Rehan Arqam

US TREASURY WARNING – SIMPLE VERSION
Next week, the US government is selling a lot of bonds. #TrumpEndsShutdown
When bonds are sold, buyers pay cash.
That cash gets pulled out of the market.
Less cash = less liquidity.
Less liquidity = risk assets struggle.
Key dates #xAICryptoExpertRecruitment
Feb 10–12: Bond auctions (stress test)
Feb 17: Cash actually leaves the system
Why this matters:
If demand is strong → markets stay calm
If demand is weak → yields jump, liquidity dries up, selling accelerates
This is bearish because:
Bonds move first
Stocks react next
Crypto moves fastest and hardest
Charts can look fine right before damage starts.
#TrumpProCrypto
This is not a calm-market event.
It’s a liquidity trap. $XAU $XAG

#StrategyBTCPurchase ビットコインが世界的に認識されるデジタル資産として成熟するにつれて、それを購入するには投機的な熱意以上のものが必要です。明確に定義された戦略は、投資家がボラティリティを管理し、資本を保護し、ビットコインのエクスポージャーをより広範な財務目標に合わせるのに役立ちます。短期的な価格の動きをタイミングするのではなく、成功したビットコインの蓄積は、規律、リスク管理、長期的な信念に焦点を当てています。
ビットコイン購入戦略の基盤は、目的の明確さです。投資家は、ビットコインが長期的な価値の保存、貨幣の価値低下に対するヘッジ、または多様化されたポートフォリオ内の成長資産として意図されているかを判断する必要があります。この目的は、ポジションサイズ、時間の視野、およびボラティリティに対する耐性を形作ります。ほとんどの投資家にとって、ビットコインはオールオアナッシングの賭けよりも戦略的な配分として最も効果的です。

A recent survey points to a clear pivot in capital allocation among senior crypto investors and executives: money is flowing away from #DEFİ and toward #Infrastructure. Citing Cointelegraph, the shift is largely driven by #Liquidity constraints and unresolved market plumbing issues. The survey, run during the CfC St. Moritz digital asset conference, captured perspectives from 242 participants, including institutional investors, founders, C-suite leaders, regulators, and family offices.
An overwhelming 85% of respondents ranked infrastructure as the top funding priority, ahead of DeFi, compliance, cybersecurity, and user experience. While optimism around revenue growth and innovation remains intact, liquidity shortages emerged as the most critical industry risk. This signals that investor interest is still there, but capital deployment is becoming more selective, especially as limited market depth and settlement capacity continue to deter large #InstitutionalCapital from entering crypto markets.
Although 84% of participants described the macro environment as supportive of crypto growth, many stressed that today’s infrastructure cannot yet support large-scale capitalization. Innovation expectations are also evolving: most respondents foresee faster innovation by 2026, but fewer predict a dramatic surge compared to last year, underscoring a shift from hype-driven speculation to execution-led development. This is reflected in a growing focus on custody, clearing, stablecoins, and tokenization rather than consumer-facing products.
The survey also noted improved sentiment around #Regulation in the United States, now viewed as the second-most favorable jurisdiction for digital assets after the UAE, driven by progress in stablecoin legislation and clearer banking rules. At the same time, enthusiasm for crypto IPOs has cooled following a record 2025, with respondents pointing to valuation resets and liquidity pressures. Overall, the industry appears to be entering a more disciplined phase, prioritizing foundational build-out and pragmatic #Innovation over rapid expansion. $BTC $ETH
$BNB

Bitcoin $BTC is once again causing market turmoil: While some are talking about a new super-cycle, others are warning of a potential blow-off top and brutal liquidations. ETF funds, macro drama, and social media hype are colliding head-on – it's time for a clear look behind the chart.
Bitcoin is currently presenting a setup that screams big time: The price has recently made a strong, dynamic move, dominated by a massive pump followed by periods of intense sideways consolidation. Volume, social buzz, and on-chain data all signal that something big is brewing – either a breakout that will send the bulls into raptures, or a brutal shakeout that will mercilessly wipe out all overleveraged traders.
Instead of fixating on exact numbers, what's more important now is understanding structure, trend, and narrative. Bitcoin is testing crucial resistance levels near historical zones, while support deeper on the chart has been defended multiple times. In short, the market is at a crossroads – and that's precisely what's triggering maximum FOMO and FUD levels simultaneously.
The story: What is really driving this current Bitcoin phase? Three major themes dominate:
1. Spot ETF Inflows and Institutional Capital:
Bitcoin spot ETFs have now established themselves as a permanent part of the market. Data from recent weeks shows that on some days fresh capital flows into these vehicles, while on others there are smaller outflows – but overall the trend remains: Institutional players are parking significant amounts of money in BTC. BlackRock, Fidelity & Co. have definitively moved Bitcoin from its niche status into the Wall Street league.
The crucial point: Every ETF inflow translates into real Bitcoin demand on the spot market. Supply, on the other hand, is limited – and even tighter since the last halving. In the long run, this creates a structural excess of demand, which increasingly reinforces the narrative of "digital gold".
2. Halving Aftershocks, Mining, and Supply Shock:
The recent halving has once again reduced the block reward for miners. Many weaker miners had to shut down or consolidate their machines. While this leads to short-term adjustments in the hashrate trend, in the long run it results in a tougher, more efficient mining ecosystem. Historically, Bitcoin tends to enter a period of uncertainty and consolidation after a halving before experiencing significant upward movements.
That's precisely where we are: Bitcoin fluctuates between euphoric pumps and sharp corrections. Long-term HODLers are partially reducing their profits, while new market participants are rushing in driven by FOMO (fear of missing out). At the same time, long-term players are continuously stacking sats, completely independent of short-term fluctuations. If this supply situation collides with further ETF interest, a genuine super-cycle could ensue.
3. Macro: Fed, Inflation & Liquidity
The big macroeconomic game is raging in the background. The US Federal Reserve is sending mixed signals: On the one hand, it officially remains data-dependent, while on the other hand, the market is constantly speculating about when the next interest rate hike or easing of financial conditions will occur. Any hint of increased liquidity is celebrated by risk assets such as tech stocks and Bitcoin.
While inflation remains more moderate compared to the extremes of recent years, it hasn't completely disappeared. This is precisely where Bitcoin's "digital gold" narrative shines. Many investors see BTC as a hedge against long-term currency devaluation and as a non-sovereign asset, meaning an asset outside of government control. In a world burdened with mountains of debt and geopolitical tensions, this is proving increasingly attractive to asset managers.