Bitcoin Bear Market Final Phase: Why Altcoins May Wait Until 2027 📉
While traders keep hoping for a clean reversal in $BTC , Benjamin Cowen says the market may be closer to the end of the bear cycle - but not at the actual bottom yet. 👀
Cowen believes Bitcoin is now moving through the final phase of its bear market, with a potential low coming in late Q3 or early Q4 2026. The key signal he wants to see is volume. In 2014, 2018, and 2022, major bottoms came with a big capitulation spike where sellers finally ran out of strength.
The big level everyone is watching is realized price near $53,000. Some think Bitcoin is “delayed” because it has not broken below it yet, but Cowen disagrees. In two of the last three cycles, BTC only dropped below realized price in Q4, so this pattern may still be on schedule.
If Bitcoin falls toward the $30,000–$38,000 balance price zone with a strong volume spike, Cowen sees it more as a buying opportunity than a disaster. But for altcoins, his message is simple: weak social interest, weak structure, and probably no real sustained moves until 2027.
🎬 From Sci-Fi Series to Prison: $ 11M Crypto Bet Ends Badly
A TV show was supposed to get finished. Instead, the money went into stock options, crypto trades, luxury cars, and a 30-month prison sentence.
Director Carl Erik Rinsch was convicted after prosecutors said he diverted $11 million meant for completing the sci-fi series White Horse. While BTC keeps showing how serious digital assets have become, this case is a reminder that crypto can also become part of a very messy story when money is misused.
The funds first went into speculative stock options, and more than half was gone in less than two months. After that, prosecutors said the rest moved into crypto investments, personal expenses, furniture, antiques, a Swiss watch, five Rolls Royces, and a red Ferrari.
No finished show, no clean ending - just fraud charges, forfeiture, supervised release, and one of the strangest production budgets in recent memory.