Burak Macro Crypto

Bitcoin just passed the first part of its macro stress test — but the harder part may come next.
The Fed raised rates by 25bp to 3.75%–4.00% and signaled that further tightening may still be needed.
The immediate cross-asset reaction matters: the U.S. dollar climbed to a seven-week high, short-term Treasury yields moved higher, and markets sharply repriced the probability of another rate hike before year-end.
Yet $BTC is still holding around the $76K area rather than extending the selloff.
That resilience is worth watching, but I wouldn't confuse it with confirmation.
The next question is whether Bitcoin can continue absorbing a stronger dollar and tighter financial conditions once the initial post-Fed reaction settles. If $BTC starts reclaiming lost levels while the dollar remains firm, that would be a more interesting signal of underlying demand.
For now, I'm watching relative strength rather than trying to predict the next candle.
Which signal would matter more to you here: $BTC reclaiming $78K, or the dollar and Treasury yields beginning to cool?
#Bitcoin #Macro

Bitcoin is holding up surprisingly well against a much tougher macro backdrop.
$BTC remains around the $77K–$78K area while U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have pushed toward 5% and markets are pricing a high probability of a Fed rate hike this week.
Normally, higher yields and tighter financial conditions are a headwind for risk assets.
That makes Bitcoin's relative strength worth watching.
My key level isn't just whether BTC can trade above $78K before the Fed decision — it's whether buyers can defend the move after the decision, when liquidity expectations are repriced.
A strong hold after the Fed would be constructive. A rejection alongside rising yields would make the rally much less convincing.
What are you watching more closely this week: Bitcoin strength or macro liquidity?
#Bitcoin #Macro