$XAU The weekly chart indicates a possible continuation of the upward movement, and judging by sentiment, many are still expecting new all-time highs ;) but...
I think we'll be in the 4400-5600 range for a while.
So, the week's opening — the Asian session pulled the price up slightly, but the previous weekly candlestick has a long lower tail —so there's a high possibility of a decline into area of lower tail at the beginning of the week.
The following levels should be kept in mind: 4965 -Last week close 4860 - Last week open 4686 - Previous week low 4630 - 50% of the lower tail of the weekly candlestick
For this week, I expect the scenarios shown on the 1-hour chart.
If the price moves higher at the beginning of the week and stops near the 5454-5484 gap, I think we should expect another and sharp downward squeeze by the end of the week.
$XAU Yesterday, Gold started moving lower after I closed my short and went to bed. The CME gap from the beginning of the week was successfully filled, and the price reversed upward. Who was listening to Trump yesterday? I was expecting a crypto-related announcement, but what actually happened? Utter disappointment ;) . . . Judging by the daily chart, the formed formation doesn't give me a clear, high-probability guess about the next price move. That's why I'm only with longs on majors and I promise to publish a macro analysis for Gold to guide us in the coming months. #XAU #XAUUSD #GOLD
$BTC - the price fell into the gap zone formed by the 2025 low (74.508) and the 2021 high (69.000). The price rebounded before reaching the midpoint (71.762), which can be interpreted as a mass closing of longs at stops. On Daily chart you can see projection of last pullback Dec25-Jan26 down.
In case of a possible continuation of the downward movement, it is necessary to estimate possible levels. For this, I open the annual chart.
If we measure the upper tail of the 2021 candle on the annual chart, we can see that the lower boundary of the December-January 2026 pullback projection falls exactly at 25% (63.304.23). Therefore, it is worth paying attention to the levels: 71,762 - the middle of the gap from the 2025 low to the 2021 high 69,000 - the high 2021 63,304.23 - 25% of the 2021 candle's upper tail and the lower boundary of projection 57,772.43 - 62% of the entire range from ATL to ATH 57,608.47 - 50% of the 2021 upper tail I don't want to make the picture any darker at this point; let's see how things unfold
Silver Has Become Incredibly Popular Over the Last Three Months - Annual and Monthly Analysis
$XAG Silver has become incredibly popular over the last three months — pay special attention to these three months 😉
I haven’t traded silver for a long time, but at the request of friends, I decided to analyze what’s really going on with it. 👉 So before I start adding any markings to the chart, please focus on the Annual Silver Chart.
📊 Annual Chart The accumulation zone from 1984–2005 is very noteworthy.
That period coincided with the appearance of the first computers, cordless phones, flat screens, and the replacement of electronic circuits with chips — and this is when demand for silver first began to increase. The second accumulation zone (2015-2019) formed just before the advent of artificial intelligence 😉
At that time, forecasts appeared about a future increase in silver’s value due to the development of new technologies. Now look at the decline in silver’s price in 2020:
AI became a hot topic, chip demand exploded — but the general public was still asleep. As a result, the price was easily pushed down to the 2009 opening level, where large-scale silver buying originally began. At the beginning, the trend developed as it always does: ➡️ A new high → a sharp pullback ➡️ A new high → a sharp pullback 2025 was a key year for silver.
I especially want to draw attention to the 2025 candlestick for those who rushed to buy silver recently out of FOMO 😉 📌 In 2025, the price rose from 28 → 83 📌 In January 2026, the rally continued due to strong public FOMO, and a new all-time high at 121.559 was formed.
📈 Monthly Chart The impulsive upward move began in June 2025.
In other words: quiet accumulation during the first five months of the year → a sharp rise → a gentle pullback in December → then another push up with a sharper pullback in January 2026. The January 2026 candle closed almost exactly at the old 2025 all-time high, at the 23% Fibonacci level of the entire monthly range, and left a long upper wick — which is more typical of a potential reversal. In the first days of February, about 25% of that upper wick was already tested, followed by a strong pullback to the January opening level. All of this points to a high probability of price moving down into the 2025 gap zone, marked below. 📌 The middle of that gap aligns with the old 2011 all-time high: 49.78 If price enters the gap zone, don’t rush into buying until the old 2011 ATH is tested. ✔️ Ideally, wait for a decline to at least 75% of the gap → 39.87 At the same time, if a new ATH forms (even temporarily), we may first see a test of the upper-wick levels of the January candle, either before or after the drop into the gap zone (as shown on the last chart).