YourNigtmare

#everyone $BTC $ETH As you can see... oil is rising again after Saudi Arabia shut the East-West pipeline following the drone attack... and the Fed meeting is tomorrow.
Yet Bitcoin is still being pushed higher.
In my opinion the reason is clear... too many traders opened short positions on BTC... ETH and other major coins. Binance and other exchanges know where their own users’ liquidation levels are... and this market is being squeezed higher to force those short positions out.
It is not happening in just one coin... BTC... ETH... and many others are moving together.
The macro risks have not disappeared... oil is rising... inflation is still high... Treasury yields remain elevated... and the Fed is still ahead of us.
So be careful... this rally does not necessarily mean the risk is over. It could simply be another short squeeze before the Fed.

$BTC $ETH ご覧の通り… サウジアラビアがドローン攻撃を受けて東西パイプラインを停止した後、原油価格が再び上昇しています… そしてFRB（米連邦準備制度）の会合は明日です。
それでもビットコインは依然として押し上げられています。
私の見解では理由は明白です… BTCやETH、その他の主要アルトコインに対して、短期の売り（ショート）ポジションを張りすぎたトレーダーが多すぎるのです。バイナンスや他の取引所は、自社ユーザーの清算（強制決済）ラインがどこにあるかを把握しています… そしてこの市場は、そうしたショートポジションを追い出すために、より高い水準へとぎゅっと押し上げられているのです。
これは1つの銘柄だけで起きているわけではありません… BTC… ETH… そして多くのコインが同時に動いています。
マクロ面のリスクは消えていません… 原油は上がっている… インフレは依然高い… 米国債利回りは依然として高止まり… さらにFRBの方がまだ先を行っています。
だから注意してください… この上昇が必ずしもリスクが終わったことを意味するとは限りません。FRBの前に起きる、ただの別のショートスクイーズ（ショートカバーの買い）である可能性もあります。

$ETH $SOL $AAVE The market is looking more dangerous now... US jobs were expected around 56K but came in at 162K... oil is back above $100... inflation pressure is increasing and the market is already pricing a much higher chance of a Fed rate hike.
Today we have PPI... if it comes in hot we could see another big wave of selling. Tomorrow CPI could bring even more pressure if inflation is also higher than expected. Then the biggest risk comes with the Fed meeting... if the Fed actually hikes rates the selloff could become much stronger.
My bearish scenario is simple... BTC could first test 75K... then 70K... and if the pressure keeps building we could even see 65K–60K.
I would rather wait for the panic selloff and buy much lower than chase the market here... if BTC really drops hard we can buy the dip at much better prices.