Blockonomi

TLDR:

Ethereum trades in forced equilibrium within defined boxes, selling at highs and buying at lows without structural direction. 

The consolidation creates messy low-timeframe conditions with false breakouts that punish impulsive traders significantly. 

Critical support holds around $2,930 with statistical data showing low probability of breaking the weekly low currently. 

Upside targets sit near $3,070 liquidity zone, requiring market structure break confirmation on multiple timeframes first.

 

Ethereum continues trading within defined price ranges without establishing structural direction, according to recent market analysis.

The asset remains confined between key support and resistance levels that have held for months. Technical analysts observe this pattern as a forced equilibrium rather than genuine market strength or weakness, creating challenges for short-term traders seeking clear trends.

Extended Consolidation Creates Trading Complexity

The prolonged consolidation phase has transformed ETH into a time-consuming market rather than a trending one. Analyst EliZ notes the asset consistently sells at upper boundaries and attracts buying pressure at lower zones.

This repetitive behavior generates a structure where liquidity simply rotates without producing meaningful directional momentum. The pattern has persisted across multiple timeframes, from daily charts extending to yearly perspectives.

$ETH macro

The key here is to look up and stop getting caught up in the daily noise.

If you look at these charts from a macro perspective, what emerges is not real strength or weakness, but an enormous forced equilibrium. The price continues to move within well-defined boxes,… pic.twitter.com/lS4kwDfEND

— EliZ (@eliz883) January 29, 2026

Market participants frequently misread short-term movements as potential regime changes. However, the broader context reveals these fluctuations as noise within established boundaries.

Without sustained acceptance beyond critical technical areas, each bounce or decline merely represents another cycle within the existing framework.

The environment particularly punishes traders who force positions based on emotional reactions to isolated price movements or social media commentary.

Lower timeframe analysis reveals messy, non-fluid action filled with false breakouts and immediate reversals. These conditions favor patient traders who reduce position sizes and wait for high-probability setups.

The current structure rewards discipline over frequency, as most intraday movements fail to produce follow-through.

Until ETH demonstrates a clean breakout above resistance or breakdown below support, the market maintains its neutral stance.

Technical setups require clear triggers rather than anticipatory positioning. The consolidation makes premature entries costly, as price action repeatedly invalidates both bullish and bearish narratives.

Traders operating on gut reactions or single-candle interpretations typically experience the worst outcomes in these conditions.

The macro perspective demands patience until the market provides genuine signals of directional commitment.

Support Levels Hold Despite Testing Pressure

Lennaert Snyder identifies ETH maintaining its uptrend with crucial support around the $2,930 level. Statistical analysis suggests low probability of breaking the weekly low, shifting focus toward long opportunities.

The preferred scenario involves sweeping the $2,938 low before establishing a market structure break that signals upside continuation. Target liquidity sits near $3,070, representing the next meaningful resistance zone.

$ETH is maintaining the uptrend.

Just like BTC, it's now holding an important support box around ~$2,930.

Statistics show a low probability of taking out the weekly low, therefore I'm focused on longs here.

The trigger I'd like to see is that we sweep the current ~$2,938 low,… pic.twitter.com/kfwqsbdAFR

— Lennaert Snyder (@LennaertSnyder) January 29, 2026

The depth of potential downside sweeps remains uncertain, requiring adaptive position management. If price develops a new swing high during deeper retests, the market structure break level adjusts accordingly.

This flexibility accounts for manipulation tactics that often precede genuine directional moves. The support box may experience additional testing or brief violations before providing the technical confirmation traders seek.

Multiple timeframe analysis suggests watching M15, M30, or H1 charts for the market structure break signal. This approach allows traders to catch moves after confirmation rather than during ambiguous price action.

Risk management involves taking partial profits at intermediate levels while maintaining core positions toward the $3,070 target.

The strategy acknowledges current volatility while positioning for potential upside resolution of the consolidation pattern.

The post Ethereum Trapped in Macro Equilibrium as Analysts Map Critical Breakout Levels appeared first on Blockonomi.

TLDR:

Traditional four-year crypto cycles no longer dictate market performance as liquidity flows replace timing

Altcoin rallies shortened from 60 days in 2024 to just 20 days in 2025 amid extreme concentration

ETFs and digital asset trusts created walled gardens that trapped capital in major cryptocurrencies

Three catalysts could broaden 2026 markets: wider ETF mandates, major rallies, or retail rotation

 

The cryptocurrency market’s traditional four-year cycle appears to be ending, according to recent analysis. The year 2025 failed to produce the expected rally that previous cycles delivered.

Instead, market performance now depends on liquidity flows and investor attention rather than predictable timing patterns.

This shift marks a potential transition point for digital assets, moving from pure speculation toward becoming a more established asset class.

Capital Flow Patterns Reveal New Market Structure

The flow of capital within crypto markets has fundamentally changed over the past year. Previously, gains from Bitcoin would naturally cascade through the ecosystem.

Profits moved from Bitcoin to Ethereum, then filtered down to blue-chip tokens before reaching smaller altcoins. This pattern created broad-based rallies that lifted most assets during bull markets.

Data from Wintermute’s over-the-counter trading desk reveals this transmission mechanism weakened significantly throughout 2025. Exchange-traded funds and digital asset trusts have created what analysts call “walled gardens.”

These investment vehicles generate consistent demand for major cryptocurrencies but don’t automatically rotate capital into wider market segments.

Retail investors have simultaneously shifted their focus toward traditional equities. Interest in artificial intelligence stocks, rare earth elements, and quantum computing companies has diverted attention from crypto assets. This combination of factors produced extreme market concentration in 2025.

The duration of altcoin rallies dropped sharply during this period. Average rally lengths fell from 60 days in 2024 to just 20 days in 2025.

Meanwhile, a small group of major assets captured the vast majority of new capital entering the space. Most tokens outside this elite tier struggled to attract meaningful investment despite broader market conditions.

Three Scenarios Could Broaden Market Participation

Three distinct pathways could potentially reverse the concentration trend and spread gains more widely in 2026. Each scenario carries different probability levels and would produce varying effects on market structure.

The first path involves the expansion of institutional investment mandates. Exchange-traded funds and digital asset trusts currently focus on Bitcoin and Ethereum almost exclusively.

Recent filings for Solana and XRP exchange-traded funds suggest this may be changing. Approval of these products would open new institutional channels for assets beyond the current top two.

Strong performance from Bitcoin or Ethereum represents the second potential catalyst. A sustained rally in either asset would likely create wealth effects similar to those observed in 2024.

Traders and investors with profits in major tokens historically rotate portions of those gains into smaller assets. However, the magnitude of any such rotation remains uncertain given structural market changes.

The return of retail investor attention forms the third scenario. A rotation of mindshare away from equities and back toward crypto would bring fresh capital and stablecoin creation.

This represents the least probable outcome but would meaningfully expand market participation beyond current levels.

The actual direction of the 2026 market depends on whether any of these catalysts materialize. Capital must find ways to flow beyond large-cap assets for broader recovery to occur.

Understanding these structural dynamics will prove essential for navigating the coming year’s opportunities.

The post Crypto’s Four-Year Cycle Ends: Three Scenarios That Could Define 2026 Markets appeared first on Blockonomi.

TLDR:

Sony Innovation Fund leads Series A with $13M, lifting Startale’s disclosed funding to $20M total.

Soneium Layer 2 shows traction with 500M+ transactions, 5.4M wallets, and 250+ dApps since January 2025 launch.

Funding accelerates creator-centric, onchain entertainment using AI, IP, and Ethereum L2 rails at global scale.

Sony–Startale partnership deepens via Block Solutions Labs, backing vertical blockchain stacks.

 

Sony Innovation Fund has committed an additional $13 million to Startale Group, the co-developer of the Soneium blockchain platform. This investment represents the first tranche of Startale’s Series A funding round.

The capital injection brings Startale’s total disclosed funding to $20 million, following a $3.5 million seed round from Sony in 2023 and a $3.5 million seed extension from UOB Venture Management and Samsung Next in 2024.

Partnership Expansion Drives Infrastructure Development

The latest funding deepens the collaboration between Sony and Startale Group, which began over a year ago. Sony Block Solutions Labs Pte. Ltd., the joint venture behind Soneium, serves as the operational foundation for this partnership.

The continued investment signals Sony’s confidence in Startale’s execution capabilities and strategic vision for blockchain infrastructure.

Soneium has achieved notable growth since its mainnet launch in January 2025. The Ethereum Layer 2 network has processed over 500 million transactions and attracted 5.4 million active wallets.

More than 250 decentralized applications currently operate on the platform, establishing Soneium as a prominent player in the Layer 2 ecosystem.

The Startale App functions as the primary access point to Soneium’s ecosystem. It integrates wallet functionality with asset management and application access. Startale USD (USDSC) provides a unified settlement layer that connects applications, users, and payment systems across the network.

Startale Group announced the investment through its official social media channels, stating that Sony Innovation Fund’s follow-on investment reinforces “the long-term shared vision between Sony and Startale to build infrastructure for onchain entertainment.”

The company added that Startale will continue strengthening Soneium as “a creator-centric platform for creator-led value and participatory fan experiences in the AI era.”

Startale Group is proud to announce a $13M follow-on investment from Sony Innovation Fund, reinforcing the long-term shared vision between @Sony and Startale to build infrastructure for onchain entertainment. pic.twitter.com/BNsHhUqxm7

— Startale (@StartaleGroup) January 29, 2026

Entertainment and AI Integration Shape Future Direction

The partnership addresses evolving challenges in the entertainment industry as generative AI transforms content creation and distribution.

Sony’s entertainment and technology expertise combines with Startale’s blockchain infrastructure capabilities. This collaboration aims to develop new models for intellectual property-led platforms and creator-centric monetization.

Sota Watanabe, CEO of Startale Group, emphasized the strategic nature of the relationship. “Startale has been an important partner to Sony since the early days of Soneium,” Watanabe said.

He explained that their vision is “to bring the world on-chain, and Sony’s continued support strengthens our ability to deliver the infrastructure required to realize that vision at global scale.”

Kazuhito Hadano, CEO of Sony Ventures Corporation, described Startale’s comprehensive approach to blockchain development. “Startale is a company working across the blockchain space, from infrastructure to applications,” Hadano noted.

He highlighted the team’s global perspective and focus on “enabling new value flows built on on-chain technologies,” adding that Sony looks forward to “continuing to support Startale’s challenges and ambitions going forward.”

The funding will support Startale’s vertically integrated approach to on-chain infrastructure development. This includes expanding Soneium’s capabilities and enhancing the ecosystem’s application layer.

The partnership demonstrates institutional commitment to building entertainment-native blockchain platforms that bridge traditional media and decentralized technologies.

The post Sony Innovation Fund Invests $13 Million in Startale Group to Advance Soneium Blockchain appeared first on Blockonomi.

要約

ジョビー・アビエーション（JOBY）の株価は、同社が予想を上回る12億ドルの資本調達を発表した後、プレマーケット取引で9.1%下落しました。

同社は、0.75%の利息で6億ドルの転換社債と、1株あたり11.35ドルで6億ドルの株式を販売しています。

収益は、中東向けに2026年中頃、米国向けには2026年末の認証作業を資金援助します。

転換社債は1株あたり14.19ドルで転換され、25%のプレミアムが付いており、希薄化を制限するために22.70ドルでキャップコール取引が行われます。

アナリストは2029年までに12億ドルの売上を予測していますが、18%のみが株を購入することを推奨しています。

TLDR

MP Materials (MP) dropped over 8% in pre-market trading Thursday after Reuters reported the Trump administration withdrew minimum price guarantees for critical minerals.

MP Materials rejected the report as “inaccurate and misleading,” confirming its Department of War contract and Price Protection Agreement remain fully active.

The stock experienced sharp swings this week, falling 10% Monday after rival USA Rare Earth received government funding before recovering Tuesday.

Analysts rate MP stock a Strong Buy with a $76.13 average price target, representing 13.6% potential upside.

MP Materials runs the only large-scale rare earth mining facility in North America and is building a new Texas manufacturing plant.

MP Materials stock dropped more than 8% in pre-market trading Thursday. A Reuters article claimed the Trump administration backed away from guaranteeing minimum prices for critical minerals projects.

The company fired back quickly. MP Materials labeled the report “inaccurate, misleading, and inconsistent with the facts.”

The rare earth producer said its binding contract with the U.S. Department of War stays in full effect. The Price Protection Agreement from last year also remains unchanged.

MP Materials stated nothing about its contract has been modified. The government’s obligations under the deal haven’t changed either.

Turbulent Trading Week

This week has tested investor nerves. Shares crashed over 10% Monday after the government granted major funding to competitor USA Rare Earth.

Markets worried that a well-funded rival could damage MP’s prospects. But Tuesday brought a reversal as investors reconsidered the situation.

The stock bounced back when traders realized demand can support multiple North American suppliers. Defense contracts and clean energy needs continue driving rare earth demand.

MP Materials holds the top position as America’s rare earth producer. The company runs the Mountain Pass facility in California, the only large-scale rare earth operation in North America.

A new manufacturing facility in Fort Worth, Texas is under development. This expansion aims to create rare earth metals, alloys, and magnets domestically.

What Reuters Got Wrong

The Reuters piece cited funding limits and pricing challenges as reasons for the policy change. A minimum price guarantee would shield revenue when rare earth prices drop.

Losing this potential protection adds uncertainty about future price support. But the reported policy shift doesn’t touch MP’s current contracts or operations.

The company operates independently of any speculated policy changes. Its existing agreements provide the framework for ongoing business.

Financial Metrics and Analyst Views

MP Materials carries an $11.88 billion market cap. Trailing twelve-month sales reached $232.74 million.

The financial snapshot shows mixed results. Revenue fell 11.8% over three years while margins remain negative.

Operating margin sits at negative 79.53%. Net margin stands at negative 50.55%.

Liquidity tells a better story. The current ratio of 8.05 and quick ratio of 7.51 show strong short-term financial position.

The Altman Z-Score of 4.48 indicates solid overall financial health. Institutional investors own 72.35% of shares, showing significant institutional confidence.

TipRanks reports analysts maintain a Strong Buy consensus. Eleven Buy ratings came in during the last three months.

The average analyst price target hits $76.13. That implies 13.6% upside from current trading levels.

Long-term demand drivers remain intact. Defense spending, electric vehicle production, and renewable energy projects all require rare earth materials.

The company’s monopoly on large-scale North American rare earth production provides strategic value. The Texas facility expansion could strengthen this position further when completed.

The post MP Materials (MP) Stock Drops as Company Slams “Misleading” Price Protection Report appeared first on Blockonomi.

要約

SAPの株は、Q4のクラウドバックログが25%増加し、ウォール街の26%の予測を下回ったため、木曜日に11%暴落しました

この下落は、2020年10月以来、SAPの最大の単日下落を示しています。この時、株価は22%下落しました

経営陣は、クラウドバックログの成長が2026年に「わずかに減速する」と警告し、投資家の懸念を高めています

第4四半期の結果は、クラウド収益が26%増加して56.1億ユーロ、総収益が9%増加して96.8億ユーロであることを示しました

SAPは、2026年2月に開始し、2027年12月に終了する100億ユーロの株式買戻しプログラムを発表しました

要約

Microsoftは第2四半期にAIインフラに375億ドルを費やし、その大半はチップに向けられました

Metaは2026年の資本支出を1350億ドルと予測し、昨年の投資を倍増させる見込みです

両社はAIの需要が計算能力を上回っていると述べています

中国はNvidia H200チップのByteDance、Alibaba、Tencentへの販売を承認しました

Nvidiaの株は11月初旬以来の最高の終値を記録しました

Nvidia株は水曜日に11月初旬以来の最高の終値に達しました。株価は時間外取引で0.7％下落しましたが、最近の高値付近での取引を続けています。

要約

マイクロソフトは1株あたり4.14ドルの利益を発表し、813億ドルの収益を上げ、アナリストの予想を上回りましたが、時間外取引で株価は6.8%下落しました。

Azureクラウドの収益は前年同期比で39%増加しましたが、前四半期の40%の成長からは減速しました。

資本支出はAIインフラストラクチャに対して375億ドルに達し、昨年から66%増加し、期待を上回りました。

同社は、月額30ドルの価格でM365 Copilot AIアシスタントの年間1500万人の加入者を明らかにしました。

OpenAIはマイクロソフトの6250億ドルの商業的バックログの45%を占めており、パートナー依存についての疑問を投げかけています。

TLDR

Alibaba’s Cainiao logistics division is combining its self-driving technology unit with Zelos Technology in a transaction worth $2 billion

The combined business will operate under the Cainiao Robovan brand and manage over 20,000 autonomous delivery vehicles

Alibaba introduced the Zhenwu 810E processor through its T-Head division, designed to compete with Nvidia’s data center chips

Zelos specializes in autonomous delivery for postal services, consumer goods, and express logistics since its 2021 founding

Alibaba will hold equity in Zelos while the robotics company maintains operational control of the merged entity

Alibaba stock advanced in early trading after the company disclosed progress in two key technology areas. The developments span semiconductor design and autonomous logistics.

The e-commerce giant’s T-Head semiconductor division launched the Zhenwu 810E processor. The chip recently surfaced on Alibaba’s corporate website.

Technical observers suggest the processor targets performance comparable to Nvidia’s A800 and A100 models. These chips power artificial intelligence applications in data centers worldwide.

Alibaba has not published complete technical documentation for the Zhenwu 810E. The processor supports the company’s cloud computing platform and machine learning systems.

Logistics Technology Consolidation

The Wall Street Journal reported Cainiao’s plan to merge its autonomous vehicle operations with Zelos Technology. Sources with knowledge of the transaction provided details to the publication.

The combined entity carries a $2 billion valuation. Alibaba will acquire an ownership position in Zelos through the deal structure.

Cainiao’s self-driving vehicle division will integrate with Zelos operations. The merged business will use the Cainiao Robovan name.

The new company will control more than 20,000 robotic delivery vehicles. Board representation for Cainiao is expected as part of the agreement.

Strategic Technology Development

Chinese technology firms are increasing investment in proprietary chip design. Restrictions on advanced semiconductor imports have accelerated this trend.

Custom processor development allows Alibaba to optimize hardware for specific applications. This approach improves compatibility with internal software systems and cloud services.

The robovan merger expands Alibaba’s logistics automation capabilities. Automated delivery systems reduce labor costs and increase operational efficiency.

Zelos brings expertise in autonomous delivery across multiple sectors. The company serves postal operations, retail distribution, and express shipping clients.

Market Response

Analysts covering Alibaba maintain positive ratings on the stock. TipRanks data shows 14 buy recommendations with an average target price of $203.09.

The stock has gained approximately 90% over the past twelve months. Wednesday’s announcements contributed to pre-market price increases.

Neither Alibaba nor Zelos provided official statements regarding the merger report. Reuters was unable to independently confirm the Wall Street Journal’s reporting.

A Cainiao executive will join the Zelos board following deal completion. Zelos will retain management authority over the combined autonomous vehicle operations.

The Cainiao Robovan fleet will serve postal services, fast-moving consumer goods distribution, and express delivery markets. Operations will begin after regulatory approval and transaction closing.

The post Alibaba (BABA) Stock: $2B Robovan Merger and New Chip Send Shares Higher appeared first on Blockonomi.

要約

メタは第4四半期の利益を1株あたり8.88ドル、収益は599億ドルで発表し、アナリストの予想を上回りました

株価は決算発表後の時間外取引で10％以上急騰しました

会社は2026年にAIインフラ投資として1150億ドルから1350億ドルを計画しており、2025年の水準のほぼ倍になります

メタのアプリは四半期中に毎日35.8億人のアクティブユーザーを引き付けました

リアリティラボの部門は収益9.55億ドルに対して60億ドルの損失を計上しました

メタは水曜日にウォール街の予測を上回る第4四半期の結果を報告しました。このソーシャルメディア会社は、収益599億ドルに対して1株あたり8.88ドルの利益を計上しました。

TLDR

Toyota Motor posted record 2025 sales of 10.5 million Toyota and Lexus vehicles, a 3.7% increase from 2024, maintaining its sixth consecutive year as the world’s top-selling automaker.

U.S. market sales surged 7.3% to 2.93 million units, fueled by hybrid vehicles like the RAV4 and Prius, which now represent 42% of global sales.

The automaker absorbed an estimated $9.7 billion in tariff costs rather than raising prices, with only 20% of U.S. sales coming from imports.

Toyota raised its full-year operating profit forecast despite tariff pressures, with analysts projecting a 30% operating profit rebound in fiscal Q3 results due February 6.

Shares climbed 3% following the announcement as the company’s manufacturing strategy and hybrid focus outperformed competitors like Hyundai, which saw operating profits drop 19.5%.

Toyota Motor Corporation delivered a masterclass in navigating tariff uncertainty. The automaker reported record sales of 10.5 million vehicles for its Toyota and Lexus brands in 2025, marking a 3.7% jump from the previous year.

Toyota powered to record sales in 2025 even as Trump's tariffs overshadowed the auto industry.https://t.co/5ZkNuqcfjx pic.twitter.com/NhQ5giuCnL

— Nikkei Asia (@NikkeiAsia) January 29, 2026

The announcement sent shares up 3% in Thursday trading. Toyota maintained its position as the world’s best-selling automaker for the sixth straight year, beating Volkswagen’s 9 million units and Hyundai’s 7.27 million units.

President Trump’s tariff regime threatened to derail the company’s U.S. business. Initial 25% levies on Japanese vehicles were later reduced to 15%. But Toyota’s strategy turned potential disaster into opportunity.

U.S. sales climbed 7.3% to 2.93 million units. The secret? Hybrids and local manufacturing.

Hybrid Strategy Pays Off

Toyota’s hybrid lineup carried the company through choppy waters. The RAV4 and Prius models drove demand in the U.S. market. Hybrids now account for 42% of the company’s global sales.

Electric vehicles made up just 1.9% of sales. Toyota bet on transitional technology while competitors rushed into full electrification. That gamble paid off.

The company exported 14.2% more vehicles from Japan to the U.S. The RAV4 SUV remained a bestseller. But manufacturing strategy made the real difference.

Only 20% of Toyota’s U.S. sales relied on imports. Hyundai, by comparison, imported 60% of vehicles sold in America during 2025. This gave Toyota pricing flexibility competitors couldn’t match.

The company absorbed tariff costs instead of passing them to customers. Rivals didn’t have that option.

Financial Performance Despite Headwinds

Tariffs will cost Toyota an estimated $9.7 billion in the fiscal year ending March 2026. That’s a heavy hit. But the company still raised its full-year operating profit forecast.

Cost reductions and strong international demand offset U.S. tariff pressure. Toyota reports fiscal third-quarter earnings on February 6. Analysts expect operating profits to jump nearly 30% year-over-year.

Hyundai told a different story. The South Korean automaker grew revenue over 6% in 2025. But operating profit fell 19.5%. U.S. tariffs cost Hyundai 4.1 trillion won.

Trump threatened Monday to raise tariffs on South Korean vehicles back to 25%. Hyundai shares dropped nearly 5% on the news. The company is racing to boost domestic production at Georgia facilities from 40% to 80% by 2030.

Toyota also posted a 0.2% increase in China sales. That’s the first growth in four years despite fierce competition from domestic EV makers.

The U.S. and Japan markets drove more than 40% of total sales. These regions remain central to Toyota’s global strategy. The combination of hybrid technology and local production proved unbeatable in 2025.

The post Toyota (TM) Stock: World’s Top Automaker Crown Retained for Sixth Year appeared first on Blockonomi.

要約

テスラ、イーロン・マスクのxAI人工知能会社への20億ドルの投資をシリーズE優先株購入を通じて確定

モデルSおよびモデルXの生産終了は、オプティマスヒューマノイドロボット製造のために工場スペースを確保するため

エネルギー貯蔵部門は、記録的な38.4億ドルの第4四半期収益を上げ、アナリストの予想を11%上回った

資本支出は2025年の85億ドルから2026年には200億ドル以上に急増

サイバーキャブロボタクシーの生産スケジュールは、過去の遅延にもかかわらず2026年の展開に向けて変更なし

要約

IBMは2025年第4四半期の収益が196.9億ドルで、アナリストの予測を460百万ドル上回ったと報告しました

人工知能のビジネス書は125億ドルを超え、コンサルティング部門は最大のGenAI四半期を記録しました

ソフトウェアの収益は14%増の90億ドルに上昇し、インフラは21%増の51億ドルに急増しました

フリーキャッシュフローは2025年に147億ドルに達し、10年以上で最も強力な年間業績となりました

株価は8%上昇し、収益発表と2026年の成長を呼びかけるガイダンスに続いています

IBMは皆を驚かせる収益を発表しました。同社は2026年1月28日に196.9億ドルの第4四半期の収益を報告し、192.3億ドルの予測を大きく上回りました。

TLDR

Citi analyst sets $235 price target on Palantir, forecasting 70-80% revenue growth in 2026

U.S. commercial segment revenue surged 121% in Q3 as AI platform gains enterprise traction

PhillipCapital initiates buy rating at $208, arguing stock undervalued versus historical averages

Company backlog of $2.6 billion up 65% provides visibility into future revenue

Stock trades at 170x forward P/E, down from 309x peak in October

Palantir Technologies shares dropped 17% in three months. Now two analysts say the decline created opportunity.

Tyler Radke at Citi raised his price target to $235. That implies 42% upside from Tuesday’s close.

Radke thinks standard valuation models don’t apply to Palantir anymore. The company is growing too fast while improving margins.

He expects government revenue to jump 51% this year. Defense budgets are expanding and agencies need IT modernization.

Total revenue could grow 70-80% in 2026, Radke predicts. The Artificial Intelligence Platform is driving demand across sectors.

Commercial Business Powers Growth

Third quarter results show the momentum. Revenue climbed 63% year-over-year to $725.5 million.

The U.S. commercial segment led the way. Sales jumped 121% compared to last year and 29% from the prior quarter.

This business now accounts for 34% of total revenue. AIP adoption is accelerating among enterprise customers.

Government agencies are starting to use the platform too. They saw commercial success and want similar results.

Remaining performance obligations reached $2.6 billion, up 65%. These contracted sales will convert to revenue over time.

Management raised guidance for the year. They expect revenue of $4.4 billion, representing 53% growth.

U.S. commercial should hit $1.43 billion for 104% expansion. The business is outpacing earlier projections.

Valuation Looks Better

Paul Chew at PhillipCapital started coverage with a buy rating. His $208 target suggests 32% upside.

Chew compares Palantir to its own history rather than peers. By this measure, the stock looks cheaper.

Forward P/E dropped from 309x in October to 170x today. That’s below the one-year average of 190x.

The AI selloff pushed valuations down across the sector. Palantir got caught in the broader decline.

Chew notes the company has captured just 2.4% of its $119 billion addressable market. The AI software space is growing over 25% annually.

He projects $4.2 billion in 2025 revenue for 47% growth. Net profit should nearly double this year.

Commercial revenue will grow faster than government. The segments should increase 51% and 43% respectively.

Palantir expanded from 60 industry sectors in 2021 to 90 in 2024. Each new vertical adds revenue potential.

The company posted a Rule of 40 score of 114% in Q3. This metric combines growth rate and profit margin.

Most analysts remain neutral on the stock. Consensus shows six buys, ten holds, and two sells.

The average price target is $189.94 for 21% upside. Both Radke and Chew sit well above this level.

Palantir has gained 2,190% over three years. The stock experienced at least ten drawdowns of 20% or more during that period.

Both analysts think the latest pullback doesn’t reflect the business fundamentals. Growth is accelerating while margins expand.

The defense spending cycle and AI adoption could drive shares higher. Management keeps raising guidance as demand exceeds expectations.

The post Palantir (PLTR) Stock: Why Analysts See 42% Upside After Recent Drop appeared first on Blockonomi.

TLDR

ノキアは2025年第4四半期の収益が61億ユーロであり、前年同期比で3%増加したと報告しました。これはAIおよびクラウドインフラストラクチャの需要によって推進されました。

比較可能な営業利益は10億6000万ユーロで、前年の10億9000万ユーロを下回り、マージンは17.3%に圧縮されました。

ネットワークインフラストラクチャは19%増加しましたが、モバイルネットワークは1.7%減少し、同社の継続的なビジネス変革を示しています。

2026年の営業利益予想は20億～25億ユーロで、アナリストのコンセンサスである23.7億ユーロを5%下回りました。

株価は早期の欧州取引で5.8%下落し、投資家は予想よりも弱い見通しを消化しました。

TLDR

Carvana (CVNA)の株は水曜日に14.2%急落し、$410.04になりました。Gotham City Researchは、同社が2023-2024年の利益を10億ドル以上過大評価したと非難しました

空売り業者は、CarvanaがCEOの父エルネスト・ガルシアIIが所有するDriveTimeとBridgecrestとの取引を通じて利益を膨らませたと主張しています

Carvanaは、請求が「不正確で意図的に誤解を招く」として拒否し、2月18日の決算発表日を再確認しました

株価は2022年12月以来10,000%上昇しており、最近数ヶ月間に複数の空売り攻撃に直面しています

TLDR

Strive paid off $110 million in debt from Semler Scientific acquisition, representing 92% of inherited liabilities

Company raised $225 million through preferred stock after seeing $600 million in investor demand

Purchased 334 Bitcoin at $89,851 average price, pushing total holdings to 13,132 BTC valued at $1.17 billion

ASST shares dropped 2.23% to $0.80, now down 92.4% from peak despite balance sheet improvements

Remaining $10 million debt scheduled for elimination within four months

Strive raised $225 million through a preferred stock offering and immediately put the cash to work eliminating debt and buying more Bitcoin.

The company announced Wednesday it retired $110 million of liabilities inherited from its January 13 acquisition of Semler Scientific. This wipes out 92% of the debt from that deal.

The debt payoff included $90 million in convertible notes exchanged for Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Preferred Stock trading as “SATA.” Strive also paid off a $20 million Coinbase credit facility completely.

Massive Demand Drives Upsized Offering

Strive originally planned to raise $150 million. Investor demand hit $600 million, forcing the company to increase the offering to $225 million.

The preferred shares work as long-duration equity financing. This lets Strive fund Bitcoin purchases without piling on more leverage.

After closing the offering, Strive bought 333.9 Bitcoin at an average price of $89,851 per coin. Total holdings now stand at 13,132 BTC.

That Bitcoin stash is worth roughly $1.17 billion at current prices. The holdings place Strive among the top 10 corporate Bitcoin treasury companies worldwide.

With the Coinbase loan paid off, all of Strive’s Bitcoin holdings are now unencumbered. The Vivek Ramaswamy-backed company plans to eliminate the remaining $10 million in debt over the next four months.

Strive reported a Bitcoin yield of 21.2% quarter-to-date. This measures how much Bitcoin exposure per common share has grown during the period.

Shares Drop Despite Progress

The market didn’t reward Strive’s debt reduction efforts. ASST shares fell 2.23% on Wednesday to close at $0.80.

The stock has crashed 92.4% from its $10.46 peak hit after announcing the Bitcoin treasury strategy. This shows the volatility tied to corporate crypto plays.

More than 190 publicly traded companies now hold Bitcoin on their balance sheets. Together they own about 1.134 million BTC, or 5.4% of total supply.

Michael Saylor’s Strategy dominates this space with nearly 63% of all corporate Bitcoin holdings. Strategy keeps buying despite tighter market conditions in recent months.

Corporate Bitcoin Treasury Trend Continues

The corporate Bitcoin treasury model exploded in popularity during 2024 and early 2025. Many companies saw share prices tumble later as investors questioned whether the strategy works long-term.

Strive finalized its Semler Scientific acquisition following a merger agreement reached in September. Semler operated as a Bitcoin treasury company before the transaction closed.

The preferred stock offering gave Strive the capital to clean up its balance sheet while expanding Bitcoin exposure. The company holds 13,132 BTC worth $1.17 billion with just $10 million in remaining debt.

The post Strive (ASST) Stock: Bitcoin Treasury Firm Wipes Out Most Debt After $225M Raise appeared first on Blockonomi.

要約

ServiceNowの株価は、四半期の収益が収益と利益の指標でアナリストの期待を上回ったにもかかわらず、時間外取引で2％以上下落しました。

同社は2026年のサブスクリプション収益を155.3億ドルから155.7億ドルに見込んでおり、ウォール街のコンセンサス予想である152.1億ドルを上回っています。

ServiceNowは、プラットフォーム全体でチャットボット技術を統合するために、AnthropicとOpenAIとのAIパートナーシップを拡大しました。

50億ドルの株式買戻し権限が発表され、即座に20億ドルの加速された買戻しが計画されています。

TLDR

Coinbase partnered with Kalshi to offer prediction markets in every US state

Platform enables trading on sports outcomes, political events, and cultural happenings

Kalshi is federally regulated but faces state legal challenges over sports betting licenses

Launch positions Coinbase as an “everything exchange” with diverse trading options

Timing aligns with upcoming Super Bowl, giving users betting opportunities on major events

Coinbase unveiled prediction market trading across all 50 states on Wednesday. The feature launches through a collaboration with Kalshi, a prediction market operator regulated by federal authorities.

LATEST: Coinbase has expanded its prediction markets offering to all 50 US states through Kalshi, with users able to trade on outcomes across sports, politics, culture and more in USD or USDC. pic.twitter.com/68bHP7c9bk

— CoinMarketCap (@CoinMarketCap) January 29, 2026

Users can now trade on outcomes ranging from NFL games to presidential elections. The platform also covers cultural events, collectibles, and economic data releases.

Coinbase first announced the Kalshi partnership in December. The full nationwide rollout happened this week via an X post from the exchange.

The timing works well for Coinbase. The Super Bowl arrives in roughly one week, giving users a high-profile event to trade on right away.

Trading Real-World Events

Kalshi’s model uses yes-or-no contracts on specific outcomes. Traders pick a side and the contract price shows what the market thinks will happen.

Higher prices mean the crowd believes that outcome is more likely. Lower prices suggest skepticism from other traders.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission regulates Kalshi at the federal level. This oversight allows the platform to operate as a derivatives exchange in the United States.

Coinbase acquired The Clearing Company last month. That purchase supports the exchange’s expansion into prediction markets and alternative trading products.

State Legal Battles

Kalshi faces lawsuits from at least four state governments. Massachusetts and Tennessee filed cases claiming the platform needs gaming licenses for sports betting.

The state actions continue despite Kalshi’s federal regulatory approval. Each state maintains separate gambling and gaming laws that may conflict with federal oversight.

Polymarket deals with similar legal pressure. Tennessee authorities took action against Polymarket over sports betting operations without state licenses.

Insider Trading Questions

Polymarket recently caught heat from Congress over potential insider trading. One user reportedly made over $400,000 betting on the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.

The user’s timing raised red flags with lawmakers. They questioned whether the trader had advance information about the operation.

Members of Congress demanded action on insider trading rules for political prediction markets. The incident highlighted gaps in oversight for these platforms.

The Everything Exchange Vision

Coinbase calls its expansion strategy the “everything exchange” approach. The company wants to offer stocks, crypto, tokenized assets, and now prediction markets under one roof.

Prediction market activity jumped over the past year. Platforms like Polymarket saw huge volume increases as users traded political and economic events.

These markets give real-time sentiment readings on current events. Some traders use them as data sources alongside traditional news and polling.

Coinbase brings its regulated infrastructure and existing user base to the prediction market space. The exchange could add liquidity and mainstream visibility to the sector.

The platform already serves millions of US customers for crypto trading. Those users now have access to Kalshi’s event contracts without opening separate accounts.

The post Coinbase (COIN) Stock: Exchange Debuts Prediction Markets Nationwide via Kalshi Deal appeared first on Blockonomi.

要約

テスラは第4四半期の1株あたりの利益を50セントと発表し、アナリストの予想である45セントを上回りました。

テスラの歴史の中で初めての年間収益減少、年間売上は3％減少し948億ドルに。

純利益は61％減少し8億4000万ドルになり、運営コストが四半期内に39％急増しました。

オプティマスヒューマノイドロボット製造のためにモデルSとXの生産を終了します。

ロボタクシーサービスは2026年上半期に米国の7つの追加都市で開始される予定です。

テスラは予想を上回る第4四半期の結果を発表しましたが、歴史的な初めから逃れることはできませんでした。この電気自動車メーカーは上場以来初めての年間収益減少を記録しました。