Trend filter: Bearish (price under EMA200 ~63.1, EMA20 ≈ EMA50 ~62.6) Momentum improving: EMA7 > EMA9, MACD bullish cross, RSI ~53.9 BB width ~3% → squeeze / range likely before next move VWAP ~63.4 acting as higher resistance zone
✅ Bounce scenario (safer with confirmation)
Support to hold: 62.6375 (BUY1 / key support) If 5m closes & holds above support, bounce odds improve.
Targets
TP1: 63.0600 TP2: 63.4645 TP3: 63.8200 Risk idea (tight)
Invalidation if price loses 62.6375 (more conservative: below 62.4855)
⚠️ Break scenario (if support fails)
If price breaks below 62.6375, caution.
Downside zones BUY2: 60.6867 BUY3: 59.9400
🧠 Position / risk note
If you’re ~19% below average entry, consider risk reduction or wait for recovery toward break-even. Avoid adding aggressively until reclaim above 63.06 / VWAP zone.
🚀 $GIGGLE (5m) – Scalping Plan (EMA + Bollinger Bands)
Price had a sharp pump and is now pulling back / consolidating around the fast EMAs while BB is narrowing → possible next impulse if we get a clean reclaim.
Trigger: 5m candle closes above 65.53 + holds (retest ok) Targets: 65.40 → 65.82 → 66.15 Stop idea: Below last 5m swing-low / below fast EMA cluster (keep it tight)
⚠️ Bearish idea (if rejection continues)
If price fails to reclaim 65.53 and breaks recent support, expect a drop toward: 64.80 area (near current structure) then lower BB / prior base zone (around 63.x–62.x area)
🧠 Execution tips
Take partial profit at TP1, move SL to breakeven. Don’t chase green candles—wait for close + retest confirmation.
Earlier this setup was simple: hold the green Support Zone → chance to rotate back into the Resistance Zones.
But once $BTC printed that strong bearish dump, the 895 support on $BNB failed and the bearish breakdown scenario played out almost textbook.
Now price is trading in the lower Support Zone.
- As long as we stay below ~895, bias remains bearish / sell on rallies. - Only a strong reclaim and consolidation back above that broken support would hint at a real recovery. - If current support gives way, next liquidity pockets are likely lower, so manage risk tightly.
This chart is a reminder: altcoins follow $BTC , and clean zones (support/resistance) help you prepare before the move happens, not after. This is not financial advice—plan your entries, stops and position size according to your own strategy.
🔁 After TP1: move SL to breakeven or use ~0.4–0.6% trailing stop to protect profits.
⚖️ Risk per trade: max 1–2% of account, position size adjusted accordingly.
If $BTC breaks and holds above $92.8k with strong volume, this short idea is invalid and I’d expect a move back into the $93k+ zone instead.
🚨 Not financial advice. Just sharing my 15m BTC view based on the current chart and model forecast. Always DYOR, manage your risk and trade your own plan.
$BTC intraday bounce after ETF-driven flush – range battle around $92K 👀
On the 5-minute $BTCUSDT chart, price just bounced hard from the ~$88,800–89,200 zone and is now pulling back after tagging resistance near ~$92,800–93,000. The last two days show big swings but mostly a wide range between roughly ~$89,000 support and ~$93,800–94,000 resistance, rather than a clean trend. Short term, this looks like a V-shaped recovery and now a retest of mid-range support around ~$91,400–91,900. In the background, Bitcoin recently dipped below $90K with record outflows from BlackRock’s IBIT ETF, showing macro sentiment is still cautious even as price tries to rebound.
For scalpers, this is more of a “trade the range” environment where liquidity hunts above highs and below lows are common.
Bias & Scenarios:
Short-term bias (5m): mildly bullish (≈55–60% vs ≈40–45% for another sweep of the lows).
Bullish scenario: If $BTC holds above the intraday mid-support around ~$91,400–91,900 and then reclaims ~$92,800–93,000, price may push back toward the range highs near ~$93,800–94,000.
Bearish scenario: If price loses ~$91,400–91,000, momentum could rotate back toward the lower sup
port band around ~$89,000–89,500, with a risk of another liquidity sweep into the ~$88,800 area.
Neutral / chop risk: Given recent ETF outflows and macro uncertainty, price could also just coil between ~$91K and ~$93K, trapping both late bulls and bears before the next bigger move.
🟡 $BTC /USDT Update – Price Hit My 880 Support Zone
$BNB just did exactly what I mapped in my last chart: Price dropped from the mid-range and tagged the 880–900 support zone I marked earlier.
📌 Key levels on my chart
🟩 Support zone: 880 – 900 (currently being tested)
🟥 Resistance zone: 950 – 980
🟡 Psychological level: 1,000
What I’m watching now 🔍
✅ Bullish scenario (still valid) If buyers defend 880–900 and we start seeing higher lows on 5m/15m, I’ll look for a potential bounce back toward 950–980.
❌ Bearish scenario If we get a clean break and close below 880 with strong volume, for me that means the range is broken and downside risk increases. In that case I’d be very careful with new longs.
This move respected the plan from my previous post, but as always, anything can still happen – I’m reacting to levels, not guessing the future.
🧠 This is not financial advice – just sharing my personal levels and scenarios. Do your own research and manage your risk.
📈 $GIGGLE 1h interval update (forecast for next 12 hours)
As noted earlier, the 1h Autoformer model leans mildly bullish. After tagging ~150, the path now points toward 170–185 in the next window, with a wide cone ~100–260 (volatility high).
Suggestion (NFA): Consider momentum only on an H1 close >175 with rising volume; scale out into 185–195; invalidation <145. Keep size modest—$BTC moves can override.
Note on predictions: The orange path is probabilistic, not a promise. Use alongside your own TA, risk rules, and position sizing.
5m: −1.3% (Sell) • 15m: +3.35% (Buy) • 1h: +23.99% (Buy) → Bias: bullish on 1h, but near-term chop likely.
Suggestion (NFA): Favor the 1h trend; look for momentum entries on pullbacks and take partials on strength. Invalidate on a break below the latest H1 swing low.
Note: Projections are probabilistic, not promises—use with your own TA and risk rules.
Model: gradient-boosted returns with price/volume lags (12 bars ahead). After the mid-day dip, the forecast tilts sideways to mild bounce. Cone shows tight range.
Levels to watch Support: $101.2k–$101.0k Resistance: $101.8k, then $102.0k–$102.2k
Suggestion (NFA):
For scalps, look for an M15 close back above $101.8k with rising volume; take quick profits near $102k+. If price loses $101.0k, expect liquidity hunts—keep size small and stops tight. Always align with $BTC dominance and $ETH flow.
Note on predictions:
The orange path is probabilistic, not a promise—the shaded cone is uncertainty. Use it as one input with your own TA and risk plan.
After a vertical run (~60 ➜ ~260), $GIGGLE is consolidating near 195–205.
My Autoformer-style 1h model (12-step horizon) leans mildly bullish: midline 210–225, with a wide cone ~150–300 (high volatility).
Key levels Support: 195/190, then 175 Resistance: 210, then 225–240
Suggestion (NFA): Consider momentum only on an H1 close >210 with rising volume; scale out 225–235; invalidation <190. If price loses 190, watch 175 for reaction. Keep size small—vol is elevated and $BTC can override.
Note on predictions: The shaded forecast is probabilistic, not a promise. Treat it as one input alongside your own TA and risk rules.