Catalyst Traders
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Catalyst Traders
Crypto Technical Analyst | Trend-Based Trader
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Since December, the supply held for more than 1 year keeps increasing. This has recently accelerated, with the monthly average now at +217,000 Bitcoin. This is a positive development, indicating that many holders who bought a year ago, and therefore at higher prices, continue to hold.
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💰 Bitcoin Market Cap divided by Global M2 reacted at exactly the same level seen at the end of 2024. After that recovery, the indicator started falling again and is now approaching this important region once more.
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$ROSE /USDT has flipped distinctly bearish following a breakdown from its recent consolidation range. With former support now acting as firm overhead supply, technical indicators point toward sustained sell-side pressure targeting lower support levels below.
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Bybit traders are piling into aggressive long positions, with the exchange’s Taker Buy/Sell Ratio surging to 20.86, according to a CryptoQuant analyst.
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$DOT /USDT following a loss of its bear flag pattern. With price consolidating near $0.7570, a sustained breakdown below key support will confirm continued sell-side expansion toward primary downside target zones.
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Bitcoin is up 9.82% in July so far, rebounding after back-to-back red months in May and June. Will the momentum continue in August?👀
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$67 ,800 is where the average $BTC buyer of the last 5 months breaks even.
After 8 weeks of falling, that level rose last week. STHs accumulated at prices above their aggregate cost basis, pulling the average higher.
After 8 weeks of falling, that level rose last week. STHs accumulated at prices above their aggregate cost basis, pulling the average higher.
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$XRP Inflows to Binance hit All-Time Low as sellers exhaust above $1 .
Since its last high of $3 .66, $XRP has undergone a correction of more than 72%, even sending it below the $1 mark for a few days.
Today, $XRP is trading at 70% of its all-time high and is attempting to consolidate above $1 .
Since its last high of $3 .66, $XRP has undergone a correction of more than 72%, even sending it below the $1 mark for a few days.
Today, $XRP is trading at 70% of its all-time high and is attempting to consolidate above $1 .
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When Realized Profit crosses Realized Loss, Bitcoin forms a bottom. And another crossover may be very close.
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🕯🕯 Despite the sell-off in stocks, spot $BTC ETFs saw inflows yesterday, and $BTC itself has been trying to hold above its 50-day moving average for the third day in a row.
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Bitcoin has defused its internal risk, but external pressure is beginning to build. Bitcoin’s Risk Index peaked in late June before transitioning into Low Risk, allowing selling pressure to ease and price to stabilize. But a divergence is forming: Bitcoin risk remains subdued while the VIX has returned to the Fear Zone.
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📈 Bitcoin has held the Binance Reserve Realized Price twice in 2026.
In 2022, losing this level turned it into resistance. This year, it has acted as support near $61K.
In 2022, losing this level turned it into resistance. This year, it has acted as support near $61K.
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The average Bitcoin holder from 3-6 months ago is still underwater.
Their average cost basis sits around $72K, leaving this cohort roughly 10% in unrealised loss.
Their average cost basis sits around $72K, leaving this cohort roughly 10% in unrealised loss.
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Ethereum ETFs Have Attracted More Capital Than Bitcoin Funds for the Third Consecutive Week
During the week of July 20–24, U.S. spot Ethereum-based ETFs attracted $104 million in net inflows, extending the streak to three consecutive weeks. Over the same period, net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs totaled $33.79 million, also remaining positive for the third consecutive week.
Over the past week, the price of $ETH rose by approximately 5%, while Bitcoin gained about 1.5%.
During the week of July 20–24, U.S. spot Ethereum-based ETFs attracted $104 million in net inflows, extending the streak to three consecutive weeks. Over the same period, net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs totaled $33.79 million, also remaining positive for the third consecutive week.
Over the past week, the price of $ETH rose by approximately 5%, while Bitcoin gained about 1.5%.
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