Volodymyr 1
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Volodymyr 1
Analysis of the crypto market - FEELS STRATEGY. Daily posting of my indicators with the best winrate. MSCpE of System Programing || #Bitcoin analyst
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#Bitcoin Market Cycle Index: Approaching Fear Zone 📉 📝 The Market Cycle Index currently sits at 21.4, just above the "Fear (20)" threshold visible on the chart. This weighted composite indicator provides a multi-perspective view of the market cycle. 📍 Historically, readings near or below 20 have marked significant accumulation periods for $BTC . The current value indicates the market is entering a phase often associated with contrarian opportunities. 💡 Given the indicator's position near historical bottoms, a sustained move below 20 would signal heightened fear, potentially setting the stage for future rallies based on previous cycles.
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#Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index signals deepening retail fear 🔻 📝 The Fear & Greed Index registers 30, firmly in the "Fear" zone as displayed on the chart. This reflects a consistent decline in overall market sentiment. 📍 Trending lower since 2025, the index at 30 nears the "Extreme Fear" zone of 25. Such sustained fear often precedes $BTC bottoms historically. 💡 Despite market underperformance, strong on-chain adoption and institutional long positions hint at re-accumulation potential. Our platform tracks these divergent signals closely.
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#Bitcoin Risk Band – Entering Buy Zone! 🎯 📝 The Risk Band indicator, normalizing MVRV Z-Score, provides a clear cycle perspective, cutting through market noise to show current opportunity. It indicates where the market stands in its risk-reward profile 📍 Currently, the chart displays a Risk Band value of 0.12, labeled directly as a "Buy Zone." This reading positions us firmly in the historically low-risk territory for $BTC 💡 Historically, these low-risk readings have marked key accumulation phases, suggesting a period where patient capital can position for future upside. Our platform monitors these critical shifts closely.
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#Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Model: Price Above S2F 📈 📝 The Stock-to-Flow Damped Model consistently anchors Bitcoin's long-term price, with the green line historically acting as a foundational support. 📍 $BTC currently trades at $64,212, which is above the S2F Damped Model's $57,382 valuation. This yields a Price/S2F ratio of 1.12x. 💡 This slight premium, alongside whale accumulation, suggests smart money is positioning. Expect future price action to continue respecting or exceeding this model.
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#Bitcoin 50-Day MA of Realized Price: Market Structure 👀 📝 This indicator tracks Bitcoin's smoothed cost basis, identifying accumulation (green) and overheating (red) phases. 📍 The Realized Price ratio is 1.19, reflecting market profitability and close to the 1.0 baseline. $BTC at $64K trades above this, aligned with historical growth. 💡 Readings above 1.0, without extreme overheating, indicate a healthy market with active accumulation and most holders in profit.
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#Bitcoin DVOL (Deribit Implied Volatility) sits at low levels 🧘 📝 The DVOL indicator is currently at 34.3, notably below the Calm (40) zone on our chart. This signals extremely low implied volatility in $BTC options. 📍 Such readings indicate market complacency, with the purple line trending down and far from Elevated (60) or Extreme (90) volatility levels. 💡 Low volatility often precedes significant price shifts or reflects consolidation. Monitor for a potential DVOL spike as a precursor to clearer market direction.
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#Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index — US Selling Pressure 🔻 📝 The Coinbase Premium Index shows persistent negative values, with the 7D MA currently at -0.12%. This indicates sustained selling pressure from US-based traders. 📍 Current readings hover below the 0% baseline, approaching the -0.15% "US selling" zone visible on the chart. This trend is a notable shift from early 2023's strong positive premiums. 💡 While some institutional $BTC accumulation continues, the negative premium suggests a lack of strong, immediate demand from US entities. A sustained move back above zero would signal a shift in sentiment.
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#Bitcoin MA Ribbon hints at coming volatility 🚦 📝 The 5-year MA Ribbon displays "Mixed MA alignment." This compression often precedes a significant trend shift. 📍 $BTC trades at $63,023, below all MA lines, including the 50 SMA ($63,376) and 300 SMA ($80,285). This confirms a bearish structural alignment. 💡 Historically, ribbon compression with price below MAs and low volatility signals an "explosive move." An extended re-accumulation phase appears likely.
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#Bitcoin 2-Year MA Multiplier — Entering the Buy Zone 🟢 📝 The 2-Year MA Multiplier charts key market cycle phases. Bitcoin price is currently positioned between the green 2Y SMA and the blue 2Y SMA x 0.5 lines. 📍 This places $BTC firmly within the platform's historical "buy zone," typically defined as trading below the main 2Y SMA (green line). 💡 Such a structural position suggests an extended accumulation phase, signaling potential long-term value for market participants.
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#Bitcoin Halving Cycles: Analyzing Cycle 4's Performance 📊 📝 This indicator maps all previous halving cycles, normalizing ROI from the halving date. It offers a clear historical comparison for the ongoing Cycle 4. 📍 Currently at Day 831, Cycle 4 (red line) shows significantly lower returns compared to Cycles 1, 2, and 3 at this stage. Diminishing returns across $BTC cycles are evident. 💡 While current performance lags, historically, these cycles demonstrate intense post-halving activity. My indicators continue to track the relative progression for future insights.
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#Bitcoin played out the scenario our indicator identified as the most probable 🎯 📝 On May 14, when we published the Liquidity Magnet indicator 🧲, it showed roughly a 40% probability of Bitcoin being pulled toward the liquidity magnet located around $60,000 📉 💡 As you already know, that scenario has now played out. $BTC corrected into the $60K area, exactly where the indicator identified the highest-probability target ✅
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#Bitcoin Reserve Risk: Extreme Lows 🟢 📝 The Reserve Risk indicator currently reads 0.00051, sitting below the labeled "Low risk" threshold of 0.00060. This reflects strong conviction from long-term holders. 📍 This position is significantly distant from the "High risk" threshold of 0.00150. Historically, these deeply undervalued levels have offered compelling risk/reward ratios. 💡 Periods of such low Reserve Risk often precede significant $BTC accumulation phases. On-chain data suggests smart money continues to position in these zones.
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#Bitcoin Pi Cycle Bottom: Navigating Support 📉 📝 The Pi Cycle Bottom signals cycle lows when SMA(150) crosses below SMA(471) × 0.745 (red line). This critical crossover has not yet materialized on the chart. 📍 The green SMA(150) currently holds above the red SMA(471) × 0.745. $BTC price is now below the red line, testing historical support near $63.7 K. 💡 No bottom signal is confirmed, yet price action at this key support hints at an accumulation phase. A confirmed SMA crossover remains crucial for a cycle bottom.
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#Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Model: Scarcity Valuation Update 📈 📝 The Stock-to-Flow model shows $BTC at ~$65K, trading 1.14x above the Damped Model value of ~$57K. This premium is a common cycle characteristic. 📍 Price maintains a position above the green S2F Damped Model line, indicating robust fundamental support despite recent volatility. 💡 This reflects a potential accumulation phase, with price holding above its scarcity-derived valuation as speculative supply thins out.
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$RENDER continues its correction📉 📝 For a while, the coin struggled to break through the Keltner Channel baseline after tapping the green band 🟩. However, it eventually managed to break out, pushing the price straight into the red band📈 💡 Since then, the asset has entered a correction phase, dropping below the grey line and testing it as resistance👀
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#Bitcoin Mayer Multiple: At a Crucial Level 👀 📝 The Mayer Multiple stands at 0.91, placing $BTC just above the 0.8 buy zone. This indicates a potential accumulation phase, distinct from overheated conditions. 📍 Historically, the indicator found strong support at 0.8 during prior dips, like late 2023. The 1.0 mean now acts as a notable mid-range resistance level. 💡 Monitoring the 0.8 "Buy zone" remains critical for entries. Our indicators track this; sustained moves below 0.8 could signal deeper value.
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$AKE surged 1000% in just half a month 🚀 📝 When the coin first entered the green zone 🟢, it delivered an almost 5x rally, reaching the orange zone🟠 💡 Now, the situation is similar, but the asset managed to surge 11х💰 from the green to the orange zone, and this time in combination with extreme greed 🟥
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#Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index: Caution Persists 📉 📝 The Fear & Greed Index registers 31, placing the market firmly in "Fear." This reflects widespread investor caution and low conviction. 📍 The index consistently remains below the neutral 50 mark, specifically within the Fear (25-45) zone. Persistent low sentiment suggests ongoing market consolidation. 💡 Despite the prevalent fear, on-chain data points to quiet institutional $BTC accumulation. This divergence indicates potential smart money positioning for re-accumulation.
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#Bitcoin MVRV Momentum: Undervalued Signal 📊 📝 MVRV Momentum sits at 0.77, beneath the 'Undervalued' 0.8 line and well below the Mean (1.0) as observed on the chart. 📍 This level has historically marked optimal accumulation zones, often preceding significant market rallies in prior cycles. 💡 Such undervaluation, amidst retail 'Fear' but with renewed institutional inflows, points to active smart money $BTC accumulation.
#ビットコイン 実現価格の50日移動平均 – 早期の利益ゾーン 📊 📝 この指標は、ならされた（平滑化された）平均コスト基準を追跡し、集積（緑）から過熱（赤）までの相場局面を示します。短期的なノイズを効果的にフィルタリングします。 📍 現在の比率は1.19で、1.0に非常に近く、市場は「初期の“利益”」局面に位置しています。 $BTC 価格（〜65Kのオレンジの線）は、実現価格（グレーの領域）を上回って取引されています。 💡 1.0への接近は盤石な土台を示し、健全な市場構造の初期段階を示唆します。 3.00を継続して上回ることは、歴史的に過熱と下落（修正）リスクの上昇を示すサインとなります。
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