$BTC Bitcoin's current cycle is following history almost to the day... but not in magnitude. 📊 Key takeaways from 5,848 daily observations (2010–2026): • Cycle top: 1,062 days after the bottom • 535 days after the halving • Current drawdown: -46.8% • Price: $66,403 • 200W MA multiple: 1.05x Here's the interesting part: Previous cycles delivered: 🔹 2017: +112x → -83.8% 🔹 2021: +21x → -76.7% Current cycle: 🔹 2025: +8x → -46.8% (so far) Same cycle structure. Much lower volatility. Much smaller returns. Much shallower corrections. Bitcoin isn't breaking its historical rhythm, it's compressing. Three independent historical frameworks all point toward the same potential timing window: 📅 October–November 2026 • Bear market duration • Trough-to-trough cycle timing • Monthly seasonality Is that the next major bottom? Lower upside. Lower downside. Increasing maturity. Bitcoin may still rhyme with history, but the market is growing up. #BTC Price Analysis#
$BTC IS ABOUT TO BREAK EVERYONE Here's my projection Every bounce since $126k died at the same descending resistance: - $97,939 - $82,458 - $68,387 3 touches - 3 rejections #BTC Price Analysis# Price sits right at that line again And I don't think the fifth attempt succeeds either My scenario: One more rejection here Then the capitulation leg nobody is ready for Sub $40k is where the real bottom forms Every bear market ends with a flush that breaks the last believers We haven't had ours yet Only AFTER that flush do I expect the true breakout from this channel That's the move that starts the next cycle Not this one Save this and check back in 3 months
🚨 BITCOIN $BTC IS GETTING REJECTED AT THE TOP OF THE CHANNEL. Price tagged $66,000 and looks like it is turning. Two rising channels came before this one. Both broke down. This one is falling, and price is struggling at the roof again. → Rejection looks likely at $66,000 → Follow through puts $58,000 in play, the channel floor → Lose $58,000 and the real leg down starts It needed to break the roof. It might not do it.
$BTC BEAR MARKET HAS ONE MOVE LEFT I've been tracking this channel since the $126k top Every lower high on this chart was followed by a new lower low: $126k topped -> dropped to $80k $97k topped -> dropped to $59k $82k topped -> dropped to $58k Now $70k(FVG zone) is the next lower high loading After that - one final flush to the bottom zone around $42k-$49k And we have enough time Bear markets in $BTC last 364 days We're on day 280 only October 2026 - BOTTOM
$BTC Another weekly close right at the Weekly 200MA. Still holding on to the major support region but also failing to push higher. That has pretty much been the theme for the past few weeks now. Market now feeling the pressure from the geopolitical risks again which is keeping a cap on things.
🚨 WARNING: THE FINAL BITCOIN DUMP STARTS TOMORROW Bitcoin $BTC is repeating the exact same setup that marked the last cycle bottom. The timing is almost identical. The plan is simple: $64K → $55K → $51K → $45K
Risk management and conformation both things are conform and $ZEC Currently It is Good for do that the successful retest could extend the move higher. Entry zone= 501.68 ___ 502.00 Stop loss= 487.03 Target price = 531.02
$BTC (6M) - The final red candle? After the 2017 cycle top: 🔴 Red 6M candle 🔴 Red 6M candle 🟢 Bullish engulfing candle After the 2021 cycle top: 🔴 Red 6M candle 🔴 Red 6M candle 🟢 Bullish engulfing candle Each time, the bullish engulfing candle signaled the bottom was behind us and the new bull run had started. Now Bitcoin is about to close its second red 6M candle since the 2025 cycle top. The 2013 cycle needed three red candles before the big reversal, so history doesn't guarantee anything. But the last two cycles followed the exact same sequence. If Bitcoin repeats that pattern once again... the next 6M candle should be green.
Remember these coins? $ADA once was 3rd largest crypto at $101 Billion, now down -94.90% $ICP was 4th largest crypto at $50 Billion, now down -99.10% $BCH was 6th largest crypto at $30 Billion, now down -88% $FIL was 9th largest crypto at $15 Billion, now down -99.81%
🚨BITCOIN $BTC LONG-TERM HOLDERS HIT RECORD 79% K33 says long-term holders now control an all-time high 79% of BTC supply, while old coin reactivation has dropped to its lowest level since 2012. OGs are not selling, and sell pressure is drying up.
🇧🇹BHUTAN MOVES ANOTHER $18 MILLION IN BTC The Royal Government of Bhutan deposited 282 $BTC at around $64,900 per coin into Binance. This brings its 2026 transfers above $250 MILLION, per Arkham Intelligence. Its holdings have fallen from 13,390 BTC in Oct. 2024 to roughly 2,700 now.
BITCOIN $BTC IS COPYING GOLD'S CHART PERFECTLY. And gold just exploded to new highs. > Long consolidation. > Fake breakdowns. > Sentiment destroyed. > Then violent breakout. Bitcoin is at the final stage right now. Bears confident. Bulls exhausted. Price looks completely dead. That's the signal. They laughed at $10K. They laughed at $100K They'll laugh at $500K too. Until the chart forces them to stop.
🚨 $BTC Update Yesterday I posted my 2026 $BTC roadmap and a lot of people disagreed with it, and that’s completely fine. 😭 But looking at the market today, I still don’t see anything that makes me bullish for the next few months. A lot of people are getting excited because $BTC is holding around $63k-$64k, but to me this still looks like a weak bounce. We have been grinding in the same range for days and every major move higher is running into resistance. The levels I’m watching are simple: • $65k-$66k = minor resistance • $67k-$68k = stronger resistance • $69k-$70k = major resistance Personally, I still think there is a good chance we see one more push toward the $65k-$66k region before the market rolls over again. My bigger view remains the same: until #Bitcoin proves it can reclaim higher levels with real strength, I think every rally should be treated as a rally inside a larger downtrend. That’s why my roadmap still points toward lower prices before the real bottom forms. I don’t think that Market has found its final bottom yet.
$BTC (1M) - Bitcoin just entered the zone where previous cycle bottoms formed. The monthly RSI just dropped below 44. Why does that matter? Every major cycle bottom formed at or below this level. ✅ 2015 → RSI 44 ✅ 2019 → RSI 44 ✅ 2022 → RSI 40 Now we're back there again with the RSI sitting at 42. Could Bitcoin still go lower? Absolutely. In 2020, price continued lower even after entering this zone. But if you're waiting to buy the exact bottom... you're probably looking at it the wrong way. The goal isn't to nail the bottom. The goal is to accumulate when Bitcoin is trading in historically attractive zones. That's why I prefer scaling in. DCA now. And if price goes lower, buy more.
#Bitcoin Balanced Price 🟠 Another useful metric to keep on your radar when looking for potential cycle bottoms. Historically, major $BTC bottoms have formed when price touched or closely approached the Balanced Price. The Balanced Price is currently sitting at $39,149 and trending lower.
Bitcoin $BTC 2026 bear market performance is now closest to the first bear market in 2014. The unification zone (where all bear markets have lined up) starts in just 10 days, which means Bitcoin would need to be at least 50k by June 18th. Everything's right on track.
WHAT’S UP, TRADERS 👋 I know everyone is getting excited after seeing a few green candles and a small bounce across the market. But don’t let a 4% pump make you forget what kind of market we’re in. Personally, I still think we will see lower prices before the real recovery starts. That’s exactly why I’m keeping cash ready even though I’m already long on some coins like $ETH , $SAGA , $ADA and $ZEC . For me, a move toward $52k on $BTC is still possible before the market finally gives us the opportunity everyone is waiting for. Stay patient. Don't go all in. Keep some capital for the dips.
$BTC (1M) - The signal that marked every Bitcoin bottom. One of the most reliable signals in Bitcoin's history: The monthly MFI dropping below 35. The Money Flow Index measures buying and selling pressure entering the market. And every cycle tells the same story. When the monthly MFI dropped below 35, Bitcoin was either forming or sitting extremely close to its cycle bottom. ✅ 2015 ✅ 2018 ✅ 2022 Three cycles in a row. Now we're approaching that level again. Could this time be different? Of course. But if history continues to rhyme, the biggest opportunities are usually found when the monthly MFI enters this zone. And if this signal triggers again... don't ignore it. These opportunities only come around once every four years. Bookmark this. Your future self will thank you.