🚨 BTC just lost $70K. Everyone's blaming crypto. Wrong suspect. 🔪
The real culprit is the Fed.
BTC dipped as low as $67,770 on Nov 13, its weakest since Aug 19. The Dollar Index pushed above 103, its highest since April 2025. A strong dollar and pricey money crush anything priced on future promises. Crypto and tech get hit first. 💥
The setup was brutal 👇
🔥 Inflation: October CPI rose 0.4% against 0.3% expected. Core CPI came in at 0.3% against 0.2% expected. That is the third straight 0.3% core print.
🎯 Waller's trap: He said a half-point hike should be considered if core landed around 0.3% or higher. It landed exactly there.
🏦 The Fed (Dec 8-9): CME FedWatch showed an 88% chance of a 25bp hike and 12% for 50bp. Dallas Fed's Logan also said hikes may need to come faster than he first expected.
💀 Forced selling: Liquidations topped $1.6B, and 95.2% of the $916M in bitcoin futures liquidations were longs. Nearly $500M hit in the single hour BTC broke $70K. That's leveraged traders getting auto-sold, not conviction selling.
📉 Stocks aren't safe either: Nvidia closed below a $4T market cap for the first time since July 2025 after CEO Jensen Huang resigned.
So what flips the script? Scenarios, not predictions 👇
1️⃣ The dollar stops climbing. The squeeze eases. New highs mean more pain.
2️⃣ Dec 9 delivers only 25bp. That's already priced in. A 50bp move would be a fresh shock.
3️⃣ Core inflation prints under 0.3%. The hike story loses fuel.
4️⃣ ETF money returns. US spot BTC ETFs are down $1.56B net for 2026 per SoSoValue, and Nov 12 was the sixth straight day of outflows. A liquidation flush clears leverage. It doesn't bring buyers. 🧹
⚡ Leverage got wiped. The real question is who buys the dip.
Which one are you watching? 1, 2, 3 or 4? 👇
#BitcoinCoreDisclosesTorTrafficVulnerability #WhatWillDriveCryptoandStocks’NextRebound? #BitcoinBreaksBelow200WeekMovingAverage #Inflation #TradFiForBeginners
$BTC $HYPE $SHELL
The real culprit is the Fed.
BTC dipped as low as $67,770 on Nov 13, its weakest since Aug 19. The Dollar Index pushed above 103, its highest since April 2025. A strong dollar and pricey money crush anything priced on future promises. Crypto and tech get hit first. 💥
The setup was brutal 👇
🔥 Inflation: October CPI rose 0.4% against 0.3% expected. Core CPI came in at 0.3% against 0.2% expected. That is the third straight 0.3% core print.
🎯 Waller's trap: He said a half-point hike should be considered if core landed around 0.3% or higher. It landed exactly there.
🏦 The Fed (Dec 8-9): CME FedWatch showed an 88% chance of a 25bp hike and 12% for 50bp. Dallas Fed's Logan also said hikes may need to come faster than he first expected.
💀 Forced selling: Liquidations topped $1.6B, and 95.2% of the $916M in bitcoin futures liquidations were longs. Nearly $500M hit in the single hour BTC broke $70K. That's leveraged traders getting auto-sold, not conviction selling.
📉 Stocks aren't safe either: Nvidia closed below a $4T market cap for the first time since July 2025 after CEO Jensen Huang resigned.
So what flips the script? Scenarios, not predictions 👇
1️⃣ The dollar stops climbing. The squeeze eases. New highs mean more pain.
2️⃣ Dec 9 delivers only 25bp. That's already priced in. A 50bp move would be a fresh shock.
3️⃣ Core inflation prints under 0.3%. The hike story loses fuel.
4️⃣ ETF money returns. US spot BTC ETFs are down $1.56B net for 2026 per SoSoValue, and Nov 12 was the sixth straight day of outflows. A liquidation flush clears leverage. It doesn't bring buyers. 🧹
⚡ Leverage got wiped. The real question is who buys the dip.
Which one are you watching? 1, 2, 3 or 4? 👇
#BitcoinCoreDisclosesTorTrafficVulnerability #WhatWillDriveCryptoandStocks’NextRebound? #BitcoinBreaksBelow200WeekMovingAverage #Inflation #TradFiForBeginners
$BTC $HYPE $SHELL
