PolivaTe

暗号資産市場は、2026年7月を前に勢いを取り戻した状態で幕を開けましたが、ボラティリティは依然として際立った特徴です。ビットコインが市場のセンチメントを引き続きリードする一方で、機関投資家の導入、規制の進展、新たに台頭するブロックチェーン分野が、投資家にとって新しい機会を生み出しています。

今日の市場を動かしている要因を、もう少し詳しく見ていきましょう。

ビットコインは引き続き市場をリード

ビットコインは、重要な心理的サポート水準を回復したことで強さを取り戻しました。これは投資家の信頼が改善していることを反映しています。インフレ期待の低下と、世界の金融政策をめぐる楽観感がリスク資産（暗号資産を含む）を下支えしています。

After some short-term liquidations and consolidations, the market is showing strong signs of resilience. Today, all eyes are on the two giants of the altcoin world: Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL). Both assets are currently compressed inside critical technical structures.

Let's dive into the charts, look at the institutional data, and map out the next high-probability scenarios!

Ethereum ($ETH): Whales Are Accumulating!

ETH has made a powerful comeback this week, firmly clearing the $1,700 psychological barrier and currently testing the critical resistance around $1,750. Recent data shows steady inflows into BlackRock's ETHA ETF, and the daily chart (1D) is printing a rare TD Sequential "BUY" signal, which historically precedes major mid-term rallies. Furthermore, a massive $54M worth of short positions were recently liquidated, adding significant upward fuel to the market.

Critical Resistance: $1,820. A clean daily candle close above this zone will open the gates toward the major psychological target of $2,000.
Strong Support: $1,650 - $1,680 range. This zone is acting as a heavy whale accumulation pocket.
My Strategy: I am waiting for a confirmed 4H structural close above $1,760, or looking for long positions on a successful re-test of the lower support boundaries.

Solana ($SOL): Fundamental Strength vs Price Compression

SOL is currently presenting a massive bullish divergence between network utility and price. Solana's network activity is at an all-time high—surpassing 3.7 billion non-vote transactions recently—yet the price remains compressed at the bottom of its long-term Fibonacci rebound channel. The asset has reclaimed the $80 level and is aggressively testing the critical Fib resistance at $82.

Critical Resistance: $82.26. If the bulls successfully break this barrier, expect a rapid expansion toward $89.40 and $94.00.
Strong Support: $73.00 - $77.00 range. Dropping below this invalidates the short-term bullish structure and hands control back to the bears. Excellent invalidation zone for stop-losses.
My Strategy: A high-volume daily close above $82 is the ultimate green light. Given the sheer fundamental backing of the network, a breakout trade here offers a very high risk-to-reward ratio.

The Macro Plan & Risk Management

The broader macroeconomic trend (slight drop in BTC dominance and cooling inflation expectations) strongly favors altcoin outperformance in the coming weeks. However, rules are rules: Always protect your capital with a Stop-Loss! Breakouts on both assets will be high-velocity, so avoid chasing FOMO. Focus on verified candle closures.

What's your play for this week? Are you expecting an Ethereum flippening, or are you a Solana maximalist? Drop your thoughts below, let's discuss!

#Ethereum #Solana #ETH #SOL #TradingStrategy