omarhanin

月曜日に原油価格が下落したのは、イランの市民不安が和らぎ、主要生産者からの供給が混乱する可能性がある米国の攻撃の可能性が減ったためです。一方、市場はグリーンランドの激化する対立を監視しました。
ブレント原油は12:39 GMTに1バレルあたり63.79ドルで取引されており、40セント、すなわち0.62%の下落です。
米国西テキサス中間原油は2月納品分が44セント、すなわち約0.74%下落し、1バレルあたり59.00ドルになりました。この契約は火曜日に期限切れになります。より活発に取引されている3月契約は1バレルあたり58.98ドルで、36セント、すなわち0.61%の下落です。

The dollar fell on Monday as investors, worried about the latest tariff threat from US President Donald Trump against Europe over Greenland, rushed to buy the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc in a broad risk aversion across markets.
Over the weekend, Trump said he would impose additional tariffs of 10% on imports from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Finland, and the UK, effective February 1, until the US is allowed to purchase Greenland.
EU ambassadors agreed on Sunday to intensify their efforts to dissuade Trump from imposing the tariffs, while simultaneously preparing for retaliatory measures should he proceed, according to EU diplomats.
After a brief dip in overnight trading, European currencies, including the euro, sterling, and the Nordic currencies, rebounded. The Swiss franc, a traditional safe haven, was on track for its biggest daily gain against the dollar in a month.
Euro benefits from dollar aversion
The euro reversed course from the start of Asian trading to rise 0.2% to $1.1627 by mid-morning European trading, while sterling similarly recovered, gaining 0.1% to $1.339.
"Tariff threats are typically expected to weaken the euro," said Khun Goh, head of Asia research at ANZ Bank.
"But as we saw last year as well, when the so-called 'Liberation Day' tariffs were implemented, the effect in the foreign exchange markets actually tended to be weaker on the dollar every time political uncertainty emanating from the US increased."
Investors had abandoned the dollar after Trump unveiled sweeping tariffs on the world last April, triggering a crisis of confidence in US assets.
Although some capital outflows from the dollar emerged on Monday, notably significant gains for the Swiss franc as a safe haven, analysts said that if tensions escalate further, investors are likely to return to the US currency.
“It’s understandable that the market is concerned about the dollar’s ​​decline since last April,” said Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank. “But I would strongly caution against assuming that the dollar’s ​​safe-haven status is over.”
She added, “Even if investors outside the US decide to withdraw their funds, where will they go? Other markets are not large enough to absorb it. The sheer size of the US market means there is always safe-haven value associated with US assets.”
The yen remains in intervention territory.
The dollar fell 0.5% against the Swiss franc to 0.7982 francs, while it edged lower against the Japanese yen, another safe-haven currency outside the United States, to 158.055 yen.
Domestic politics in Japan have weighed on the yen in recent weeks, with a snap election raising expectations of further fiscal stimulus. With the yen trading near its weakest levels since mid-2014, the risk of official intervention is increasing, especially given the verbal warnings from Tokyo over the past two weeks.
"We remain skeptical that intervention will be successful on a sustained basis, and we will also need fundamental factors to support the yen," said Derek Halpenny, head of global markets research for Europe, the Middle East, and Africa at MUFG, in a note. "Moves in the yen today are certainly more limited."
Cryptocurrencies, often seen as a barometer of investor risk appetite, declined, with Bitcoin falling nearly 3% to $92,740 and Ether dropping more than 4% to $3,205.
Data released on Monday showed that the Chinese economy grew by 5.0% last year, meeting the government's target, capturing a record share of global demand for goods to offset weak domestic consumption.
The yuan rose in the onshore market to its highest level in 32 months, reaching 6.9630 against the dollar, shrugging off the mixed data, after the People's Bank of China set its strongest daily fixing rate for the currency in more than two years.
#usd #TRUMP $USDT

The price of gold (GOLD) is holding steady with gains during its recent intraday trading, moving within a limited range as it attempts to gain the necessary positive momentum to help it record new record levels. At the same time, it is trying to alleviate some of its clear overbought condition as indicated by the relative strength indicators, especially with the emergence of a negative crossover, amidst the dominance of the main upward trend in the short term, with its movements along major and minor trend lines that support this path.
$XAU #GOLD #analysis

The price of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has seen limited movement in its recent immediate levels, following its consolidation at a short-term upward trend line, which has given it some positive momentum that was reinforced with the start of positive signals from the Relative Strength Index, after it reached areas of extreme oversold activity. However, on the other hand, the price is suffering from negative pressure as a result of trading below its 50-period simple moving average, which reduces the chances of a full recovery in the near term.

#BTC #MarketRebound #analysis $BTC

Bitcoin fell during Asian trading on Monday, paring back the gains it made last week, after US President Donald Trump's tariffs on major European countries over the Greenland issue sparked concern in risk markets.
Other cryptocurrencies also declined alongside Bitcoin, with several experiencing profit-taking after posting gains last week.
Bitcoin fell 2.8% to $92,519.60 by 12:56 AM EST (5:56 AM GMT). The world's largest cryptocurrency had risen by about 5% last week, but has since fallen back below its peak levels.
The postponement of a long-awaited bill aimed at establishing a US regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency industry also negatively impacted sentiment. Lawmakers delayed discussion of the bill due to objections from several industry players, most notably Coinbase.
Trump’s tariffs on Greenland shake risk appetite and send Bitcoin tumbling
Trump said he would impose tariffs of up to 25% on imports from several major European countries, including Denmark, France, and the UK, until an agreement is reached to hand over Greenland to Washington.
These demands have been met with widespread rejection from European leaders, with France seen as preparing to take retaliatory economic measures against the US.
These developments have led to sharp losses in risk-sensitive global markets, amid fears of a potential collapse of NATO and more direct US moves to control Greenland.
Trump, who has long advocated for annexing Greenland on national security grounds, has also revived the possibility of military action in the Danish territory. These threats are being taken more seriously, especially after the US military intervention in Venezuela in early 2026.
While trade tariffs and geopolitical tensions don't directly affect cryptocurrencies, they do reduce the risk appetite necessary for investing in speculative assets. Trump's threats to impose tariffs in 2025 have already triggered repeated waves of risk aversion in the cryptocurrency markets.
This increased risk aversion has also led traders to favor safe-haven physical assets, such as gold, over cryptocurrencies.
Close-offs approach $900 million in crypto markets… Bitcoin leads the way
Cryptocurrency markets saw $869.5 million in liquidations in the past 24 hours, as caution deepened in the markets due to Trump's tariffs.
Long positions accounted for the largest share of these liquidations, with Bitcoin bets worth approximately $229.5 million being liquidated, according to data from Coinglass. Ether and Solana also saw net selling of $154.6 million and $60.5 million, respectively.
The weekend's losses largely erased the limited recovery seen in cryptocurrency markets last week, as sentiment toward the sector remained fragile.
Cryptocurrency Prices Today: Altcoins Continue to Fall Alongside Bitcoin
Most other cryptocurrency prices declined on Monday, following Bitcoin's losses.
Ether, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency, fell 3.5% to $3,199.06, while XRP dropped 4.7%, falling below $2.
$BTC
#TRUMP #news #bitcoin #crypto

• US Dollar Under Negative Pressure

• Trump Threatens Europe with Tariffs

Gold prices rose in the European market on Monday, resuming gains after a two-day pause, reaching a new record high and nearing $4,700 per ounce for the first time ever, supported by the current decline in the US dollar.

Investors flocked to safe-haven assets amid escalating tensions after US President Donald Trump threatened to impose additional tariffs on European countries over the Greenland dispute.

Price Overview

• Gold Prices Today: Gold prices rose by approximately 2.05% to $4,690.80, an all-time high, from an opening price of $4,596.69. The lowest price recorded was also $4,596.69.

• At the close of trading on Friday, the precious metal lost 0.4%, marking its second consecutive daily loss, due to profit-taking and corrective selling.

• Gold prices rose by 1.95% last week, their second consecutive weekly gain, amid escalating global geopolitical tensions.

US Dollar

The dollar index fell by 0.3% on Monday, moving away from a six-week high, reflecting a decline in the US currency against a basket of major and minor currencies.

Besides profit-taking, the US dollar is weakening due to investor concerns over US President Donald Trump's threats to impose further tariffs on Europe.

As we know, a decline in the value of the US dollar makes gold bullion priced in US dollars more attractive to buyers holding other currencies.

Trump’s Tariff Threats
Over the weekend, Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on imports from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Finland, and the UK, effective February 1, until the US is allowed to purchase Greenland.

Major EU countries on Sunday condemned the tariff threats over Greenland, calling them blackmail, and France proposed a range of unprecedented economic countermeasures.

EU diplomats reported that EU ambassadors reached a preliminary agreement on Sunday to intensify efforts to dissuade Trump from imposing tariffs on European allies.

US Interest Rates
• According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool: The probability of US interest rates remaining unchanged at the January 2026 meeting is currently priced in at 95%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is stable at 5%.

• Investors are currently pricing in two US interest rate cuts over the next year, while the Federal Reserve’s projections indicate one 25 basis point cut.

• To reprice these probabilities, investors are closely monitoring the release of further economic data from the US.

Gold Outlook

Matt Simpson, senior analyst at StoneX, said: “Geopolitical tensions have given gold investors an additional boost to push the precious metal to new record highs.”

Simpson added: “With Trump adding tariffs to the equation, it’s clear that his threat to Greenland is real, and we may be one step closer to the end of NATO and political instability within Europe.”

SPDR Gold Trust
Holdings of gold at SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, increased by approximately 10.87 metric tons on Thursday, marking the second consecutive daily increase and the largest daily increase since December 22nd, bringing the total to 1,085.67 metric tons, the highest level since May 3rd, 2022.
#GOLD #XAUUSD #forex #TRUMP $XAU

The price of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) advanced slightly during its recent intraday trading, following the price finding support at a key short-term upward trend line. This gave it some positive momentum that helped it achieve those gains, through which it aims to compensate for some of its previous losses. It is also trying to alleviate its oversold condition according to the Relative Strength Index, while the negative pressure continues as a result of its trading below its 50-period simple moving average, with a downward corrective wave dominating in the intraday period.
#BTC #analysis $BTC

カルダノ (ADAUSD) は、50期間単純移動平均 (SMA) の抵抗を下回った後、最近の取引セッションで急激な損失を経験しています。この以前の抵抗は、特に短期的な上昇修正トレンドラインを突破した後、価格が下向きの圧力に屈することを強いました。さらに、価格が過剰売却状態を緩和した後、相対力指数 (RSI) にベアリッシュクロスオーバーが現れ始めており、近い将来のさらなる損失を示唆しています。

金曜日にイーサリアムの価格はわずかに下落し、リスクの食欲が地政学的緊張に対する市場の評価と対立した。

トランプ氏は、イランでの弾圧の間に殺人が減少していると伝えられ、現在、大規模な処刑の計画はないと信じていると述べ、「様子を見て待つ」アプローチを採用したと述べた。

アナリストたちは、これらのコメントが最近蓄積されたリスクプレミアムを減少させたと述べ、米国の公式が水曜日に中東の軍事基地から一部の人員を撤退させるとの声明を発表したことに続いた。これは、イランの高官がテヘランが近隣国に対し、ワシントンが軍事攻撃を行った場合に米国の基地を標的にすることを通知したと述べた後に起こった。

Bitcoin falls after cryptocurrency bill falters in the US.

Bitcoin retreated during Asian trading on Friday, paring some of its recent gains, after US lawmakers delayed a closely watched bill aimed at establishing a regulatory framework for digital assets.

The world's largest cryptocurrency had surged to nearly $96,000 this week, but the rally proved short-lived as sentiment toward crypto markets remained largely subdued.

Bitcoin fell 0.8% to $95,192.00 by 9:43 a.m. EST (2:43 p.m. GMT). The world's largest cryptocurrency had been trading up about 5% this week, following a quiet start to the year.

US postpones cryptocurrency bill after Coinbase's opposition

Earlier this week, US lawmakers postponed a key debate on a planned regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies after Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN), listed on the Nasdaq, opposed the bill in its current form. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong criticized the bill's approach to stablecoins, particularly its restrictions on cryptocurrency companies offering returns or rewards on customers' stablecoin holdings.

Optimism surrounding the bill had fueled some of Bitcoin's gains this week, with markets welcoming the regulatory clarity the proposed legislation would provide. However, cryptocurrency bulls expressed reservations about the bill's provisions regarding stablecoins.

Coinbase, a major donor during the 2024 US election cycle and the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the US, is also seen as having significant influence on cryptocurrency lawmaking.

Bitcoin on track for weekly gains after a quiet start to the year

Bitcoin was trading up nearly 5% this week, also benefiting from selective buying on dips, following a sluggish start to the new year.

Much of the currency's gains this week came after Strategy&, the largest publicly traded Bitcoin holder, revealed it had purchased over $1 billion worth of the cryptocurrency, boosting hopes for improved institutional demand.

In contrast, retail investor demand remained under pressure, reflecting continued general caution in the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin continued to trade at a discount to the global average on Coinbase, suggesting that retail investor sentiment in the US—the largest cryptocurrency market—remains weak.

Cryptocurrency Prices Today: Altcoins Weakly Perform but Post Weekly Gains

Altcoins generally moved weakly alongside Bitcoin on Friday, but were posting some gains this week, supported by dip buying and hopes for regulatory clarity in the US.

Ethereum, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency, fell 1.4%, but was up about 5.7% for the week.

XRP fell by 1.9% and was down about 1% for the week, while Solana was largely stable, posting weekly gains of about 2.7%.