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$BTC Due to price action continuing to move sideways, we're seeing the clusters of liquidity around the major levels increase more and more every day.

The larger the cluster gets around $80k, the higher the probability of reclaiming that area becomes.

Again... no higher high has been formed since the previous high of $87k.

Sellers seem to be slightly dominant at the moment.

Given that everyone missed the "Q4 bottom," this is now the new profound scenario everyone is watching and hoping for.

I mean, if I had been waiting for Q4 and watched price rally the way it has, I would probably be praying for this too. That said, there are many differences between the two.

In 2023, when $BTC rallied to 25K, it created equal high before rejecting. There was no meaningful close above the level, no significant high established above 25K, it simply rejected almost immediately. It only deviated above the local lower high and formed an EQH.

Currently, BTC has created a weekly higher high. That is a completely different shift in market structure.
We are now ranging above the previous highs that were flipped, which is a very different dynamic to 2023. On top of that, the bear market drawdown was roughly 77% in that cycle, whereas this one was around 54%.

If we apply the same logic of diminishing returns and shallower retests, the largest pullbacks during this bull market are likely closer to 10-15% all the way up to 126K.

A 10% drop brings BTC to roughly 78K. A 15% drop brings it to around 74K. So even if we followed this fractal identically, it would not necessarily produce the meaningful sweep below the lows that we saw in 2023. The fractal cannot mirror perfectly, even if price retraces below the prior range high.

Regardless, I’m sure a large number of sidelined traders would love the opportunity to long the area they missed. The market has a funny way of not giving people exactly what they want.

With OI reset and price ranging above prior highs, the market looks healthy to me. This is not the scenario I am positioning for; I am still looking towards the 90Ks.

Just thought I would comment on it, as I am seeing this everywhere, exactly like when everyone was waiting for the bottom in Q4.

$BTC Price is forming a bull flag here.

If we break out, I think we could see a move toward 91k.

For confirmation, I want to see a strong, volume backed close above the descending trendline.

$BTC Looking For A Breakout From This Bull Flag On 4H.

The Top Trendline Sits Right At The Weekly Open, So That's A Resistance We Need To Crack.

If We Manage To Clear It, The Measured Move From The Breakout Takes Us Into The 89.3k Region.

ビットコインは、約85Kドル付近での反発を維持できずに失敗した後、83Kドルを下回るところまで下落しました。

BTCがこの水準を失い、それ以下で受け入れ始めるなら、次に82Kドルを見ていきます。

より大きな節目は79.5Kドルのままです。これは今回の上昇局面全体を支えてきたブレイクアウトゾーンです。

より大きな判断を下す前に、BTCが82Kドル〜83Kドル付近でどう反応するかを見ています。

$BTC Nailed it...🎯

Re-accumulation → new ATH later in 2027.

BITCOIN WEEKLY ANALYSIS

Bitcoin pumped 4% last week and closed at $84,445, its highest weekly close in 8 months and second consecutive close above the Weekly MA 50.

So how did Bitcoin go from $57K to $87K?

BTC spent 11 weeks testing the Weekly MA 200 and it held as support. During that time, MACD turned bullish, RSI showed a bullish divergence and momentum started shifting toward bulls.

Then BTC broke above $67K and spent the next 4 weeks testing the Weekly MA 50, while $75K held as support.

Once Bitcoin finally closed above the Weekly MA 50, another short squeeze pushed BTC above $86K.

Meanwhile, the macro data was also improving:
- ISM hit 55.6, a 4 year high.
- Russell 2000 broke to a new ATH.
- Core inflation cooled toward a 5 year low.

Important levels:
- Support: Weekly MA 50 at $77,670 | Daily MA 200 at $71,100
- Resistance: $87K to $98K

Important events this week:
- ISM: Thursday
- Jobs Friday

ビットコインは、直近数日間で$87K付近を下回った状態で推移（コンソリデーション）した後、$83.6Kあたりに落ち着いています。

ここでは$79.5Kを引き続き非常に注視しています。

これは上方向への動きの前にあった主要なブレイクアウト水準で、BTCは現在もそれを十分に上回っています。この水準が維持される限り、より広い構造はまだ崩れていないと考えています。

上方向では、$87Kが依然として大きなレベルです。

このエリアを奪回し、実際にその上で定着できるなら、もう一段強い上昇が見られる可能性があります。

現時点では、BTCが$79.5Kと$87Kの間でどのように振る舞うかを見ています。

$79.5Kが維持されれば、構造は保たれます。

もし$87Kが割れて定着するなら、状況がまた面白くなってくるかもしれません。

$ETH は2021年Q1以来、5年以上ぶりとなる最高の四半期に向けて順調に推移している。

それは、ほんの数か月前にほとんどの人がETHに見切りをつけた一方で。

仮想通貨業界では、良いカムバック（逆転）の物語を決して侮ってはいけない。

Pinnacle of mid range... $BTC

Sandwiched between two LTF liquidity clusters.

If we sweep the PWL, that is where I would look to long. If not and we begin pushing back towards the highs, personally, I would not be looking to short.

Monthly close approaching + quarterly close. Hunts are possible.

$BTC Higher low.✔️

90K.⏳

I expected it to come later in 2026, but it might arrive slightly earlier than expected.

$BTC is about to confirm its SECOND weekly close above the 50-week MA.

Bitcoin has now reclaimed this major trend level and continues to hold above it.

Another weekly close here would strengthen the breakout significantly.

The trend is changing!

$BTC 今回も例外ではありません…

このインジケーターが赤から緑に反転するたびに、弱気相場の底が確認され、その後にさらに大きな高値が続いてきました。

これ以上の安値は来ません。

160Kが、今後2年以内にあります。🎲

$BTC This bear market was precisely 29.6% faster than the previous one.

As cycles evolve, this bull market could follow the same pattern and play out faster than the previous one.

That would put the bull market top around 740 days from the bear market lows, leaving roughly 650 days until the macro top.

If the pattern holds, the next bull market top could occur around July/August 2028.⏳

The Total Altcoin Market cap has moved up into its next major resistance.

This is the level that marked the October 10th flush wick and consolidation that followed.

That is the next level to break for further continuation.