WAQAR DAYO

*Piコイン上場の議論: Piコインはバイナンスに上場すべきか？*
Piコインのバイナンスへの上場の可能性は、暗号通貨コミュニティ内で激しい議論を引き起こしている。考慮すべきポイントは以下の通り。
*バイナンス上場のメリット:*
1. *流動性の向上*: バイナンスの広大なユーザーベースと高い取引量は、Piコインの流動性を大幅に向上させる可能性がある。
2. *より広いリーチ*: バイナンスへの上場はPiコインをより広いオーディエンスに晒し、採用と成長を促進する可能性がある。
3. *信頼性の向上*: 最大手で最も信頼性のある取引所の一つに上場されることで、Piコインの信頼性と信用性が高まる可能性がある。

🚨 FED BALANCE SHEET UPDATE TODAY 📊

🇺🇸 The Federal Reserve Will Officially Release Its Updated Balance Sheet At 4:30 PM ET.

KEY MARKET SCENARIOS:

→ Balance Above $6.60T
Market Reaction: Strong Risk-On Move, Potential Parabolic Momentum

→ Balance Between $6.57T – $6.60T
Market Reaction: Neutral To Sideways Price Action

→ Balance Below $6.57T
Market Reaction: Increased Downside Pressure Across Risk Assets

EXPECT ELEVATED VOLATILITY AS LIQUIDITY SIGNALS HIT THE MARKET ⚠️
#FederalReserve #FedChairJeromePowel #TrumpNFT #BTC #ETH

🚨 BIG WARNING: THE NEXT 72 HOURS CAN MAKE OR BREAK CRYPTO

This Week Is One Of The Most Critical Macro Windows We Have Seen In Recent Months.
Multiple High-Impact Events Are Converging Inside A Very Short Timeframe.
When Events Stack Like This, Volatility Becomes Structural, Not Random ⚠️

Markets Are No Longer Trading On Narratives.
They Are Trading On Liquidity, Policy Expectations, And Timing.

Below Is A Clean, Professional Breakdown Of Why The Next 72 Hours Matter So Much.

EVENT 1: TRUMP SPEECH (TODAY – 4:00 PM ET)
Trump Is Expected To Speak On The U.S. Economy And Energy Prices.
Energy Costs Directly Influence Inflation Expectations Across Markets.

If Energy Is Framed As “Too Expensive,”
→ Inflation Expectations Cool
→ Rate-Cut Hopes Increase
→ Risk Assets React Immediately

Markets Will Not Wait For Data.
They Will React To The Tone In Real Time.

EVENT 2: FED DECISION + POWELL SPEECH (TOMORROW)
No Rate Change Is Expected At This Meeting.
The Entire Market Focus Will Be On Powell’s Language.

Recent Inflation Metrics Remain Sticky.
Wage And Services Inflation Have Not Fully Normalized.

At The Same Time, Political Pressure And Tariff Discussions Add Complexity.
If Powell Sounds Hawkish Or Defensive,
→ Liquidity Expectations Tighten
→ Crypto And Growth Assets Face Pressure

This Is Where Most Traders Get Trapped.

EVENT 3: BIG TECH EARNINGS (TESLA, META, MICROSOFT)
These Companies Control Index-Level Sentiment.
They Are Not Just Stocks — They Are Liquidity Anchors.

Strong Earnings Can Temporarily Stabilize Risk Sentiment.
Weak Earnings Can Accelerate Selling Across Equities And Crypto.

Timing Matters:
These Reports Land During Peak Macro Uncertainty.

EVENT 4: U.S. PPI INFLATION DATA (THURSDAY)
PPI Measures Cost Pressure Inside The Economy.
It Tells The Fed What Inflation Looks Like Before It Hits Consumers.

Hot PPI Data Means:
→ Less Room For Rate Cuts
→ Tighter Liquidity Conditions
→ Increased Pressure On Speculative Assets

Cold PPI Data Means Relief — But Only Temporarily.

EVENT 5: APPLE EARNINGS (THURSDAY)
Apple Is A Market Weight, Not Just A Tech Company.
Guidance From Apple Influences Index Flows And Institutional Positioning.

Weak Outlooks Impact Sentiment Across All Risk Markets.
Strong Results Can Delay Selling — Not Eliminate It.

EVENT 6: U.S. GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN DEADLINE (FRIDAY)
A Government Shutdown Drains Liquidity From Financial Systems.
Past Shutdowns Have Triggered Sharp Risk-Off Moves.

This Time, Markets Are Already Fragile.
Liquidity Is Thinner.
Positioning Is Crowded.

That Makes The Risk Larger Than Before.

FINAL SUMMARY: WHY THESE 72 HOURS MATTER
• Political Messaging
• Monetary Policy Signals
• Inflation Data
• Mega-Cap Earnings
• Liquidity Risk From A Shutdown

When All Of These Collide, Markets Do Not Move Smoothly.
They Move Fast.

This Is Not A Time For Emotional Decisions.
This Is A Time For Discipline, Patience, And Risk Awareness.

Stay Focused.
Stay Flexible.
Stay Ahead.

🚨GOLD HAS OFFICIALLY FLIPPED THE U.S. DOLLAR — A HISTORIC SHIFT

For The First Time In Nearly Three Decades,
Global Central Banks Now Hold More Gold Than U.S. Treasury Debt.

This Is Not A Headline.
This Is A Structural Signal.

It Matters Even More If You Live In, Trade In,
Or Depend On The U.S. Dollar System.

WHAT JUST CHANGED

Central Banks Have Quietly Altered Their Reserve Strategy.

Yield Is No Longer The Priority.
Capital Preservation Is.

Trust In U.S. Debt Is Eroding Due To Math, Policy, And Geopolitics.
This Shift Is Logical, Not Emotional.

WHY CENTRAL BANKS ARE MOVING AWAY FROM TREASURIES

U.S. Government Debt Can Be:
• Diluted By Inflation
• Devalued By Monetary Expansion
• Restricted Or Frozen Through Sanctions

Gold Does Not Carry These Risks.

Gold Offers:
• Zero Counterparty Exposure
• No Issuer Or Default Risk
• No Political Control

A Promise Can Be Frozen.
A Physical Asset Cannot.

SANCTIONS RESET THE GLOBAL SYSTEM

The Moment Reserves Were Weaponized,
The Definition Of “Risk-Free” Changed.

U.S. Treasuries Became Political Instruments.
Gold Remained Neutral.

That Single Shift Forced Central Banks To Reprice Safety.

THE DEBT REALITY

U.S. Debt Is Growing By Roughly $1 Trillion Every 100 Days.
Annual Interest Costs Have Crossed $1 Trillion.

There Are Only Two Options:
Fiscal Discipline Or Monetary Expansion.

Markets Already Know Which Path Is More Likely.

GLOBAL BEHAVIOR CONFIRMS THE SHIFT

China, Russia, India, Poland, Singapore.
Different Economies. Same Direction.

Reducing Paper Exposure.
Increasing Hard Asset Reserves.

This Is Not Random.
This Is Strategic.

BRICS AND MONETARY REALIGNMENT

This Is Not Just About Trade.
It Is About Monetary Independence.

Key Objectives Are Clear:
• Reduce Dollar Dependence
• Bypass Legacy Payment Systems
• Increase Local Currency Settlement
• Anchor Trade To Tangible Assets

De-Dollarization Is No Longer Theory.
It Is Actively Unfolding.

WHY GOLD AND SILVER ARE MOVING

Gold Is Repricing Trust.
Silver Is Catching Up To Monetary Reality.

Hard Assets Are Being Accumulated, Not Traded.
That Is A Late-Cycle Signal.

Prices That Look “Extreme” Only Appear So
When Viewed Through An Old System Lens.

FINAL NOTE

This Is Not Fear-Driven.
It Is Preparation-Driven.

Major Monetary Shifts Happen Quietly.
By The Time They Are Obvious, Positioning Is Already Late.

Those Who Understand Liquidity And Trust Cycles
Adjust Early, Not Emotionally.

Stay Informed.
Stay Disciplined.
Stay Ahead ⚠️

🚨WHY GOLD AND SILVER ARE PUMPING
AND WHY CRYPTO IS UNDER PRESSURE RIGHT NOW.

A PROFESSIONAL MACRO & LIQUIDITY BREAKDOWN

The Current Market Behavior Is Not Random.
It Is A Clear Reflection Of Capital Rotation, Liquidity Preference, And Risk Repricing Across Asset Classes.

Below Is A Clean, Professional, And Facebook-Policy-Safe Explanation Of What Is Happening — Step By Step.

➤ 1) GLOBAL RISK-OFF ENVIRONMENT
When Uncertainty Rises, Capital Moves First — Headlines Follow Later.
Right Now, Global Markets Are Shifting Into Risk Reduction Mode.

• Geopolitical Uncertainty
• Policy Confusion
• Bond Market Volatility

In Risk-Off Phases, Capital Leaves High-Beta Assets First.

➜ 2) FLIGHT INTO SAFE-HAVEN ASSETS
Gold And Silver Are Not Just Commodities — They Are Monetary Assets.
During Stress Periods, Institutions Prefer Assets With No Counterparty Risk.

→ Gold And Silver Benefit From Safety Demand
→ Crypto Suffers Due To Risk Classification

This Is A Classic Capital Preservation Move.

➤ 3) REAL YIELD AND CURRENCY PRESSURE
When Confidence In Fiat Purchasing Power Weakens, Hard Assets Attract Flows.

• Dollar Volatility
• Rising Debt Concerns
• Policy Credibility Questions

Precious Metals Act As A Hedge Against Currency Instability.

⟶ 4) PHYSICAL DEMAND VS PAPER MARKETS
In Metals, Physical Demand Is Increasing Faster Than Paper Supply.

→ Premiums Expanding In Key Regions
→ Supply Chains Tight
→ Inventory Drawdowns

This Pushes Spot Prices Higher Even Without Speculative Leverage.

➤ 5) BOND MARKET SIGNALS MATTER
Gold And Silver Often Move Ahead Of Equities And Crypto.
When Bonds Show Stress, Metals React First.

• Rising Yield Volatility
• Weak Auction Demand
• Funding Market Sensitivity

Crypto Reacts Later — And More Violently.

➜ 6) CRYPTO IS STILL A RISK ASSET
Despite Long-Term Narratives, Crypto Trades As High-Risk Liquidity Exposure In The Short Term.

→ Funds Reduce Leverage
→ Options And Futures Get Unwound
→ Forced Selling Accelerates Moves

This Is Liquidity Pressure — Not Structural Failure.

➤ 7) MARGIN AND LEVERAGE CLEANUP
When Volatility Increases, Exchanges And Brokers Tighten Risk.

• Higher Margin Requirements
• Forced Position Reductions
• Long Liquidations

Crypto Feels This Faster Than Metals Due To Leverage Density.

⮞ 8) INSTITUTIONAL PORTFOLIO REBALANCING
Large Funds Do Not Rotate Emotionally — They Rotate Systematically.

→ Reduce Risk Exposure
→ Increase Defensive Allocation
→ Preserve Liquidity

Gold And Silver Benefit First.
Crypto Waits For Stability Signals.

➤ 9) THIS IS NOT A CRYPTO FAILURE
This Phase Reflects Timing And Market Structure — Not Long-Term Direction.

Historically:
• Metals Move First
• Bonds Signal Stress
• Crypto Lags — Then Accelerates Later

Timing Always Matters More Than Narrative.

FINAL VIEW 🧠
Gold And Silver Are Rising Because Capital Is Seeking Stability.
Crypto Is Pulling Back Because Liquidity Is Being Reduced Temporarily.

Money Is Not Disappearing.
It Is Repositioning.

Those Who Understand Market Cycles Stay Calm.
Those Who React Emotionally Pay The Price.

Watch Liquidity.
Watch Bonds.
Watch Policy.

Markets Always Tell The Story Before The News Does.

🇺🇸 FED IS SIGNALING YEN INTERVENTION AGAIN JUST LIKE 1985. LAST TIME, THIS CRASHED THE DOLLAR BY NEARLY -50%.

In 1985, the U.S. dollar had become too strong. U.S. factories were losing business, exports were collapsing, and trade deficits were exploding. Congress was close to putting heavy tariffs on Japan and Europe.

So the U.S., Japan, Germany, France, and the U.K. met in New York at the Plaza Hotel and made a deal. They agreed to deliberately weaken the dollar. By directly selling dollars and buying other currencies together. That was the Plaza Accord and it worked.

Over the next 3 years:

- The dollar index fell almost 50%.
- USD/JPY moved from 260 to 120.
- The yen doubled in value.

This was one of the biggest currency resets in modern history. Because when governments coordinate in FX, markets don’t fight them. They follow. That decision changed everything.

A weaker dollar pushed:

- Gold higher
- Commodities higher
- Non-U.S. markets higher
- Asset prices higher in dollar terms

Now look at today.

The U.S. still runs large trade deficits. Currency imbalances are at the highest. Japan is again at the center of stress. And the yen is again extremely weak. That is why Plaza Accord 2.0 is even being discussed.

Last week, the NY Fed did rate checks on USD/JPY, which is the exact step taken before FX intervention. It signals willingness to sell dollars and buy yen, just like 1985.

No intervention happened yet. But markets moved anyway. Because they remember what Plaza means.

If that starts again, every asset priced in dollars will skyrocket.

🚨U.S. GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN RISK
WHY MARKETS ARE WATCHING THIS WEEK CLOSELY

Markets Are Entering A Sensitive Phase.
Political Developments Are Adding A Layer Of Uncertainty At A Time When Liquidity Is Already Thin.

This Is Not About Panic.
It Is About Understanding How Risk Builds Step By Step.

Here’s What Matters Right Now:

① DATA VISIBILITY RISK 📊
The Federal Reserve Relies Heavily On Incoming Economic Data.
A Government Shutdown Can Temporarily Pause Key Releases.

→ CPI
→ Jobs Reports
→ Other Official Economic Indicators

Less Data Means Less Clarity.
Less Clarity Often Leads To Higher Volatility.

② VOLATILITY REPRICING (VIX) ⚠️
When Models Lose Reliable Inputs, Risk Premiums Adjust.
Markets Tend To Reprice Volatility Before They Reprice Assets.

This Is Often Gradual At First.
Then It Accelerates.

③ COLLATERAL AND REPO SENSITIVITY 💼
U.S. Treasuries Are Central To Global Funding Markets.
Recent Credit Warnings Have Increased Sensitivity To Political Risk.

If Confidence Weakens:
➜ Repo Margins Rise
➜ Liquidity Becomes More Selective
➜ Funding Conditions Tighten

These Are Mechanical Reactions, Not Emotional Ones.

④ LIQUIDITY POSITIONING 🔄
In Periods Of Uncertainty, Dealers And Institutions Preserve Cash.
This Can Temporarily Slow Credit And Increase Market Fragility.

With The RRP Buffer Already Low,
Markets Have Less Room To Absorb Shocks.

⑤ ECONOMIC MOMENTUM 📉
Shutdowns Can Create A Short-Term Drag On Growth.
Individually Manageable.
More Impactful When Growth Is Already Moderating.

The Key Risk Is Not One Factor Alone.

It Is The Combination:
→ Reduced Data
→ Higher Funding Sensitivity
→ Thin Liquidity

FINAL THOUGHT 🧠
Markets Do Not Break On Headlines.
They React To Structure, Liquidity, And Confidence.

When Visibility Drops, Volatility Rises.
When Clarity Returns, Stability Follows.

Stay Focused On Mechanics, Not Noise.
Prepared Investors Adjust.
Reactive Investors Chase.