Arlor09

2022年：暗号崩壊対金の安定性
2022年、ビットコインは深刻な下落を経験し、金融政策の引き締めや主要な暗号の失敗、リスク選好の低下により60%以上下落しました。同じ期間中、金は比較的安定しており、投資家が伝統的な安全資産にシフトする中で軽微な利益を上げました。
今年は二つの核心的な違いを浮き彫りにしました：ビットコインは高リスク成長資産であり、金はストレス時の資本保存です。
2023年–2024年：ビットコインの強いカムバック

According to reports from major international media such as Reuters and AP News, the United States has carried out a military operation in Venezuela.
The situation has drawn global attention, with several countries criticizing the move and warning about rising geopolitical risks.
This type of event usually affects financial markets, including stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies.
How Did Bitcoin React?
Surprisingly, Bitcoin did not crash.
In the hours following the news:
Bitcoin prices remained stable and even showed short-term strengthNo massive panic selling was observedMarket volatility increased, but within normal ranges
This reaction suggests that Bitcoin investors were not overly shaken by the geopolitical news.
Why Didn’t Bitcoin Drop?
There are several reasons why Bitcoin stayed resilient:
1. Bitcoin Is Often Seen as a “Digital Safe Haven”
During global uncertainty, investors often look for assets outside traditional systems.
Bitcoin is increasingly compared to digital gold because it is decentralized and not controlled by any government.
2. The Market Has Become More Mature
Compared to previous years, the crypto market today is:
More liquidMore institutionally involvedLess reactive to single geopolitical events
This makes large crashes less likely unless the conflict escalates globally.
3. Venezuela’s History With Crypto
Venezuela has long faced economic instability and high inflation.
In the past, many citizens turned to cryptocurrencies as an alternative store of value, reinforcing the narrative of Bitcoin as a hedge in unstable economies.
So, Will Bitcoin Go Up or Down?
Based on current data and official reporting:
Short term: Bitcoin may experience volatility, but no clear bearish signal has appearedMedium term: If global uncertainty increases, Bitcoin could benefit as a risk hedgeLong term: Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain unchanged by this event
In other words, the news did not break Bitcoin’s structure.
Conclusion
While the U.S.–Venezuela situation is serious from a geopolitical perspective, Bitcoin has shown strong resilience so far.
This event once again highlights Bitcoin’s role as an alternative asset during times of global uncertainty — not immune to volatility, but far from fragile.
$BTC
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