#CPITestsDecemberRateOutlook
🎲 13% Odds of a Hot CPI, ~79% Odds of a Fed Hike
Traders expect October CPI to cool, yet still price a December rate hike as the likely outcome.
📊 Kalshi: 66% odds headline CPI tops 0.2% m/m, only 13% it tops 0.3%
🏦 Kalshi December FOMC market: a hike priced near 79%
📉 Forecasts sit low: UBS 0.26%, Wells Fargo 0.28%, Continuum 0.24%
📅 Out Tue Nov 10, 8:30 AM ET, monthly only, no yearly rate
The catch: after last week's +165K payrolls beat, one softer month may not take December off the table.
Headline CPI at 0.2% or 0.3%+ when it drops Tuesday? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#CPITestsDecemberRateOutlook #Fed #Bitcoin
🎲 13% Odds of a Hot CPI, ~79% Odds of a Fed Hike
Traders expect October CPI to cool, yet still price a December rate hike as the likely outcome.
📊 Kalshi: 66% odds headline CPI tops 0.2% m/m, only 13% it tops 0.3%
🏦 Kalshi December FOMC market: a hike priced near 79%
📉 Forecasts sit low: UBS 0.26%, Wells Fargo 0.28%, Continuum 0.24%
📅 Out Tue Nov 10, 8:30 AM ET, monthly only, no yearly rate
The catch: after last week's +165K payrolls beat, one softer month may not take December off the table.
Headline CPI at 0.2% or 0.3%+ when it drops Tuesday? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#CPITestsDecemberRateOutlook #Fed #Bitcoin
