SIGNAL 🟢BUY $ONE #ONEUSDT is trading at $0.00360, down roughly 5.76% for the session. Volatility (Bollinger Bands): The 15m chart shows the price rebounding from the lower band (0.00350) and currently testing the middle band (MB: 0.00355). A break above this middle line often signals a shift from bearish to short-term bullish momentum. Momentum (RSI & MACD): * RSI(6): 現在70.34で、特定の時間枠で過剰買い領域に近づいています。これは、即時の「リリーフポンプ」がローカルピークに達する可能性があることを示唆しています。 MACD: 強気のクロスオーバーを示しており(DIF > DEA)、即時の下向き圧力が和らいでいることを示しています。
· Overall Trend: #bearish · Reasoning: The price ($0.27805) is trading significantly below all key Exponential Moving Averages (EMA7: 0.27975, EMA25: 0.28135, EMA99: 0.28362). This clear stacking order of price < EMA7 < EMA25 < EMA99 is a classic indicator of a strong downtrend. The 24h data also shows a strong move down from a high of 0.29637 to a low of 0.27739.
· Bias: Short (Bearish) · Reasoning: The trend is decisively bearish. Any brief pullbacks towards the EMAs should be seen as potential selling opportunities. The path of least resistance is down, targeting the recent lows.
This plan is for a short entry on a pullback to resistance.
· Entry: 0.2795 (Aggressive entry near EMA7) or 0.2809 (Conservative entry near EMA25 from 2nd chart) · Stop Loss: 0.2820 (Just above the confluence of EMA25/EMA99 resistance) · Take Profit 1: 0.2780 (First support, quick scalp) · Take Profit 2: 0.2774 (24h Low / Strong Support) · Take Profit 3: 0.2760 (Breakdown target) · Leverage Suggestion: 20x (This provides significant amplification while marginally managing the extreme risk of a $10 account. 125x is not advisable as the market noise at this level would likely stop you out immediately).
5. Risk Management Note
· Capital at Risk: With a $10 account, you should risk no more than **$0.20 (2%)** on this trade. · Position Size Calculation: · Entry: 0.2795 · Stop Loss: 0.2820 · Risk per Coin = 0.2820 - 0.2795 = 0.0025 · Max Capital to Risk: $0.20 · Position Size = $0.20 / 0.0025 = 80 POL · Therefore, with 20x leverage, your entry order value should be for 80 POL, costing approximately 80 * 0.2795 = $22.36 in notional value, which is within your leveraged buying power.
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