BigBreakingWire

🚨 暗号資産がイラン、ロシア、北朝鮮の制裁逃れの重要ツールに：報告

Chainalysis：制裁対象団体に関連する暗号資産アドレスが、2025年には1,000億ドル超を受け取り、前年の合計の約8倍に達した。

ロシアは7月1日に対外貿易のための暗号資産決済を合法化した。一方、イランと北朝鮮は暗号資産取引所やハッキングを利用して軍事資金の調達を支援した。

米財務省は6月に主要なイランの暗号資産取引所4社を制裁し、イランの暗号資産を約10億ドル押収したと発表した。

WSJ：イラン、ロシア、北朝鮮は、対ロシアや北朝鮮などの対外制裁（西側の制裁）を回避するため、暗号資産を重要な金融インフラとしてますます依存している。

🚨 JAPAN'S 10-YEAR BOND YIELD HITS HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE 1996 AMID INFLATION, FISCAL RISK CONCERNS

Japan's 10-year JGB yield rose for a sixth straight session to 2.79%, near Friday's 2.81% intraday high, the highest since October 1996.

Rising energy-driven inflation, a weaker yen, and concerns over higher government spending continue to push bond yields higher.

Ken Miyajima said fears of fiscal expansion and cautious monetary policy are keeping long- and ultra-long bond yields elevated.

Investors are watching demand at this week's 30-year and 5-year Japanese government bond auctions.

Tesla caps employee AI tool spending at $200/week starting July 6; excess needs manager approval. Spending on Musk-owned XAI's Grok is exempt. Grok has low uptake; most staff use ANTHROPIC's Claude. Several other US tech firms have similar AI spending controls.

$TSLA $SPCX

$BTC - RBI、厳しい暗号規制を支持も、禁止はなお検討中

上級のRBI当局者は、暗号資産および民間発行のステーブルコインから銀行や規制対象の金融機関を完全に隔離するよう、議会の委員会に対して強く求め、禁止寄りのアプローチを支持した。

財務に関する議会常任委員会は、本件に関する第7回会合を開いた後まもなく、仮想デジタル資産に関する報告書を提出する見通しだ。

#BitcoinFallsOver50%FromOctoberHigh

🇯🇵 Japan says it stands ready to act against excessive FX volatility; officials decline to comment on specific yen levels as markets watch for possible BOJ rate hike and intervention.

Citi: Brent crude could fall to $60 per barrel by the end of the year as risks around the Strait of Hormuz ease.

Analyst Francesco Martoccia said oil market fundamentals are returning to normal, with shipping activity recovering and the spot crude market weakening.

The bank also noted that global oil inventory draws have been much smaller than expected, reducing concerns over supply shortages.

Citi expects some near-term volatility as shipping routes normalize, insurance costs adjust and logistics improve, but says rising vessel traffic suggests commercial operators now see the disruption risk as manageable.

The Korea Printed Circuit Board and Semiconductor Packaging Association (KPCA) says Samsung and SK Hynix pushed substrate suppliers to cut prices. They asked vendors to reverse the 3%–4% average increase agreed in Q1. The chipmakers cited easing pressure on raw materials like gold and copper. They said H2 pricing should return to pre-hike levels.

KPCA says Samsung and SK Hynix are pressing substrate suppliers to lower quotes. They want to roll back the average 3–4% price rise agreed in Q1. Both firms cite eased volatility in raw materials like gold and copper. They say H2 supplier prices should revert to pre-increase levels.

🇰🇷 BREAKING: SK Hynix plunges nearly 15% after Meta's AI cloud plans spark overcapacity fears. Asian chip stocks tumble, erasing about $290B in market value from SK Hynix and Samsung ahead of SK Hynix's planned Nasdaq ADR listing.

🔴 Japan's Nikkei 225 closed July 2 (Thursday) down 1,741.81 points (-2.47%) at 68,733.15. South Korea's KOSPI closed July 2 (Thursday) down 610.98 points (-7.36%) at 7,692.43.

🚨 Global equity fundraising hits $729.4B in H1 2026, led by record SpaceX IPO

Global equity issuance reached $729.4B in H1 2026, the second-highest first-half total on record.

SpaceX raised about $86B in the largest IPO ever, debuting on Nasdaq at a valuation above $2T.

Tech equity deals totalled a record ~$302B in H1 2026.

Global M&A value jumped 30% YoY to $2.6T, supported by a lighter regulatory environment.

$SPCX

🇰🇷 South Korea says current economic conditions differ from the 1997 Asian financial crisis, with USD liquidity remaining ample. Authorities are weighing measures to boost overnight FX market liquidity, while saying USD/KRW levels do not reflect economic fundamentals and confirming close coordination with Japan on foreign-exchange policy.

TD Securities says a joint US-Japan currency intervention to support the yen now looks increasingly likely.

The firm noted Japan's top currency official, MIMURA, repeatedly mentioned the US in a Wednesday interview, suggesting Tokyo is seeking Washington's backing for coordinated action.

According to TD Securities, a joint intervention would have a much bigger impact than Japan acting alone, with USD/JPY potentially falling by well over the typical 5-yen move seen in past interventions.

The firm also believes MIMURA's comments were a warning to currency traders against pushing USD/JPY beyond the 163 level.

🚨 FT: OpenAI is discussing selling a 5% stake to the Trump administration; the company is valued at around $852 billion.

OpenAI is reportedly seeking administration support to overcome political and regulatory hurdles.

CEO Sam Altman has argued public ownership is the best way to share AI gains and proposed the idea in early talks.

The proposal could extend to other U.S. AI firms, while OpenAI and Anthropic have delayed advanced model releases amid U.S. government review.

🚨 OCBC Slashes Brent Oil Price Forecasts Through Q2 2027

OCBC Group Research cut its Brent crude forecasts through Q2 2027 after oil shipments and tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz rebounded following the US–Iran memorandum of understanding.

The bank said expectations of supply normalization have pushed oil prices back toward pre-conflict levels, reviving concerns of a potential global supply glut.

Revised Brent forecasts: Q3 2026 $75/bbl (from $85), Q4 2026 $75 (from $80), Q1 2027 $73 (from $75), Q2 2027 $71 (from $75).

🚨 Strait of Hormuz oil flows have surpassed 10 million bpd as shipments rebound after the U.S.-Iran agreement.

Iran has exported 50 million barrels in the past two weeks, earning an estimated $3.5 billion.

Tehran plans to impose transit fees after the 60-day free-passage period ends in mid-August; the U.S. has rejected the proposal.

The recovery signals easing supply risks and reduced leverage over the key global oil chokepoint.

🚨 Foreign investors dump record $137.4B from Asian equities in H1 2026

Reuters: Net outflows hit $137.36 billion, the fastest six-month exodus since records began in 2010.

BlackRock downgraded emerging-market equities to neutral, citing AI concentration risks in South Korea and Taiwan.

JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs raised financing costs for hedge fund positions in SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics.

South Korea and Taiwan were hit hardest as AI-driven chip gains prompted global funds to cut concentrated positions.

🚨 Major Korean Banks Ramp Up FX Trading Ahead of 24-Hour KRW Market

South Korea's biggest banks are expanding FX trading teams, boosting Seoul–London operations, and upgrading systems ahead of the launch of a near-24-hour KRW foreign exchange trading regime on July 6, aimed at improving won liquidity and accelerating the internationalization of Korea's financial markets.

Trump: Micron has announced a historic $250 million investment in TRUMP ACCOUNTS - the biggest corporate investment of its kind. My policies are working, and working BIG.

$MU

⚡ NOMURA SAYS CHIP RALLY HAS MORE ROOM TO RUN

Nomura says it's too early to call a peak in chip stocks.

Expects sector momentum to continue through 2027.

Says hyperscalers are unlikely to slow AI data-center spending.

Calls recent chip-stock pullback "healthy."

Warns markets have yet to fully price future risks and potential supply shortages.