XRP is at about $1.3175, up 1.2–2.8% over 24h (crypto.news: +2.41%). The 24h range is $1.28–1.34. Whales are buying, but spot XRP ETFs see almost no flows. Key question today: can XRP close above $1.34, where the 50- and 200-day EMAs sit?
Technicals
Price is above the 20-day EMA ($1.30) but below the 50-day EMA ($1.34) and the 200-day EMA ($1.35). No data on the 100-day.
Daily RSI(14) is 47.9–50.3, neutral. The MACD histogram has turned positive, but the MACD line is still below zero.
Resistance: $1.34–1.35, $1.36 (upper Bollinger band), $1.40–1.41, $1.60 (neckline of an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern).
Support: $1.29–1.30, $1.24–1.25 (September low), $1.20 (October low after the Binance hack), $1.17.
Fundamentals & on-chain
Spot XRP ETFs: −$0.53M on Nov 2 and $0 on Nov 3 and 4. October was +$18.8M, the 7th positive month in a row. Cumulative inflows are $1.81B and AUM is $1.46B.
RLUSD: supply is ~$2.57B, up ~$1B in 90 days. Moody’s rated it A2.
XRPL: the fixCleanup3_4_0 amendment went live on Nov 4. It fixes a bug that let token burners mint new tokens.
Escrow: 1B XRP was unlocked on Nov 1. No re-lock had been confirmed at the time of the reports.
Regulation: the CLARITY Act failed a Senate vote on Sep 15. The draft lapses on Jan 3, 2027 unless revived.
Whales: 2,147 wallets now hold at least 1M XRP, the high for 2026 (Santiment). About 13.2M XRP left exchanges overnight.
Derivatives: funding is +0.01% per 8h and 72% of accounts are long. Open interest was $424M (+21%) on Nov 3 on one venue. No XRP-specific liquidation data; market-wide liquidations were nearly $1B, mostly shorts.
Top news
XRP is up 2–3% to ~$1.32 on whale buying and the post-midterm rally.
The number of wallets holding at least 1M XRP hit a 2026 high.
The XRPL ledger fix went live on Nov 4.
ETF flows are near zero for a third day.
David Schwartz’s price tweet drew criticism from holders, as XRP is down ~40% year over year.
Forecasts
🟢 Bullish: a daily close above $1.34 → $1.41, then $1.60.
⚪ Base: $1.26–1.41 (24/7 Wall St. base case for end of November).
🔴 Bearish: a close below $1.30 → $1.24, then $1.20.
Analyst views: Standard Chartered cut its 2026 target from $8 to $2.80 in February. 24/7 Wall St. says a close above $1.41 with strong ETF inflows would target $1.63.
Upcoming events
Fri, Nov 6, 15:30: October NFP jobs report.
Tue, Nov 10, 15:30: October CPI.
Fri, Nov 13: first anniversary of the spot XRP ETFs.
Tue, Dec 1, ~02:00: next monthly 1B XRP escrow release.