Since the start of 2026, BTC has followed a pattern of making a major move every 60–68 days.
The next potential breakout or breakdown is due around 10 August.
Take a look at the previous two examples:
Late 2025 to early 2026: BTC consolidated for roughly 68 days before a major breakdown. After that: Price traded sideways for another 68 days before breaking higher in mid-April, pushing into the $80k range.
We're currently about 55 days into another choppy, sideways phase.
If this pattern continues, I expect BTC to break out of this range and make a significant move within the next 10–12 days.
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I'm finding more and more similarities between these two charts.
We're now at the last line of defense the final bearish trendline before a potential explosive breakout in Copper vs. Gold.
The last time this happened, at the end of 2020, price spent around 2 months at this level before finally breaking out.
At the same time, Others.D bottomed, and the final leg higher for both Copper and altcoins (Others.D) began. If history rhymes, Others.D could bottom by the end of August, while Copper vs. Gold starts breaking above its bearish trendline.
If that happens while Bitcoin breaks above $80k, I don't think the market is prepared for what could be a monster move in altcoins 👽
I wanted to share a scenario that’s been on my mind. We should be prepared for another 1.5–2 months of potential sideways, choppy price action.
If that’s the case, the best thing we can do is accumulate our favorite coins or simply sit back and be patient.
It’s extremely dangerous to chase every $200–500 move, especially when markets like oil can swing on a single tweet from Trump.
Also, summer is typically a period of lower volatility, so there’s no need to force trades. If we get a confirmed breakout, we’ll trade it. If we get a confirmed breakdown, we’ll trade that as well.
Until then, our priority is simple: protect your capital.