently not taken into account. No forecast and no buy or sell signal.
Analysis base: 64'185.01 USDT from the last closed 4h candle.
Trend image
4h: without clear direction; daily chart: without clear direction; weekly chart: without clear direction.
Daily end 64'532.1 USDT: +1.04% to EMA20 (63'865.39 USDT), +0.27% to EMA50 (64'361.47 USDT), -9.91% to EMA200 (71'631.2 USDT). EMA structure ordered downwards: EMA20 < EMA50 < EMA200.
ADX 18.6 shows a weak trend; −DI 21.1 is above +DI 18.3. Regression +0.06% per day candle, but low R² 0.16: the course is inconsistent.
Momentum, volume & volatility
RSI14 54.3 (neutral). MACD -153.1607, signal line -95.1522, histogram -58.0085; the histogram improves. The histogram remains below zero, but the negative impulse decreases. ROC12 -0.21%.
Quota volume 909.37 million USDT (+21.55% against Ø20); Taker purchases 50.42%; Buyer and seller were approximately balanced. OBV falling.
Relative ATR 1.97%, realized volatility 20.95%, Parkinson's 24.13%; compared to its own recent history, the fluctuation intensity is low.
Market breadth: Of 12 coins observed, 50% are above EMA50 and 16.67% above EMA200; 50% have a positive 30T momentum.
Pivot structure: Unclear structure. Computated zones: Support zone 61'539.99 USDT–62'557.05 USDT; Resistance zone 64'824.57 USDT–65'841.63 USDT.
Classification: The distance to the 30T high is -4.01% significantly smaller than the distance to the 365T high of -49.07%. Short-term and long-term situation thus differ clearly.
Purely technical-mathematical analysis; news, events, fundamentals and market sentiment are currently not taken into account. No forecast and no buy or sell signal.